On the Power of Evidence-Based Analysis
Daniel Kaufmann Plenary II: Peace, Equality and Social Justice: Fighting Corruption in Development and Investment Beyond 2015
#16IACC, Malaysia, September 3, 2015
1
On the Power of Evidence-Based Analysis Daniel Kaufmann Plenary II: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
On the Power of Evidence-Based Analysis Daniel Kaufmann Plenary II: Peace, Equality and Social Justice: Fighting Corruption in Development and Investment Beyond 2015 #16IACC, Malaysia, September 3, 2015 1 Data The scale of the challenge and
1
Sources: GDP per capita (atop each column) from World Bank World Development Indicators, 2012. Corruption Control data from Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI), 2012. Countries grouped into terciles based on WGI Control of Corruption scores. “Resource Rich” country classification according to IMF (2010).
Poor Corruption Control Average Corruption Control Good Corruption Control
GDP per capita (PPP)
Res esou
rce-Ric
h Cou
ntries Non
Reso esour urce ce Rich ich
5,000 10,000
3
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Source: Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://www.govindicators.org
Improvement from 2000-2013 Deterioration from 2000-2013
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
2000 (Improved) 2013 (Improved) 2000 (Deteriorated) 2013 (Deteriorated)
Source: Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://www.govindicators.org
Improvement from 2000-2013 Deterioration from 2000-2013
6
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
0.5 1 1.5 2
2013 control of corruption Worldwide Governance Indicator score 2013 voice & accountability Worldwide Governance Indicator score
Note: Red data points are the 55 resource-rich countries according to the IMF. Source: IMF, 2013 World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators.
Source: Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://www.govindicators.org
Improvement from 2000-2013 Deterioration from 2000-2013
25 50 75 100 Voice & Accountability Rule of Law Control of Corruption Governance Indicator % Rank
Source: Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://www.govindicators.org.
10
11
Media Private Sector Municipal Government Military State (Bureaucracy) Political Parties Civil Society
International
Legislative Branch Judiciary
Source: “Robust Web of Corruption: Peru’s Intelligence Chief Vladimiro Montesinos,” Kennedy. School of Government Case Program, Case C14-04-1722.0, based on research by Professor Luis Moreno Ocampo; Peru: Resource Dependency Network, 2000.
Vladimiro Montesinos Alberto Fujimori
Source: AFP, http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/sports/06/02/15/look-key-players-fifa-scandal.
Source: Ministerio Publico Federal, http://pt.slideshare.net/arykara7002/fluxograma-do-dinheiro-da.
Image source: Radio Free Europe (2012), “Azerbaijani Government Awarded Gold-Field Rights To President's Family.”