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Red River Valley Climate The Last Five Years and Into The Future David L. Andra, Jr. Meteorologist in Charge NWS Weather Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma Overview Role of the National Weather Service 2015-2019 Regional Climate


  1. Red River Valley Climate The Last Five Years and Into The Future David L. Andra, Jr. Meteorologist in Charge NWS Weather Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma

  2. Overview • Role of the National Weather Service • 2015-2019 Regional Climate • Outlook into 2020 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  3. NWS Mission Provide climate, water, weather forecasts and warnings to protect life and property and enhance the economy Photo: AP RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  4. Weather-Ready Nation

  5. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019 NWS Weather Forecasting Weather-Ready ady Nation on

  6. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019 NWS River Forecasting Weather-Ready ady Nation on

  7. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  8. 2015 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  9. 2016 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  10. 2017 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  11. 2018 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  12. 2019 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  13. Summer 2019 RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  14. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  15. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  16. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  17. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  18. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  19. ONI (ºC): Evolution since 1950 The most recent ONI value (May – July 2019) is +0.5ºC. Source: NOAA’s CPC El Niño Neutral La Niña

  20. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  21. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  22. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  23. To summarize… • Weak El Nino conditions have transitioned to ENSO neutral. • Neutral conditions through the upcoming winter. • After a very wet beginning to water year 2019, most of the area turned dry early in the summer, with drought conditions west of I-35. • Seasonal temperature outlooks show preference for warm fall, winter, and spring. • Precipitation outlooks are mostly “equal chances” which means precipitation could just as likely be below, near normal, or above normal into spring 2020. RRVA 9th Annual Regional Water Resource Conference - August 22, 2019

  24. Thanks! -- Questions? David L. Andra, Jr. Meteorologist in Charge NWS Weather Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma David.Andra@noaa.gov

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