Opp Day Q3 2018
Information as of 3Q18 Latest update on 26th Nov 2018
Opp Day Q3 2018 Information as of 3Q18 Latest update on 26 th Nov - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Opp Day Q3 2018 Information as of 3Q18 Latest update on 26 th Nov 2018 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Background and business Key financial performance Where we are so far Company outlook Appendix 3 Since 2013 Since 2018 Leading local skin care
Opp Day Q3 2018
Information as of 3Q18 Latest update on 26th Nov 2018
2
3
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Background and business Key financial performance Where we are so far Company outlook Appendix
4
Since 2013 Since 2018
Leading local skin care company in Thai market, owner of Namulife SNAILWHITE and Oxe’Cure
5
2016
products of NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE and expanded into body cleansing
the new plant located in Rojana Industrial Park in October 2016
capital to THB 225 mn, focusing on international expansion
2017
products of NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE in facial skin care and body care
small size products (Sachet) selling through leading convenience stores
Exchange of Thailand
Dream Co., Ltd to be IHQ for the Company’s international business
2014
and expanded into body care product
trade and export to China, Hong Kong, Myanmar and Cambodia
THB 1 mn to THB 10 mn for business expansion CHINA HONG KONG
2012-2010
to focus on OEM Business
registered and paid-up capital THB 1 mn at par value
Our Journey Since 2010 has seen us become a leading skin care company in Thailand
2015
Plus Co., Ltd to be the Company’s local distribution arm
products of NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE and expanded into sunscreen and cleansing products
factory located in Rojana Industrial Park and started to renovate new plant
climate and skin of SEA countries
market: the Premium-Mass
2013
and launched the first product, “SNAILWHITE SECRETION FILTRATE MOISTURE FACIAL CREAM”
Instagram) and traditional trade
6
Company structure and shareholding structure
Philippines Distributors
DDD KCA Corporation THAILAND SINGAPORE INTERNATIONAL
Parent and subsidiaries DO DAY DREAM
Intermediary in trading with foreign customers
DO DAY DREAM TRADING
100%
Investment arm for
DO DAY DREAM HOLDING
100%
Domestic Distributor
NAMU LIFE PLUS
100%
International Headquarter
DO INFINITE DREAM
100%
Dermatological company
DREAM DERMATOLOGY
95%
Future potential partners to do
POTENTIAL PARTNERS
51%
7
Extensive Product Portfolio Covering Five Categories of Skincare 6 Products 12 SKUs
As of 30 Sep 2018
20 Products 41 SKUs
As of 30 Sep 2018
30 ml, 690 THB 7 ml, 39 THB
New Product
8
29.1%
Growth
Thailand’s facial mask market size in 2017
2015 2016 2017 Tissued/Pad Rinse Off Leave On Peel Off
905 1,260 1,984
Unit: Million baht
Source: Euro Monitor, The Nielsen Company
SNAILWHITE ICY MASK
(Leave on facial mask) Market size THB 405 mm CAGR 109.6%
9
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Background and business Key financial performance Where we are so far Company outlook Appendix
10
Revenue from sales in 9M18
Product Group Distribution Channels
2017 9M17 9M18
Facial Skin Care 78% Body Care 3% Facial Cleansing 5% Body Cleansing 7% Sunscreen 4% Others 3% Facial Skin Care 74% Body Care 3% Facial Cleansing 7% Body Cleansing 8% Sunscreen 2% Others 6%
2017 9M17 9M18
Modern Trade 28% Traditional Trade and Distributio n Partner 35% Export 36% Other 1% Modern Trade 38% Traditional Trade and Distributio n Partner 39% Export 22% Others 1% Facial Skin Care 77% Body Care 4% Facial Cleansing 4% Body Cleansing 8% Sunscreen 4% Others 3% Modern Trade 29% Traditional Trade and Distributio n Partner 41% Export 30% Others 0%
Revenue from sales
Unit: Million baht 798 765 458 218
9M17 9M18 Domestic Overseas
36% 64%
98%
22% 78%
75%
1,256 983
11
Modern Trade Local Traditional Trade Inbound Tourists - Focused Export 5.0% Growth
Growth 37.0% Growth
Growth
Key challenges and solutions for DDD
Channel challenges
Revenue by distribution channels
Inbound Tourists includes King Power Duty Fee and specialty stores - which mainly focus on inbound tourists.
12
Quarterly revenue 2016-2018
243 215 262 299 238 363 299 258 208 40 30 93 218 146 56 75 101 42
282 254 359 519 386 421 386 379 261
Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18
Unit: Million baht
Lowest point of total revenue
King Rama IX mourning period Closing down of the biggest wholesale skin care markets in Thailand since May 2018 Lower number
to the limited of zero-dollar tour
13
28% 32% 3-year target: 28 – 32%
Cost of goods sold in 9M18
248 349 375 535 398 319 56.7% 36.4% 30.3% 31.9% 31.6% 32.5% 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M17 9M18
Raw material and Packaging Freight Labor Depreciation Others % of Sales
COGS
thanks to economies of scale and better bargaining power with the suppliers which result in lower average cost of raw material and packaging
materials and packaging
from 2017 due to product mix that the majority contribution came from facial skin care products, are decreases in proportion.
Unit: Million baht
14
Selling & administrative expenses in 9M18
38% 3-year target: 35 – 38% 35%
Selling & administrative expenses
155 361 442 725 545 499 35.3% 37.8% 35.7% 43.2% 43.2% 48.6% 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M17 9M18
Advertising and Promotional Employee costs Freight Others
Unit: Million baht
significant increase correlated with increase in sales activity. The increase was mainly attributable by advertising and promotional expenses and employee cost
comprise advertising and promotional expenses and employee expenses
decrease in SG&A was mainly due to the decrease in advertising and sale promotion expenses as there was no deferred advertisement in 1Q18 as it did in 1Q17.
Snail White Body Wash new formula in 2Q18, together with the drop in sales due to external factor, cause an exceed in SG&A target.
15
24% 22%
Profitability in 9M18
190 608 862 859 664 43.3% 63.6% 69.7% 68.4% 67.5% 2014 2015 2016 9M17 9M18 Gross Profit % Gross Margin 37 254 441 452 340 233 8.4% 26.6% 35.5% 26.8% 26.9% 22.6% 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M17 9M18 EBITDA % EBITDA Margin 28 194 335 351 253 175 6.3% 20.3% 27.0% 20.8% 20.1% 17.1% 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M17 9M18 Net Profit % NP Margin
EBITDA Net Profit
Unit: Million baht Unit: Million baht 32% 3-year target: 32% 72% 3-year target: 68 – 72%
Gross Profit
Unit: Million baht 68% 3-year target: 22 – 24%
16
Financial position
529 776 5,460 5,287 286 401 674 314 243 375 4,786 4,973 2015 2016 2017 9M18 Total Assets Total Liabilities Shareholders'Equity
Balance Sheet
Unit: Million baht
Key Financial Ratio 2015 2016 2017 9M18 Days Sales Outstanding (days) 46 53 64 100 Days Inventories on Hand (FG) (days) 29 40 48 120 Days Payable Outstanding (days) 56 80 76 84 Return on Assets (%) 49.8% 51.4% 11.3% 4.42% Return on Equity (%) 133.5% 108.6% 13.6% 4.70% Debt to Equity Ratio (times) 1.2x 1.1x 0.1x 0.06X Interest Bearing Debt to Equity Ratio (times) 0.5x 0.5x 0.1x 0.02x
A B C A B C
Total liabilities increased mainly due to loan to finance new factory Total assets increased mainly due to increase in account receivable and cash and cash equivalent Total Equity increased mainly due to the initial public offering (IPO) on Dec 2017
D D
FG decreased QoQ but PM increased due to new product launch in Q4
17
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Background and business Key financial performance Where we are so far Company outlook Appendix
18
Market Size of
Facial Moisturizer 2017: THB 42 billion Growth: 8%
Market Share
Q3’17: 4% Q3’18 :4%
in Thailand
Source: EuroMonitor, The Nielsen Company
in Supermarket/ Hypermarket
Market Share
Q3’17: 5% Q3’18: 4% Supermarket/Hypermarket
in Convenience Stores
Market Share
Q3’17: 4% Q3’18: 7% Convenience Stores
We are a top-of-mind brand in Thailand
New Snailwhite Sachets play vital role in capturing Market Share
19
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Background and business Key financial performance Where we are so far Company outlook Appendix
20
2023
To be top 3 market leader in Thai facial skin care
2038
To be a market leader in Asian facial skin care
2030
To be a market leader in ASEAN facial skin care
21
883.20 521.60 195.20 73.60 70.40 67.20 57.60 48.00 32.00
Asian skin care market size in 2017
Unit: THB BN
No.4
Asian skin care market
Does it matter to be top 3 in Thai market?
Source: Euromonitor report
22
66.54 76.36 88.90 103.55 120.69
2015 2017 2019 (F) 2021 (F) 2023 (F)
Thailand’s skin care market size
CAGR 8.0% Source: Euromonitor report Unit: THB BN
Does it matter to be top 3 in Thai market?
23
27.7% 15.2% 11.6% 10.0% 5.2% 4.3% 2.1% 3.2% 1.4% 1.5% 25.9% 14.1% 12.9% 9.8% 4.2% 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 1.1% 1.0% L'Oreal (Thailand) Procter & Gamble (Thailand) Beiersdorf Ag Germany Unilever Thai Trading Smooth-E Dodaydream Aisance Mentholatum. Johnson & Johnson Consumer Karmarts
Q3'17 Q3'18 Market Share (%)
89 SKUs 44 SKUs 66 SKUs 28 SKUs 20 SKUs 8 SKUs 29 SKUs 22 SKUs 10 SKUs 3 SKUs
Top Manufacturers in Thailand (Facial Moisturizer)
Do Day Dream
NO.6
Source: The Nielsen Company
The highest market share per SKUs among the top manufacturers.
24
25
NAMU LIFE Snailwhite is uniquely well-positioned as a “premium mass” brand which allows it to capture both mass and premium market demand.
Mass Premium Premium Mass
Price: < USD10 Price: USD 30-50 Price: > USD 80
Well-positioned as a “premium mass”
26
L'Oreal (Thailand) Procter & Gamble (Thailand) Beiersdorf Ag Germany Unilever Thai Trading Smooth-E
Do Day Dream
Source: The Nielsen Company
12%
We need to capture at least 12% market share to become top 3
Do Day Dream
2023 2018
4% 4% 8%
27
Modern Trade
Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Inbound Tourist
Market size: THB 9,728 mm
Export
28
Growing the market share
Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export
PRODUCT COVERAGE
Increase variety of product NOW
20 Products
TARGET
40 Products
PENETRATION
Domestic penetration over 85% Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
In 2023
29
Growing the market share
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
PENETRATION
Low domestic penetration rate Market Share Distribution 72% 1% 3% 28%
Leader in TT channel*
Rooms for improvement
5% 30%
Target - 2023 Expand penetration in traditional trade channel Strengthen relationship with upcountry distribution centers Direct communication to target customers
1 2 3
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm Source: The Nielsen Company *as of Q3’2018
At the end of Sep 2018*
30
Growing the market share
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Expand penetration in traditional trade channel
Focus on the Northeastern part of Thailand to capture huge potential market
1 Strengthen relationship with upcountry distribution centers 2
Million people Region Total Population Age 18-35 Central 22.7 5.7 Northern 12.1 2.9 Southern 9.4 2.5 Northeastern 22.0 5.7
Priority
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
31
Growing the market share
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Direct communication to target customers
SNAILWHITE roadshow in Northeastern part of Thailand
3
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
32
Growing the market share
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export
CHANNEL COVERAGE
Increase point of sale in tourist attractions to capture more potential customers
The World’s Top Tourism Destinations Ranked by Money Spent International Tourism Receipts in 2017 (US$ billion)
Source: Bloomberg
Thailand to grant visa-on-arrival Fee waiver for some visitors in bid To lift tourism slump
Expected inbound tourists in 2018
37.55
Million tourists
Travelers spend more money In Thailand than anywhere else In Asia
33
Growing the market share
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export
31.20
Million customers SNAILWHITE Facial Cream
2
Must-Have Items for Shopping in King Power Duty Free
SNAILWHITE Mask Shot
19
Source: Brand Buffet, Marketing Oops, KhaoSod
34
Growing the market share
Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Export
CHANNEL COVERAGE
Increase point of sale in tourist attractions to capture more potential customers
Capture inbound tourists’ awareness by implementing effective communication tools such as airport free Wi-Fi, Product placement and Chinese KOLs
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
35
Growing the market share
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
CHINA
Distribution model
HONGKONG – NEW
Distribution model
foreigner and Chinese
PHILIPPINES
Partnership model
36
Growing the market share
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
PHILIPPINES
37
Growing the market share
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
PHILIPPINES
38
Growing the market share
Export Modern Trade
POS: 13,000 / 15,000 Market size: THB 34,468 mm
Traditional Trade
POS: 5,000 / 400,000 Market size: THB 30,560 mm
Inbound Tourist
King Power DFS: 8 / 9 Market size: THB 9,728 mm
PHILIPPINES
39
2018 Wrap up: Temporary Setback
Revenue from sales
Unit: Million THB 798 765 458 218
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,4009M17 9M18 Domestic Overseas
1,256 983
Depreciating RMB
Causes of Temporary Setback
Insufficient and inconsistent marketing activities in China from our distributor Lacking penetration in traditional trade channel (1% penetration) Tourists ferry incident in Phuket dampening Thailand tourism Closing down of the biggest wholesale skin care markets in Thailand RMB to THB
98% 75%
40
Do Day Dream is still young. SNAILWHITE is only 5 years old. We never stop learning to be the TOP player in skin care market.
Mission: Top 3 market leader in Thai facial skin care in 2023
(current: No. 6 as of Q3’2018)
To be top 3: Gain at least 12% market share
(current market share 4.1% as of Q3’2018)
How to grow the market share:
Domestic channels / new country / new product
(airport WI-FI, KOL)
41
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Background and business Key financial performance Where we are so far Company outlook Appendix
42
Appendix: Key financial strategies
Capital structure Risk management Dividend policy
structure
would increase our equity base and thus expand debt room for future growth
standalone financial statements
standalone financial statements
are made in USD
hedging approximately 70% of USD purchased value
43
Profit and loss statement
Year ended December 31, Quarter ended (3 months) (THB mn) 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Revenues Sales 438.0 955.1 1,236.8 1,674.4 355.2 517.2 384.0 418.1 374.3 359.2 249.8 Domestic sales 354.3 775.1 1,090.7 1,161.7 262.3 298.6 237.6 363.18 299.1 258.5 207.8 Export sales 83.7 180.0 146.2 512.8 92.9 218.6 146.4 54.9 75.2 100.7 41.9 Service income
0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Other income 0.1 1.6 3.2 9.8 3.7 1.7 1.8 2.6 12.3 19.8 11.2 Total revenues 438.1 956.7 1,240.2 1,684.3 358.9 518.9 385.8 420.7 386.6 379.0 261.0 Expenses Cost of sales 248.2 347.5 374.8 534.9 110.5 148.0 139.0 137.3 101.0 120.7 97.7 Selling expenses 147.4 330.9 354.5 580.9 146.2 146.6 147.4 140.6 119.6 143.4 108.7 Administrative expenses 7.4 30.3 87.1 143.4 23.8 39.2 41.9 38.5 34.1 41.1 52.0 Total expenses 403.0 708.7 816.4 1,259.2 280.5 333.8 328.3 316.4 254.7 305.2 258.4 Profit before finance cost and CIT 35.1 248.0 423.8 425.1 78.4 185.1 57.5 104.3 131.9 73.8 2.6 Finance cost (0.4) (3.9) (5.8) (12.0) (2.8) (3.1) (3.4) (2.7) (3.2) (2.9) (2.2) Profit before CIT 34.7 244.1 418.0 413.1 75.6 181.8 54.1 101.6 128.7 70.9 0.4 Income tax (7.2) (50.2) (82.8) (62.1) (13.2) (35.2) (9.6) (4.1) (16.6) (7.9) (0.2) Profit for the year 27.5 193.9 335.2 351 62.4 146.6 44.4 97.5 112.1 63.0 0.2 Earning per share (Adj.) 5.0 17.6 2.34 1.50 0.28 0.65 0.19 0.38 0.35 0.20 (0.002)
Statements of comprehensive income
44 As at December 31, (THB mn) 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cash and cash equivalents 41.7 73.9 41.5 4,388.5 Total current assets 181.7 378.7 512.9 734.0 Total non-current assets 69.0 149.8 262.6 338.0 Total assets 250.7 528.5 775.5 5,460.5 Total current liabilities 140.4 235.2 353.2 617.2 Interest bearing debt 88.9 126.8 195.7 335.3 Total liabilities 202.6 286.0 400.5 674.0 Total shareholders’ equity 48.1 242.5 375.0 4,786.5 Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 250.7 528.5 775.5 5,460.5
Appendix: Balance sheet and cash flow statement
Statements of financial position
Year ended December 31, (THB mn) 2015 2016 2017 Net cash flows from operating activities 83.3 218.8 245.3 Net cash flows from (used in) investing activities (86.5) (114.0) (96.3) Net cash flows used in financing activities 35.4 (137.2) 4,198.0 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year/period 73.9 41.5 4,347.0
Statements of cash flows
45
Appendix: China outlook Products with CFDA
Online Cross-border e-commerce CHINA
Not required CFDA
Mainstream
Required CFDA
Cross-border e-commerce.
to the bundle shipments
which is subject to change according to Chinses policy.
transaction Offline
Required CFDA
distributors
ALREADY ENTERED
Main benefits of CFDA
in Mainstream online platform and offline channels which the market is much bigger than Cross-border e- commerce alone
change of Cross-border e-commerce
NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE SYN-AKE MIST
Q3 2018
NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE WHIPP SOAP
Q1 2018
NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE CLEANSING
Q1 2018
NAMU LIFE SNAILWHITE FACIAL CREAM
Q1 2018
46
Rank Brand Product Size Market Share Q3’18 Convenience Distribution Q3’18 Convenience Market Share Q3’18 Open Trade Distribution Q3’18 Open Trade 1 Garnier Sakura Wh.Pinkish Rad.Moi.Cr.Spf21 Pa+++ 7 Ml 5.4 97 8.3 51 2 Garnier Ageless White Day Spf30 Pa+++ Serum Cr. 7 Ml 5.3 95 8.4 44 3 Garnier Lig.Com.Wh.Speed Mul.Act.Wh.Spf20 SR.Cr. 7 Ml 4.5 96 5.9 42 4 Rojukiss Other 6 Ml 3.7 69 NA NA 5 Pond's Age Mira.Wrinkle Cor. Day Cr.Ratinol-C 7 Gm 3.3 93 4.6 34 6 Rojukiss Other 6 Ml 3.1 70 NA NA 7 Snail White Gold SPF30 PA+++ Cr. 7 Ml 2.9 75 0.1 2 8 Smooth-E Natural Source Cream 10 Gm 2.8 76 0.0 9 Pond's White Beauty Instabright Tone Up Milk Cr 7 Gm 2.6 93 2.2 14 10 Dermo Expertise White Perfect Spf17 Pa++ Serum Cream 7 Ml 2.5 89 0.8 8
Appendix: Snailwhite performs well in CVS but still has great opportunity in Open Trade
Source: The Nielsen Company
47
2017 : Beauty Industry Peer Comparison
68% 68% 55% 54% 47% 72% 59% 73% 43% 27% 34% 45% 32% 54% 43% 61% 25% 41% 21% 9% 16% 18% 18% 12% 21% 33% 19% 3% 14% 15% 11% 8%
Gross Profit SG&A Operating Profit Net Profit
CONTACT US DO DAY DREAM PLC. Investor Relations Department Tel: +662-917-3055 Ext.808 Fax: +662-917-3054 Email: ir@dodaydream.com Website: www.dodaydream.com Contact person
Email: Chanoknan.t@dodaydream.com Company satisfaction survey
49
2023 Oxe’Cure Outlook
Subsidiary company for dermatological skin – Dream Dermatology
2023 To be market leader in Thai acne skin care
2023 2018
500
300
Channel Product Overseas
2023 Target: 500 MB in sales
and traditional trade
to 24 products
1 2 3 1 2 3
Top of mind brand for acne and sensitive skin care in Thailand 1 Total of 18 new products to achieve target sale and profit 3 Establish new product series for sensitive and acne skin care to acquire mass market in Thailand 2
50