Redistricting Update presented to the SCPS School Board on 2 / 2 3 / - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

By ARCBridge Consulting 21515 Ridgetop Circle # 290 Sterling VA www.arcbridge.com

1

Redistricting Update presented to the SCPS School Board on 2 / 2 3 / 2 0 1 9

Agenda

 Status Update  Directions from the Board after 2/2

meeting

 Created 6 Plans for Board review  Plan C approach based on radius.  Presentation of Plans  Plan C, D, and E

Status Update

 At our last meeting with the Board on Feb

2nd, we presented the redistricting process and the criteria used in creating Plans A and B that were presented at the Town Hall Meetings.

 Edited versions of Plans A & B were

• presented. Large scale maps were provided

for the website.

 The edited Plans A & B took into account

the human factor, from comments from the community via Town Hall Meetings, emails and Facebook.

 We received updated redistricting criteria  The School Board wanted 6 additional plans

3 plans were to be created to address reduced program capacity at Ferry Farm ES.

 Program Capacities were changed to address the

F & R Lunch numbers

 Two plans were to be created using a radius

around the schools.

After the School Board Meeting on 2 / 2

 No school to have higher Free/Reduced lunch percentage

than current highest school's Free/Reduced lunch percentage (53.58%)

 Bus rides no longer than any current bus rides  Percent utilization for each school, for the first four years,

to be within a range of 80-91%

 Create Plan C based on a radius methodology with

starting point as the school location, working outward

 For Revised Plan A, Revised Plan B, and Plan C, the plans

should be made 2 ways- one way with Ferry Farm ES capacity "full" and the other with Ferry Farm ES capacity "reduced" 6 total

 Plans should incorporate any changes to the class sizes as

a result of 30% or higher free lunch (work with SCPS so program capacity could be recalculated)

Updated Redistricting Criteria

 ARCBridge worked with the new criteria,

updated capacities and created 6 plans which were submitted to SCPS SME on Feb 15th. (we received updated capacity tables on Feb 4th, 12th, Feb 15th and Feb 22nd)

 On Feb 19th we received comments from SME

meeting and also that the FFES Reduced Capacity Plans were put on hold.

Plans Created

Radius Approach

½ mile and 1 mile Circles denote straight distance

Results from Radius Approach

School Name Program Capacity 2019-2020 % Utilization based on closest School Barrett 966 430 44.51% Brent 986 795 80.63% Burns 966 600 62.11% Conway 1004 455 45.32% Falmouth 778 862 110.80% Ferry Farm 782 512 65.47% Garrisonville 848 216 25.47% Grafton Village 868 839 96.66% Hampton Oaks 952 506 53.15% Hartwood 670 547 81.64% Moncure 1015 1406 138.52% Park Ridge 900 871 96.78% Rockhill 862 557 64.62% Rocky Run 941 1275 135.49% Stafford 814 1465 179.98% Widewater 841 795 94.53% Winding Creek 978 504 51.53%

Results from Radius Approach

Plan C

• 3127 Students are affected

(based on 2019-2020 Enrollment Projection)

• Distance and all other factors

were used

• Every planning unit was

assigned to at least the closest 5 schools but mostly to the first and second schools

• 11 Neighborhoods are split
• Hampton Oaks neighborhood
• was split into Park Ridge and

Hampton Oaks as is now

• Aquia Harbour is entirely in

Hampton Oaks

• Rappahannock, Old Forge in

Rocky Run

• England Run North goes to

either Falmouth or Conway

School Plan C Avg Dist Plan C Max Dist Existing Avg Dist Existing Max Dist Barrett 1.39 3.04 1.39 3.04 Brent 4.44 10.65 5.09 10.70 Burns 2.78 4.70 2.56 4.06 Conway 2.92 5.88 1.88 3.31 Falmouth 2.19 4.96 2.12 5.31 Ferry Farm 2.37 6.58 2.88 6.58 Garrisonville 2.01 3.30 1.82 2.82 Grafton Village 2.92 8.31 2.35 6.64 Hampton Oaks 2.34 6.17 1.40 3.29 Hartwood 3.57 6.78 3.94 6.78 Moncure 1.47 2.93 2.44 5.81 Park Ridge 0.89 2.49 1.23 3.69 Rockhill 4.59 8.66 3.41 6.48 Rocky Run 2.71 4.46 2.46 4.46 Stafford 2.64 8.38 3.12 8.38 Widewater 2.79 8.40 2.73 8.40 Winding Creek 2.14 4.38 1.98 4.38

Plan C – Distance Analysis

Distance is computed from the geographic centroid of each Planning Unit

Plan C Tables

School Name Program Capacity 2019- 2020 2020- 2021 2021- 2022 2022- 2023 2023- 2024 Free % Free& Reduced% Minority% LEP% Barrett 966 80.12% 79.40% 78.57% 77.02% 76.60% 41.96% 47.86% 66.58% 10.55% Brent 986 80.83% 84.18% 85.19% 86.92% 89.55% 14.41% 16.18% 32.11% 3.92% Burns 966 80.43% 84.37% 86.65% 88.51% 89.65% 31.37% 36.16% 70.55% 7.12% Conway 1004 89.34% 88.94% 90.64% 91.14% 91.93% 28.51% 31.56% 46.49% 9.50% Falmouth 778 89.07% 88.69% 88.56% 85.73% 84.83% 39.92% 48.10% 61.35% 9.17% Ferry Farm 782 88.75% 85.93% 85.04% 84.40% 84.91% 28.38% 33.48% 37.26% 3.49% Garrisonville 848 82.19% 81.96% 82.43% 82.90% 82.67% 24.92% 32.13% 48.03% 11.48% Grafton Village 868 85.71% 85.60% 86.18% 87.67% 88.59% 20.11% 23.62% 30.50% 2.83% Hampton Oaks 952 87.82% 88.34% 86.55% 85.29% 85.40% 18.60% 24.44% 45.15% 4.33% Hartwood 670 76.27% 78.66% 84.78% 89.10% 94.03% 17.94% 22.78% 34.48% 4.23% Moncure 1015 86.31% 83.94% 82.86% 81.08% 82.96% 43.64% 50.33% 78.46% 23.66% Park Ridge 900 78.89% 80.00% 83.33% 84.22% 86.33% 21.35% 26.32% 59.36% 7.46% Rockhill 862 80.39% 80.16% 80.16% 81.55% 82.95% 22.14% 25.51% 44.72% 4.11% Rocky Run 941 82.89% 86.72% 88.20% 90.75% 93.52% 32.65% 36.19% 59.05% 11.16% Stafford 814 84.77% 87.47% 88.70% 89.80% 90.66% 19.56% 26.22% 57.19% 5.63% Widewater 841 85.14% 83.35% 83.23% 83.59% 83.12% 43.39% 50.64% 68.28% 14.65% Winding Creek 978 76.69% 82.00% 83.44% 86.09% 88.14% 20.85% 23.91% 63.56% 7.58%

Demographic fields are calculated using K-5 Students as of Sept. 30th 2018 excluding out of county or otherwise ungeocoded students. All calculations are based on students’ home addresses.

Plan D

• 3259 Students are affected

(based on 2019-2020 Enrollment Projection)

• 12 Neighborhoods are split
• Hampton Oaks neighborhood
• was split into Park Ridge and

Hampton Oaks. Park Ridge Gets some more of Hampton Oaks

• Aquia Harbour is entirely in

Hampton Oaks

• Augustine North goes to

Garrisonville

• Part of England Run goes to

Brent

School Plan D Avg Dist Plan D Max Dist Existing Avg Dist Existing Max Dist Barrett 1.48 3.04 1.39 3.04 Brent 5.39 11.10 5.09 10.70 Burns 2.70 4.09 2.56 4.06 Conway 1.99 5.23 1.88 3.31 Falmouth 2.38 5.31 2.12 5.31 Ferry Farm 2.36 6.58 2.88 6.58 Garrisonville 2.16 4.03 1.82 2.82 Grafton Village 2.89 8.06 2.35 6.64 Hampton Oaks 2.67 6.17 1.40 3.29 Hartwood 3.51 6.78 3.94 6.78 Moncure 1.49 2.93 2.44 5.81 Park Ridge 0.88 1.48 1.23 3.69 Rockhill 4.82 8.66 3.41 6.48 Rocky Run 2.30 3.80 2.46 4.46 Stafford 2.81 8.38 3.12 8.38 Widewater 2.79 8.40 2.73 8.40 Winding Creek 1.93 3.36 1.98 4.38

Plan D – Distance Analysis

Distance is computed from the geographic centroid of each Planning Unit

Plan D Tables

School Name Program Capacity 2019- 2020 2020- 2021 2021- 2022 2022- 2023 2023- 2024 Free % Free& Reduced% Minority% LEP% Barrett 966 80.64% 79.81% 78.88% 77.43% 76.81% 44.14% 50.44% 69.36% 12.11% Brent 986 80.83% 83.67% 84.99% 87.22% 92.19% 16.73% 18.39% 39.97% 4.60% Burns 966 81.47% 84.99% 88.20% 89.65% 91.20% 30.48% 35.59% 69.10% 7.31% Conway 966 87.58% 86.54% 88.51% 88.92% 91.20% 30.26% 33.78% 46.90% 11.18% Falmouth 778 89.46% 88.82% 88.43% 86.63% 86.76% 40.50% 47.66% 60.06% 8.68% Ferry Farm 782 83.25% 80.82% 79.80% 79.03% 79.54% 28.59% 33.91% 37.19% 3.28% Garrisonville 848 84.43% 85.50% 86.44% 87.15% 87.50% 22.60% 29.17% 46.15% 9.78% Grafton Village 868 83.99% 83.99% 84.79% 86.52% 87.56% 20.60% 24.18% 30.77% 3.02% Hampton Oaks 952 87.29% 87.71% 85.19% 84.24% 84.66% 19.46% 25.47% 46.46% 4.36% Hartwood 670 71.19% 74.33% 80.15% 84.48% 89.85% 15.09% 19.83% 29.96% 3.88% Moncure 1015 87.59% 85.22% 84.04% 82.07% 83.84% 44.02% 50.71% 78.70% 22.72% Park Ridge 900 85.67% 86.44% 88.22% 88.00% 88.44% 22.43% 26.70% 56.88% 7.88% Rockhill 862 84.69% 84.22% 84.34% 85.50% 86.77% 20.30% 23.05% 39.78% 4.12% Rocky Run 941 83.85% 86.82% 88.10% 89.27% 89.05% 31.15% 35.83% 58.29% 9.89% Stafford 814 82.31% 86.12% 86.61% 88.45% 88.94% 21.86% 27.69% 55.84% 7.04% Widewater 841 85.14% 83.35% 83.23% 83.59% 83.12% 43.39% 50.64% 68.28% 14.65% Winding Creek 978 77.81% 83.44% 86.40% 89.67% 90.59% 15.62% 19.48% 62.46% 5.16%

Demographic fields are calculated using K-5 Students as of Sept. 30th 2018 excluding out of county or otherwise ungeocoded students. All calculations are based on students’ home addresses.

Plan E

• 3358 Students are affected

(based on 2019-2020 Enrollment Projection)

• 11 Neighborhoods are split
• Hampton Oaks neighborhood
• was split into Park Ridge and

Hampton Oaks. Park Ridge Gets some more of Hampton Oaks

• Aquia Harbour is entirely in

Hampton Oaks

• Augustine North goes to Brent
• England Run North stays in

Falmouth

School Plan E Avg Dist Plan E Max Dist Existing Avg Dist Existing Max Dist Barrett 1.39 3.04 1.39 3.04 Brent 5.06 10.65 5.09 10.70 Burns 2.78 4.70 2.56 4.06 Conway 2.03 5.23 1.88 3.31 Falmouth 2.35 5.31 2.12 5.31 Ferry Farm 2.39 6.58 2.88 6.58 Garrisonville 1.93 2.82 1.82 2.82 Grafton Village 3.14 8.31 2.35 6.64 Hampton Oaks 2.34 6.17 1.40 3.29 Hartwood 3.84 6.78 3.94 6.78 Moncure 1.47 2.93 2.44 5.81 Park Ridge 1.21 3.50 1.23 3.69 Rockhill 3.95 8.66 3.41 6.48 Rocky Run 2.32 3.80 2.46 4.46 Stafford 2.64 8.38 3.12 8.38 Widewater 2.79 8.40 2.73 8.40 Winding Creek 2.10 4.38 1.98 4.38

Plan E – Distance Analysis

Distance is computed from the geographic centroid of each Planning Unit

Plan E Tables

School Name Program Capacity 2019- 2020 2020- 2021 2021- 2022 2022- 2023 2023- 2024 Free % Free& Reduced% Minority% LEP% Barrett 966 86.96% 86.65% 85.71% 83.85% 83.44% 41.16% 47.09% 66.05% 11.28% Brent 986 79.61% 83.27% 84.58% 86.82% 89.66% 12.65% 14.19% 32.26% 3.35% Burns 966 80.43% 84.37% 86.65% 88.51% 89.65% 31.37% 36.16% 70.55% 7.12% Conway 966 88.51% 88.10% 90.06% 90.79% 93.27% 33.54% 37.41% 49.15% 12.23% Falmouth 778 86.50% 86.63% 86.76% 85.60% 85.48% 36.43% 42.71% 61.29% 7.29% Ferry Farm 782 88.36% 86.19% 85.55% 85.17% 85.68% 27.79% 33.09% 37.35% 3.53% Garrisonville 848 76.30% 74.88% 74.76% 74.53% 74.06% 26.23% 34.15% 47.89% 12.15% Grafton Village 868 88.25% 87.33% 87.67% 88.59% 89.40% 18.80% 22.06% 29.24% 3.26% Hampton Oaks 952 87.82% 88.34% 86.55% 85.29% 85.40% 18.60% 24.44% 45.15% 4.33% Hartwood 670 76.42% 79.70% 85.22% 89.70% 95.37% 21.14% 26.02% 34.76% 4.47% Moncure 1015 86.31% 83.94% 82.86% 81.08% 82.96% 43.64% 50.33% 78.46% 23.66% Park Ridge 900 82.78% 84.78% 88.78% 91.33% 92.22% 17.92% 22.36% 60.14% 5.42% Rockhill 862 83.87% 83.29% 83.06% 83.99% 85.38% 22.71% 26.18% 43.91% 4.57% Rocky Run 941 84.38% 87.35% 88.74% 89.80% 89.59% 31.52% 36.16% 58.28% 9.80% Stafford 814 84.77% 87.47% 88.70% 89.80% 90.66% 19.56% 26.22% 57.19% 5.63% Widewater 841 85.14% 83.35% 83.23% 83.59% 83.12% 43.39% 50.64% 68.28% 14.65% Winding Creek 978 72.49% 77.61% 79.04% 81.08% 84.46% 23.08% 25.90% 61.70% 8.16%

Demographic fields are calculated using K-5 Students as of Sept. 30th 2018 excluding out of county or otherwise ungeocoded students. All calculations are based on students’ home addresses.

School Plan C Area Plan D Area Plan E Area Existing Area Barrett 2.49 2.51 2.66 2.27 Brent 38.12 38.57 41.92 41.99 Burns 2.43 2.26 2.43 2.46 Conway 16.96 7.48 7.03 8.65 Falmouth 9.44 16.20 12.72 12.01 Ferry Farm 21.38 20.52 21.20 22.56 Garrisonville 4.43 5.70 4.60 4.02 Grafton Village 27.21 29.33 29.92 16.70 Hampton Oaks 4.06 4.15 4.06 1.73 Hartwood 32.50 33.67 31.72 33.38 Moncure 2.94 2.94 2.94 4.77 Park Ridge 2.99 2.14 2.49 1.76 Rockhill 9.28 11.39 9.08 6.23 Rocky Run 9.82 9.17 10.45 11.11 Stafford 15.50 16.41 15.50 25.98 Widewater 14.14 14.14 14.14 14.81 Winding Creek 9.85 6.95 10.67 13.08

Area Analysis

 No school to have higher Free/Reduced lunch

percentage than current highest school's Free/Reduced lunch percentage (53.58%)

 Bus rides no longer than any current bus rides  Percent utilization for each school, for the first

four years, to be within a range of 80-91%

 Plans should incorporate any changes to the class

sizes as a result of 30% or higher free lunch All plans m eet the School Board Criteria