October 2013 Show national trends in total Motorbus collisions, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Florida Public Transportation Association Annual Conference Florida Transit Safety Network October 2013

 Show national trends in total Motorbus

collisions, rear-ended collisions, and rear- ending collisions

 Show Florida transit Motorbus collision data  Display a sample of Florida transit agency data  Comparison of Florida collision data with

Region 4 and national aggregate data

 Comparison of Florida collision data with six

most populous states

 NTD Database for Major Incidents

 Compiles data from all reporting agencies in all 50

states and territories

 Starting in 2008, included “rear-ended” and “rear-

ending” as collision types

 Data was aggregated by FTA Region  For analysis and comparison, rear-ended and

rear-ending collisions as a percentage of total collisions were compiled.

 For comparison, collisions per 100,000 miles

was used as a leveling data set for analysis.

Year Heavy Rail % of Total Collisions Light Rail % of Total Collisions Trolley Bus % of Total Collisions Demand Response % of Total Collisions Motor Bus % of Total Collisions Vanpool % of Total Collisions NTD Total Collisions (Selected Modes) 2002 70 3.9% 392 21.9% 10 0.6% 80 4.5% 1,211 67.8% 5 0.3% 1,786 2003 45 2.6% 287 16.7% 7 0.4% 110 6.4% 1,252 72.7% 2 0.1% 1,721 2004 34 1.7% 349 17.9% 7 0.4% 87 4.5% 1,456 74.9% 6 0.3% 1,945 2005 26 1.4% 508 28.2% 7 0.4% 104 5.8% 1,147 63.6% 4 0.2% 1,804 2006 24 1.7% 142 9.8% 12 0.8% 114 7.9% 1,129 78.2% 11 0.8% 1,444 2007 39 2.3% 142 8.6% 8 0.5% 156 9.4% 1,296 78.1% 5 0.3% 1,660 2008 62 1.5% 162 4.0% 18 0.4% 771 18.9% 3,162 77.3% 8 0.2% 4,090 2009 81 2.0% 169 4.2% 26 0.7% 569 14.2% 3,121 78.1% 23 0.6% 3,996 2010 116 2.8% 177 4.3% 15 0.4% 750 18.3% 3,224 78.5% 14 0.3% 4,109 2011 121 2.9% 182 4.4% 20 0.5% 519 12.6% 3,261 78.9% 10 0.2% 4,135 2012 142 3.5% 174 4.3% 32 0.8% 488 12.1% 3,167 78.8% 15 0.4% 4,018 Total 760 2.4% 2,684 8.8% 162 0.5% 3,748 12.2% 23,426 76.0% 103 0.3% 30,708

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 383 277 274 291 204 633 722 697 686 668 3,162 3,121 3,224 3,261 3,696

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collision Type (Rear-ended) Total Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 12.1% 8.9% 8.5% 8.9% 5.5% 20.0% 23.1% 21.6% 21.0% 18.1%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as %

• f Total Fl Agency Collisions

Collision Type (rear-ended) as %

• f Total Fl Agency Collisions

0.000 0.050 0.100 0.150 0.200 0.250 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.020 0.014 0.014 0.016 0.011 0.032 0.037 0.036 0.037 0.037 0.162 0.158 0.168 0.176 0.203

Total Rear-ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10 16 29 31 36 28 15 5 8 31 5 32 43 73 197 117 64 14 30 77 21 157 440 543 610 725 357 90 101 552 121

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collision Type (Rear-ended) 2012 Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10 10.2% 6.6% 5.7% 5.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.6% 7.9% 5.6% 4.1% 20.4% 9.8% 13.4% 32.3% 16.1% 17.9% 15.6% 29.7% 13.9% 17.4%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as % of Total Region Collisions Collision Type (rear-ended) as % of Total Region Collisions

0.000 0.050 0.100 0.150 0.200 0.250 0.300 Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10 0.022 0.010 0.014 0.015 0.011 0.010 0.012 0.014 0.008 0.005 0.043 0.014 0.033 0.082 0.044 0.043 0.032 0.051 0.020 0.022 0.213 0.146 0.248 0.254 0.275 0.238 0.208 0.173 0.146 0.125

Total Rear-ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 30 30 14 14 14 104 123 97 120 128 310 287 276 311 336

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collision Type (Rear-ended) Annual Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 9.7% 10.5% 5.1% 4.5% 4.2% 33.5% 42.9% 35.1% 38.6% 38.1%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as % of Total Fl Agency Collisions Collision Type (rear-ended) as % of Total Fl Agency Collisions

1,080.00 1,090.00 1,100.00 1,110.00 1,120.00 1,130.00 1,140.00 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1,134.79 1,099.37 1,109.01 1,099.16 1,129.56

Annual Total Revenue Miles (000s)

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.23

Rear-Ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Rear-Ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

 13 total agencies with five years of reported data  Highlighted:

 LYNX and BCT have clear upward trend of total and

rear-ended collisions

 HART has high percentage of rear-ended collisions to

total collisions

 Gainesville displays a downward trend of total and

rear-ended collisions

 JTA trends lower in both total and rear-ended collisions

per 100,000 miles

 PSTA displays high total collisions per 100,000 miles

but lower rear-ended collisions per 100,000 miles

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 11 5 4 5 4 13 21 13 24 26 44 47 50 67 79

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collision Type (Rear-ended) Total Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 25% 11% 8% 7% 5% 30% 45% 26% 36% 33%

Collision Type (Rear-ending) as % of Total Agency Collisions Collision Type (Rear-ended) as %

• f Total Agency collisions

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.08 0.13 0.08 0.15 0.19 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.42 0.58

Rear-Ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Rear-Ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1 4 2 3 3 11 18 18 27 39 31 42 43 49 66

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collisions Type (Rear-ended) Annual Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 3% 10% 5% 6% 5% 35% 43% 42% 55% 59%

Collision Type (Rear-ending) as % of Total Agency Collisions Collision Type (Rear-ended) as % of Total Agency collisions

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.13 0.12 0.18 0.25 0.21 0.30 0.29 0.33 0.43

Rear-Ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Rear-Ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 3 5 3 13 12 15 17 16 34 31 40 39 39

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collisions Type (Rear-ended) Annual Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 9% 16% 8% 0% 0% 38% 39% 38% 44% 41%

Collision Type (Rear-ending) as % of Total Agency Collisions Collision Type (Rear-ended) as % of Total Agency collisions

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.04 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.21 0.48 0.42 0.52 0.51 0.52

Rear-Ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Rear-Ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

1 2 3 4 5 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 5 4

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collisions Type (Rear-ended) Annual Motor Bus Collisions

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4 4 1 2 2 10 14 12 18 9 36 31 31 36 30

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collisions Type (Rear-ended) Annual Motor Bus Collisions

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 11% 13% 3% 6% 7% 28% 45% 39% 50% 30%

Collision Type (Rear-ending) as % of Total Agency Collisions Collision Type (Rear-ended) as % of Total Agency collisions

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.11 0.16 0.13 0.20 0.10 0.39 0.35 0.34 0.41 0.34

Rear-Ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Rear-Ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

 Florida Collision Data compared to Region 4

and National Aggregate Motorbus data

 Florida Collision Data compared to the Six

Most Populous States

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.28 United States + Territories Region 4 Florida

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.11

United States + Territories Region 4 Florida

0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01

United States + Territories Region 4 Florida

2012

Rear-ended Collisions as a Percentage of Total Collisions 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Florida 33.5% 42.9% 35.1% 38.6% 38.1% Region 4 26.2% 34.3% 30.9% 32.5% 32.3% United States + Territories 20.0% 23.1% 21.6% 21.0% 18.1% Rear-ended Collisions as a Percentage of Total Collisions 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Region 4 with Florida 26.2% 34.3% 30.9% 32.5% 32.3% Region 4 without Florida 16.7% 23.7% 26.9% 25.3% 25.2% United States + Territories 20.0% 23.1% 21.6% 21.0% 18.1%

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 California Texas New York Illinois Pennsylvania Florida 25 12 28 14 5 14 55 48 35 64 9 128 429 301 394 444 125 337

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collision Type (Rear-ended) 2012 Motor Bus Collisions

0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 California Texas New York Illinois Pennsylvania Florida 5.8% 4.0% 7.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 12.8% 15.9% 8.9% 14.4% 7.2% 38.0%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as % of Total Motorbus Collisions Collision Type (rear-ended) as % of Total Motorbus Collisions

0.000 0.100 0.200 0.300 0.400 0.500 California Texas New York Illinois Pennsylvania Florida 0.008 0.010 0.015 0.015 0.006 0.012 0.018 0.039 0.019 0.069 0.011 0.108 0.14 0.24 0.21 0.48 0.15 0.28

Total Rear-ending Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 miles Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

 Discussion: The Random Nature of

Collisions

 Survey Transit Agencies

 Individual surveys?

 Examine collision files at LYNX and BCT

 Trends in factors and causes

 The Big Question: If we employ strategy X,

will we get Result Y?