PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
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PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG ATRIUM LJUNGBERG IN BRIEF 13% UPPSALA Number of properties 70 72% STOCKHOLM Property value SEK 49 billion Contracted annual rent SEK 2,6
UPPSALA STOCKHOLM GÖTEBORG MALMÖ
Offices 50 %, 1 296 mkr Retail 26 %, 662 mkr FMGC 6 %, 158 mkr Restaurants 5 %, 121 mkr Culture / education 4 %, 108 mkr Healthcare 4 %, 96 mkr Other 3 %, 88 mkr Residential 2 %, 49 mkr
ATRIUM LJUNGBERG IN BRIEF
Number of properties 70 Property value SEK 49 billion Contracted annual rent SEK 2,6 billion Lettable area 1 176 000 m2 Letting rate 93 %
Contracted annual rent per premises type
13% 72% 6% 9%
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
REFINEMENT OF THE PROPERTY PORTFOLIO 31/12/2009 – 31/12/2019
Reduction of retail in favour of offices
Offices 50 % Retail 26 % FMGC 6 % Restaurants 5 % Culture / education 4 % Healthcare 4 % Other 3 % Residential 2 %
2019
Offices 31 % Retail 51 % Other 14 %
2009
Stockholm 72 % Uppsala 13 % Malmö 9 % Gothenburg 6 %
2019
Stockholm 81 % Uppsala 9 % Malmö 6 % Sweden other 4 %
2009
Now only in Sweden’s four major cities
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
STRONGLY EXPANDED PROJECT PORTFOLIO
10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 2009-12-31 2019-12-31
SEK m
Land and development rights Development properties Propject properties Investment properties 10 000 20 000 30 000 2009-12-31 2019-12-31
SEK m
Change of detailed development plan required Detailed development plan exists Decided projects
Increased property value Increased project portfolio
EVENTS FOURTH QUARTER 2019
- Lease agreement with Nordic Choice for an
additional 3,000 sqm in Tapetfabriken
- Decision to start Sickla Galleria phase IV, with
200 parking spaces and 3,000 sqm of new retail space
- Several lettings in Sickla Front II and Curanten in
Sickla
- Prepared the organization for the future with a
new organization and the appointment of several new positions.
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Sickla Galleria phase IV
AN INTENSE 2019
- Access to 14 properties in Slakthusområdet (Meat
Packing district)
- Sale of residential properties in Kista
- After some delays, several major projects are now
underway, Life City and Bas Barkarby
- Entry into the EPRA index, which have significantly
increased turnover in the share
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Kylhuset 15 in Slakthusområdet
RECORD VOLUME ON TRANSACTION MARKET
Transaction volume, SEK billion Dividend yield requirements for offices and 10-year government bond interest
50 100 150 200 250 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Stockholm Gothenburg Malmö Sweden Other
- 1%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
SE GOV 10Y Prime yield (Offices Stockholm CBD) Prime yield (Offices Gothenburg CBD) Prime yield (Offices Malmö CBD) Shopping centers
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Source: Savills
LOW VACANCIES KEEPING DEMAND UP
Contracted annual rent per area, SEK/m2
Source: Savills
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Stockholm CBD Prime Vasastaden/Norrmalm Kista Southern suburbs Södermalm Lindholmen Malmö CBD
RETAIL SALES GREW BY 3.5 % DURING 2019
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Retail sector’s development and forecast 1991 - 2020 (rolling prices, %)
- 6%
- 3%
0% 3% 6% 9% 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
FASHION STILL STRUGGLES
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
4,4% 4,0% 1,2% 1,0%
- 5,3%
3,4% 3,6% 3,5%
- 6,00%
- 4,00%
- 2,00%
0,00% 2,00% 4,00% 6,00%
Source: SCB (preliminary full-year development)
Retail development by industry, current prices
RECOVERY ON THE HOUSING MARKET
Prices for tenant-owned dwellings, SEK/m2 New production for sale
10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000 100 000 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Stockholm inner city Stockholm close suburbs Göteborg inner city 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000 10 000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Stockholms län Västra Götalands län Skåne län Uppsala län
Queue times for new production, years
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 Stockholm region Uppsala Malmö region
Source: Värderingsdata Source: Booli Source: Bostadsförmedlingen Stockholm, Boplats Syd and Uppsala Bostadsförmedling
- 80
- 60
- 40
- 20
20 40 60 80 100 Investment properties Project properties Net letting
Q2 Q3
NET LETTING
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
- Net letting during the fourth quarter SEK -8 m of which
SEK -4 m in project properties. Affected by a couple of notice of terminations in offices in Hagastaden, SEK
- 22 m.
- SEK -82 m for the period, of which SEK -46 m in
project properties. Katarinahuset in Slussen that is being prepared for project contributes with SEK -85 m.
Glashuset and Katarinahuset in Slussen
SEK m 2017 2018
Q4 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q1
2019
CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
SEK m 2019 Jan-Jun 2018 Jan-Jun Δ % Rental income 2,577 2,412 + 6.9 % Property costs*
- 844
- 764
+ 10.5 % Operating surplus * 1,733 1,648 + 5.2 % Central administration (property management)
- 80
- 73
Project- and construction work
- 59
- 59
Net financial items
- 360
- 302
Profit/loss before changes in value 1,234 1,214 + 1.7 % Change in the value of properties, unrealised 2,283 2,516 Change in the value of properties, realised 73 121 Change in the value of financial instruments
- 139
- 69
Profit/loss before tax 3,450 3,781 Tax
- 643
- 329
Profit for the period 2,807 3,453
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
*excluding effect of introduction of IFRS 16
RENTAL INCOME AND PROPERTY COST
- Like-for-like portfolio
– Rental income increased by 5.9% – Property cost increased by 11.1%
- EPRA vacancy rate 6%
- Some bad debt losses
- New concepts
- Property tax, increased costs and
increased surcharges
2019 1/1-31/12 2018 1/1-31/12 Δ % Like-for-like portfolio 2,223 2,099 + 5.9 % Non-recurring renum. 4 5 Project properties 184 117 Acquisitions 127 14 Sold properties 39 177 Rental income 2,577 2,412 + 6.9 %
Rental income trend (SEK m)
2019 1/1-31/12 2018 1/1-31/12 Δ % Like-for-like portfolio
- 730
- 657
+ 11.1 % Project properties
- 59
- 46
Acquisitions
- 41
- 9
Sold properties
- 14
- 52
Property cost
- 844
- 764
+ 10.5 %
Property cost trend (SEK m)
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
7,0% 5,0% 5,9% Office- properties Retail- properties Residential- properties Total
STRONG INCREASE IN RENTAL INCOME LIKE-FOR-LIKE
Operating surplus and operating surplus margin Like-for-like rental income growth
50 55 60 65 70 75 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Operating surplus, SEK m Operating surplus, %
Q2 Q4 Q3
SEK m %
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
2017 2018
Q4 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q1
2019
Profit before changes in value and gearing ratio
LOWER GEARING RATIO AND DECLINING GROWTH AFTER NET SALES IN 2018 AND RECONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Profit before changes in value Gearing ratio SEK m %
707 768 1 002 1 593 1 758 1 810 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
INVESTMENTS OF SEK 1 810 MILLION IN HELD PROPERTIES
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
SEK m
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Vision for Bas Barkarby in Järfälla
INCREASE IN PROPERTY VALUES WITH 5.4% DURING THE YEAR
2019 Jan-Dec 2018 Jan-Dec Change in yield requirements
1,271 487
Change in operating net etc.
936 2,029
Building rights
76
- Total
2,283 2,516
Unrealised changes in value, properties (SEK m)
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Vision for Slussen
(SEK m) 2019 31/12 2018 31/12 Investment properties 47,513 43,310 Leasehold 1 305
- Goodwill
225 225 Other fixed assets 73 45 Derivatives 82
- Total fixed assets
49,198 43,579 Development properties 997 891 Current assets 411 323 Liquid assets 457 335 Total current assets 1,865 1,549 Total assets 51,062 45,128
CONSOLIDATED ASSETS
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Bank loans 33 %, 6 742 m Direct financing 5 %, 1 030 m Green bank loans 8 %, 1 546 mkr Green bonds 29 %, 5 916 m Bonds 11 %, 2 207 m Commercial paper 14 %, 2 769 m
INCREASING SHARE OF CAPITAL MARKET FINANCING
Interest-bearing liabilities Development, financing sources 2014-2019, SEK billion
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Bank loans Direct financing Green bank loans Green bonds Bonds Commercial paper
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2014
Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Secured loans correspond to 18% of total assets Green financing represents 37% of liabilities
LOW FINANCIAL RISK AND STRONG KEY RATIOS
- Interest-bearing liabilities of SEK 20.1 billion
- Gearing ratio 41.7%
- Average interest rate 1.6%
- Fixed interest term 5.4 years
- Capital commitment 4.3 years
- Five Nordic banks, capital market, direct
financing
- Commercial paper backed by secured credit
lines
- Baa2 credit rating by Moody’s
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 Average interest (%) Capital committment (years) Fixed interest term (years) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2014
year %
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
FORECAST 2020
Profit before changes in value
SEK 1,200 m
(SEK 1,234 m)
Investments
SEK 2,400 m
(SEK 1,810 m)
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
A concert in Slakthusområdet
PROPOSED DIVIDEND
SEK 5.00 per share
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Kylhuset 15 i Slakthusområdet
STRONG HISTORY OF INCREASING DIVIDENDS
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50 4,00 4,50 5,00 5,50 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
SEK/share
GOAL COMPLETION 2019
ATRIUM LJUNGBERG 31/12/2019
Financial goals
Return on equity Gearing ratio Investments in held properties Dividend share Interest coverage ratio
Goal: Goal: Goal: SEK 1 billion Goal: 2 times Goal: Goal: SEK 2 billion
GOAL COMPLETION 2019
ATRIUM LJUNGBERG 31/12/2019
Sustainability goals
Percentage of environmental certified properties Percentage of green lease contracts Reduction in energy consumption Employee index (GPTW)
Goal: Goal 2021: 188 kWh/sqm Goal 2021: Goal 2021:
EXTENSIVE PROJECT PORTFOLIO
Remaining investment (SEK m)
Ongoing projects 3,060 Potential projects (approx.) 25,000 Total (approx.) 28,000
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Offices 52 % Residential 34 % Retail 10 % Culture / education 5 %
Potential project area after premises type
Vision for Kylfacket 3, by the new subway station in Slakthusområdet
Land allocations 23 % Own land 77 %
Share of potential project on our own land
23 BILLION SEK IN PROJECTS AT EXISTING OR FUTURE SUBWAY STATIONS
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
TIME TABLE FOR CONFIRMED PROJECTS
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
2020 2021 2022 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Curanten Nobelgaraget Sickla Galleria etapp IV Tapetfabriken Mobilia torghuset Life City Bas Barkarby Gränby Entré hus 3 Parkhusen, phase 1 Forumkvarteret Panncentralen Brf Sicklastråket Planning Construction Completion
SICKLA CURANTEN
Area 11,500 sqm Investment SEK 530 m Completed 2020 A healthcare destination
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
SICKLA TAPETFABRIKEN
Area 10,500 sqm Investment SEK 440 m Completed spring 2020 Tenant Nordic Choice Hotels, fully let
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
NOBELBERGET
68 tenant owned dwellings + garage Investment SEK 360 m Completed 2020
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
GRÄNBYSTADEN ENTRÉHUSEN, HOUSE 1, 2 AND 3
Area 17,200 sqm, 200 apartments Investment SEK 710 m Completed 2020 Residential, office, retail, restaurants
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
GRÄNBYSTADEN PARKHUSEN, PHASE 1
Area 2,800 sqm, 44 rental apartments Investment SEK 120 m Completed 2021
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
MOBILIA TORGHUSET IN MALMÖ
Area 12,900 sqm Investment SEK 540 m Completed 2020 Residential, movie theatre, retail, children’s culture
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
LIFE CITY IN HAGASTADEN, STOCKHOLM
DECIDED PROJECT
Area 27,500 sqm Investment SEK 1,840 m Completed 2022 Tenant: Academic Work 17,000 sqm
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
BAS BARKARBY
Area 24,300 sqm Investment SEK 830 m Completed 2022 Education, culture, sports and business
DECIDED PROJECT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
BAS BARKARBY IN JÄRFÄLLA, STOCKHOLM
CONTACT
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG
Annica Ånäs
CEO
annica.anas@al.se Atrium Ljungberg AB Box 4200 SE- 131 04 Nacka Sweden Visit: Smedjegatan 2C
Martin Lindqvist
CFO
martin.lindqvist@al.se
PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT Q4 2019 ATRIUM LJUNGBERG