PREPARING FOR (R)EVOLUTION Postal & Delivery Conference 3 May - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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PREPARING FOR (R)EVOLUTION Postal & Delivery Conference 3 May - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

INTERNATIONAL POSTAL FLOWS PREPARING FOR (R)EVOLUTION Postal & Delivery Conference 3 May 2019 Copenhagen C0 - Public / C1 - Interne / C2 - Restreint / C3 - Confidentiel / C4 - Secret A changing postal business landscape C0 - Public / C1 -


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Postal & Delivery Conference 3 May 2019 Copenhagen

INTERNATIONAL POSTAL FLOWS PREPARING FOR (R)EVOLUTION

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C0 - Public / C1 - Interne / C2 - Restreint / C3 - Confidentiel / C4 - Secret

A changing postal business landscape

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From letters to parcels

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USA China 65% UK 16% Canada 11% Canada US 6% China 49% UK 13% Mexico US 65% China 54% Japan 12% Brazil China 73% USA 41% Japan 11% Australia China 56% US 43% UK 30% India US 46% China 36% Australia 23% China Japan 43% US 34% HK 26% Russia China 89% US 13% Germany 7% Sweden China 46% Germany 27% UK 27% UK China 61% US 33% Germany 14% France China 56% Germany 28% UK 25% Germany China 55% UK 21% US 15%

Source : IPC Cross-border e-commerce shopper survey 2018

Changing postal routes

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The boom of international small packets

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50 100 150 200 250 2014 2015 2016 2017

Volume of international import small packets in France (M)

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Evolution of long-standing balances

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The repositioning of parcel operators

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« Alibaba investira au départ 75 millions d'euros dans son hub logistique liégeois »

New logistics actors

"Belgiu lgium wins ns battle le for Chines nese e e- commerc merce e giant ants Alibaba baba"

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The UPU terminal dues system

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Is the “spaghetti bowl” the future?

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E-commerce: the impossible regulatory equation?

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How to restore the equilibrium?...

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Low tariffs for consumers Level-playing field for all the stakeholders Increased revenues for States Security and safety of imported goods Alignment of tariffs on costs

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Consumers States E- sellers/platforms

Delivery companies

Customs Remuneration Tax

… maximising the benefits of all the stakeholders?

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USA : 2019

Stop Act

Russia : 2018

ITMATT

China : 2018

Golden Gate

EU : 2021

  • ICS2
  • VAT de minimis removal
  • GDPR

Brasil : 2018

ITMATT + S10

Australia : 2018

GST regulation

Multiplication of new regulations

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Titre de la présentation

Still open questions from a postal point of view

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  • Full coherence of the regulations?
  • Operational feasibility of the new requirements?
  • A feasible implementing timetable?
  • Does a uniform regulatory framework for all delivery operators really

create a level-playing field?

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Titre de la présentation

Posts are transforming themselves…

  • Definition of a global postal model for EAD
  • UPU capacity-building programmes for embarking the whole postal

community (Securex, ORE…)

  • UPU Global data-sharing agreement
  • UPU cooperation with international organisations (WCO, ICAO, IATA, EU) to

define global standards and appropriate regulations

  • Massive investments in IT systems and operational capabilities
  • Increasing data exchanges

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Titre de la présentation

… To deal with new challenges

  • Creating new balances for the remuneration system
  • Price increase vs preservation of volumes – « not to die healed »...
  • Uncertainty on the impact of the new regulations on users’ behaviors
  • Will this put an end to massive Chinese imports?
  • Reinventing the small packet business model
  • Was based on low tariffs, untracked, simplified customs procedures

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Merci Questions?

Christelle Defaye-Geneste Head of Customs and European Affairs

  • Tel. : +33 (0)6 71 70 37 32

christelle.geneste@laposte.fr