Obsidian Energy
Corporate Presentation
August 2018
Obsidian Energy Corporate Presentation August 2018 Important - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Obsidian Energy Corporate Presentation August 2018 Important Notice to the Readers This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Companys unaudited consolidated financial statements, Management's Discussion and Analysis
August 2018
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Company’s unaudited consolidated financial statements, Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the three and six months ended June 30,
Certain financial measures included in this presentation do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and therefore are considered non-generally accepted accounting practice ("non-GAAP") measures; accordingly, they may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other issuers. This presentation also contains oil and gas disclosures, various industry terms, and forward-looking statements, including various assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are based and related risk factors. Please see the Company's disclosures located in the Appendix at the end
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
Peace River
Manufactured Cold Flow, High Rate, Low Cost with Multiple Egress Options
4,834 boe/d Q2 2018
Net Sections: 235
3
Share Price
July 31st, 2018
C$/share $1.39 OBE-TSX Daily Volume
% of shares outstanding
MM 0.7
0.2%
OBE-NYSE Daily Volume
% of shares outstanding
MM 1.0
0.2%
Market Capitalization $MM $705 Net Debt $MM $408 Enterprise Value $MM $1,113
Corporate Metrics
Index Map
Legacy Asset Production of 2,140 boe/d in Q2 2018.
FY 2018 Guidance
Deep Basin
Multi Horizon Potential, Highly Economic Deep Basin Development
1,541 boe/d Q2 2018
Net Sections: 700
Cardium
Meaningful Free Cash Flow Generation, Waterflood Approach with Primary Optionality
18,400 boe/d Q2 2018
Net Sections: 450
Alberta Viking
Short Cycle Investment to Toggle Growth, Industry Leading IP Rates
1,782 boe/d Q2 2018
Net Sections: 170
Productio ion boe/d 29,000-30,000 Growth th % 5% Total al Expendi ditur tures Capital Expenditures Decommissioning $MM $MM $180 $10 Expense ses Operating Expense G&A Expense $/boe $/boe $13.00 - $13.50 $2.00 - $2.50
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE 4
Beat production guidance & delivered double digit production growth for the second time in 10 years
Reduced Opex and G&A by $130 million through divestments & efficiencies Dropped debt by $120 million and leverage to the lowest level in six years Replaced over 100 percent of produced reserves for the first time in five years Put in place a reserve based lending facility Settled legacy SEC corporate litigation Reduced decommissioning liability by approximately 35 percent Rebranded the Company
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE 5
Chart excludes five peers with either CFPS growth <0% and or EV/DACF > 9.0x Peers Include: AAV, ARX, ATH, BNP, BTE, CPG, CR, ERF, FRU, LXE, MEG, NVA, OBE, PEY, PGF, PNE, PONY, POU, PXX, RRX, TOG, TOU, TVE, VET, VII, WCP * Desjardins price deck: 2018 [ US$63.94/bbl WTI, C$1.69/mcf AECO, US$0.78/C$ FX ] and 2019 [ US$60.00/bbl WTI, C$2.00/mcf AECO, US$0.78/C$ FX ] Source: Desjardins Capital Markets, Bloomberg
OBE 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 3x 4x 5x 6x 7x 8x 9x 19/18 CFPS growth (%) 19 EV/DACF (x)
The analyst community recognizes OBE’s cash flow growth potential, with an attractive valuation
2019/2018 CFPS growth versus 19 EV-DACF at DSI price assumptions*
Median Median
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
Pembina Booked Locations 87 Additional Inventory 363 Total Inventory 450 Willesden Green Booked Locations 42 Additional Inventory 208 Total Inventory 250 Total Inventory 700
Units Pembina Willesden Green PDP MMboe 35 23 Proved MMboe 45 28 Proved + Probable MMboe 64 37 2P BTCF NPV10 $MM $877 $525
6
See end notes
Significant Inventory Upside
Reserve book includes 129 highly confident locations
Reserves Summary
Large light oil weighted reserves
R10W5 T50
PEMBINA
10 miles 15 kms
INDEX MAP
WILLESDEN GREEN
OBE Cardium WI Land Arc Baccalieu Bonterra Inplay Prairie Storm Ridgeback Tamarack Valley Whitecap Yangarra T45 T40
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
10 20 30 40 50 60 10 20 30 40 50 60
Average Cumulative Oil Production / Well (MBBL) Months 2014 - OBE 2014 - INDUSTRY 2015 - OBE 2015 - INDUSTRY 2016 - OBE 2016 - INDUSTRY 2017 - OBE 2017 - INDUSTRY 7
past four years
Willesden Green Average Cumulative Oil by Year
5 miles 10 kms OBE land 2017 OBE well 2017 industry well 2016 OBE well 2016 industry well 2015 OBE well 2015 industry well 2014 OBE well 2014 industry well R7W5 T40 T43
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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Priority 1: Intensify short cycle Willesden Green Cardium drilling
Strong results that demand more capital Shallow decline waterflood business The best acreage in the play fairway
Deliver on Cardium focused light oil growth
Adding $50MM of development capital to drill 13 primary wells in H2 2018 A focused capital allocation model Manufacturing process to systematically unlock value Light oil growth trajectory with torque to rising prices
ENABLED BY PROVIDIN DING G INVESTORS TORS WITH
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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primary locations, focused in Willesden Green
boundaries and in the “Halo” acreage
development potential in East Willesden Green and “Halo” flanks
plan has 15 primary wells in H2 2018 with 5 wells expected to be
end
coming on early 2019
3 miles 5 kms Near term inventory OBE well Industry well OBE unit land OBE Cardium WI land
Additional primary development potential
Open Creek Faraway Crim imson Lake CRIMSON LAKE NEAR-TERM FOCUS AREA H1 2018 Develo elopmen pment Crims mson n Lake “Halo” Addit itio ional nal H2 2018 Wells ls
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE 10
G&A by $130 million and lowered net debt by $120 million in 2017
programmatic scale of Cardium development
cash year over year reinvestment decisions
well for 2019+ price leverage
Focused sed and discip sciplined lined operat rator
well positioned for self funded 2019 cash flow expansion
Green, allowing quick capitalization on incremental free cash flow
Stable ble asset et base e underpi erpins s commodi modity y pric ice e upsid ide Setting ing up for growt
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
Base & Infrastructure Capital $25 13% 2018 Development $136 72% Enviro $10 5% Regulatory $19 10%
20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 32,000 2017E A&D Adjusted FY 2018E
12
2018 Production (boe/d)
29,000 – 30,000 boe per day
2018 Total Expenditures ($MM)
$190 million
5% 5% A&D D Adju just sted ed
Produc uctio ion Grow
h
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
PROP $14 9% Deep Basin $7 5% Optimization $14 10% Cardium $101 74%
Cardium 24 Deep Basin 2 PROP 8
34
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2018 Wells Spud
13
Employing a quicker payout program that balances primary drilling with targeted low capital integrated waterflood opportunities 2018 Development Allocations ($MM) Budget 2018 Operated Spuds
34 Operated spuds planned in 2018
(excludes non-operated activity)
80% Av. IRR 45% Av. IRR 100% Av. IRR 65% Av. IRR
Increas reased ed Cardi rdium um Capit pital al by $50MM M (13 wells) ls)
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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est t Cardium land holder er with significant icant running ng room
e size of the prize e with h the right geology y for meaning ngful ful light oil recov
ery
uous us position
advantag ntageou eous s in a h highly y variabl able e stratig igraph raphic ic play
class Willesden en Green n results lts command d more capital al
active e Pemb mbina acreag age e driven en by l large e EUR & waterfl erfloo
stry y leading ng drilling ing practi tices ces
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
Pembina
SW E-NE
Lodgepole PCU #9 F Lease 15
15
Multi-Cycle Optionality for Bioturbated Drilling
See end notes
Conglomerate Clean sandstone Muddy bioturbated sand Sandy bioturbated mud Shale (stratigraphic seal) Erosional contact (unconformity) Transitional contact
Willesden Green
W E
West Crimson Primary Crimson Unit East Crimson Primary Faraway Open Creek G Lease
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
Inputs DCET Cost ($MM) $3.4 Production EUR (Mboe) 290 IP30 (boe/d) 250 IP365 (boe/d) 140 Liquids (%) 90% Economic Outputs NPV (10%) ($MM) $3.2 PIR (10%) 1.0 IRR (%) 66% Payout (years) 2.2 Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $24,500 F&D ($/boe) $11.30
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Production (bbl/d) Months s on Produ duction
2018 Primary Type Curve
16
producing approximately 300 boe per day, with IP30 rates of 780 boe per day and IP60 rates of 580 boe per day (60% liquids)
program will be drilled directly offsetting this well
Recent Drills s Above e Type Curve
See end notes
2018 8 Type Curve rve Economic ics
Near term inventory OBE well Industry well OBE unit land OBE Cardium WI land
H1 2018 Develo elopmen pment Addit itio ional nal H2 2018 Wells ls
2 miles 3 kms
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
Inputs DCET Cost ($MM) $4.0 Production EUR (Mboe) 300 IP30 (boe/d) 250 IP365 (boe/d) 210 Liquids (%) 87% Economic Outputs NPV (10%) ($MM) $5.0 PIR (10%) 1.6 IRR (%) 99% Payout (years) 1.9 Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $19,000 F&D ($/boe) $12.90
17
lowers capital spend and increases economics
is delineated
low decline rate
See end notes
2018 8 Type Curve rve Economic ics
PEMBINA 8-25-47-9W5 Pad
3 miles 5 kms R10W5 T48 PEMBINA 7-22-049-11W5 Pad 2018 drilled or completed Future Development OBE well Industry Well Injectors OBE unit land OBE Cardium WI land
50 100 150 200 250 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Production (bbl/d) Months s on Produ duction
2018 Intergrated Waterflood Type Curve
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Produ duction (bo boe/d) d) Months s on Produ duction
Deep Basin Type Curve
Spirit River Type Curve ve Economic mics
INDEX MAP
5 miles 10 kms OBE land OBE operated Cardium unit
WILLESDEN GREEN
R8W5 T42
schedule and on budget
exceeded expectations making gas pricing less relevant
July and will be fracked in early-August
Falher r B Trend
100/02-03-044-09W5 On Production: 10/26/2017 Initial Rate: 3.9 MMCFD 100/14-30-043-07W5 On Production: 8/30/2017 Initial Rate: 3.2 MMCFD 100/02-07-043-07W5 On Production: 10/12/2017 Initial Rate: 3.4 MMCFD
Average e Liquid uids s Rati tio 55 bbl/mmcf cf (135 bbl/d per well)
See end notes 18
>40 high confidence near term liquids rich locations
F O R M A T I O NC R E T A C E O U S BELLY LY RIVER COLO LORADO SHALE LE CARDIUM UM COLO LORADO SHALE LE M A N N V I L L E SPIRIT RIVER NOTIKEWIN FALHER LHER WILR LRICH CH GLAUC UCONTIC SANDSTO STONE OSTRACO COD BEDS ELLERSLIE SLIE FERNIE SHALE LE ROCK CREEK
Inputs DCET Cost ($MM) $3.8 Production EUR (Mboe) 610 IP30 (boe/d) 660 IP365 (boe/d) 400 Liquids (%) 28% Economic Outputs NPV (10%) ($MM) $4.40 PIR (10%) 1.2 IRR (%) 65% Payout (years) 1.6 Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $9,500 F&D ($/boe) $6.25
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
50 100 150 200 250 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Production Months s on Pr Produ duction
Total Production (boe/d) Oil (bbl/d)
Inputs DCET Cost ($MM) $2.7 Production EUR (Mboe) 363 IP30 (boe/d) 205 IP365 (boe/d) 200 Liquids (%) 85% Economic Outputs NPV (10%) ($MM) $2.5 PIR (10%) 0.9 IRR (%) 40% Payout (years) 2.4 Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $13,500 F&D ($/boe) $7.50 19
amenable to conventional cold-flow production
peak rates averaging over 500 boe/d and adding 4 additional wells in H2 2018
significant long term inventory
utilizing multiple sales points
10 miles 15 kms
OBE land Acquired land in 2017 PROP
INDEX MAP
R15W5 T80
Harmon Valley Harmon Valley South Seal
2018 Type e Curve e Economic mics
See end notes
Gas Gatherin ering Impact act
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
R10
20
wells
minimal incremental facility spend
10 miles 15 kms OBE gas plant OBE land
INDEX MAP
Compeer GP Esther GP Misty GP Monitor West GP
R1W4 T30 R10
Type e Curve e Economic mics
See end notes
Update Economics
Inputs DCET Cost ($MM) $1.6 Production EUR (Mboe) 74 IP30 (boe/d) 190 IP365 (boe/d) 100 Liquids (%) 57% Economic Outputs NPV (10%) ($MM) $0.7 PIR (10%) 0.4 IRR (%) 45% Payout (years) 1.9 Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $15,500 F&D ($/boe) $21.15
Jay signoff
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Production Months s on Produ duction
Type Curve (boe/d)
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE 35 47 66 6 8 12 6 8 10 27 32 43
75 96 131
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 PDP 1P 2P
Light & Medium Crude Oil (mmbbl) Heavy Crude Oil & Bitumen (mmbbl) Natural Gas Liquids (mmbbl) Conventional Natural Gas (mmboe) 22
development profile centered around a growing quantum of low F&D waterflood additions
2017 demonstrates a powerful engine to reward investors
Corporate Reserves
NAV Valuation ($/Sh Shar are) e) Replaced ed 126% Replaced ed 131% 1% Replaced ed 121% 1%
✓ Replaced Over 100% of
Produced Reserves for the first time in five years
✓ Cardium operated
development costs down 24% from year-end 2016
✓ Commercial Trades Increased
Liquids Weighting by Six Percent
✓ Independent reserve engineers
recognizes the Deep Basin potential for the first time PDP 2P 2P 2P NPV10 ($BN) $1.18 $1.71 Net Debt ($BN) $0.38 $0.38 Shares O/S (MM) 504 504 Total NAV / Share $1.58 $2.63
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
6 2 % 3 % 3 % 6 5 % 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018E Liquids s Weight Lega gacy Adj djust stment 2018E Pr Proforma Liquids Weight
23
assets in exchange for the assumption of abandonment and reclamation liabilities
corporate netback
Liquid uids Weight ght (%)
Midpoint t of Producti tion Guidance (boe/d /d)
Decommissioning ning Liabilities ($MM) M)
Midpoint t of Opex Guidance ($/boe)
R1W4 INDEX X MAP
SUGDEN DEN
T25 R10 R10 R20 R1W5 T35 T45 T55
MIKWAN ACADIA IA WIMBORN RNE ALSASK SK BASHAW
30 miles 45 kms
Legacy y Package OBE land
Legacy Asset Disposition Lands
$ 17 0 $ 14 7 $ 2 3 $0 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 Q4 4 2017 Decommissioning Liabilities Legacy Adjustment Q4 2017 Pr Proforma Decommissioning Liabilities 3 1,500 2 9 ,500 2 ,000 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 2018E Previous Guidance Lega gacy Adj djustment 2018E Profo rma Pr Production $13.75 $13.25 $ 0.50 $0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 2018E Previous Guidance Lega gacy Adj djust stment 2018E Proforma Ope pex
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
$19,000 $14,000 $8,000 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000
2015 2016 2017
$15,000 $13,500 $12,000 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000
2015 2016 2017
$92,000 $83,000 $66,000 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000
Corporate
2015 2016 2017 24
abandonment to realize efficiencies and further reduce decommissioning expense
Asset Retirement Operations
Average ge Well Abando donm nment nt Cost ($/We Well) Average ge Reclamation n Cost ($/He Hect ctare) Average ge Pipe peline ne Abando donm nment nt Cost ($/km)
28% Decrease 20% Decrease 58% Decrease
See end notes
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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All slides should be read in conjunction with “Definitions and Industry Terms”, “Non-GAAP Measure Advisory”, “Oil and Gas Disclosures Advisory” and “Forward-Looking Advisory”
Slide 3. Obsidian Energy Corporate Profile Daily Volume (shares) is the 30 day average share volume traded on Canadian and US Exchanges per Bloomberg. Production is based on Q2 2018 results. The net sections are approximate numbers and are internal estimates. Slide 5. 2019: An inflection point in the business Chart was provided by Desjardins Capital Markets and was based on their internal estimates Slide 6. The Largest Land Holder in The Cardium Play Fairway Additional inventory is an internal estimate, reserves summary was prepared by our independent reserves evaluation (Sproule Associates Limited) as at year-end 2017 Slide 7. Why Willesden Green, Why Now? Average Cumulative Oil by is public data pulled from IHS database. Industry average oil production per well data pulled from IHS database. Slide 9. Obsidian Energy Has Distinctive Running Room Additional locations are internal estimates. Slide 10. Why Obsidian Energy, Why Now? All Figures are internal estimates and rounded. Slide 12. Focused 2018 Plan Production and capital expenditures are based on internal estimates for 2018. Slide 13. Portfolio Optionality on Display Internal Rates of Returns are rounded and based our budget price deck, a blended Sep 30, 2017 strip price and independent reserves evaluator (Sproule Associates Limited) price deck. Slide 14. Obsidian’s Dominate Cardium Position 2P reserves was prepared by our independent reserves evaluation (Sproule Associates Limited) as at year-end 2017. Locations are internal estimates. Best in Class refers to industry average oil production per well for the past four consecutive years being above industry average. Original Oil In Place (OOIP) means Discovered Petroleum Initially In Place (DPIIP) as at December 31, 2017. OOIP/DPIIP estimates and recovery rates are as at December 31, 2017, and are based on current accepted technology and have been prepared by internal geologists and reservoir engineers. DPIIP, as defined in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluations Handbook (COGEH), is that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of DPIIP includes production, reserves and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable. There is significant uncertainty regarding the ultimate recoverability and the commercial viability to produce any portion of this OOIP/DPIIP. The Company’s average working interest in the Cardium is 81%. Notwithstanding the uncertainty regarding recoverability of OOIP/DPIIP, the Company believes that it is the most appropriate measure to properly consider the effects of the primary and integrated waterflood program, particularly the effect of changes to recovery factor on potential ultimate resource recovery. Slide 15. Variable Stratigraphy Across the Play Is for illustration only, represents the stratigraphy across the Cardium fairway play and is an internal estimate. Slides 16, 17, 18,19, 20 (Asset Slides) Economics are based on Ed Par - Cad$66.93/bbl in 2018, Cad$64.72/bbl in 2019, escalating through 2022 and AECO
Slide 22. 2017 Reserves Highlight Revitalized Operations Delivery NAV Valuation is based on 2P NPV10 as prepared by our independent reserves evaluation (Sproule Associates Limited) as at year-end 2017. Net Debt and share count is as at year-end 2017. All numbers are rounded Slide 23. Reducing Liability Through Legacy Asset Disposition All figures are internal estimates. Slide 24. Reducing Liability Through Efficient Asset Retirement All figures are internal estimates and are rounded
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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Frac means fraccing, short name for Hydraulic fracturing, a method for extracting oil and natural gas FX means foreign exchange rate, in our case typically refers to C$ to US$ exchange rates Free Cash Flow, which is Funds Flow from Operations less Total Capital Expenditures FY means fiscal year G&A means general and administrative expenses H2 mean second half of the year Hz means horizontal well IP means initial production, which is the average production
IRR means Internal Rate of Return which is the interest rate at which the NPV equals zero km means kilometers Liquids % means the percentage of crude oil and NGLs from the total barrels of oil equivalent of production Liquids means crude oil and NGLs M or k means thousands m means meters Mmcf means million cubic feet Mmcf/d means million cubic feet per day Mboe means thousand barrels oil equivalent MMboe means million barrels oil equivalent MBBL & MMbbl means thousands barrels of oil and million barrels of oil, respectively MM means millions N, S, E, W means the North, South, East, West or in any combination NAV means net asset value % means percent PDP means proved developed producing reserves as per Oil and Gas Disclosures Advisory 1P means proved reserves as per Oil and Gas Disclosures Advisory 2P means proved plus probable reserves as per Oil and Gas Disclosures Advisory Av., Ave., Avg. means average A&D means oil and natural gas property acquisitions and divestitures A&D Adj. means oil and natural gas property acquisitions and divestitures AER means Alberta Energy Regulator BTCF means before tax cash flow bbl and bbl/d means means barrels of oil and barrels of oil per day, respectively $BN means billions of dollars Bopd means barrel of oil per day Boe, boe/d or BOE/D means barrels of oil equivalent and barrels of oil equivalent per day, respectively Capital Expenditures & Capex includes all direct costs related to our operated and non-operated development programs including drilling, completions, tie-in, development of and expansions to existing facilities and major infrastructure,
Company or OBE means Obsidian Energy Ltd; as applicable DCET means drilling, completions, equip and tie-in costs Decommissioning means decommissioning expenditures Enviro means decommissioning expenditures E means estimate EUR means estimated ultimate recovery F&D means finding and development costs Net Debt means Senior Debt plus bank debt plus non-cash working capital deficit, detailed in the Non-GAAP measure advisory NGL means natural gas liquids which includes hydrocarbon not marketed as natural gas (methane) or various classes of
NPV means net present value OOIP means original oil in place Opex means operating costs PCU Means Pembina Cardium Unit POR means porosity Perm means permeability PIR means profit investment ratio PROP means Peace River Oil Partnership scf/d means standard cubic feet per day SEC means U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Spud mean the process of beginning to drill a well TD means total depth where drilling has stopped TSX means Toronto Stock Exchange WI means working interest WF means waterflood
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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Non-GAAP measures advisory In this presentation, we refer to certain financial measures that are not determined in accordance with IFRS. These measures as presented do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore they may not be comparable with calculations of similar measures for other companies. We believe that, in conjunction with results presented in accordance with IFRS, these measures assist in providing a more complete understanding of certain aspects of
determined in accordance with IFRS as an indication of our performance. These measures include the following: Netback is a measure of cash operating margin on an absolute or per-unit-of-production basis and is calculated as the absolute or per-unit-of-production amount of revenue less royalties, operating costs and transportation. The measure is used to assess the operational profitability of the company as well as relative profitability of individual assets. For additional information relating to netbacks, including a detailed calculation of our netbacks, see our latest management's discussion and analysis which is available in Canada at www.sedar.com and in the United States at www.sec.gov; and Net debt is the amount of long-term debt, comprised of long-term notes and bank debt, plus net working capital (surplus)/deficit. Net debt is a measure of leverage and liquidity
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE 28
Unless otherwise noted, any reference to reserves in this presentation are based on the report ("Sproule Report") prepared by Sproule Associates Limited dated January 29, 2018 where they evaluated one hundred percent of the crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids reserves of Obsidian Energy and the net present value of future net revenue attributable to those reserves effective as at December 31,
presented herein represent the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserves estimates of crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquid reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. The estimates of reserves for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Production and Reserves The use of the word "gross" in this presentation (i) in relation to our interest in production and reserves, means our working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including our royalty interests, (ii) in relation to wells, means the total number of wells in which we have an interest, and (iii) in relation to properties, means the total area of properties in which we have an
a property, means the total area in which we have an interest multiplied by the working interest owned by us. Unless otherwise stated, production volumes and reserves estimates in this presentation are stated
Reserve Definitions Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, as of a given date, based on the analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical, and engineering data; the use of established technology; and specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Reserves are classified according to the degree of certainty associated with the estimates. proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. Each of the reserves categories (proved and probable) may be divided into developed and undeveloped categories: Developed reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. The developed category may be subdivided into producing and non-producing. Developed producing reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. Developed non-producing reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut-in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. Undeveloped reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category (proved, probable) to which they are assigned. For additional reserve definitions, see "Notes to Reserves Data Tables" in our AIF.
ObsidianEnergy.com | TSX/NYSE: OBE
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Certain statements contained in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively "forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "budget", "may", "will", "project", "could", "plan", "intend", "should", "believe", "outlook", "objective", "aim", "potential", "target" and similar words suggesting future events or future performance. In addition, statements relating to "reserves" or "resources" are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and can be profitably produced in the future. In particular, this presentation contains, without limitation, forward-looking statements pertaining to the following: our expected 2018 guidance for production, growth, total expenditures (including capital and decommissioning), operating expenses and general and administrative expense; potential drilling locations; that we expect certain formations to be near term liquids rich locations; expectations for well production and timing at various locations; the potential cash flow growth versus corporate valuation of the Company for 2019; the significant inventory upside of the Company; that we will be fast tracking the Cardium and intensifying short cycle Willesden Green Cardium drilling; that we will set ourselves apart in the Cardium and provide investors with a focused capital application model, manufacturing process to systematically unlock value and light oil growth trajectory with torque to rising prices; the addition of $50 million of development capital and the resulting potential wells and the timing thereof, our expectations for other locations such as Deep Basin, Pembina, PROP and Alberta Viking; that there is a robust pipeline of drill ready portfolio focusing in Willesden Green, allowing quick capitalization on incremental free cash flow; that depth and repeatability of inventory allows for programmatic scale of Cardium development; that we will be employing a quicker payout program that balances primary drilling with targeted low capital integrated waterflood opportunities; that robust margins and high liquids position set up well for 2019+ price leverage; the Original Oil in Place; the addition of potential incremental wells to our 2018 program and focus on short cycle returns; that we will focus on fit for purpose well design and continuous improvement through partner collaboration and offset well monitoring; the expected type curves; that the integrated waterflood approach improves the recovery factor; and how we plan to reduce liabilities through efficient asset retirement and asset disposition. The key metrics for the Company set forth in this presentation may be considered to be future-oriented financial information or a financial outlook for the purposes of applicable Canadian securities laws. Financial outlook and future-oriented financial information contained in this presentation are based on assumptions about future events based on management's assessment of the relevant information currently available. In particular, this presentation contains projected operational and financial information for 2018, 2019 and beyond for the Company. The future-oriented financial information and financial outlooks contained in this presentation have been approved by management as of the date of this presentation. Readers are cautioned that any such financial outlook and future-oriented financial information contained herein should not be used for purposes other than those for which it is disclosed herein. With respect to forward-looking statements contained in this document, we have made assumptions regarding, among other things: our ability to complete asset sales and the terms and timing of any such sales; the economic returns that we anticipate realizing from expenditures made on our assets; future crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas prices and differentials between light, medium and heavy oil prices and Canadian, WTI and world oil and natural gas prices; future capital expenditure levels; future crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas production levels; drilling results; future exchange rates and interest rates; future taxes and royalties; the continued suspension of our dividend; our ability to execute our capital programs as planned without significant adverse impacts from various factors beyond our control, including weather, infrastructure access and delays in obtaining regulatory approvals and third party consents; our ability to obtain equipment in a timely manner to carry out development activities and the costs thereof; our ability to market our oil and natural gas successfully; our ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms, including our ability to renew or replace our reserve based loan; our ability to finance the repayment of our senior secured notes on maturity; and our ability to add production and reserves through our development and exploitation activities. In addition, many of the forward-looking statements contained in this document are located proximate to assumptions that are specific to those forward-looking statements, and such assumptions should be taken into account when reading such forward-looking statements. Please note that illustrative examples are not to be construed as guidance for the Company and further details on assumptions can be found in the Endnotes section of the presentation. Although Obsidian Energy believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Obsidian Energy can give no assurances that they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking information addresses future events and conditions, by its very nature it involves inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to: the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production; the possibility that the semi- annual borrowing base re-determination under our of our reserve-based loan is not acceptable to the Company or that we breach one or more of the financial covenants pursuant to our amending agreements with holders of our senior, secured notes; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to reserves, production, costs and expenses; health, safety and environmental risks; commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations; interest rate fluctuations; marketing and transportation; loss of markets; environmental risks; competition; incorrect assessment of the value of acquisitions; failure to complete or realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions or dispositions; ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; failure to obtain required regulatory and other approvals; reliance on third parties; and changes in legislation, including but not limited to tax laws, royalties and environmental regulations. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors that could affect Obsidian Energy, or its operations or financial results, are included in the Company's most recently filed Management's Discussion and Analysis (See "Forward-Looking Statements" therein)), Annual Information Form (See "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements" therein) and other reports on file with applicable securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com), EDGAR website (www.sec.gov) or Obsidian Energy's website. Unless otherwise specified, the forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of July 31, 2018. Except as expressly required by applicable securities laws, we do not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained in this document are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.