Progress on Design Progress on Design of an MRV System for of an - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Progress on Design Progress on Design of an MRV System for

• f an MRV System for

Transport Transport Sector in Thailand Sector in Thailand

Main Objective: Main Objective: to design the support system for developing the national system for Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) in Thailand’s transport sector Estimated GHG Estimated GHG Existing Data Existing Data Strategies/Policies Strategies/Policies

Outputs: Outputs:

• D

Data ata required for estimating the potential mitigation

effects of a policy (or a set of policies) on GHG (Greenhouse Gases).

• Model

Model for estimating transport activities

• Model

Model for estimating transport activities

• M

Methodology ethodology for estimating the potential mitigation effects

• f a policy (or a set of policies) on

(Greenhouse Gases). The addition work in this component also includes the

• analysis for the selected policies.

Framework for CO Framework for CO2

2 E

Emission Estimations mission Estimations

• Source: Low2Carbon Land Transport Policy Handbook

(1) DataInventoryand ModelDevelopment (2) Strategies and Policies

• Review of Existing Models and Methodologies

for the transportation demand analysis

• Review of relevant data for GHG emission

estimation

• Develop Modeling and Methodologies for the

project

• Review of Existing/Future Strategies and

Policies for land transport AVOID SHIFT IMPROVE Transport Economic Meeting Environment

Process for MRV System Development Process for MRV System Development Data Data & & Tools Tools

(3) GHG Emission Estimation for Selected Strategies / Policies (4) MAC Analysis AVOID SHIFT IMPROVE Transport Demand Vehicle Kilometer Travel (VKT) Economic Energy Intensity (MJ/km) Fuel Carbon Content (CO2/MJ) ting with Stakeholders Environment

• Number of Veh. Reg.

Energy Statistics Import/Export/Consumption Environmental Data. Land Transport Depart. Energy Policy and Planning Office

Annually Collected Annually Collected

Annually Collected Annually Collected Pollution Control Depart. Annually Collected Annually Collected Traffic/Transport Data

• Ministry of Transportation
• Transport network
• Occ. Updated
• Occ. Updated
• Freight Transport.

OTP By Project By Project

• Depart. of Civil Aviation

Railway Depart. Annually Collected Annually Collected Annually Collected Annually Collected Marine Depart. Annually Collected Annually Collected

• Traffic/Transport Data
• Passenger Transport.

Daily Daily Collected Collected BTS / MRT BMTA Yearly Report Yearly Report DOH (AADT) Yearly Report Yearly Report DOH/ DOR/ OTP By Project By Project

• DOH/ DOR/ OTP

By Project By Project

• Railway Depart.

Annually Collected Annually Collected Marine Depart. Annually Collected Annually Collected Airport of Thailand PLC. Annually Collected Annually Collected

• Socio2Economic Data

National Statistical Office

• Depart. of Provincial Admin.
• Number of Pop.

Census Data Census Data

• Admin. Data
• Admin. Data
• Office of Transport and Traffic

Policy and Planning

• HH Incomes
• HH Veh. Dist.

Collected by Collected by Proj Proj. .

• Note:

1-Population Census 2-Survey of Population and Housing 3-Household Socio-Economic Survey 4-Survey of Population Change

• 2000

2005 YEAR 1990 1995

Population Census Survey of Population and Housing Household Socio- Economic Survey Survey of Population Change Population Census Survey of Population and Housing Household Socio- Economic Survey Survey of Population Change Household Socio- Economic Survey Survey of Population Change

Existing Data Existing Data

Socio2Economic Data

• Number of Pop.
• HH Incomes
• HH Veh. Dist.

eBUM eBUM NAM NAM Traffic/Transport Data

• Roadway network
• Fright transport
• Traffic count

Energy Statistics Import/Export/Consumption Top Down Top Down Inter Inter2 2city Travel / city Travel / Freight Transport Freight Transport Passenger Passenger Movements Movements

• PCU2KM / Ton2KM
• PCU2HR
• SPEED
• V/C
• PCU2KM
• PCU2HR
• SPEED
• V/C

Number of Veh. Reg. Environmental Data.

• Top Down

Top Down Bottom Up Bottom Up

DATA & TOOLS DATA & TOOLS

Transport Transport Demand Demand

Bottom Up Bottom Up Top Down Top Down Existing Aggregate Data

GHG Conversion GHG Conversion Factors Factors Mode Share Mode Share

Bottom Up Bottom Up Thailand’s Transport Models Existing Studies by OTP Existing Studies by OTP

Overview of Transport Modeling in Overview of Transport Modeling in Thailand Thailand

National Area Model (NAM) Official Transport Models National Area Model (NAM) Bangkok Area Model (eBUM)

Typical Uses of the Models Typical Uses of the Models

• PCU2KM
• PCU2HR
• SPEED
• V/C
• Final Outputs

Final Outputs

Trans Models Trans Models with with without without

• V/C
• NPV
• B/C
• FYRR
• EIRR
• Veh

Veh Operating Operating Travel Travel Accident Accident

Measures for Economic Measures for Economic B/C , EIRR B/C , EIRR , , FYRR FYRR

• STUTR (BMA

STUTR (BMA STUTR (BMA STUTR (BMA) ) ) ) SIMR (BMA SIMR (BMA SIMR (BMA SIMR (BMA) ) ) ) BTPU BTPU BTPU BTPU

• I

I I I (BMA (BMA (BMA (BMA) ) ) ) SPURT (NESDB SPURT (NESDB SPURT (NESDB SPURT (NESDB) ) ) ) Interim Model Interim Model Interim Model Interim Model Development ( Development ( Development ( Development (สจร สจร สจร สจร.) .) .) .) UTDM ( UTDM ( UTDM ( UTDM (สจร สจร สจร สจร.) .) .) .) TDMC I, TDMC I, TDMC I, TDMC I,

• Bangkok Travel Demand Model
• 1st Household Survey
• Updated of Bangkok Area Model by

Screen line Data

• Developing of the Nation Area Model

pment Time Line in Thailand pment Time Line in Thailand

• TDMC I,

TDMC I, TDMC I, TDMC I, TDMC II, TDMC II, TDMC II, TDMC II, TDMC III, TDMC III, TDMC III, TDMC III, TDMC IV, TDMC IV, TDMC IV, TDMC IV, TDMC V, TDMC V, TDMC V, TDMC V, TDMC VI TDMC VI TDMC VI TDMC VI ( ( ( (OTP OTP OTP OTP) ) ) ) TDML I, TDML I, TDML I, TDML I, TDML II TDML II TDML II TDML II (OTP (OTP (OTP (OTP) ) ) ) TDL TDL TDL TDL (OTP (OTP (OTP (OTP) ) ) )

• TDLII

TDLII TDLII TDLII (OTP) (OTP) (OTP) (OTP)

• 2nd Household Survey
• Changes of Zonal Details for Bangkok
• Updated Works
• Scripting Language Changes
• Updated Works
• Changes of Zonal Details for Nation

Area Model

• Transport Modeling Developme

Transport Modeling Developme

eBUM eBUM

• ก
• กก
• ก !

" ##

• ก$

%

• &'()

*

• , 4

!$ก ก *" ) $ #(*1 %2## (#)

• *

3 #

Roadway Network Roadway Network Public Transport Network Public Transport Network

eBUM eBUM

eBUM eBUM

extended Bangkok Urban Model( extended Bangkok Urban Model(eBUM eBUM) )

• !"

#$% " $ &'(("

extended Bangkok Urban Model( extended Bangkok Urban Model(eBUM eBUM) )

• )'#$&"

*+$,

!'#$ *+$, !'#$

• &*"

., ., /+$0,

!'#$ ., !'#$ ., !'#$ /+$0,

National Area Model (NAM) National Area Model (NAM)

Features Features Details Details Provinces Provinces 77 77 Amphoes Amphoes 926 926

National Area Model National Area Model

Borders Borders 12 12 Total Total TAZs TAZs 938 938

Freight Freight Transportation Transportation

• 8

8 Commodity Groups Commodity Groups

• Main Logistic Nodes

Main Logistic Nodes (ICD and CY) (ICD and CY)

National Area Model National Area Model

• (ICD and CY)

(ICD and CY)

National Area Model National Area Model

• Origin

Origin Destination Destination

National Area Model National Area Model

Road Road

National Area Model National Area Model

Waterway/Coastal Waterway/Coastal

National Area Model National Area Model

Rail Rail

National Area Model National Area Model

Border Trade Border Trade

Overview of Transport Modeling in Overview of Transport Modeling in Thailand Thailand

DATA & TOOLS DATA & TOOLS

Transport Transport Demand Demand

Bottom Up Bottom Up Top Down Top Down Existing Aggregate Data

GHG Conversion GHG Conversion Factors Factors Mode Share Mode Share

Bottom Up Bottom Up Thailand’s Transport Models Existing Studies by OTP Existing Studies by OTP

Overview of Transport Modeling in Overview of Transport Modeling in Thailand Thailand

National Area Model (NAM) Official Transport Models National Area Model (NAM) Bangkok Area Model (eBUM)

DATA & TOOLS DATA & TOOLS

GHG Conversion GHG Conversion Factors Factors

DATA & TOOLS DATA & TOOLS

GHG Conversion GHG Conversion Factors Factors

DATA & TOOLS DATA & TOOLS

GHG Conversion GHG Conversion Factors Factors

• !

""

• ""

""""# ""$ %&

DATA & TOOLS DATA & TOOLS

GHG Conversion GHG Conversion Factors Factors Details are also applied for… Details are also applied for…

• Truck

Truck Motorcycle Motorcycle Tuk Tuk Tuk Tuk Taxi Taxi

(1) DataInventoryand ModelDevelopment (2) Strategies and Policies

• Review of Existing Models and Methodologies

for the transportation demand analysis

• Review of relevant data for GHG emission

estimation

• Develop Modeling and Methodologies for the

project

• Review of Existing/Future Strategies and

Policies for land transport AVOID SHIFT IMPROVE Transport Economic Meeting Environment

Process for MRV System Development Process for MRV System Development Strategies Strategies & & Policies Policies

(3) GHG Emission Estimation for Selected Strategies / Policies (4) MAC Analysis AVOID SHIFT IMPROVE Transport Demand Vehicle Kilometer Travel (VKT) Economic Energy Intensity (MJ/km) Fuel Carbon Content (CO2/MJ) ting with Stakeholders Environment

Strategies/ Policies Strategies/ Policies

&! '!() !*+,*& !&) '!-.+& /*& 0-&- /&!12 .+&/.

• 344!-!-)+!-)

3'!2)2-&! '. !4&-&

Existing Data Existing Data

Fuel Sales Top Down Top Down Bottom Up Bottom Up &!

'!()!*+,*& 344!-!-)+!-) 3'!2)2-&!

NAM NAM PCU2KM / Ton2KM Number of Veh. Reg.

• Bottom Up

Bottom Up

'!()!*+,*& 344!-!-)+!-) 3'!2)2-&!

Bottom Up Bottom Up

Summary and Conclusions Summary and Conclusions

• Transport Modeling reliability/accessibility
• Modeling Limitation on NMT
• Standard of Emissions Factor
• Scale of Policies and GHG Calculation
• Scale of Policies and GHG Calculation

Nation Level City Level Local Level