Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶
permian basin regional freight and energy sector
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jun 13, 2023 24 likes •564 views

Welcome to TxDOT webinar: Permian Basin Regional Freight Plan Steering Committee. Roll call at 8:30 AM. At this time, please ensure your phone and computer microphone are muted. Please take a moment to visit the chat box and say hello to others

slide-1
SLIDE 1

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Welcome to TxDOT webinar: Permian Basin Regional Freight Plan Steering Committee. Roll call at 8:30 AM. At this time, please ensure your phone and computer microphone are muted. Please take a moment to visit the chat box and say hello to others who have joined. To minimize background noise, please periodically check your devices when you are not speaking to ensure they are muted. If you wish to share a comment or ask a question, please speak up or add it to the chat box on the right side of the

  • screen. You can send messages to everyone or individuals by selecting the appropriate option from the drop-down

menu in the chat box. If you wish to share a comment or ask a question but are having audio issues, please add it to the chat box or text Casey Wells at 512-423-8986. This morning there will be several opportunities for participant feedback, however, Steering Committee comments and questions will be prioritized. We will be using www.menti.com(code 59 44 33) to survey the Steering Committee. You can open this website in your internet browser, either on your mobile device on computer.

April 8, 2020

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan

Steering Committee Meeting (Webinar)

April 8, 2020

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Agenda

Provide update on Permian Basin spheres of influence, land use analysis, and needs assessment, and solicit input on strategies and recommendations

MEET EETING PURPO RPOSE Str trategies and R Recommend ndations ns Ne Needs s Asse ssess ssment U Update Permian B n Basin S n Spheres of Influe uenc nce U Update Wrap u p up p and Di Discussion

2

Frei eight Intensive L Land U Use e Upd pdate St Stat atewide W Weig igh-in in-Motion and V Vehicle Co Count / Cl Classification Pl Plan

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

How Will Input Be Used

Sphe heres of

  • f

Influ luence Land nd U Use

4

Need eeds Assessment Strategies & & Recommend ndat ations ns

Februar ary 2 y 21 Meetin ing Today’ y’s M Meeting

Factors, Industries,

  • r Commodities to

Consider Expanded list of commodities included in energy sector Criteria for identifying freight intensive land uses Refined criteria for developing freight land use hot spot map Input on mobility, safety, asset management, rural roads, and truck parking needs Input of recommendations and prioritization criteria Short, medium, and long-term recommendations

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Sp Sphe heres of

  • f

Inf Influe luence

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Process for Defining Permian Basin’s Sphere of Influence

Commo mmodit dity Flows

Identify key inputs and

  • utputs

supporting the economy

Trad adin ing Partn tners

Determine origin and destinations

  • f key inputs and
  • utputs

Tran ansp sportat atio ion Netwo work

Identify desired routes and examine accessibility and connectivity

6
slide-7
SLIDE 7

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Steering Committee Input on Defining PB’s Freight Spheres of Influence

7
slide-8
SLIDE 8

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Steps in Defining Spheres of Influence Since Last Meeting

Ref efined ed Co Commo mmodity Fl Flows

Based on input from last meeting and continued refinement

Ident entified ed T Top Trading Pa Partn tners

75% or more of trade

Over erlay t the e PB PB Frei eight Ne Network

Key routes and nodes

8
slide-9
SLIDE 9

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Top 10 Origins and Destinations, All Commodities, 2018

9 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH and Enverus data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed
  • Heavily skewed by

– Sand – Water – Intra-regional distribution

  • Connections to key

gateways are important but intra-regional connectivity is critical

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Energy Sector Sphere of Influence – Inbound by Tonnage, 2018

10

Chemicals als a and A Allied P Prod

  • ducts

Non Non-Ele lectrical M l Machinery

Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-11
SLIDE 11

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

11

Energy Sector Sphere of Influence – Inbound by Tonnage, 2018

Transportat ation E Equipment Sand nd

Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH and Enverus data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed
slide-12
SLIDE 12

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Energy Sector Sphere of Influence – Outbound by Tonnage, 2018

12

Pet etroleu eum Crude P Petrole leum and Na Natural G al Gas

Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-13
SLIDE 13

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Combined Energy Sector Key Commodity Flows by Tonnage, 2018

  • Top 10 Origins and Destinations

– Petroleum – Crude petroleum and natural gas – Chemical and allied product – Non-electrical machinery – Fabricated metal products

13 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-14
SLIDE 14

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Proposed Energy Sector Sphere of Influence

14 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH and Enverus data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed
slide-15
SLIDE 15

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Consumer Products – Inbound Flows by Tonnage, 2018

15 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-16
SLIDE 16

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Proposed Consumer Products Sphere of Influence

  • Inclusive of Texas

maritime, inland, and border ports

  • Louisiana
  • Oklahoma
16 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-17
SLIDE 17

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Agricultural Goods Sphere of Influence – Inbound and Outbound by Tonnage, 2018

17

Inbound Outbound

Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-18
SLIDE 18

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Proposed Agricultural Goods Sphere of Influence

18 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH data. Presidio Rail Crossing is currently closed.
slide-19
SLIDE 19

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Freig ight Int Intens nsive ve Land Land Us Uses

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Land Use Assessment Elements

19

Growth th p patt tterns

1

Distribution o

  • f i

industrial activi vity

2

Land u use e pa patterns

3

Inter eracti tion w with th t transpo porta tati tion n netw etwork

4

Issu Issues a s and t trends r s rela lated t to f freight intensi sive la land use se

5

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Linking Land Use to the Regional Freight Network

Ident entify cur current a and nd f fut utur ure l e land nd us use e im impacts o s on fr freigh ight n network Over erlay P Per ermian B Basin R Reg egional F Frei eight Ne Network Des esignate f e frei eight i int nten ensive l e land nd us use e (existing a and nd f fut uture) e)

21
slide-22
SLIDE 22

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Identifying Freight Intensive Land Uses – Existing and Future

22

Oil & l & Gas W s Wells lls Sand nd M Mine nes Empl ploymen ent Populat ation n Growth

Density of active

  • il wells

Density of drilling permits Density of active sand mines Density of employment in retail, transportation and warehousing, agriculture, mining/oil and gas, construction, and manufacturing Population projections Number of building permits

slide-23
SLIDE 23

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Oil and Gas Industry Activity, February 2020

23

Active W Well P ll Permits Sand nd M Mine nes

Source: Atkins analysis of Enverus ,Fractracker Alliance, Atlas Sand and Texas GLO data, February 2020
slide-24
SLIDE 24

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Steering Committee Input on Criteria – Additional Criteria

Electric Po Powe wer and U Utili lity y Developme pment OS/ S/OW l load ads Not p proximat ximate to sc schools an and d neighborhoods ds Drive veway perm rmits Wat ater dispo disposal sit sites

24
slide-25
SLIDE 25

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Steering Committee Input – Importance of Criteria

25
slide-26
SLIDE 26

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Final Criteria for Identifying Freight Land Use Hotspots

26

CRITERIA

We Weight Score 1 0.75 0.5 0.25 Projected Population - Total citizens within populated areas and immediate surroundings 19.25% 51,000+ 25,000 – 50,099 10,000 – 24,999 5,000 – 9,999 < 5,000 Key industry employment - Number of employees 19.25% 500+ 100 - 499 50 - 99 10 - 49 < 10 Active oil / gas wells 23% 26+ 11 - 25 6 - 10 1 - 5 Approved permits 19.25% 15+ 10 - 14 5-9 1 - 4 Sand mines 19.25% 1+

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Draft Freight Land Use Hot Spots in the Permian Basin

  • Bands of activity are associated with

existing transportation linkages: – North/south follows SH 18 through Monahans, Kermit, and up to Hobbs, NM – Northeast Eddy County follows US 82 – Between Odessa and Andrews Counties organized around US 385 and FM 181

  • Connectivity is lacking on the western

side of this activity cluster between US 62 and I-20

27 Source: Atkins
slide-28
SLIDE 28

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Freight Land Use and Environmental Justice (EJ) Populations

  • EJ Factors

– Low income – English proficiency – Minority populations

  • High-freight intensity land

uses and concentrated areas of EJ populations – Midland-Odessa – Andrews County – Winkler County – Lea County, NM

28 Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2017
slide-29
SLIDE 29

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs Assessm Assessmen ent

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs Assessment: Enhancing the Study using Enverus Data

  • Formally known as DrillingInfo.com
  • Collects, digitizes, and analyzes latest oil and gas

permitting data (updated monthly)

  • Primary uses for current effort

– Land use analysis – Traffic analysis

  • Sand
  • Water
  • Chemicals

– Economic analysis

  • Current employment
  • Forecasts of future growth
30
slide-31
SLIDE 31

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Estimate Total S al Sand C Consumed (Attrac acted) b by County

Total sand consumed in 2018 is estimated from the Enverus data on total proppant for each well The current estimate is 36.8 million tons

Estimate Total S Sand P Produced ( (Production) b by County

County-level production is proportional to the total annual

  • perating capacity of mines

located in the county Total annual operating capacity is estimated to be 62.9 million tons

  • Winkler County is estimated to

contain about 73% of capacity

Distribu bute P Prod

  • ductions t

to Attractions at at the C e County L Level

Total tonnage is distributed using a gravity model derived from the Statewide Analysis Model version 4 County-to-county flows are balanced using iterative proportional fitting

Needs Assessment: Estimating Sand Flows

31
slide-32
SLIDE 32

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Estimating Sand and Water Truck Trips

Commo mmodity Annual L al Load aded Truck T Trips (thousands) s) Annual T al Total T al Truck T Trips (Loaded + + Empty ty) (thousands) s) Avg.

  • g. D

Daily Truc uck T Trips ps Sand 1,600 3,200 8,770 Fresh W Water 1,540 3,080 8,440 Produced W Water er 16,320 32,640 89,415 To Total 19,460 38,920 106,625

32 Source: Enverus Drillinginfo Database, 2020; FracFocus Database, 2020; New Mexico Energy, Minerals, and Natural Resources Department: Oil Conservation Division, County Production and Injection Summary by Month for Eddy and Lea Counties, 2020; Texas Water Development Board, Groundwater Database, 2020; Texas Water Development Board, Submitted Drillers Report Database, 2020; New Mexico Office of the State Engineer, Points of Diversion Geospatial File, 2020; Texas Railroad Commission, H-10 Reports, 2020; Cambridge Systematics, Inc. analysis.
  • Assumes 23 tons per truck for sand, 21 tons per truck for fresh and produced

water and one empty trip for every loaded

  • 90 percent fresh and 60 percent produced water transported by pipeline
  • 10 percent fresh and 40 percent produced water transported by truck
slide-33
SLIDE 33

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020 70% 70%

Needs Assessment: Summary of Sand Flows

Distance C e Category To Tons Per ercent

  • f To

Total

50 miles or less 14,351,082 15.7% 50 - 75 miles 12,760,187 30.1% 75 - 100 miles 4,939,940 16.7% 100 - 125 miles 3,165,992 24.1% 125 - 150 miles 1,587,582 9.6% 150 - 175 miles 203 3.0% 175 miles or more 2 0.7% To Total 36,80 804, 4,98 988 8 100.0%

Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of Enverus data
slide-34
SLIDE 34

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

34

Summary of Water Flows

Fresh W Water Produced W Wate ter

Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of Enverus data
slide-35
SLIDE 35

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Top 10 Origins and Destinations, All Commodities, 2018

35 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of TRANSEARCH and Enverus data
  • Heavily skewed by

– Sand – Water – Intra-regional distribution

  • Connections to key

gateways are important but intra-regional connectivity is critical

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs Assessment Criteria Overlay f y fac actors on Frei eight S System em Designation score Comb mbined ed score e of factors and relat ative freig ight importance to get et h high, medi dium, m, and low n needs eds score

36

Frontage roads Number of Lanes Congestion Truck travel time reliability Freight bottlenecks Truck involved crashes Lane conditions Rest areas and truck parking Pavement conditions Bridge load restrictions and conditions Vertical bridge clearance

RURAL ROADS MOBILITY AND RELIABILITY SAFETY FREIGHT ASSET UTILIZATION AND PRESERVATION

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs: Mobility and Congestion Needs

37
  • Urban areas, especially I-20 between

Midland and Odessa

  • Rural areas, especially:

– U.S. 285 in Reeves County – U.S. 87 in Howard County – U.S. 385 south of Odessa – FM 652 from 62 into New Mexico

  • Next step - update with sand and

water flows Any surprises?

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs: Safety Needs

  • I-10 and I-20 and throughout the PB
  • US Highways

– 285 and 385

  • State Highways

– 128, 158, 285 and 302

  • FM 652
38

Any surprises?

652
slide-39
SLIDE 39

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs: Asset Utilization and Preservation

  • Bridge conditions

– Obsolete – Deficient – Height – Load restrictions

  • Pavement conditions
  • Will compare to OS/OW activity
39

Any surprises?

slide-40
SLIDE 40

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs: Oversize/Overweight (OS/OW)

  • I-20 between FM 1788 and Loop 250:

35,000 routed OS/OW loads

  • SH 302 between SH 115 and U.S. 285:
  • ver 17,000 routed OS/OW loads
  • Other routes frequently used by OS/OW

vehicles include SH 115, SH 349, and U.S. 385

40 Source: Texas Department of Motor Vehicles, Oversize/Overweight Permits Database, October 2018-Septermber 2019; Cambridge Systematics, Inc. analysis.

Beyond the data… 1. What locations is OS/OW activity presenting infrastructure / safety challenges? 2. What locations is infrastructure presenting challenges to OS/OW mobility?

OS/OW Permits, October 2018-September 2019

slide-41
SLIDE 41

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs: Rural Highway Expansion Needs

  • Frontage Roads

– No frontage roads – Two-way frontage road

  • Two-lane roads

– Tier 1 PBHFN – Tier 2 PBHFN

  • Stakeholder input
41

Any surprises?

slide-42
SLIDE 42

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Needs: Truck Parking

42 Source: Cambridge Systematics analysis of American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) truck GPS data

Trucks Par Parked o

  • n Sh

Shoulders/Ram amps, p per m mil ile

2020 Statewide Truck Parking Study available at: https://www.dot.state.tx.us/move-texas- freight/studies/

Priori

  • rity of
  • f Need, p

per rou route Trucks P Park rked, p per s r square m mile

slide-43
SLIDE 43

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Steering Committee Input – Menti.com

www.menti.co com 59 4 59 44 33 4 33

  • How significant are the following freight transportation needs?

– Congestion – Safety – Asset preservation – Rural roads – Truck parking – OSOW routes

43
slide-44
SLIDE 44

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Developi loping Str trategies and d Recommendatio ndations ns

slide-45
SLIDE 45

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Categories of Strategies and Recommendations

45

Infrastr tructu ture Operat atio ions ns Programs Policies es/O /Outr trea each/ / Coordinat ination

Expansion projects Modernization projects Safety projects Technology Transportation system management and operations (TSM&O) TxDOT led TxDOT supported TxDOT led TxDOT supported

slide-46
SLIDE 46

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Prioritizing Strategies and Recommendations

  • Please provide suggestions on recommendations in the following categories:

– Projects – infrastructure – Operations – signage, technology, signals, etc. – Programs – safety, planning, education and outreach, etc. – Policies and Coordination – funding, regulations, institutional recommendations, etc.

46

Steering Committee Input

www.menti.co com 59 4 59 44 33 4 33

slide-47
SLIDE 47

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Infrastructure Projects

  • TxDOT Unified Transportation Program

– 2020 -2030 – Fully funded – Partially funded

  • Local projects on PBHFN
  • Proposed projects from stakeholders
47 Source: TxDOT
slide-48
SLIDE 48

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Scr creen en projec ects us using w wei eighted ed cr criter eria Wei eight cr criter eria ba based ed o

  • n

n priorities es Develo lop c criteria b based o

  • n goals

ls

Developing the Action Plan

48
slide-49
SLIDE 49

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Prioritizing Freight Recommendations

  • How important are the following goal areas in prioritizing recommendations?

– Asset preservation and modernization (improving existing infrastructure) – Congestion relief – Economic competitiveness – Safety enhancement – Cost effectiveness – Rural connectivity – Other

49

Steering Committee Input

www.menti.co com 59 4 59 44 33 4 33

slide-50
SLIDE 50

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Next Steps for Recommendations and Strategies

Next S Steering C Committee M Meeting

50

Compi pile l e list o t of d draft t recommend ndat ations ns Steering C Commi mmitt ttee ee rev eview ew recommend ndat ations ns a and provide de f feedb dback ck Update recommend ndat ations ns based o

  • n

n input De Develop f p frei eight inves estm tment p t plan Sc Screen an and prio iorit itize ze Finali lize recommend ndat ations ns

slide-51
SLIDE 51

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Next Steps

slide-52
SLIDE 52

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Next 45 Days

Technic ical A Analysis ysis

Regional Freight Needs Assessment Land Use Analysis Economic Profile and Commodity Flow Forecasts Draft Recommendations and Strategies

Stakeholder er O Out utrea each ch

Round 2 listening sessions (June 2020) Steering Committee meeting (June 2020)

slide-53
SLIDE 53

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Key Deliverables

50

Deliverables Schedule

Multimodal Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Network Complete te Economic and Commodity Flow Profile and Forecast Apri ril 202 2020 Land Use and Needs Assessment Apri ril 202 2020 Energy Sector / Freight Strategies and Recommendations July 202 2020 Economic Importance and Impact of Energy Sector July 202 2020 Investment Plan and Implementation Program July 202 2020 Draft Final Plan and Executive Summary (for committee review) August 2 2020 Final Plan and Executive Summary August 2 2020

slide-54
SLIDE 54

Permian Basin Regional Freight and Energy Sector Transportation Plan April 8, 2020

Thank you!

Casey We Wells TX D Dept

  • pt. o
  • f Transpor

portation

  • n

Casey.W .Wells@txdot.g .gov (512 12) 4 423 23-8986 Paula Dowell ll, P Ph.D. Cambridge S Systema matics cs PDowell@CamS mSys ys.co com (4 (404) 8 ) 861-5834

Contact u us f for m more in information ab about the P Permia ian B Bas asin Regio ional F Freig ight an and E Energy Se Sector Tran ansportation P Plan an