North American Crude Oil TD London Energy Conference January 14, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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North American Crude Oil TD London Energy Conference January 14, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Market Access for Land Locked North American Crude Oil TD London Energy Conference January 14, 2013 J. Richard Bird Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development Legal Notice This presentation includes certain


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TD London Energy Conference

January 14, 2013

Market Access for Land Locked North American Crude Oil

  • J. Richard Bird

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development

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This presentation includes certain forward looking information (FLI) to provide Enbridge shareholders and potential investors with information about Enbridge and management's assessment of its future plans and operations, which may not be appropriate for other purposes. FLI is typically identified by words such as "anticipate", "expect", "project", "estimate", "forecast", "plan", "intend", "target", "believe" and similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. Although we believe that our FLI is reasonable based on the information available today and processes used to prepare it, such statements are not guarantees of future performance and you are cautioned against placing undue reliance on FLI. FLI inherently involves a variety of assumptions, risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our FLI. Material assumptions include: expected supply and demand for crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; prices of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; expected exchange rates; inflation; interest rates; availability and price of labour and pipeline construction materials;

  • perational reliability; customer project approvals; maintenance of support and regulatory approvals for Enbridge’s

projects; anticipated in-service dates and weather. Our FLI is subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, project approval and support, construction schedules, weather, economic and competitive conditions, exchange rates, interest rates, commodity prices and supply and demand for commodities, including but not limited to those discussed more extensively in our filings with Canadian and US securities regulators. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on any particular FLI is not determinable with certainty as these are interdependent and our future course of action depends on management's assessment of all information available at the relevant time. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any FLI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All FLI in this presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by these cautionary statements. This presentation may make reference to certain financial measures, such as adjusted net income, which are not recognized under GAAP. Reconciliations to the most closely related GAAP measures are included in the MD&A filings and/or Supplementary Financial Information available on our website or in the slides that accompany this presentation, if applicable.

Legal Notice

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Toronto Quebec City

$45 Billion Energy Infrastructure Asset Base

Gas Distribution

Norman Wells Zama Fort McMurray Portland Casper Montreal Salt Lake City Patoka Cushing Houston Superior Clearbrook Edmonton Hardisty Toronto Chicago

Liquids Pipelines

Edmonton Fort St. John Houston Chicago Sarnia

Gas Pipelines

Toronto Edmonton

Renewable Energy

2011 Adjusted Earnings 65% 16% 17% 2011 Adjusted Earnings 2011 Adjusted Earnings 2011 Adjusted Earnings 2% 62% 19% 17%

Wind Power Generation Waste Heat Recovery Solar Power Generation Geothermal Power Generation Power Transmission

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16% 20% 19% 7% 1% 9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

1 Year 5 Year 10 Year Total Shareholder Return CAGR

Enbridge Inc. S&P/TSX Composite Index

Enbridge Performance Relative to S&P/TSX Composite Index

As at December 31, 2012

Value Creation Track Record

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89% 100% 96%

North American Peer Group Percentile

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Edmonton Fort McMurray Chicago

Trans Mountain 8% Express 9% W Corridor 3% Alberta Oilsands

Hardisty

Keystone 17%

US Imports 20121 MMbpd Western Canada Enbridge

Other

2.1 1.3 0.8 Saudi Arabia 1.5 Mexico 1.0 Venezuela 0.8 Iraq 0.5 Columbia 0.4 Nigeria 0.4 Kuwait 0.3 Brazil 0.3 Angola 0.3 Others 1.1 Total 8.8 2012 Capacity MMbpd Enbridge 2.50 Keystone 0.59 Trans Mountain 0.30 Express 0.28 West Corridor 0.15

1 Average Q1/Q2 2012. Source: Enbridge, Energy Information Administration 2 Includes tanker shipments from Canadian east coast production

Enbridge

transports 63% of U.S. bound Western Canadian production

Dominant Transporter of Canadian Crude Oil

ENB ~ 15% Total US Imports

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Global Light Oil Price Benchmark Outlook

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Source: EIA “Annual Energy Outlook 2013”, PIRA Energy Group

$80 $85 $90 $95 $100 $105 $110 $115 $120

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 USD per bbl

PIRA EIA

Brent Price Outlook (2011 dollars)

2013 - 2025

U.S. Domestic Production Growth Developing Country Demand Growth

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Western Canada/U.S. Northwest Supply Growth

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0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 CAPP Forecast 1.5 MMbpd

Forecast Western Canada Production

MMbpd

2.4 MMbpd 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 PIRA Energy Group Forecast

Forecast Bakken Production

MMbpd

1.0 MMbpd 1.3 MMbpd

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Landlocked Supply Price Discounts

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$91

WCS Bakken Light Brent Maya

Pricing reflects December 2012 averages (Crude prices are in US$ per bbl)

$106 $55 $110

LLS WTI

$85

Light Crude Heavy Crude

NOTE: * Brent price is a landed price on US East Coast/ US Gulf Coast. Assumed tanker freight cost of US$2.00 per bbl.

Edm Light

$81 $88

Asia Brent

$113

*

$113

*

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Value Lever # 1 – Mainline System

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Montreal Gretna Regina Hardisty Kerrobert Superior Toledo Buffalo Edmonton Houston Detroit Clearbrook Flanagan

Oil Sands

Cromer Cushing Patoka Chicago Sarnia

Bakken

  • Largest crude oil pipeline

system in the world

  • Value Leverage:

– Scale – Product Segregation – Market Diversity – Premium Markets – Established ROW

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Value Lever # 2 – Alberta Regional System

  • Largest operator in Alberta
  • Value Leverage:

– Low cost expansion – “Bridging” of new projects – Regional expertise – ROW access – Dual delivery hubs

Lloydminster

Edmonton

Cold Lake

Hardisty Hub

Cheecham Terminal Nexen (Long Lake) Suncor (MacKay River) ConocoPhillips (Surmont) Suncor (Firebag)

Alberta

Husky (Sunrise) Imperial Oil (Kearl)

Waupisoo Pipeline (up to 580 kbpd) Athabasca Pipeline (up to 600 kbpd) Project Connections Athabasca Twin Pipeline (initially 450 kbpd)

Cenovus (Christina Lake) Statoil (Leismer)

Woodland Pipeline Extension

Total Secured Capital = $3.4 B

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Athabasca Terminal

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Value Lever # 3 – Bakken Regional System

  • Largest operator in the Bakken
  • Value Leverage:

– Sole gathering/collector system in Bakken core – Access to mainline multiple premium markets – Contract and common carrier service – Established ROW

Gretna

Saskatchewan

Minot Lignite Weyburn

Cromer Berthold

Steelman Tioga Stanley

Clearbrook North Dakota

Enbridge Mainline System North Dakota System (EEP) Saskatchewan System (ENF) Bakken Expansion Project (EEP/ENF)

Total Secured Capital = $0.8 B

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Montreal Gretna Regina Hardisty Kerrobert Superior Toledo Buffalo Edmonton Houston Detroit Clearbrook Flanagan Fort McMurray Cromer Cushing Patoka Chicago Sarnia

Value Lever # 4 – Existing Mainline Extensions

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  • Value Leverage:

– Market Diversity – Established ROW – Mainline Joint Tolls

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New Market Access Initiative # 1 – Western U.S. Gulf Coast Access

Cushing Houston Chicago/ Flanagan Port Arthur

1 3 2

# 1. Seaway Pipeline Acquisition + Reversal ($1.4B)

  • Enbridge Inc. and Enterprise JV
  • Initial capacity 150 kbpd, up to 400 kbpd by Q1 ‘13
  • Reversal started May 2012
  • Connectivity to ECHO Terminal in 2013 (65 miles)

# 2. Seaway Pipeline Twin + Lateral ($1.0B)

  • Enbridge Inc. and Enterprise JV
  • Twin Seaway Pipeline (515 miles)
  • Initial capacity 450 kbpd, In-service mid-2014
  • Connectivity to Port Arthur (85 miles)

# 3. Flanagan South Pipeline ($2.8B)

  • Enbridge Inc. 100%
  • Twin Spearhead Pipeline (36-inch pipeline, 591 miles)
  • Initial capacity 585 kbpd, expandable to 800 kbpd
  • In-service mid-2014

Total Secured Capital = $6.4 B

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# 4. Associated Mainline Expansions ($1.2B)

  • Expanding Line 67 from 450 kbpd to 800 kbpd
  • Expanding Line 61 from 400 kbpd to 560 kbpd

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New Market Access Initiative # 2 – Eastern Access

Clearbrook Superior Sarnia Chicago Patoka Toledo Montreal Westover Hardisty

2 1 4 5

Cushing Gretna Regina

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4

Total Secured Capital = $2.7 B

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4 1 5 2 3

Line 5 Expansion Spearhead North Expansion Line 6B Replacement Line 9 Reversal Toledo Pipeline Partial Twin

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New Market Access Initiative # 3 – Light Oil Market Access

15 Hardisty Clearbrook Gretna Superior Flanagan Cushing Montreal Sarnia Toledo Patoka

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Total Secured Capital = $6.2 B

Chicago

2 1 3 4 5

Canadian Mainline Terminal Capability ($0.6B) Sandpiper Project ($2.5B) U.S. Mainline Expansion ($1.8B) a) Superior to Flanagan b) Chicago Area Connectivity Eastern Access Upsize ($0.5B) a) Line 6B Expansion b) Line 9 Reversal Expansion Southern Access Extension ($0.8B)

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Other New Market Access Initiatives

16 Canadian/U.S. East Coast Refinery Markets

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Eastern U.S. Gulf Coast Refinery Markets Asia Pacific/West Coast Refinery Markets

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$35 Billion Growth Investment Plan

Enbridge Day Current

2012 – 2016 Enterprise Wide Growth Capital

Risked Unsecured Highly Probable Unsecured Commercially Secured

$35 B $35 B

$27 B $18 B $12 B $3 B $5 B $5 B

(Oct 2012)

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An Industry Leading Growth Outlook

* Please refer to Non-GAAP Measures disclosure in news release. All figures are based on US GAAP reporting.

$0.00 $3.00

2011 2016e

Adjusted EPS* Growth

  • Tilted Return Projects
  • 2016 Risked Unsecured
  • New Growth Platforms
  • Sponsored Vehicle Drop Downs

Commercially Secured (as at Enbridge Day) Highly Probable Unsecured

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Investment Merits Summary

  • Exceptional array of attractive return investment opportunities
  • Financial risk tightly managed
  • Ample access to low cost conventional funding sources
  • Sponsored vehicles further augment access to low cost capital,

accelerate growth Attractive investments low cost of capital Industry leading growth Substantial Valuation Upside

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