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New York
October 15, 2007
New York October 15, 2007 1 Disclaimer This presentation may - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
New York October 15, 2007 1 Disclaimer This presentation may contain statements that express managements expectations about future events or results rather than historical facts. These forward-looking statements involve risks and
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New York
October 15, 2007
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”This presentation may contain statements that express management’s expectations about future events or results rather than historical facts. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements, and CVRD cannot give assurance that such statements will prove
and Canadian economies and securities markets, which may exhibit volatility and can be adversely affected by developments in other countries; relating to the iron ore business and its dependence on the global steel industry, which is cyclical in nature; and relating to the highly competitive industries in which CVRD operates. For additional information on factors that could cause CVRD’s actual results to differ from expectations reflected in forward-looking statements, please see CVRD’s reports filed with the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliários and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.”
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Chief Executive Officer
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Growth investment/Capex in %
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1H07
Projects R&D
60.5 67.9 68.6 77.4 71.9 71.0
¹ Project development and research development
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5.4 7.5 11.1 31.2 41.2 46.8% 54.7% 64.4% 54.3% 54.2% 2003 2004 2005 2006³ LTM 2Q07³ Capital invested US$ billion ROIC %
¹ PP&E + working capital + R&D
2 before income taxes 3 excludes effect of extraordinary inventory adjustments
Return on capital invested
1 2
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LTM EBITDA US$ billion
15.6 12.5 10.1 8.3 7.3 7.2 6.5 5.8 5.0 4.0 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5
1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06¹ 1Q07¹ 2Q07¹
1 excluding extraordinary effect of inventory adjustment
Quarterly EBITDA volatility Total 0.82 % upward 72% % downward 28%
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1 January 1, 2002 to September 30, 2007
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
2002 2003 2004 2004 2006 2007
CVRD’s market cap US$ billion
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Position among the 500 largest companies in the world by market cap
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 March 2007 September 2007 Ranking
Source: Financial Times – FT 500 and Bloomberg
500 400 300 200 100 1
153
275
334
446
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Contribution to global GDP¹ growth
Developed economies 46% USA 19% China 22% Emerging market economies 54%
Average 1989-98 3.2% p.a.
Emerging market economies 73% China 33% USA 10% Developed economies 27%
Average 2005-07 5.3% p.a.
1 Global GDP at PPP. Emerging market economies are responsible for 48% of global GDP and 84.7% of world population
Source: IMF
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2000 2006 2011E Iron ore¹ 15.4 45.0 54.0 Nickel 4.9 17.3 31.0 Aluminum 14.0 25.5 41.0 Copper 12.7 21.0 30.0
¹ share of Chinese imports in seaborne trade Sources: CRU and CVRD
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¹ does not include expenditures in acquisitions
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2003 2007E 2008E 2012E CAGR CAGR 07-12 03-07 Iron ore 186.0 300.0 325.0 422.0 7.1% 12.7% Pellets¹ 13.0 17.6 20.0 33.0 13.4% 7.9% Coal
7.6 15.2 39.3%
280.0 507.0 14.3%
300.0 592.0 15.3%
2.3 4.3 5.3 8.2 13.8% 16.9%
million metric tons
¹ does not include production of JVs (Samarco, Nibrasco, Hispanobras, Kobrasco, Itabrasco). Attributable production in 2007 is expected to reach 18 Mt. Samarco 3rd pellet plant (7.6 Mtpy) is coming on stream in 1H08. ² 1,000 metric tons ³ does includes volumes of finished nickel produced under tolling agreements with concentrates purchased from third parties
Running at 450Mtpy
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US$ billion
Projects 68.7% Sustaining capex 23.3% R&D 8.0%
By category
1 US$ 349 million will be invested in mineral exploration
By business area
Coal 3.5% Logistics 17.0% Power generation 4.3% Other 5.8% Ferrous minerals 29.6% Aluminum 6.9% Non-ferrous minerals 32.9%
25 Canada Brazil Mozambique
Iron ore & pellets Nickel Coal Copper Bauxite & alumina Phosphates Logistics Power generation
Peru Chile Australia New Caledonia Indonesia Oman
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Iron ore & pellets Nickel Coal Copper Bauxite & alumina Phosphates Logistics Power generation Steel
Brownfield Greenfield
2008 2010
Goro
2009 2011 2012
Reference
US$ 1 billion Onça Puma Itabiritos Fazendão Northern Corridor Alunorte 6&7 Paragominas II Papomono Carajás 130 Mtpy Southern Corridor Carborough Downs Equatorial Barcarena Salobo I Tubarão VIII Oman Estreito Bayovar Karebbe Voisey’s Bay Paragominas III Southern Range NAR Moatize Litoranea Totten Maquiné-Baú Vermelho Eastern Range CSA CSV Setentrional
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Executive Director of Human Resources and Corporate Services
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CVRD HR . Policies with focus in Brazil . Brazilian staff . Support to operations in Brazil . Beginning of Organizational Development support HR Brazil: . Policies with focus in Brazil . Support to operations in Brazil . Organizational Development support by business.
2004 2005 2007 2006
Up to 2004:
HR Brazil
From 2005 up to June 2007:
HR Brazil + International HR
Global HR:
Processes
local policies
Development support by business International HR:
corporate HR guidelines to support international
Development support by region/continent.
From July 2007:
Global HR
Transition National Global
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CVRD Strategy 5 years outlook with annual check-ins :
HR strategy prioritizing Education & Internal Development
HR Strategic Planning Organic growth New projects M&A’s Ongoing needs
“CVRD HR Starting point” “The enabler, the basis of an HR that make sense”
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Employee Assessment Career& Succession Committees
More than 400 in 2006… Coaching & Development Succession Planning Retention Strategies External Recruitment Internal Talent Pool
Employee Feedback
Team Development Plan Variable Payment Career & Succession follow ups
Leader & Employee dialogue
92% of managerial
position filled internally Succession Readiness :
81% Internally
19% Externally
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Valer represents the company’s corporate education strategy, driving the learning and development of the professionals in the CVRD value chain. It is focused on articulated projects, with an overriding emphasis on sustained professional formation, the development of production capacity and the formation of leaders empowered to transform.
CVRD Corporate University
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Education Programmes - responsible for 60% of CVRD’s technical positions :
Commitment with CVRD’s growth - CVRD has increased 10 times its investments in Education over the last 5 years. Doing more with less - CVRD educational strategy has increased hours of training in relation to benchmark with excellence and efficiency.
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Across all capital intensive industries, companies treating procurement as a strategic function, generate faster and higher value
Supplier related optimizations lead to: revenue/margins increase, loss minimization and cost reductions (up to 4% increase over previous savings); In mergers and acquisitions processes, procurement related synergies are often higher than 30% of the total merger value; Supply Management best practices unlock significant value in large Capex projects (~ 25% more value); Expanding procurement perimeter along the spending categories generate compliance and savings (> 5% higher); Organizations have to guarantee that suppliers are aligned with their main compliances structures such as social and environmental responsibility;
Source: Booz Allen & Hamilton, CAPS Research and The Executive Board
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Chile Shanghai, China Japan Argentina China South Africa Australia India Brazil HQ
Canada
Strategic Suppliers Procurement Offices
■ USD 5.5 bi total spending from strategic categories and projects implementations for 2008 ■ 400 Suppliers, 152 international from 29 countries ■ 23 categories with long-term strategic alliances
USA France
Switzerland Germany Austria Finland
Grand Britain
Holland Norway Italy Greece Sweden
Belgium
Brazil
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Benchmarks and Trends source: Aberdeen Group, The Executive Board, Quadrem, Gartner Group, ATKearney
Acts as a global procurement team with centers of excellence in Brazil, Canada, Europe and Asia Establishes global partnerships in order to sustain its growth strategy and operations improvement Uses product lifecycle sourcing (design-to-source) in order to address Low Cost Countries (LCC) Adopts flexible bidding processes enabling suppliers to add value on the negotiation Manages nearly 100% of its total spend through its ERP system (Benchmark = 78%) Electronically enables all its suppliers via its ERP/Procurement Portal System (Benchmark = >50%)
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People Processes Tools
Global demand consolidation network Supplier Profile Database Price analysis and evolution tools CAPEX price evolution toolkit Contracts P&L monitoring Price benchmarking among industries Online access to bids historical record Electronically enabled negotiation tools (RFx, Reverse Auctions, Quotes Comparison) Global procurement structure Centralization of main processes for all global
Specialized category managers Renewed procurement staff Diversified talent portfolio background VALUE CREATION Strategic sources every single category Uses TCO methodology to set negotiation targets Vendor list enhancement throughout a global network Supplier integration for operational improvement Monitor technical KPIs and continuous development Develops commercial agreements optimizing tax and logistics
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3,465 3,884 1,910 6.81% 7.38% 12.54%
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
2005 2006 2007 YTD
5% 15% Strategic Spend Savings
3.14% 6.03%
2006 2007 YTD
Accumulated Brazilian Inflation CVRD Accumulated Inflation Index
Cost saving programs sponsored by top management Multi-functional technical groups to challenge specifications and stimulate innovation Combined action plans with suppliers aiming productivity increase and total cost
Contingency and crisis management plans in place to assure production continuity
Procurement Commercial Performance
US$ Millions 2007 YTD until August
L E S S L E S S I S M O M O R R E ENote: Inflation Index only consider operational expenses
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Executive Director Information Technology and Corporate Management
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0.4 0.9 1.1 2.9 3.0 4.9 7.5 2 4 4 3 3 7 4 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007e 2008p Capital invested US$ billion Projects delivered
Capex Projects
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CVRD - Operations CVRD INCO – Operations CVRD INCO – Commercial Exploration / Proyect CVRD - RDs
CVRD Samarco Itabrasco Kobrasco Nibrasco Hispanobrás TVV Valesul Urucum Albrás Alunorte CADAM MRN PPSA Ferro Gusa Carajás MBR FCA RDM RDME RDMN RD Asia Tokyo Docenave Arg. RD Asia Shanghai Rio Doce Austrália Rio Doce índia CVRDI Bayovar CLMA CMTR CVRD Venezuela Rio Doce Argentina Rio Doce South Africa Rio Doce Mozambique Tethys Mining Yankuang Longyu Belvedere Goro AMCI
CVRD Inco PTInco
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■ Corporate performance: at par with comparable global companies (HR, IT, Procurement…….) according to independent studies ■ Focus on excellence in corporate functions: dedicated area of Information Technology and Corporate Management ■ To keep CVRD fast growth under close coordination ■ To improve performance and increase reliability through global standards, processes and systems ■ To increase asset productivity and provide a safe environment by sponsoring a broader adoption of automation technologies
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Flexibility Local Needs Local Agility Standardization Global Simplicity Global Agility
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2007 2008 Beyond
ERP Brazil - 5000 users More 9 companies 2100 users CVRD International, FCA, MBR… Roll out to other companies
Until 2006
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Production control Inventory control Parts management Logistics Order control Purchasing
Where do we create more value?
Production control Inventory control Parts management Logistics Order control Purchasing
Production control Inventory control Parts management Logistics Order control Purchasing
Production control Inventory control Parts management Logistics Order control Purchasing
CV CVRD’s Bu Busin siness Intelligenc gence e
Which trends can I benefit most of? Which will the best product portfolio in the coming years?
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Resulting in:
15 15 30 60 200 30 84 118 210 330 2004 2005 2006 2007e 2008p New Projects Optimization
CVRD Automation Improvement Investments (US$ MM)
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■ To achieve the IT Strategic goals through the establishment
■ To apply automation technologies that contribute to
sustainability ■ To lead and coordinate corporate excellence efforts, pursuing continuous improvement in governance, processes, rule making and compliance. Information Technology and Corporate Management Area
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Executive Director of Logistics
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OPERATIONAL FIGURES 10,179 kilometers railroad network 1,008 locomotives and 41,761 wagons 6 Ports and Terminals THESE ASSETS PROVIDE FOR… 16% of cargo transported in Brazil and 30% of the cargo handled in Brazilian Ports 230.9 million tons of iron ore shipped through CVRD Port Complexes in 2006 24.6 million tons of general cargo shipped through port terminals in 2006
EFC EFVM FCA Port Terminals Multimodal Terminal FNS (EFC operation) FERROBAN Trackage right
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Increase competitiveness in mining operations, mainly iron ore and coal In general cargo, focus on high margin and volume products, mainly steel industry and agribusiness Log-In has been created to be competitive in the inter-modal business More than 27 thousand individual and institutional investors purchased company shares during the IPO
Beginning of General Cargo
DCNDB Docenave Argentina Beginning of conteiner transportation in FCA
Log-In IPO
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
...
Beginning of TVV
(1998)
CVRD logistics strategy Log-In
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Investments in safety Focus on accidents reduction Preventive actions Operational efficiency Investments in infrastructure, automation, technology and training CVRD environmental policy is an action based on ethics and social commitment
Socio Environmental Responsibility Productivity Safety Strategic drivers
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Iron ore shipments
million metric tons
1Q 03 2Q 03 3Q 03 4Q 03 1Q 04 2Q 04 3Q 04 4Q 04 1Q 05 2Q 05 3Q 05 4Q 05 1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06 4Q 06 1Q 07 2Q 07
39.2 Mt 61.4 Mt
CAGR: 10.7%
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1,092 649 784 484 274 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Logistics investments 2003 to 2007 – US$ 3.3 billion
US$ million
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Vitória a Minas Railroad – EFVM
Vitória a Minas Railroad investments Tubarão Port Complex investments
Implemented: Increase of 110 locomotives and 5,100 wagons in the last 5 years Duplication of Railroad between Brucutu and Costa Lacerda Expansion of railroad yard at Costa Lacerda In progress: Expansion of railroad yards at Drummond and Ipatinga Expansion of railroad yard in Tubarão Complex 28 locomotives and 900 wagons (2008/09) In progress: Overall and services of all existing car dumpers 5th car dumper construction (start-up: 1st Q, 2008) Performance improvement of conveyor belts and replacement of 2 ship loaders
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Carajás Railroad - EFC North South Railroad - FNS
Carajás Railroad investments Ponta da Madeira Terminal investments
Implemented: Increase of 87 locomotives and 4,856 wagons in the last 5 years Construction and expansion of 10 railroad crossing yards In progress: Expansion of 56 railroad crossing yards Expansion of Carajás and São Luis railroads terminals 40 locomotives and 3,128 wagons (2008/09) Implemented: Addition of Pier III Construction of 4th and 5th ship loaders at pier III Addition of 3rd and 4th loading tracks Addition of storage yards G and H, stackers/reclaimers and conveyors Addition of 3rd car dumper In progress: 4th car dumper Stock yard I, stacker/reclaimer and conveyors
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Stock yards G and H – Ponta da Madeira Terminal Expansion of Carajás railroad crossing yards – Location 43
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Carajás Railroad
1 pier 2 ship loaders 2 loading tracks 4 car dumpers 6 stock yards New railroad spur in Carajás region Carajás main line duplication 97 locomotives and 6,613 wagons
Carajás Railroad - EFC North South Railroad - FNS
Expansion of Ponta da Madeira Terminal
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New pier and 2 ship loaders
6 new stock yards 2 new loading tracks 4 new car dumpers
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Coal in Mozambique will be transported from Moatize through the Sena Line to Beira Port, where it will be loaded into a self-unloading handymaxes Coal will be transshipped on to Panamax and Cape Size vessels fifteen kilometers offshore 1st stage system capacity: 14 Mty
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253 411 548 651 745
Gross revenue evolution
US$ million 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07
By industry sector
(2006 basis)
7.2% 6.4% 45.1% 38.3% 3.0%
Fuel Building materials Others Steel Agriculture
CAGR: 31%
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FCA Ferroban – FCA Right of Way Southern Coastal Railroad (in construction) Multimodal Terminal
Centro Atlântica Railroad - FCA
FCA EBITDA turnaround
US$ million
31.0 36.4 (34.6) 2005 2006 1S 2007
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Anchieta Viana
Litorânea Sul Railroad
New section that will connect Vitória a Minas railroad to Ubu Port and the south of Espírito Santo state Attraction of steel companies and new general cargo flows 165 km in length Potential demand can exceed 20 mty
Litorânea Sul Railroad
Ubu Port
New terminal feasibility study
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Estrada de Ferro Carajás - EFC Ferrovia Norte Sul - FNS Ferrovia Norte Sul – FNS (em construção) Ferrovia Norte Sul – FNS (planejada)
On October 3rd CVRD was awarded the concession to
Focus on general cargo exports (mainly soybean, rice and corn) CVRD’s commitment to socio-economic development in Brazil 361 km to be built
Norte Sul Railroad - FNS
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By December 2007, CVRD will become the biggest B20 consumer in Brazil This volume equates to the annual CO2 emissions from a city of 27 thousand inhabitants Or it would be necessary to plant an area equivalent to 369 Maracanã stadiums of native forest per year
Until december 2007, EFC and EFVM B20 consumption will be 33 million liters/month
Biodiesel - CVRD is the first Brazilian company using B20 in its locomotives
Approximately 1 million steel sleepers will be installed at EFC and EFVM railroads Environmental impact will be reduced by substituting wooden sleepers with steel sleepers that have double the lifecycle of wood
Railway sleepers replacement
About 400,000 steel sleepers will be replaced per year in both railroads
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Initiatives to achieve excellence
Longer trains Efficient locomotives Installation of on board computers Higher axle loads Improved operational model
1Q 03 2Q 03 3Q 03 4Q 03 1Q 04 2Q 04 3Q 04 4Q 04 1Q 05 2Q 05 3Q 05 4Q 05 1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06 4Q 06 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07
Locomotives Fuel Efficiency
(Liters / GTM x 1000 )
Carajás Railroad trains/day
(Number of trains per day)
AAR* 2006 5.6
* AAR –Association of American Railroads 6.9 12.0
2.15 2.19 2.27 2.32 2.38 2003 2004 2005 2006 1S 2007
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Initiatives to improve safety
Development of Operational Policy focused on Safety Training centers for train drivers with simulators Automation and process control
Accident rate
(per million train Km)
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1H 2007 Centro Atlântica Railroad Vitória a Minas Railroad Carajás Railroad
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Investments in technical know-how, enabling logistics staff to face new challenges Promoting the qualification and development of more than 4,000 technical professionals
2006 training numbers Professional Qualification Program 1,748 employees Rail Operations Trail 785 employees Machinists Qualification 713 employees Rail Operations Regulation 367 employees Rail Engineer Program 110 employees
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Executive Director Copper, Coal, Aluminum
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Non-ferrous minerals includes copper, coal, aluminum and others (potash, phosphate, kaolin) business units. Additionally handles CVRD’s global mineral exploration - a key driver of growth. Key strategies Efficient low cost operations (concentrate on cost cutting and efficient maintenance strategies). Develop a consistent pipeline of high quality projects (Paragominas, New Alumina Refinery, Salobo, Moatize). Continuous growth through an organic strategy, JV’s and / or opportunistic acquisitions.
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Main focus Aluminum: to develop high quality, low cost bauxite and alumina operations. It also looks for opportunity to vertically integrate the business. Copper: to continue organic growth through implementation of Salobo I
projects. Coal: to become a large player in the coal business by 2015, producing more than 30 Mtpy of metallurgical and thermal coal . Potash & phosphate: to position CVRD as a global supplier of raw materials for fertilizers (P & K). Mineral exploration: to continue worldwide efforts to provide efficient resource replacement and additional growth.
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Paragominas first phase (5.4 million metric tons of bauxite) is completed and operating at a 85% rate. This is the first bauxite pipeline to operate in the world. Phase 3 of Alunorte Refinery (70 % complete) is progressing with total capacity reaching 6.3 MT of alumina by 2008. Salobo I construction of mine-mill copper concentrate complex (100 Kt) started in August 2007, and commissioning is expected for mid-2010. First long term contract signed with a major European copper smelter. Acquisition 100% of AMCI HA (Australia) coal company opening an important new frontier for growth. In 1H07, Chinese coal JV’s (Longyu and Yangkuang) performance exceeded expectations (15% above budget). Implementation of Bayóvar project underway with commissioning in 2010 (world class phosphate deposit in Northern Peru). Total production capacity of 3.9 Mt of phosphate concentrate to be reached in 2013.
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Access to reliable bauxite source is vital. CVRD holds key resources in the Amazon basin and Africa. Medium and long term market fundamentals should remain strong in the coming years: Aluminum global consumption grew 7% per year between 2001-2006. We expect a similar growth in the next 5 years. Most of the growth driven by the Chinese demand (20% p.a.) . The primary aluminum stocks show a decreasing trend since 2002 (from 9 to 6 weeks). Higher demand from emerging economies (BRICs, Middle East) and rising production costs (mainly alumina and energy) provide a good support to current prices. It is forecasted that supply will keep up with demand. However, given the current scenario (high costs, equipment and personnel shortage) we believe some of new projects may face delays. Therefore, we remain optimistic about the medium–term prices.
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Global demand will grow over 4.1 % in 2008-9 (about 600,000 metric tons of new copper production). Copper prices have risen over the past three years given the strong demand and limited
China and Southeastern Asia continues to drive overall copper demand growth (10%). European demand is moderate (1.7%), while USA remains flat. Forecasted demand growth will require new supply from greenfield projects under significant pressures: The head grade on major copper operations is decreasing over time; CAPEX and OPEX have risen systematically pressured by both technical and structural factors (ex.: weak dollar); Delay of long lead equipment deliveries (e.g. mills) and short to medium term pressure on key operational items (e.g. tires); Permitting is more complex and lengthier; Important projects are located in remote areas and/or challenging political environments.
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CVRD is still a small player in the coal market (~ 2.9 Mt in 2007) with a portfolio focused on metallurgical coal. Our goal is to reach 30 Mtpy of coal through development of CVRD Australia projects, Belvedere, Moatize and other projects by 2015. Current strategy is to supply the steel industry located in Brazil and other markets. We foresee a balanced seaborne market for coking coal, however potential regional unbalance may generate windows of opportunity.
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increase in food consumption (e.g. an average of 1.4 Mha/y of additional land harvested in China);
by 2015, according to FAPRI¹);
efficiency through higher consumption of fertilizers.
remain bullish.
under implementation that targets the seaborne market.
¹ FAPRI - Food & Agricultural Policy Research Institute ² Phosphate rock: from US$ 45/t to US$ 85/t (70-72 BPL, FOB Morocco) and KCl: from US$ 140/t to US$ 240/t. (FOB Vancouver).
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68 98 144 152 167 188 243 254 280 289 327 354 346 327 358 377 429 640 638 674 649 724 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
1Q 02 2Q 02 3Q 02 4Q 02 1Q 03 2Q 03 3Q 03 4Q 03 1Q 04 2Q 04 3Q 04 4Q 04 1Q 05 2Q 05 3Q 05 4Q 05 1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06 4Q 06 1Q 07 2Q 07
aluminium business quarterly gross revenues
MRN expansion to 16.3Mt Alunorte line 3 start up Albras consolidation Alunorte lines 4&5 start up Albras expansion to 406 ktpy Albras expansion to 430 ktpy MRN (16.7Mt), Alunorte (2.5Mt) and Albras (435kt) production records MRN (17.2Mt), Alunorte (2.6Mt) and Albras (446kt) production records MRN (17.8Mt), Alunorte (3.9Mt) and Albras (456kt) production records Valesul consolidation Paragominas start up
Efficient project execution and higher prices drove CVRD’s aluminum business revenues to a record high in the 2Q07
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Paragominas first phase ramp-up nearly completed (5.4 Mtpy):
First bauxite mine in the world to use
a pipeline for ore transportation. First batch received by Alunorte in March.
Expansion to 9.9 Mt of bauxite is
67% completed. The third expansion will consolidate Alunorte position as the largest alumina refinery in the world
completed. Total refinery capacity to reach 6.3 Mtpy.
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The development of a new refinery will strength CVRD asset base in the upstream of the aluminum chain. There is still room for growth.
CVRD signed a MoU for the development of a new alumina refinery with an initial production capacity of 1.86 Mtpy. The new refinery will replicate Alunorte experience. Bauxite will be supplied by Paragominas. Given its world class bauxite deposits, CVRD can expand the new refinery up to 7.44 Mtpy.
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First CVRD copper mine with 3 full years of operation: 90 % of capacity (125 kt Cu)
copper prices. More than 1.4 Mt of concentrate already mined and shipped through long term contracts, since the beginning of the operation. Experience at Sossego consolidated CVRD’s copper mining knowledge to be applied in the development of the Carajás copper project pipeline (Salobo implementation underway).
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Construction started in August 2007. Phase 1 designed to produce 100 kt of copper-in-concentrate (@ 38% Cu and 15g/t Au). Total investment: US$ 897 M. First long term agreement already signed with a major European copper smelter. 2nd phase of Salobo under evaluation (an additional of 100 kty contained copper).
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Application of new technology for complex ores
copper-plant located in Carajás. The purpose is to consolidate hydromet technology in treating copper sulphide concentrates, using CESL technology.
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Cu kty Cristalino Estimated production Project 118 (Sx-Ew) 36 Alemão* 100
Proven & probable
(Concentrate) Cu % Au (g/t) ROM content
Papomono, Chile
0.95 0.66
379
Papomono*
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Australia Mozambique China
Yankuang JV (25%) 2.0 Mtpy – Coke ¹ Longyu JV (25%) 6.0 Mtpy – Anthracite ¹
Moatize 11 Mtpy Coking/Thermal coal Belvedere (pre-feas. phase) 8 Mtpy Coking coal/PCI
CVRD Australia 11 Mtpy Coking coal/PCI/Thermal
¹ Total production capacity
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CVRD Australia
Australia, through equity unincorporated joint ventures
underground and open pit operations. JV’s in China
production of 2.8 Mt compared to a budget of 2.4 Mtpy.
to 0.5 Mt. Coke quality is mainly grade A (high quality) and methanol production has already started.
* Mines have not reached production @ full capacity. By 2010, it is expected coal production of 11 Mt (US GAAP) equivalent to 8 Mt on equity basis
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Moatize
authorities in early June, the Government of Mozambique approved the mining right for the development and implementation of the Moatize coal project.
estimated average annual production of 11 Mt of coal products – 8.5 Mt of metallurgical coal and 2.5 Mt of thermal coal. Belvedere
(hard coking coal with high quality).
the remaining 49% interest at a fair market value to be determined at the time of the exercising of the option.
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Sole domestic producer, contributing with 12% of Brazilian consumption. ROM production capacity achieved 3,000 ktpy. Two other significant opportunities being investigated: Carnalite (Sergipe - Brazil) Potash project (Neuquén - Argentina).
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Bayóvar
Located in Sechura desert (Peru), Bayóvar project startup is scheduled for mid-2010. Estimated production of 3.9 Mt of phosphate concentrate. Life of mine: 27 years. Total investment (Capex): US$ 479 million, including infrastructure Implementation phase underway: Permits and licenses already granted (sea area for pier construction & operation; sea water supply). Team already defined. Commercial highlights Initial approach with potential customers underway. Target markets: South and North America, Oceania and Asia.
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With the recent acquisitions of INCO and AMCI, CVRD has consolidated its exploration activities under a single “Global Mineral Exploration” hat. Such consolidation allows more efficiency and agility integrating exploration, and mineral technology activities under a global organization. Total budget for 2007 R&D: US$ 452 million Pre-F/S, F/S and technology: US$ 302 million Mineral exploration & project development to pre-feasibility: US$ 150 million
Copper Nickel Iron Ore Bauxite Potash Other
Cordillera- S.America Africa Australasia Eurasia North America South America
2007 budget per region 2007 budget per mineral
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Previous offices New offices Exploration programs & projects
13 exploration offices
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Papomono Papomono Copper Project Copper Project Chile Chile New grassroots New grassroots programs for programs for copper in copper in Democratic Democratic Republic of Congo Republic of Congo (new office) (new office) Copper Copper Program in Program in Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Coal Coal project in project in Mongolia Mongolia New Office New Office in Colombia in Colombia Bauxite Bauxite Project in Project in Guinea Guinea Grassroots Grassroots programs in Canada programs in Canada including U & Cu including U & Cu Grassroots programs Grassroots programs in Australia including in Australia including U & coal U & coal
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Executive Director of Ferrous Minerals
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Global crude steel production grew by 100 Mt in 2006 and is expected to reach almost 1.5 billion tons in 2010. Such level of growth has no parallel in
722 748 787 783 816 222 281 356 423 905 580 182 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '10f 904 970 1,068
CAGR 05-10 +5.4% +10.3% +2.9%
World Rest of the world China
1,139
Sources: IISI and CVRD estimates
1,485
Mt
CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION (Mt) CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION (Mt)
1,239
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Forecasts of crude steel production have missed by far the actual achievements of the steel industry. We are trying to catch up with such speedy development.
816 782 762 782 805 193 248 314 366 798 401 423 '06 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Apr-05 Apr-06
World Rest of the world China
Sources: IISI and CRU
Mt
1,239 975 1,010 1,096 1,171 1,199
Past Forecasts of Crude Steel Production for 2006 Past Forecasts of Crude Steel Production for 2006
Actual
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2006 2007e 2008f
+9% +6% +8% +12% +7% +5% +15% +4%
+11%
Source: IISI Oct, 2007
IISI forecasts world steel consumption to keep strong in the coming years Others China Asia ex. China EU (27)
1,279 1,198 1,121
CIS & other Europe
+6.8% +6.8% +6.8% +6.8%
World
NAFTA
+4% +2%
Apparent consumption of finished steel (Mt) Apparent consumption of finished steel (Mt)
109
The surge of BRICs and the synchronized global economic growth have changed the steel industry landscape during this decade
unattractive
developed economies
(Ex. Raw materials)
demand to East
profitable
companies from BRICs
raw material supply Early 2000’s Early 2000’s Currently Currently
Question: could India become a new China? Question: is steel a “sunset” Industry? Changing the Mindset
110
Where... Where...
North America, Europe, CIS, South America, Africa, China Japan, USA, China Europe, India, USA, Southeast Asia USA, Europe USA, Canada, Mexico, Europe
Yesterday: regional groups Yesterday: regional groups Today*: global presence Today*: global presence
Consolidation contributed for greater discipline on supply side: focus on prices and not in volumes.
* 2006 production
111
Asia (Ex. China) North America China World South America Western Europe Africa / Middle East Eastern Europe / CIS
Source: IISI, CVRD
135 137 39 62 25 47 212 279 127 580 178 205 130 178 848 1.485
2000 2010e
Crude Steel Production (Mt) Crude Steel Production (Mt)
CAGR 6% CAGR 6% CAGR 0% CAGR 0% CAGR 1% CAGR 1% CAGR 5% CAGR 5% CAGR 3% CAGR 3% CAGR 16% CAGR 16% CAGR 3% CAGR 3% CAGR 7% CAGR 7%
112
60 80 100 120 140 160 180
abr/94 abr/95 abr/96 abr/97 abr/98 abr/99 abr/00 abr/01 abr/02 abr/03 abr/04 abr/05 abr/06 abr/07
ind ex
CRUspi Global Index
Jun ‘07 Jun ‘07 New New Record! Record!
Source: CRUspi
Steel prices continue to fluctuate at higher levels.
Average ‘03 to ’07 141 pts China Boom! Average 94 to ’02 92 pts
113 * NSC, POSCO, Arbed, Ispat, Usinor, NKK, Corus & ThyssenKrupp ** AM, NSC, POSCO, JFE, Baosteel, US Steel, Nucor & Corus *** Average Value from 2000 until mar/07
19% 12% 2000* 2006** 259 42 2000* 2007**
Top 8 Steelmakers average Ebitda Margin (%) Top 8 Steelmakers average Ebitda Margin (%) Top 8 Steelmakers Market Cap (US$ billion)*** Top 8 Steelmakers Market Cap (US$ billion)*** Healthy demand and high steel prices led the industry to a new level of profitability and encouraged a better perception from the market.
Sources: Bloomberg, Company reports, CVRD
114
Seaborne demand is not being fulfilled due to supply restrictions.
Sources: IISI, UNCTAD, CVRD
Demand
+14.2%
373 389 400 400 405 455 148 203 270 320 525 111
´02 ´03 ´04 ´05 ´06 '10f
484 725 537 603 670
+7.9% +2.6%
World
China as a % of total
27% 37% 54%
Rest of the world China
CAGR 05-10
980 Million tons
115
Source: CVRD and Tex Report
Chinese iron ore consumption profile Chinese iron ore consumption profile
If there is
availability, further increase in imports can be achieved through replacement
high cost ores.
If there is
availability, further increase in imports can be achieved through replacement
high cost ores. Imported iron ore has been gaining substantial share in China. Limited seaborne supply availability restricted further gains in 2005 and 2006
100 200 300 400
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006e
(M tons) 30% 60% 90%
Domestic ore (conc.) Imports Domestic / total
70%
Domestic ore is
losing its competitiveness due to very low Fe content in the ROM and currency appreciation.
Domestic ore is
losing its competitiveness due to very low Fe content in the ROM and currency appreciation.
116
World pellet consumption will increase almost 40% until 2010. DR route should increase its share to 25% in the period. Mostly due to new projects in Middle East countries.
224 365 57 120 281 71 500 2003 2004 2005 2006 ……. 2010e
DR BF 485 280 Million tons Total 352
Source: CRU
20% 80% 25% 75%
World Pellet consumption World Pellet consumption
+133
117
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 (1970=100)
In real terms, the iron ore benchmark price for fines is just recovering from the same level of the early seventies.
Growth of Chinese Steel Industry The Era of “Efficiency”
(technological changes & oversupply)
Early years of Seaborne
Iron ore price index (1970 = 100)
Real Prices – Ago 07 – deflated by US CPI
Iron ore price index (1970 = 100)
Real Prices – Ago 07 – deflated by US CPI
Source: CRUspi
CVRD’s commitment to the Benchmark Price Index is represented by its long term investments plans to expand capacity, improving long-term relationship among the players
The Benchmark System brings stability to the market as long as it reflects the market reality
118
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 set/05 jan/06 mai/06 set/06 jan/07 mai/07 set/07 West Australia-Baoshan Tubarão-Baoshan Tubarão-Rotterdam
50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 set/05 jan/06 mai/06 set/06 jan/07 mai/07 set/07
Domestic Concentrates (Thangshan/Hebei) Indian spot FOV w mt Tianjin (Fe@63.5%) SSF CFR Beilun
Weekly Seaborne Freight Rate (US$/ton) Weekly Seaborne Freight Rate (US$/ton) Weekly IO Prices in China (US$/ton) Weekly IO Prices in China (US$/ton)
Iron ore spot prices have increased by ~95% since the beginning of 2007… …an indication that the balance between supply & demand should remain tight for the next years.
Source: Clarksons Source: Mysteel, Clarksons & CVRD
119
120
CVRD`s resources are at least 5x larger than its proved reserves, which are capable of attending the present demand for 32 years.
7 mines
Northern System
2.0 Bi 12 mines 3.9 Bi
Southeastern System
9 mines 1.7 Bi
Southern System
Reserves (t)1
84 Mi
Production 20062
82 Mi 97 Mi
8.6 Bi 271 Mi
TOTAL CVRD2
Samarco
1 mine 1.0 Bi 8 Mi
1) Proven & probable reserves, as of December 2006. Samarco considers total reserves . Northern System' reserves includes N5S & Serra Leste; 2) Does not include Southern System third parties purchasing. Includes 50% CVRD shares in Samarco
CVRD has the largest reserves base in the industry
121
Korea 4% China 27% ROW 13% Europe 25% Brazil 21% Japan 10%
CVRD iron ore and pellets sales – 20061 CVRD iron ore and pellets sales – 20061 Total 276Mt
With complete product portfolio, combined with customer-oriented marketing approach, CVRD has been able to supply its customers around the globe.
Sources: CVRD and IISI
1 CVRD + 50% Samarco + Pelletizing JV´s (Nibrasco, Itabrasco, Kobrasco, Hispanobras) + Urucum.
122
Product Line: ore and coal, pillars of the steel industry. Combining the strenghts of Brazil and China.
JV - Baovale
New areas of cooperation for CVRD and CSM
JV – Yankuang
JV - Longyu
6 Mt/y JV – CSV
JV - Zhuhai YPM
123
25 28 36 41 54 76 97 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007e
(Mt)
CVRD’s iron ore & pellets sales to China CVRD’s iron ore & pellets sales to China From 2002 to 2006, mostly of CVRD‘s production increase was shipped to China under Long Term Contracts.
CVRD expansions have been supporting China’s strong demand for raw materials.
124
CVRD is analyzing and implementing several initiatives to reduce landed costs and increase its competitiveness. Use CVRD’s large scale and expertise to provide support to its customers where applicable. Promote the construction of dedicated VLOCs to reduce demand pressure for fronthaul trips. Virtual mine. CVRD blend.
125
Larger vessels should provide important economy of scale, contributing to reduce Brazil-China freight cost.
126
Chinamax Vessels: narrowing the distance between Brazil and China.
Main Advantages of Chinamax Vessels
per ton;
term basis;
gains on the whole supply-chain;
vessels. CVRD is ready to analyze joint investments in sea transportation together with its main Chinese customers and partners.
127
CVRD will enhance even more its presence in the pellet market. The main drivers for increasing consumption of pellets worldwide are: Relevant growth in new DRI capacities (mainly in Asia and Middle East). Decrease of lump ore quality. BF’s productivity improvements and environmental concerns. Increasing pellet feed availability.
128
New pellet plants in China and Malaysia under evaluation with local partners.
CVRD plans several projects for pellets in order to meet additional demand from DR and BF sectors. Capacity Start-up increase (Mtpy) JV Zhuhai 1.2 Jan/2008
Under construction
Samarco (1) 7.6 Mar/2008
Under construction
Itabiritos 7.0 Jun/2008
Under construction
Tubarão VIII 2H/2010
Submitted to Board approval
Oman (2) 9.0 1H/2010
Feasibility
7.5
1 Samarco a 50/50 JV. Its projects is not included in CVRD Capex program. 2 Subject to Board approval.
129
Itabiritos Pellet Plant Complex will come on stream on June 2008.
130
■ CSA (ThyssenKrupp) – Under Construction
5.0 Mtpy
2009
■ CSV (Baosteel)
5.0 Mtpy
2011
■ Ceará Steel (Dongkuk/Danieli)
1.5 Mtpy
2010
Fostering iron ore consumption in Brazil by attracting steelmaking projects and taking advantage of the trend towards geographical relocation of global steel capacity.
Additional 18 Mtpy of iron ore consumption in the domestic market under Long Term Contracts
131
CSA is scheduled to start operating in 2009.
132
2001 2007E 2012E
*Considering projects subject to Board Approval. *Considering projects subject to Board Approval. 450Mtpy production rhythm expected to be achieved in Dec/2012. 450Mtpy production rhythm expected to be achieved in Dec/2012.
CVRD is implementing aggressive expansion projects to meet the rising market demand. We expect to achieve production capacity of 450 Mtpy* in 2012, from 300 million in 2007.
CAGR CAGR +15% +15% CAGR CAGR +7% +7% 422* 422* 134 134 300 300
CVRD Iron Ore Production (Mt) CVRD Iron Ore Production (Mt)
450 Mt by Dec.2012
133
CVRD has restructured its manganese operations in order to focus on the company’s core business and to optimize its mineral resources.
RDM Bahia Barbacena Corumb á Ouro Preto Santa Rita Mina do Azul Mina de Urucum Minas Bahia Morro da Mina São João Del Rei Florestas BA Florestas MG Florestas MS
Ligas Ligas especiais CaSi , FeSie CoredWire Florestas Minas
RDME RDMN
Modelo Atual Manganês Após Reestruturação
RDM Bahia Corumb á Ouro Preto Mina do Azul Mina de Urucum Morro da Mina
Ligas Minas
RDME RDMN
Northern System
X X X X X X
RDM Bahia Barbacena Corumb á Ouro Preto Santa Rita Mina do Azul Mina de Urucum Minas Bahia Morro da Mina São João Del Rei Florestas BA Florestas MG Florestas MS
CaSi , FeSie CoredWire
Special Alloys Ferro Alloys
CaSi , FeSie CoredWire
Forests Mines
RDME RDMN
Actual Model Manganese After Restructuring
RDM Bahia Corumb á Ouro Preto Mina do Azul Mina de Urucum Morro da Mina
Ligas Minas
RDME RDMN
Southern System
X X X X X X Assets Sold
Ferro Alloys Mines
134
Divestments Evolution
Floresta - MS Floresta NMG CaSi/ CW NovaEra Floresta SMG Floresta BA
2006 2007 Total
6 Assets Total: US$ 90 MM Real Estate
Divestments of non-core and non-operational assets have reached US$ 90 million dollars in the last two years.
135
136
The aggressive CVRD volume growth since 2001, associated with a global mining boom, has led to an increase in unit costs.
Since 2006, CVRD established a Cost Reduction Program to bring unit cost back to 2004 level
Cost Growth Main Drivers High marginal cost
233 152 144
2001 2002 2005 2006
Cost US$/ton constant currency (100 base)
Production Cost vs. Annual Production
2003 2004
170 192
Production Mton
2007
263 300 113 175 100 139 145 179 172 95 215 119 119 206 173
Cost US$/ton (100 base)
137
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Productivity Portfolio Management
High investments on Automation Platform to improve asset utilization, quality, efficiency and safety, as well as:
consumption
reducing human error
Contracts Revision
138
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Productivity
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Portfolio Management
Acquisition of new companies, bringing new cost reduction opportunities through:
production processes
Southern System
Contracts Revision
139
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Productivity
Shared Services implementation to support CVRD’s global growing and acquisitions trough gains of scale and efficiency on processes.
High Low Service Level Low High Efficiency Shared Services Descentralized Model Centralized Model
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Portfolio Management Contracts Revision
140
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Productivity
A fleet of dedicated Very Large Ore Carriers under long term Contracts of Afreightment will contribute to increase competitiveness and reduce volatility of freight rates in the Brazil-Asia route. CVRD shipping strategy also includes
capability.
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Portfolio Management Contracts Revision
141
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Portfolio Management Low Cost Plants Productivity
CVRD products portfolio optimization as a tool for production maximization, processes stabilization and cost reduction.
CVR CVRD P PROD ODUCTS PORT RTFOLIO O OP OPTIMIZATION ON CVR CVRD P PROD ODUCTS PORT RTFOLIO O OP OPTIMIZATION ON
SUSTENTABI SUSTENTABI LITY LITY COMPETITIVI COMPETITIVI NESS NESS FLEXIBILITY FLEXIBILITY INTEGRATED INTEGRATED SYSTEMS SYSTEMS CAPACITY CAPACITY COST REDUCTION COST REDUCTION
ST STRATE TEGY ST STRATE TEGY
CVR CVRD P PROD ODUCTS PORT RTFOLIO O OP OPTIMIZATION ON CVR CVRD P PROD ODUCTS PORT RTFOLIO O OP OPTIMIZATION ON
SUSTENTABI SUSTENTABI LITY LITY COMPETITIVI COMPETITIVI NESS NESS FLEXIBILITY FLEXIBILITY INTEGRATED INTEGRATED SYSTEMS SYSTEMS CAPACITY CAPACITY COST REDUCTION COST REDUCTION
ST STRATE TEGY ST STRATE TEGY
MA MARKET ET SU SUPPLY
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Contracts Revision
142
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Productivity
CVRD new plants play a key role in the program due to their intrinsic production low unit cost. Additional 150 Million tons will benefit from improved efficiency and technology of new plants.
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Portfolio Management Contracts Revision
143
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Contracts Revision Productivity
Ostensive contracts revision, driven by:
basis
eliminating redundancies and improving efficiency
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Portfolio Management
144
Automation Integration Shared Services Shipping Low Cost Plants Productivity
Productivity improvement:
controls
resources
Southern System ores)
CVRD Cost Reduction Program Embraces Several Initiatives, such as:
Portfolio Management Contracts Revision
145
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