SLIDE 1
World population: 1750-2100
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 Billions Low High Medium
2.5 billion 7 billion 10.1 billion 6.2 billion 15.8 billion
Population Projections What will make them happen? Hania Zlotnik - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Population Projections What will make them happen? Hania Zlotnik - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Population Projections What will make them happen? Hania Zlotnik World population: 1750-2100 18 15.8 billion 16 14 Billions 12 10.1 billion 10 8 7 billion 6 6.2 billion 4 2 2.5 billion 0 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 1975 2000
SLIDE 2
SLIDE 3
Population by fertility level
Level of fertility
Population percentage (number of countries)
Low (under one daughter per woman) 42 (74) Intermediate (1.0 to 1.5) 40 (65) High (more than 1.5 daughters per woman) 18 (58)
SLIDE 4
Countries classified by fertility level
High fertility Intermediate fertility Low fertility
Note: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
18% 40% 42%
SLIDE 5
Fertility: 1950-2015
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
Children per woman .
4.5 1.6 6.7 4.4
High Intermediate Low
5.4
World
2.4
SLIDE 6
Projected fertility in the medium variant by group of countries, 2010-2100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013 2023 2033 2043 2053 2063 2073 2083 2093
Children per woman
1.6 4.5 2.4
Low Intermediate
1.9 2.1
High World
SLIDE 7
Future world population growth will be determined by growth in the high-fertility countries, even if their fertility declines to replacement level by 2100
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090
High Low Intermediate Annual increment (millions)
4.9 2.8 2.1
SLIDE 8
Use of modern contraceptive methods vs. fertility
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Children per woman
Percentage Low-fertility Intermediate-fertility High-fertility
SLIDE 9
Unmet need vs. fertility
10 20 30 40 50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Children per woman
Percentage Low-fertility Intermediate fertility High-fertility
SLIDE 10
Contraceptive use, 1990-2010
25 38 57 58 61 63 63 71 73 84
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sub-Saharan Africa Oceania Southern Asia Western Asia Caucasus and Central Asia Northern Africa South-eastern Asia Developed regions LAC Eastern Asia
1990 2010
SLIDE 11
Unmet need for family planning, 1990- 2010
26 24 15 14 13 11 11 10 3
10 20 30 40 50 Sub-Saharan Africa Oceania Western Asia Southern Asia Caucasus and Central Asia South-eastern Asia Northern Africa LAC Eastern Asia
1990 2010
SLIDE 12
Years needed to satisfy unmet need at pace set during 1990-2007
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
East Africa Middle Africa West Africa Asia LAC Oceania
SLIDE 13
Years to satisfy current unmet need if medium variant is to be reached
10 20 30 40 50 60 Africa Asia-North Africa India LAC Asia CIS Years needed at current pace Years desired
SLIDE 14
Percentage change in per capita donor assistance for family planning programmes among woman aged 15-49, 1996 to 2006
Per capita assistance increased Per capita donor assistance declined (by less than 50 per cent) Per capita donor assistance declined (by 50 per cent or more) No data available or not applicable
SLIDE 15
Percentage literate among women
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 LATAM East Asia and Pacific Middle East and North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 1990 15+ 2009 15+
- 1990 15-24
2009 15-24
SLIDE 16
Projected millions of pupils in primary, Sub-Saharan Africa
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Medium High
SLIDE 17
Primary teachers required in Sub-Saharan Africa according to different scenarios
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Millions Medium - Constant P/T Medium - Medium P/T Medium - Low P/T High - Constant P/T High - Medium P/T High - Low P/T
SLIDE 18