Weather Situation 2019-12-03 Department of Meteorology Sri Lanka - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Weather Situation 2019-12-03 Department of Meteorology Sri Lanka - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Weather Situation 2019-12-03 Department of Meteorology Sri Lanka 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 03-08 Dec 2019- IMD 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 03 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 04 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 05 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall


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SLIDE 1

Weather Situation

Department of Meteorology Sri Lanka 2019-12-03

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24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 03 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 04 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 05 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 06 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 07 Dec 24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 08 Dec

24 hrs Rainfall forecast for 03-08 Dec 2019-IMD

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EFI Precipitation-

Possibility for extreme rainfall compared with climatology

ECMWF

2011-12-04

2011-12-03 2011-12-05 2011-12-06 2011-12-07 2011-12-08 2011-12-09

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Weekly Rainfall anomaly forecast 02-08 Dec 2019 09-15 Dec 2019 16-22 Dec 2019 Above normal Near Normal below Normal 23-29 Dec 2019

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Outlook-OND WMO ensemble seasonal forecast

DJF DEC, JAN & FEB

Seasonal Prediction-DoM

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DJF outlook

Seasonal Prediction-DoM

PRECIPITATION

T-MAX T-MIN

SASCOF-OUTLOOK

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SLIDE 7

Thank you!

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SEASON Second Intermonsoon Northeast Monsoon Southwest Monsoon First Intermonsoon PERIOD Oct-Nov Dec-Feb May-Sep Mar-Apr RAINFALL 548 mm 459 mm 546 mm 260 mm

M A M J J A S O N D J F IM1 SW Monsoon IM2 NE Monsoon

excess of 250 mm Varies between 100 to over 3000 mm SW slopes of hills 750-1200 mm eastern slopes at

  • approx. 1400 mm

SWM 30% NEM 26% FIM 14% SIM 30%

Introduction

mm

CLIMATE SEASONS

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SLIDE 9

Source:http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Indian-Ocean

ñ ñ ñ ñ ñ

Global climate condition-IOD Influence

Source: Hapuarachchi H. A. S. U ,Department Of Meteorology

Global Climate Influence