Red River Valley Climate The Last Five Years and Into The Future - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶
red river valley climate
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Red River Valley Climate The Last Five Years and Into The Future - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Aug 22, 2022 256 likes •513 views

Red River Valley Climate The Last Five Years and Into The Future David L. Andra, Jr. Meteorologist in Charge NWS Weather Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma Overview Role of the National Weather Service 2015-2019 Regional Climate

slide-1
SLIDE 1

Red River Valley Climate

The Last Five Years and Into The Future

David L. Andra, Jr. Meteorologist in Charge NWS Weather Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Overview

  • Role of the National Weather Service
  • 2015-2019 Regional Climate
  • Outlook into 2020

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-3
SLIDE 3

NWS Mission

Provide climate, water, weather forecasts and warnings to protect life and property and enhance the economy

Photo: AP

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Weather-Ready Nation

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Weather-Ready ady Nation

  • n

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

NWS Weather Forecasting

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Weather-Ready ady Nation

  • n

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

NWS River Forecasting

slide-7
SLIDE 7

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-8
SLIDE 8

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

2015

slide-9
SLIDE 9

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

2016

slide-10
SLIDE 10

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

2017

slide-11
SLIDE 11

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

2018

slide-12
SLIDE 12

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

2019

slide-13
SLIDE 13

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

Summer 2019

slide-14
SLIDE 14

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-15
SLIDE 15

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-16
SLIDE 16

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-17
SLIDE 17

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-18
SLIDE 18

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-19
SLIDE 19

ONI (ºC): Evolution since 1950

The most recent ONI value (May – July 2019) is +0.5ºC. Source: NOAA’s CPC

El Niño La Niña

Neutral

slide-20
SLIDE 20

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-21
SLIDE 21

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-22
SLIDE 22

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-23
SLIDE 23

To summarize…

  • Weak El Nino conditions have transitioned to ENSO neutral.
  • Neutral conditions through the upcoming winter.
  • After a very wet beginning to water year 2019, most of the area turned dry

early in the summer, with drought conditions west of I-35.

  • Seasonal temperature outlooks show preference for warm fall, winter, and

spring.

  • Precipitation outlooks are mostly “equal chances”

which means precipitation could just as likely be below, near normal, or above normal into spring 2020.

RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Thanks! -- Questions?

David L. Andra, Jr. Meteorologist in Charge NWS Weather Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma David.Andra@noaa.gov