Decarb Strategy & Programs Roadmap December 12, 2018 1
Staff Proposal 1. Adopt the revised Strategic Plan to include the proposed 2025 and 2030 greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets (Attachment 2) 2. Adopt the SVCE Decarbonization Strategy & Programs Roadmap and program briefs (Attachments 3 and 4) 3. Approve the following budget requests and contracts for the first tranche of programs, totaling $6,025,000 over two-year period Program FY19-FY20 Budget Request Agreements & MOUs C&I Clean Power Offerings $150k in FY2019 Reach Codes $400k in FY2019 Cost-sharing agreement with Peninsula Clean Energy for third- party support (Attachment 5) All-Electric Showcase Grants $1.5M over two-year period FutureFit Heat Pump Water Heater $325k over two-year period EV Infrastructure Strategy & Plan $200k in FY2019 EV Fast Charge Depots $700k over two-year period Innovation Partnerships (combined with Innovation MOUs with Prospect Silicon Valley Onramp budget request) and Joint Venture Silicon Valley (Attachments 8 and 9) Innovation Onramp $1.2M over two-year period Two standardized partnership agreements (Attachments 6 and 7) Virtual Power Plant $1.1M over two-year period Customer Resource Center $350k over two-year period GHG emissions inventory update $100k in FY2019 Total $6,025,000 2
Outline 1. How did we get here? 2. What needs to happen for SVCE to achieve deep decarbonization? 3. Proposed Decarb Strategy and Programs Roadmap 3
Outline 1. How did we get here? 2. What needs to happen for SVCE to achieve deep decarbonization? 3. Proposed Decarb Strategy and Programs Roadmap 4
Programs Development Process Initial work on programs started in 2017 • Months-long stakeholder engagement process • 5
Key Groups Providing Input C&I Stakeholder Customer Program Customers Workshop Advisory Group Participants (CPAG) Member Agency SVCE Board Working Group & Staff SVCE’s Decarb Strategy (MAWG) & Programs Roadmap 6
Meanwhile … • Recent policy & regulatory decisions increasing competitive pressure on CCAs Unfavorable PCIA outcome • SB 237 expansion of direct access in California • • Add’l uncertainty impacts planning & operations PG&E rate projections • Future expansions of DA, retail choice in CA • 7
How do we move forward? • SVCE must demonstrate its relevance through well-designed, effective programs • Put money and effort into activities that matter, support the mission • Must choose activities with surgical precision, to maximize impact of finite resources • Alternative is inaction – inconsistent with mission 8
Expected Outcomes • Programs will demonstrate SVCE’s relevance by showcasing our unique strengths: Decarbonization mission • Alignment & coordination with municipalities • Motivation to innovate and ability to be nimble • Transparency & accountability • Reinvestment in community • • SVCE’s activities will serve as example for broader CCA community 9
What you’ll see in this proposal… • Key theme of programs roadmap is leverage of SVCE’s unique position and limited resources • Achieve leverage through: 100011 110001 010101 Partnerships Innovation Data 10
Outline 1. How did we get here? 2. What needs to happen for SVCE to achieve deep decarbonization? 3. Proposed Decarb Strategy and Programs Roadmap 11
GHG Emissions Trajectory Historical BAU Forecast High Confidence 4,500,000 Medium Confidence SVCE’s 2021 Target: 4,000,000 Business As Usual 30% below 2015 levels Transportation [Non- +/- scenario analysis (2.82 MMT CO2e) 3,500,000 commercial] Transportation [Offroad] Annual CO2e [MT] 3,000,000 Transportation [Commercial] 2,500,000 Non-Residential NG Residential NG 2,000,000 SVCE 1,500,000 PG&E 1,000,000 Direct Access 500,000 Current GHG Goal 0 GHG: Business-as-Usual 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Year CA 2050 Goal (80% below 1990) Note: Emissions from SVCE electricity are included but too small to be visible in chart 12
GHG Emissions Trajectory Historical Forecast Transportation [Non- 4,500,000 commercial] Transportation [Offroad] SVCE’s 2021 Target: With Program Portfolio 4,000,000 30% below 2015 levels +/- scenario analysis Transportation [Commercial] (2.82 MMT CO2e) 3,500,000 Non-Residential NG Annual CO2e [MT] 3,000,000 Residential NG 2,500,000 SVCE PG&E 2,000,000 Direct Access 1,500,000 Current GHG Goal 1,000,000 GHG: Business-as-Usual 500,000 GHG: With Programs 0 CA: 2050 Goal 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Year CA 2050 Goal (80% below 1990) Note: Emissions from SVCE electricity are included but too small to be visible in chart 13
GHG Emissions Trajectory Transportation [Non- Historical Forecast commercial] 4,500,000 Transportation [Offroad] Transportation [Commercial] SVCE’s 2021 Target: 4,000,000 30% below 2015 levels Proposed 2025 Target: Non-Residential NG (2.82 MMT CO2e) 3,500,000 40% below 2015 levels Residential NG (2.42 MMT CO2e) Annual CO2e [MT] 3,000,000 SVCE PG&E 2,500,000 Direct Access 2,000,000 Current GHG Goal 1,500,000 Proposed GHG Goal 1,000,000 Proposed 2030 Target: 50% below 2015 levels 500,000 (2.01 MMT CO2e) 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Year CA 2050 Goal (80% below 1990) Note: Emissions from SVCE electricity are included but too small to be visible in chart 14
Long-term Perspective 4,500,000 Achieving CA's 2050 GHG goal will 4,000,000 require an additional 61-74% reduction below forecasted 2030 level 3,500,000 Annual CO2e [MT] 3,000,000 California 2030 Target: 40% below 1990 levels 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 California 2050 Target: This reduction will require an 80% below 1990 levels unprecedented shift away from 1,000,000 natural gas in commercial and residential buildings and internal 500,000 combustion engines 0 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 Year High Confidence Medium Confidence SVCE,PGE,DA Natural Gas Transportation Current GHG Goal Proposed GHG Goal GHG: Business-as-Usual CA 2050 Goal CA 2030 Goal 15
GHG Emissions Goals SVCE’s Strategic Plan includes one GHG emissions goal: • 30% below 2015 levels by 2021 • GHG forecasting analysis used to inform proposed goals • for later years: 40% below 2015 levels by 2025 (proposal) • 50% below 2015 levels by 2030 (proposal) • Proposed goals consistent with member agency CAPs • Staff plan to revisit goals on an annual basis with GHG • emissions inventory update to re-assess feasibility 16
Outline 1. How did we get here? 2. What needs to happen for SVCE to achieve deep decarbonization? 3. Proposed Decarb Strategy and Programs Roadmap 17
Overarching Strategy Procure & maintain a sustainable, • affordable and carbon-free Power Supply power supply Electrify the built environment • Energy Efficiency & and mobility Grid Integration Promote energy efficiency & • Built Mobility successful grid integration Environment 18
SVCE-Specific Strategies Staff propose 10 SVCE-specific strategies with 42 • total implementation steps Implementation steps constitute the workplan, • relate to proposed programs 19
Programs Roadmap by Sector 1. Power Supply 2. Built Environment Power Supply 3. Mobility 4. Energy Efficiency & Grid Integration Energy Efficiency & Grid Integration 5. Cross-Sector Built Mobility Environment Education & Outreach • Innovation • 20
1. Power Supply • C&I Clean Power Offerings: Develop, market and sell additional SVCE power offerings to address large C&I customers seeking to buy clean power at the most competitive rates • Retail Rates Assessment: Carry out comprehensive assessment of retail rates to develop multi-phase plan for improvements and developments of pilot rates • Integrated Resource Plan: Solicit community input to develop comprehensive strategy for supply portfolio (e.g. %RPS, short- vs. long-term contracts, local resource carve-out, etc.) • Local Renewables: Research the availability and price for local resources, and evaluate costs/benefits of procurement Color = 2019 Priority 21
2. Built Environment • Reach Codes: Hire technical consultant to support SVCE and PCE member agencies in the development, review, adoption and implementation of reach codes supporting building electrification and EV charging infrastructure • All-Electric Showcase Grants: Develop model requirements for all-electric buildings for architects, developers, practitioners & provide financial incentives and/or upfront design assistance for a specified number of showcase projects • FutureFit Heat Pump Water Heater: Provide rebates to fuel-switch natural gas water heaters to heat pump electric water heaters (BAAQMD grant) • Streamlining Community-Wide Electrification: Survey and review local city policies (codes, permitting, inspection, incentives, etc.) and develop model policies/processes Color = 2019 Priority 22
Recommend
More recommend
