Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan Stakeholder Forums, Round 2 Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020 June 2020 Meeting Overview MEETI TING G Gather insight, input and feedback directly from the


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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan

Stakeholder Forums, Round 2

June 2020

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Meeting Overview Addressing Freight Transportation Needs

3

Why Are We Here? Key Findings to Date Schedule and Next Steps

Gather insight, input and feedback directly from the users of the system on identifying strategies and recommendations for addressing the freight network infrastructure operations, issues and challenges

MEETI TING G PURPOS RPOSE

Agenda

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Plan Development Approach

ASSESS CURRENT

AND FUTURE NEEDS

ANALYZE FREIGHT SYSTEM CONDITIONS AND PERFORMANCE STAKEHOLDER WORKSHOPS (ROUND 1) AND INTERVIEWS REGIONAL FREIGHT PLAN COLLECT DATA, REVIEW MATERIALS, IDENTIFY BEST PRACTICES DEVELOP FREIGHT STRATEGIES DEVELOP FREIGHT RECOMMENDATIONS STAKEHOLDER WORKSHOPS (ROUND 2) AND OUTREACH

  • WE ARE
HERE
  • COMPLETED
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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Forum Overview

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Round 2- Series of Five Meetings

Ener ergy Sec ector P Per erspective

1

Sand Per erspective e e e

2

Car arriers and and H Hau aulers Perspective

3

Rural C Community ty Perspec pecti tive e

4

Urban A Area ea P Per erspe pective

5

6
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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

How Will Input Be Used

Regional nal Freig ight Netwo work Need eeds Assessment

7

Strategie ies & & Recommend ndat atio ions ns

Summer mmer 2019 M Meet etings gs Today’ y’s M Meeting

Identified roadways to be included on network Finalized Permian Basin Highway Freight Network Input on mobility, safety, truck parking and other needs Refined freight transportation needs assessment Input on short, medium, and long-term infrastructure, policies, programs and

  • perational recommendations

Input on prioritization criteria Develop prioritized recommendations for the final plan

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Key Findings to Date

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Key Findings to Date

Commo mmodit dity Flows

Overview of base year and forecasts

San Sand an and d Wat ater F Flows ws

Estimates of truck trips generated from sand and water

Needs Assessment

System conditions and performance

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Key Data in Commodity Flow Analysis

  • IHS Markit TRANSEARCH

– 2015 base year projected out to 2018 – 2045 forecast year projected out to 2050

  • Modeled based on US Census Commodity Flow data, private bill of lading data,

and economic modeling

  • Includes tonnage and value
  • Supplemented with water and sand estimates

– Enverus – MOTRAN – Stakeholder input

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Overview of Total Commodity Flows in the Permian Basin

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Total Tonnage and Value

1, 1,076. 6.9 38. 38.3 1, 1,62 627.1 76 76.9 200 00 400 00 600 00 800 00 10 1000 00 12 1200 00 14 1400 00 16 1600 00 18 1800 00

Mi Millio ions To Tons Billi llion

  • ns $

$ 20 2018 18 20 2050 50

Source: CS analysis based on Transearch, Enverus and stakeholder input

51 51% incre rease i in tonna nage 100% 00% incre rease i in value

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

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Overview of Commodity Flows by Mode in Permian Basin

92% <1% <1% 7% <1%

Total Tonnage by Mode, 2018

Truck Rail Air Pipeline Mixed Modes

92% <1% <1% 7% <1%

Total Tonnage by Mode, 2050

Truck Rail Air Pipeline Mixed Modes

61% 7% 2% 30% <1%

Total Value by Mode, 2018

Truck Rail Air Pipeline Mixed Modes 64% 10% 2% 23% <1%

Total Value by Mode, 2050

Truck Rail Air Pipeline Mixed Modes

Source: CS analysis based on Transearch, Enverus and stakeholder input
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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Permian Basin Top Commodities by Value

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Other Transportation Equipment Fabricated Metal Farm Electrical Mach/Equip/Supp Secondary Moves Petroleum/Coal Non-metalic Minerals Chemicals/Alllied Machinery Exc Electrical Crude Oil Billion Dollars

Top Commodities by Value, 2018 and 2050

2050 2018 Valu lue of

  • f fre

freight d dri riven b by great ater c commodit dity m mix for ene nergy a and nd no non-energy sector

Source: CS analysis based on Transearch, Enverus and stakeholder input
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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Permian Basin Top Commodities by Tonnage

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100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 Other Chemicals/Alllied Farm Waste/Scrap Materials Clay/Concrete/Glass/Stone Petroleum/Coal Sand Non-metalic Minerals Crude Oil Fresh Water Brine Water Million Tons

Top Commodities by Tonnage, 2018 and 2050

2050 2018

642 million tons or 154 billion barrels 243 million tons or 58 billion barrels 36.8 million tons

Source: CS analysis based on Transearch, Enverus and stakeholder input

Volu

  • lume of
  • f fre

freight domin inat ated b d by low v value bulk c commodit ditie ies u used i in energ rgy s sector

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Estimate Total S al Sand C Consumed (Attrac acted) b by County

Total sand and fresh water consumed and produced water in 2018 is estimated from the Enverus data on total proppant for each well Estimate is 36.8 million tons

  • f sand in 2018

Estimate is 243 tons of fresh water and 642 tons of produced water

Estimate Total S al Sand a and W Water M Moves b by County

County-level production is proportional to the total annual

  • perating capacity of mines

located in the county Total annual operating capacity is estimated to be 62.9 million tons

  • Winkler County is estimated to

contain about 73% of capacity Water generation and disposal is based on location of wells and deposal sites and assumptions

  • n mode

Distribu bute P Prod

  • ductions t

to Attractions at at the C e County L Level

Total tonnage is distributed using a gravity model derived from the Statewide Analysis Model version 4 County-to-county flows are balanced using iterative proportional fitting

Commodity Flows: Estimating Sand and Water Flows

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Estimating Sand and Water Truck Trips

Commo mmodity Annual L al Load aded Truck T Trips (thousands) s) Annual T al Total T al Truck T Trips (Loaded + + Empty ty) (thousands) s) Avg.

  • g. D

Daily Truc uck T Trips ps Sand 1,600 3,200 8,770 Fresh W Water 1,540 3,080 8,440 Produced W Water er 16,320 32,640 89,415 To Total 19,460 38,920 106,625

16 Source: Enverus Drillinginfo Database, 2020; FracFocus Database, 2020; New Mexico Energy, Minerals, and Natural Resources Department: Oil Conservation Division, County Production and Injection Summary by Month for Eddy and Lea Counties, 2020; Texas Water Development Board, Groundwater Database, 2020; Texas Water Development Board, Submitted Drillers Report Database, 2020; New Mexico Office of the State Engineer, Points of Diversion Geospatial File, 2020; Texas Railroad Commission, H-10 Reports, 2020; Cambridge Systematics, Inc. analysis.
  • Assumes 23 tons per truck for sand, 21 tons per truck for fresh and produced

water and one empty trip for every loaded

  • 90 percent fres

esh water transported by pipeline, 10% by truck

  • 60 percent produ

duced w d water er transported by pipeline, 40% by truck

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Needs Assessment Criteria Overlay f y fac actors on Frei eight S System em Designation score Comb mbined ed score e of factors and relat ative freig ight importance to get et h high, medi dium, m, and low n needs eds score

21

Frontage roads Number of Lanes Congestion Truck travel time reliability Freight bottlenecks Truck involved crashes Lane conditions Rest areas and truck parking Pavement conditions Bridge load restrictions and conditions Vertical bridge clearance

RU RURAL RO ROADS MOBIL ILIT ITY A AND RELIABIL ILIT ITY SA SAFETY FREIGHT A T ASSET T UTILIZ IZATIO ION A AND PRES ESER ERVATION

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Mobility and Congestion Needs

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  • Urban areas, especially I-20 between

Midland and Odessa

  • Rural areas, especially:

– U.S. 285 in Reeves County – U.S. 87 in Howard County – U.S. 385 south of Odessa – FM 652 from 62 into New Mexico

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Safety Needs

  • I-10 and I-20 and throughout the PB
  • US Highways

– 285 and 385

  • State Highways

– 128, 158, 285 and 302

  • FM 652
23 652
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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Rural Highway Improvement Needs

  • Frontage Roads

– No frontage roads – Two-way frontage road

  • Two-lane roads

– Tier 1 PBHFN – Tier 2 PBHFN

  • Stakeholder input
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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Needs: Truck Parking

25 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) truck GPS data

Trucks Par Parked o

  • n Sh

Shoulders/Ram amps, p per m mil ile

2020 Statewide Truck Parking Study available at: https://www.dot.state.tx.us/move-texas- freight/studies/

Priori

  • rity of
  • f Need, p

per rou route Trucks P Park rked, p per s r square m mile

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Developing Strategies and Recommendations

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Pr Prioritize r e reco ecommen endation

  • ns a

and nd devel elop i implem ementation framework Scr creen en strategies es ba based ed o

  • n

n sel elect ected ed cr criter eria to devel elop reco ecommen endations Devel elop co compreh ehensive l e list o

  • f strategies

Developing the Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Investment Plan

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Categories of Strategies and Recommendations

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Infrastr tructu ture Operat atio ions ns Programs Policies es/O /Outr trea each/ / Coordinat ination

Expansion projects Modernization projects Safety projects Technology Transportation system management and operations (TSM&O) TxDOT led TxDOT supported TxDOT led TxDOT supported

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Preliminary Operational Strategies

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Establish an Incident Management Program with a focus on commercial vehicles Conduct traffic signal timing study for urban arterials on the Permian Basin Highway Freight Network (PBHFN) to assess feasibility of truck signal priority Increase and standardize signage and wayfinding including required signage for lease roads and mile markers on TxDOT routes Ensure all roadways on the PBHFN have adequate road markings, lighting, and signage Install static signs and use existing ITS signs indicating upcoming locations for truck parking Increased driveway separation and driveway consolidation on the PBHFN

Operational S l Strategies

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Establish a regional Traffic Management Center with focus on trucking Install advance warning systems (over-height, over-weight, over-speed, turning vehicle, etc.)

  • n PBHFN routes, OS/OW routes, and at safety hotspots

Install blocked rail crossing detection systems and other advanced notification systems Deploy freight-specific Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) technology (e.g., real-time traffic conditions, truck signal priority, truck parking availability systems) on freight routes Deploy Truck Parking Availability System along Tier 1 PBHFN Expand regional Weigh-in-Motion and Automated Vehicle Classification/Count systems

Preliminary Technology Strategies

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Techn hnol

  • log
  • gy S

Strategies

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Preliminary Program Strategies

Develop a freight movement public education and public awareness program Develop a regional technology-based freight safety and operations program (TSM&O) Develop the PBHFN using freight centric design guidelines to include pavement strength, bridge height and width, acel/decel lanes, interchanges and intersections, etc. Establish a freight data collection program to include weigh-in-motion, vehicle classification counts, and truck parking utilization Implement freight transportation planning training program for local and regional planners TxDOT Le Led S Strategies

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Implement a comprehensive and multimodal regional freight planning program Develop regional comprehensive transportation plans Develop land use guidelines for mitigating freight and energy sector conflicts with residential and commercial land uses Collaborate with truck stop operators to develop new or expand existing truck parking Collaborate with regional stakeholders to encourage truck parking at non-TxDOT public facilities and private commercial and industrial sites Implement an OS/OW load reporting program that includes annual permit usage information

Preliminary Program Strategies

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TxDOT Supported S Strategi gies es

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Develop access management guidelines for urban and rural areas to include private lease roads Develop guidelines for conducting Truck Traffic Impact Analysis to include truck parking impact and inspection locations in urban and rural areas Integrate truck accommodations into the project development process to include planning, feasibility analysis, design and construction Establish sustainable funding for transportation investments in the Permian Basin Develop regional wayfinding and signage guidelines for leased lands and major freight generators Explore opportunities for public-private partnerships for infrastructure improvements Collaborate with Texas Railroad Commission on adding transportation information to permit applications

Preliminary Policy and Outreach Strategies

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TxDO DOT L Led Strategies

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Establish a Regional Freight Advisory Committee with public and private sector stakeholders Convene annual regional freight and energy sector transportation summit Implement fleet and truck driver training and reporting requirements for drivers operating in the region Expand collection and utilization of truck probe data for transportation planning purposes including safety hotspot analysis or improved accuracy of vehicle counts and movement data Develop a community awareness share the road campaign Develop incentives for off-peak operations

Preliminary Policy and Outreach Strategies

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TxDO DOT S Suppor

  • rted S

Strategies

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Infrastructure – TxDOT Highway Projects

  • 2020-2030 TxDOT Unified Transportation Program
41 Source: TxDOT

Fully F ly Funded Partially F lly Funded

Project C Category

  • No. of

Projects Authorized Funding (Millions $)

  • No. of

Projects Authorized Funding (Millions $) Funding Gap (Millions $) Alternate Routes 2 $ 38.5 24 $ 137.9 $ 535.4 Asset Preservation 250 $ 1,142.1 84 $ 239.8 $ 236.5 Mobility and Reliability 32 $ 544.6 64 $ 478.6 $1,291.1 Safety 83 $ 98.2 30 $ 2.5 $ 9.1 Other 6 $ 12.6 Total 373 373 $ 1 1,836. 836.0 202 202 $ 858. $ 858.8 $ 2,072. 072.1

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Infrastructure – TxDOT Highway Projects

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Project C Catego gory

  • No. o
  • f Proje

jects Total C al Cost Alternate Routes 26 $ 115,194,447 Asset Preservation 334 $ 734,830,877 Mobility and Reliability 96 $ 724,415,060 Safety 113 $ 17,221,612 Other 6 Total 575 $ 1,591,661,996

2020-2030 TxDOT Unified Transportation Program

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Additional TxDOT Odessa District Highway Projects

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Project C Catego gory

  • No. o
  • f Proje

jects Total C al Cost Alternate Routes 5 $ 115,194,447 Asset Preservation 76 $ 734,830,877 Mobility and Reliability 41 $ 724,415,060 Safety 4 $ 17,221,612 Total 126 $ 1,591,661,996

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Upgrades to key energy sector corridors Add traffic lanes, reconstruct interchanges, relief routes, loops, and passing lanes Alternate route to bypass the Pecos central business district Proposed loop bisector that aligns with FM 2119 on the north side of Pecos to SH 17 on the south side Interstate feasibility study underway Upgrade to interstate standard portions of US 87, US 277, SH 349, and SH 158

Strategic Projects Impacting the Permian Basin

Po Ports-to-Pl Plai ains Co Corridor Reeves C Cou

  • unty

y Truck ck R Reliever Rout ute

44

Permi mian Prom

  • mise

40+ miles from FM 1936 to FM 1208 Convert frontage roads to one-way, add traffic lanes, and reconstruct interchanges

I-20 Co Corridor

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Providing Input on Recommendations

45
  • 1. Click on layer you

wish to view- for adding comments, toggle on the Stakeholder Recommendations layer Legend will display information included in the layer Following today’s meeting, if you have additional operational, program, or policy type recommendations, please email them to Casey.Wells@TxDOT.gov. For infrastructure or location based recommendations, please access the online Permian Basin Freight Plan Stakeholder map at: https://camsys.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=45ad06ad1a104d52b60122b4fd34976a (link will be emailed)

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

How to Provide Input on Recommendations

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  • 2. Zoom or search to find a location

as you would on Google Maps

  • 3. Click the type of comment you

want to leave

  • 4. Click on the map wherever you

would like to leave a recommendation

  • 5. Add identifying information in ID

box Add additional details in comment box

  • 6. Click “Close”

Comments save automatically

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

How to View Previous Comments on Needs: More Tips

47
  • Panels can be re-opened

using the circled buttons

  • Additional information can

be turned on or off using the Layers panel

  • More detail is visible as you

zoom

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Scr creen en projec ects us using w wei eighted ed cr criter eria Wei eight cr criter eria ba based ed o

  • n

n priorities es Develo lop c criteria b based o

  • n goals

ls

Developing the Investment Plan

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Next Steps for Recommendations and Strategies

Ind ndustry F Forum and and Steering ng C Committee

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Compi pile l e list o t of d draft t recommend ndat ations ns Steering C Commi mmitt ttee ee rev eview ew recommend ndat ations ns a and provide de f feedb dback ck Update recommend ndat ations ns based o

  • n

n input De Develop f p frei eight inves estm tment p t plan Sc Screen an and prio iorit itize ze Finali lize recommend ndat ations ns

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Next Steps

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Next 45 Days

Technic ical A Analysis ysis

Regional Freight Needs Assessment Economic Profile and Commodity Flow Forecasts Economic Impact of Permian Basin Freight Activity Draft Recommendations and Strategies

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Key Deliverables

Deliverables Schedule

Multimodal Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Network Complete te Permian Basin Freight Profile Complete te Land Use and Needs Assessment June 202 2020 Energy Sector / Freight Strategies and Recommendations July 202 2020 Economic Importance and Impact of Energy Sector July 202 2020 Investment Plan and Implementation Program July 202 2020 Draft Final Plan and Executive Summary (for committee review) August 2 2020 Final Plan and Executive Summary August 2 2020

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Permian Basin Stakeholder Forums June 2020

Thank you!

Casey We Wells TX D Dept

  • pt. o
  • f Transpor

portation

  • n

Casey.W .Wells@txdot.g .gov (512 12) 4 423 23-8986 Paula Dowell ll, P Ph.D. Cambridge S Systema matics cs PDowell@CamS mSys ys.co com (4 (404) 8 ) 861-5834

Contact u us f for m more in information ab about the P Permia ian B Bas asin Regio ional F Freig ight an and E Energy Se Sector Tran ansportation P Plan an