ocean acidification On the menu today o Why shall we care about - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ocean acidification On the menu today o Why shall we care about - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sam Dupont Senior Lecturer, Associate Professor Assistant Professor University of Hong Kong University of Gothenburg A taste of ocean acidification On the menu today o Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification? o What can we


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A taste of

  • cean

acidification

Sam Dupont

Senior Lecturer, Associate Professor University of Gothenburg

杜邦憲

Assistant Professor University of Hong Kong

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On the menu today

  • Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification?
  • What can we do about it & what is needed?
  • Mitigation & Communication
  • Adaptation & Building capacity
  • Conclusions – science for society
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On the menu today

  • Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification?
  • What can we do about it & what is needed?
  • Mitigation & Communication
  • Adaptation & Building capacity
  • Conclusions – science for society
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Growth

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Global warming Catastrophic events Sea level rise Hypoxia Salinity changes Ocean acidification Ice melting

CO2 Symptoms

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Ocean acidification is chemistry…

CO2 + H2O H2CO3 CO2

Carbon dioxide Water Carbonic acid

… not conjecture

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Doney et al. (2009)

Ocean acidification is happening now

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Ocean 2x more acidic by 2100

Fast and strong

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Ocean acidification is a real, fast and directly related to our CO2 emissions

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Extinction of 92% of all marine species

Last global event: the third extinction

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A little bit more chemistry

O H H C O O O H C O O O H

H2O CO2 HCO3

  • CO3
  • +

H pH

Sea water more acidic Sea water more corrosive Decreased carbonate Calcification? [CaCO3]

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Negative impact on calcifiers

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8.1 7.9

(Dupont et al. 2008)

Can lead to species extinction

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Impact aquaculture and industry It is already happening

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Time Confidence

1998-2003: Clear and “simple!”

  • >

Calcifiers

The heart beat of ocean acidification

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But… some calcifiers are winners

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50% of marine animals threaten by

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acidification

(Wittmann & Pörtner 2013)

Challenge marine ecosystems

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Ocean acidification is a real, fast and directly related to our CO2 emissions Impact on marine species and ecosystems is certain but local impact is hard to predict

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Time Confidence

2004-2010 More nuanced, conflicting results

The heart beat of ocean acidification

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pH vary in space and time

Open ocean Coastal environment

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pH 5.36, ara=0.01

(Tunnicliffe et al. 2009)

Extreme for an organism is home for another

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(Van Straalen 2007)

Stress ecology - niche

Need to understand the biology of your species

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Proof of concept

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The more you deviate from natural variability, the stronger the impact

Proof of concept

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Time Confidence

Since 2012 Better understanding

We know what we don’t know

The heart beat of ocean acidification

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Well, biology is complicated…

Riebesell and Gattuso (2015) Nature Climate Change

… and will always be limiting

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Ocean acidification is a real, fast and directly related to our CO2 emissions Impact on marine species and ecosystems is certain but local impact is hard to predict But… we start to develop the needed theoretical framework

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On the menu today

  • Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification?
  • What can we do about it & what is needed?
  • Mitigation & Communication
  • Adaptation & Building capacity
  • Conclusions – science for society
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What can we do?

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On the menu today

  • Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification?
  • What can we do about it & what is needed?
  • Mitigation & Communication
  • Adaptation & Building capacity
  • Conclusions – science for society
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Mitigation

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GLOBAL challenges GLOBAL/LOCAL data GLOBAL options: CO2

A problem of scale

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Scientists are “virtually certain” that global changes will lead to dramatic consequences

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Demography CO2 emissions Carbon capture

WHY NO MORE ACTIONS???

Mitigation: We know what to do

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Mitigation What need to be done?  Policy  Change  Acceptance Citizen What science is needed?

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Acceptance is key

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Social dilemna: Action, acceptance and compliance linked to psychological factors, values, beliefs, norms, policy-specific beliefs, freedom, fairness, effectiveness, personal

  • utcome,

trust and reciprocity, etc.

Not a hobby… a real research topic

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The idea that (...) the science of anthropogenic global warming is controversial is a powerful indicator of the extent of

  • ur failure to communicate.

Tim Minchin

A failure to communicate?

What we have here is a failure to communicate

Jules Winnfield

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Scientists can be poor communicators…

… and nerds

A failure to communicate?

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Science supply paradigm

Efficient communication… … a need for a new strategy

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Information

[e.g. Global changes]

Needed Change

[e.g. cut carbon dioxide emission]

Efficient communication… … a need for a new strategy

More polarization

(Dupont & Fauville 2017)

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What information leads to change?

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CO2

Visible vs. Invisible

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Hypothesis: By targetting values, we’ll attract more attention

Bohuslan seafood

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Can you taste ocean acidification (make invisible visible)

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Yes, you can

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Ocean acidification can alter the taste of shrimps

“Ocean acidification is often referred as the silent storm because you can’t see it, you can’t hear it, and you can’t smell it, but our research suggests that you just may be able to taste it.”

Press release

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A scientific and popular impact

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Evaluating the engagement

Values and physical connection leads to real changes

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We have enough data to be virtually certain that ocean acidification will have negative consequences BUT We need science targeting local values to truly drive change and acceptance

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On the menu today

  • Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification?
  • What can we do about it & what is needed?
  • Mitigation & Communication
  • Adaptation & Building capacity
  • Conclusions – science for society
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GLOBAL challenges GLOBAL/LOCAL data GLOBAL options: CO2 LOCAL challenges LOCAL options

[management, adaptation, etc.]

LOCAL data

A problem of scale

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Adaptation: Buy some time

Change practices (e.g. aquaculture) Make ecosystem more resilients (e.g. MPA) Decrease other sources of stress (e.g. pollution) Select resilient strains Protect hot spots etc.

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Survey in February/March 2018

Responses No reply No data 1 2 3 4 No data centre carbonate chemistry parameters

Figure 1. Map illustrating the answers received from NODCs and ADUs regarding the availability

  • f data describing the carbonate system (pH, TA,

DIC, CO2; light grey – no IODE focal point for NODC

  • r ADU, dark grey – no reply, blue – no data,

yellow – data for one parameter, orange – data for two parameters, light green – data for three parameters, dark green – data for four parameters).

What do we know? e.g. Chemistry

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Gap… capacity

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2014 – Brazil, Chile 2015 – China, South Africa 2016 – Mozambique, Tasmania, Mauritius, Mexico 2017 – Senegal, Kuwait, Mauritius, Fiji, Costa Rica

Phase I – basic trainings Challenges identified

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Build a ”kit” for less than 15K$ to monitor and research

Reality check

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Evaluating capacity

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I – Basic training (theory + practicals) II – Basic training (practicals) III – Advanced training (practicals) IV – Collaborative Research STRATEGY

Assessing capacities

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Level I training, e.g. Jordan, September 2018

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Level II training, e.g. Kuwait November 2018 Radioecology

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WIOMSA – Ocean Acidification measurements in the Western Indian Ocean

Level III training, e.g. South Africa May 2019

Chemistry Set-up long term experiment Doing science with limited infrastructure

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Data collected in 5 days with limited resources Article in progress Next training: Mombasa, October 2019

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Level IV Collaborative research; e.g. CRP Next training: Sweden, August 2019

IAEA CRP (2018-2022): Evaluating the Impacts of Ocean Acidification on Seafood - A Global Approach

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Where help is provided

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2016 – First contact in Mauritius (Basic Training) 2016 – Join P2P program (with Sam Dupont) 2016 – Training on Evolution and Global Changes in Sweden 2017 – PhD student 2018 – Training on OA-Biology in Sweden (Advanced Training) 2019 – Presentation of first results at GOA-ON Workshop 2019 – Training Assistant in Durban (Advanced training)

Success stories

Carla Edworthy

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Local solutions can be developed (adaptation) but often data are lacking and capacity development is key

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On the menu today

  • Why shall we care about Ocean Acidification?
  • What can we do about it & what is needed?
  • Mitigation & Communication
  • Adaptation & Building capacity
  • Conclusions – science for society
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Zalasiewicz et al. 2008

Global increase of human population and a high CO2 world

  • Global warming
  • Ocean acidification
  • Hypoxia
  • Increased precipitation
  • Increased catastrophic events

Local impacts including:

  • habitat destruction
  • over-exploitation of resources
  • local pollution
  • Introduction of species
  • etc.

Anthropocene

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Identify science priorities

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Identify science priorities

Need to prioritize your drivers

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All science is interesting but not all science is useful

What science is needed to drive global and local changes & actions?

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Ocean acidification is directly related to CO2 emissions There is enough evidence to be virtually certain that there will be consequences for marine species, ecosystems and associated services The scientific community is developing the needed theoeretical framework allowing to project future impacts Due to urgency and resource limitations, science should prioritize toward actions/changes including

  • Data targeting values to drive change
  • Data needed to develop solution (not document the disaster)
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Let’s go to work !