Problems of Europeanization and European Perceptions of Turkey as a - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Problems of Europeanization and European Perceptions of Turkey as a Future Member State CENTRAL FINANCE AND CONTRACTS UNIT Promotion of the Civil Society Dialogue Between EU and Turkey Universities Grant Scheme CFCU TR 0604.01/03 Project
CENTRAL FINANCE AND CONTRACTS UNIT Promotion of the Civil Society Dialogue Between EU and Turkey Universities Grant Scheme
CFCU‐TR 0604.01/03
Project Coordinator: Bogazici University, Centre for European Studies Partners: Autonomous University of Madrid University of Granada Avrupa ile Diyalog Derneği‐Dialogue with Europe Assocation, İstanbul June 2008 ‐ November 2009
Project Coordinator: Prof. Dr. Hakan Yılmaz, Bogazici University Department of Political Science and International Relations, Center for European Studies (yilmazh@boun.edu.tr) Project Manager, Istanbul: Dr. Emre Erdoğan Avrupa ile Diyalog Derneği-Dialogue with Europe Association (AID) (emre.erdogan@infakto.com.tr) Project Manager, Madrid: Prof. Dr. Francisco Javier Peñas Esteban Autonomous University of Madrid, Department of Political Science and International Relations, GERI (History and Theory of International Relations Official Research Group) (franciscojavier.pennas@uam.es)
19.11.2009 Slide 2 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 3 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 4 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 5 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 6 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
61% 39%
Supports Against
19.11.2009 Slide 7 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
45% 54% 85% 78% 50% 53% 41% 11% 18% 46%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Supports Against
19.11.2009 Slide 8 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
60,6% 59,1% 26,4% 21,5% 20,5%
0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0%
The applicant country's performance in the area of democracy and human rights The applicant country's possible contribution to Europe's economic development and welfare The applicant coountry's possible contribution to Europe's defence and security Cultural and religious differences between the applicant country and Europe Number of immigrants that way come from the applicant country to Europe
19.11.2009 Slide 9 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
26,9% 38,2% 11,0% 14,6%
0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 45,0%
From now till 2013 Between 2014‐2020 Later than 2021 Never
19.11.2009 Slide 10 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 11 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
49% 50% 1%
Informed Not Informed DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 12 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
53,6% 46,5% 45,8% 52,2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Supports Against
Informed Not Informed
19.11.2009 Slide 13 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 14 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
71,4% 69,1% 58,8% 29,1% 27,1% 16,5%
0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0%
Have you ever met a Turk? Have you ever tasted Turkish food/cuisine? Have you ever listened to Turkish music? Have you ever had any Turkish friends? Have you ever been to Turkey? Have you ever read a literary work written by a Turk?
19.11.2009 Slide 15 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 16
91,1% 70,0% 50,6% 48,3% 40,0% 33,4% 23,4% 22,4% 13,9% 13,5% 12,2% 11,5% 8,2% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0% 100,0%
Istanbul Troy Galatasaray Antalya Ataturk Ephesus Tarkan Recep Tayyip ERDOGAN Hadise Yachar Kemal Fatih Terim Orhan Pamuk Nazim Hikmet Ran
19.11.2009 Slide 17 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 18
19.11.2009 Slide 19 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 20 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
71,3% 55,9% 25,0% 12,0% 6,7% 1,9% 5,2% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0%
News and commentaries on the television and radio News and commentaries in the newspapers and magazines News and commentaries on the internet Films and books Textbooks and schoolbooks Other None of them
19.11.2009 Slide 21 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
30,7% 22,1% 18,0% 12,5% 7,0% 11,9% 34,1% 3,9% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0%
Your political leaders Your favourite intellectuals and opinion leaders Your teachers Your parents Your religious leaders Other None of them Don't know / No answer
19.11.2009 Slide 22 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
37,0% 31,8% 19,2% 18,9% 3,2% 31,1% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0%
Turkish people you met before Turkish immigrants in the UK and other European countries Muslim immigrants in the Uk and other European countries Your visit(s) to Turkey Other None of them
19.11.2009 Slide 23 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 24
19.11.2009 Slide 25 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
68% 25% 7%
Positive Negative DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 26 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
65,5% 60,0% 78,3% 77,0% 70,4% 27,1% 33,3% 16,1% 17,5% 23,1% 7,5% 6,7% 5,6% 5,5% 6,5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Positive Negative DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 27 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
90,0% 48,2% 6,8% 44,3% 3,2% 7,5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Supports Against
Positive Negative DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 28 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 29 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
47% 47% 6%
Positive Negative DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 30 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
34,3% 39,5% 56,7% 61,8% 51,0% 61,7% 57,6% 34,2% 31,9% 37,4% 4,0% 3,0% 9,1% 6,3% 11,6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Positive Negative DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 31 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
47,9% 45,2% 57,0% 51,8% 47,0% 44,1% 35,2% 39,8% 46,1% 40,5% 44,8% 48,0% 55,7% 48,1% 46,3% 38,9% 42,7% 46,3% 50,2% 56,2% 41,8% 42,5% 52,7% 49,8% 47,6% 38,1% 4,0% 8,5% 4,1% 5,5% 6,7% 5,7% 8,6% 18,4% 11,4% 6,8% 5,4% 4,5% 6,2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Male Female 18‐24 25‐39 40‐54 55‐64 65 and more Illiterate Primary Secondary Lycee Tertiary Graduate Gender Age Education
Supports Against DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 32 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 33 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
27% 26% 40% 7%
Mostly economic factors Mostly political factors Mostly cultural factors Don't know / No answer
19.11.2009 Slide 34 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
21,0% 30,1% 32,2% 22,0% 28,9% 27,7% 29,7% 16,7% 26,1% 24,9% 47,4% 33,1% 45,4% 45,9% 35,9%
4,00% 7,10% 5,80% 6,00% 10,30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Mostly economic factors Mostly political factors Mostly cultural factors Don't know / No answer
19.11.2009 Slide 35 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
27,3% 26,4% 25,5% 29,3% 26,1% 25,3% 26,5% 35,3% 30,8% 30,6% 27,2% 22,8% 23,0% 27,2% 24,8% 25,0% 26,1% 28,3% 27,2% 22,5% 17,4% 21,0% 22,8% 25,3% 29,7% 29,6% 39,4% 41,4% 44,5% 38,3% 39,0% 41,6% 42,0% 23,4% 36,7% 39,3% 40,4% 42,4% 42,8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Male Female 18‐24 25‐39 40‐54 55‐64 65 and more Illiterate Primary Secondary Lycee Tertiary Graduate Gender Age Education
Mostly economic factors Mostly political factors Mostly cultural factors
19.11.2009 Slide 36 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
33,9% 20,7% 23,4% 29,7% 37,8% 45,6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Supports Against
Mostly economic factors Mostly political factors Mostly cultural factors
19.11.2009 Slide 37 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 38 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
38,9% 14,6% 8,4% 30,7% 4,9%
0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 45,0%
Culturally speaking, Turkey is a Muslim country a...not compatible with the common Christian roots Geographically speaking, Turkey is not located on the European continent Historically speaking, Turkey does not share a common history with Europe None of them is convincing All of them are convincing
19.11.2009 Slide 39 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
36,8% 40,7% 45,6% 46,5% 29,0% 22,1% 11,5% 13,9% 11,3% 13,9% 12,3% 7,2% 8,2% 6,2% 7,7% 22,1% 29,5% 27,7% 29,4% 44,0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Culturally speaking, Turkey is a Muslim country a...not compatible with the common Christian roots Geographically speaking, Turkey is not located on the European continent Historically speaking, Turkey does not share a common history with Europe None of them is convincing 19.11.2009 Slide 40 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 41 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 42 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 43 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
Agree, 59% Agree, 47% Agree, 46% Agree, 43% Agree, 42% Disagree, 46% Disagree, 34% Disagree, 53% Disagree, 54% Disagree, 50%
Turkey would significantly increase the EU’s power in the Islamic and Turkic world Turkey's powerful military will contribute to the EU security Turkey’s economic dynamism would increase the global competitive power of the EU Turkey's EU membership would help prevent a clash of civilizations Turkey's young population will strengthen the EU's labor force
19.11.2009 Slide 44 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
Agree, 66% Agree, 59% Agree, 57% Agree, 46% Agree, 33% Disagree, 44% Disagree, 39% Disagree, 46% Disagree, 27% Disagree, 36%
Turkey’s deficiencies in the area of democracy make it incompatible with the EU Turkey will be a big burden on the economic resources of the EU Millions of Turkish people will immigrate to European countries Turkey will be too powerful in the decision making process of the EU Turkey will promote American interests in the EU
19.11.2009 Slide 45 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 46 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
58% 38% 4% "....it would be unfair to breach the contract now and stop the membership negotiations with Turkey"
Agree Disagree DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 47 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
49,7% 53,2% 73,7% 69,8% 53,6% 45,8% 44,2% 20,8% 25,4% 39,9% 4,5% 2,6% 5,6% 4,8% 6,5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Agree Disagree DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 48 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
59,1% 56,6% 64,6% 62,6% 55,7% 58,7% 50,1% 41,8% 61,2% 55,1% 57,2% 58,2% 61,3% 37,7% 37,5% 32,6% 33,2% 40,0% 37,7% 42,9% 38,1% 30,4% 40,9% 39,2% 36,9% 34,4% 3,2% 5,8% 2,8% 4,2% 4,3% 3,6% 7,0% 20,2% 8,4% 4,0% 3,6% 4,9% 4,4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Male Female 18‐24 25‐39 40‐54 55‐64 65 and more Illiterate Primary Secondary Lycee Tertiary Graduate Gender Age Education
"....it would be unfair to breach the contract now and stop the membership negotiations with Turkey"
and Basic Demographics
Agree Disagree DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 49 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
81,3% 35,4% 15,7% 60,4% 2,9% 4,2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Supports Against "....it would be unfair to breach the contract now and stop the membership negotiations with Turkey"
Agree Disagree DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 50 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
19.11.2009 Slide 51 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
41% 52% 7%
Yes No DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 52 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
30,8% 34,3% 54,1% 53,2% 44,9% 64,4% 62,0% 38,8% 34,3% 46,3% 4,8% 3,8% 7,1% 12,5% 8,8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France Germany Poland Spain UK
Yes No DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 53 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom
42,7% 40,0% 52,4% 46,0% 41,6% 38,7% 30,9% 35,3% 42,6% 34,5% 41,3% 42,5% 49,3% 51,9% 51,7% 42,8% 46,9% 51,8% 54,7% 61,0% 41,8% 44,6% 60,3% 52,9% 50,8% 42,8% 5,3% 8,3% 4,7% 7,2% 6,6% 6,6% 8,1% 22,9% 12,8% 5,1% 5,8% 6,7% 7,9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Male Female 18‐24 25‐39 40‐54 55‐64 65 and more Illiterate Primary Secondary Lycee Tertiary Graduate Gender Age Education
Yes No DK/NA
19.11.2009 Slide 54 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom