Research for the TRAN Committee
Postal Services in the EU
21/01/2020 Martina Facino and Mindaugas Cerpickis Copenhagen Economics
21/01/2020 Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 1
Postal Services in the EU 21/01/2020 Martina Facino and Mindaugas - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Research for the TRAN Committee Postal Services in the EU 21/01/2020 Martina Facino and Mindaugas Cerpickis Copenhagen Economics 21/01/2020 Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 1 Structure of the Presentation 1 Main
21/01/2020 Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 1
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 2
21/01/2020
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 4
21/01/2020 1992 1997 1999 2002 2003 2008 2006 2010 2012 2018
Green Paper on the development
market for postal services (COM/91/476) Postal Services Directive (97/67/EC) First reduction of the "reserved area” Postal Services Directive (2002/39/EC) Second reduction of the "reserved area” Third reduction
area” Postal Services Directive (2008/06/EC) Full market
Member States Full market
remaining Member States Regulation on cross-border parcel delivery services (EU) 2018/644
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 5
21/01/2020
EUR 80 bil 1.7 mil people 2.4%
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 6
50 100 150 200 2019 2013 Letter post Parcel and express
Development of domestic volumes, % 21/01/2020
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 7
HU FI 100 FR 90 100 100 66 MT 85 100 90 UKBE PT LV 81 IT PL EL SI IE 93 100 SKBG ES DE SE NLRO 100 78 CY 100 99 97 95 91 89 85 85 81
Universal service providers’ share of domestic addressed letter deliveries, % 21/01/2020
Digital deliveries? (email, e-banking,..)
70 60 60 56 53 45 32 32 32 29 28 25 25 25 22 20 18 13 10 5 4 2 2 PL PT MT NL LV SI FI ES HU CZ FR PT HR BE IE RO SK EE IT BGELCYLT 100
Universal service providers’ share of domestic parcel & express deliveries, %
Letters Parcel & express
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 8
2015 2013 4.7% 2014 2017 2016 5.3% 4.6% 5.0% 3.5%
Development of universal service providers’ profitability in the EU 21/01/2020
Average EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) margin
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 9
21/01/2020
36 436 Parcel Letter x12
Grams CO2 per item, 2016
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 11 21/01/2020
Changing user needs lead to lower volumes (at different pace in different countries) Sustainability of postal operators is under pressure Challenge to sustain basic postal service for vulnerable users Challenge to relocate postal workers Pressure from other regulation (e.g. environmental regulation for inner city delivery)
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 12 21/01/2020
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 13
Allowing universal service providers to improve efficiency through higher
Allowing universal service providers to price more flexibly Putting the sustainability of the universal service
frequency
21/01/2020
Adjust to ensure sustainability Flexibility for MS and universal service providers Tame monopoly Focus on market failures (if any)
Presentation for the Committee on Transport and Tourism 15
21/01/2020
Subsidise State Aid rules 1 3 2
ABOUT COPENHAGEN ECONOMICS Copenhagen Economics is one of the leading economics firms in Europe. Founded in 2000, we currently employ more than 90 staff operating from our offices in Copenhagen, Stockholm, Helsinki, and Brussels. The Global Competition Review (GCR) lists Copenhagen Economics among the Top-20 economic consultancies in the world, and has done so since 2006. copenhageneconomics.dk