New Market Access Initiatives TD Calgary Energy Conference July 9, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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New Market Access Initiatives TD Calgary Energy Conference July 9, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Changing Energy Landscape: New Market Access Initiatives TD Calgary Energy Conference July 9, 2013 J. Richard Bird Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development Legal Notice This presentation includes


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  • J. Richard Bird

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development

The Changing Energy Landscape:

New Market Access Initiatives

TD Calgary Energy Conference

July 9, 2013

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This presentation includes certain forward looking information (FLI) to provide Enbridge shareholders and potential investors with information about Enbridge and management's assessment of its future plans and

  • perations, which may not be appropriate for other purposes. FLI is typically identified by words such as

"anticipate", "expect", "project", "estimate", "forecast", "plan", "intend", "target", "believe" and similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. Although we believe that our FLI is reasonable based on the information available today and processes used to prepare it, such statements are not guarantees

  • f future performance and you are cautioned against placing undue reliance on FLI. FLI inherently involves a

variety of assumptions, risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our FLI. Material assumptions include: expected supply and demand for crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; prices of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; expected exchange rates; inflation; interest rates; availability and price of labour and pipeline construction materials; operational reliability; customer project approvals; maintenance of support and regulatory approvals for Enbridge’s projects; anticipated in-service dates and weather. Our FLI is subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, project approval and support, construction schedules, weather, economic and competitive conditions, exchange rates, interest rates, commodity prices and supply and demand for commodities, including but not limited to those discussed more extensively in our filings with Canadian and US securities regulators. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on any particular FLI is not determinable with certainty as these are interdependent and our future course of action depends on management's assessment of all information available at the relevant time. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any FLI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All FLI in this presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by these cautionary statements. This presentation may make reference to certain financial measures, such as adjusted net income, which are not recognized under GAAP. Reconciliations to the most closely related GAAP measures are included in the MD&A filings and/or Supplementary Financial Information available on our website or in the slides that accompany this presentation, if applicable.

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Legal Notice

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Enbridge’s Energy Infrastructure Asset Base

Toronto Quebec City

Gas Distribution

Norman Wells Zama Fort McMurray Portland Casper Montreal Salt Lake City Patoka Cushing Houston Superior Clearbrook Edmonton Hardisty Toronto Chicago

Liquids Pipelines

Edmonton Fort St. John Houston Chicago Sarnia

Gas Pipelines

Toronto Edmonton

Renewable Energy

2012 Adjusted Earnings 2012 Adjusted Earnings 2012 Adjusted Earnings 2012 Adjusted Earnings 65% 15%

Wind Power Generation Waste Heat Recovery Solar Power Generation Geothermal Power Generation Power Transmission

16% 15% 4% 65%

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16% 20% 19%

7% 1% 9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

1 Year 5 Year 10 Year Total Shareholder Return CAGR

Enbridge Inc. S&P/TSX Composite Index

Enbridge Performance Relative to S&P/TSX Composite Index

As at December 31, 2012

89% 100% 96%

North American Peer Group Percentile

Strong Value Creation Track Record

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5

  • 2.1
  • 1.7
  • 0.5

+0.4 +0.4 +1.5 +1.5 +2.9 +3.3 +4.1 +7.4

  • 4.0
  • 2.0

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

OECD Europe OECD America OECD Asia Oceania Russia Other Eurasia Latin America Middle East & Africa Other Asia OPEC India China MMbpd

Source: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. “World Oil Outlook “. 2012.

Global Incremental Oil Demand (2010 – 2030)

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0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Oil Sands

  • Conv. Heavy
  • Conv. Light and Medium

Pentanes/Condensate MMbpd

3.3 MMbpd

Source: Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. “Crude Oil: Forecast, Markets & Transportation”. June 2013.

Canadian Oil Production Forecast

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*Brent price is a landed price on US East Coast/ US Gulf Coast. Assumed tanker freight cost of US$2.00 per bbl.

$100 $104 $109 $92 $111 WCS Asia Maya $94 WTI Bakken Light Brent* LLS

Pricing based on YTD 2013 - Daily Average As at June 26, 2013 (USD per barrel)

Light Crude Heavy Crude

$72

North American Crude Oil Differentials

$90 EDM Light

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Western Canada & Bakken – Pipelines Export Capacity versus Export Supply

Western Cdn Refineries, 586 (AVG) TMPL, 260

  • W. Access, 450

Clearbrook/Superior, 300 ENB - Ex Superior, 1930 KSL, 590 XL, 525 NGP, 525 TMX, 550 TCPL EA, 600

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Volume (KBPD)

ENB - Ex Superior, 2730

Source: Enbridge Internal Forecast

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Lloydminster Edmonton Cold Lake Hardisty Hub Cheecham Terminal

Nexen (Long Lake) Suncor (MacKay River) ConocoPhillips (Surmont) Suncor (Firebag)

Alberta

Husky (Sunrise) Imperial Oil (Kearl)

Waupisoo Pipeline (up to 580 kbpd) Athabasca Pipeline (up to 600 kbpd) Project Connections Athabasca Twin Pipeline (initially 450 kbpd)

Cenovus (Christina Lake) Statoil (Leismer)

Fort McMurray Woodland Pipeline Extension

4 5 3 2 1 6 7 9

AOC (Hangingstone)

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  • Significant competitive position

− Largest regional operator − Dual hub deliverability − Bridging capacity

  • 9 commercially secured growth

projects in-service by 2016 − $3.9 billion investment

  • Potential additional
  • pportunities

− $3.7 billion

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Liquids Pipelines – Alberta Regional Infrastructure

Wood Buffalo Pipeline

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Montreal Gretna Regina Hardisty Kerrobert Toledo Buffalo Edmonton

Houston

Fort McMurray Cromer Cushing Patoka Chicago/ Flanagan Sarnia Superior Port Arthur Westover

+585 kbpd

+300 kbpd +440 kbpd

+80 kbpd

+320 kpbd

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2013

  • Line 5 Expansion (+50 kbpd)
  • Line 62 Expansion (+105 kbpd)
  • Line 9A Reversal (+50 kbpd)
  • Toledo Pipeline Partial Twin (+80 kbpd)
  • Seaway Pipeline Expansion (+400 kbpd)

2014

  • Line 6B Replacement (+260 kbpd)
  • Line 9B Reversal + Expansion (+320 kbpd)
  • Flanagan South Pipeline (+585 kbpd)
  • Seaway Pipeline Twin + Lateral (+450 kbpd)
  • Alberta Clipper (+120 kbpd)
  • Southern Access (+160 kbpd)

2015

  • Southern Access Extension (+300 kbpd)
  • Eastern U.S. Gulf Coast Access (+440 kbpd)
  • Edmonton to Hardisty (+570 kbpd)
  • Alberta Clipper (+230 kbpd)
  • Southern Access (+640 kbpd)
  • Chicago Area Connectivity (+570 kbpd)

2016

  • Sandpiper Pipeline (+225/+375 kbpd)
  • Line 6B Expansion (+75 kbpd)

Liquids Pipelines (Enterprise Wide) – Mainline System, Market Access Extensions/Expansions

Gulf Coast Access/ Eastern Access/ Light Oil Market Access Programs Opening New Continental Markets for up to 1.7 MMbpd

~$17 Billion Investment Commercially Secured

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Liquids Pipelines – East Coast Market Access

11 Canadian and U.S. East Coast Refinery Markets

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Liquids Pipelines – West Coast Market Access Current Status:

  • Positive TERMPOL report
  • JRP hearing concluded
  • 60% R-O-W First Nations support

Next 12 Months:

  • Satisfy B.C. 5 conditions
  • Additional R-O-W First Nations support
  • Coastal First Nations support
  • JRP decision
  • Federal aboriginal consultation/ Cabinet

decision

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1

2012 – 2016 Enterprise Wide Growth Capital

* Unsecured growth capital is included in the funding plan

Commercially Secured

$37 B

$28 Billion

Unsecured*

$9 Billion

$3 $8 $9 $5 $3 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012

Project Cost by In-Service Date

(2012 -2016) $, Billions

YTD ROY

An Exceptional Array of Attractive Investment Opportunities

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Project / Program Enbridge Inc. Investment ($ Billions) First Full Year Full Life DCF ROE Years to Attain

Eastern Access1 $2.2 2014 low double digits 4 Western USGC Access2 $6.3 2015 low double digits 5 Light Oil Market Access1,2 $3.2 2016 low double digits 4 Edmonton to Hardisty Expansion1 $1.8 2016 low double digits

Tilted Return Profiles

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1 Inclusive of supporting Canadian Mainline expansion capital and CTS effects. 2 Inclusive of 75% joint funding of U.S. Mainline components and CTS effects.

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Enterprise Wide – Secured Growth Capital by Return Profiles

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Flat Profile ($ Billions) Tilted Profile ($ Billions)

Liquids Pipelines – Alberta Regional Infrastructure $1.4 $2.4 Liquids Pipelines – Market Access Initiatives $7.7 $10.9 Gas Pipelines $2.0 $1.1 Gas Distribution $0.6 − Green Power − $1.4

TOTAL $11.7 $15.8

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$0.00 $3.00

2011 2016

Adjusted EPS* Growth

  • Tilted Return Projects
  • 2016 Risked Unsecured
  • New Growth Platforms
  • Sponsored Vehicle Drop Downs

* Adjusted earnings EPS is non-GAAP measures. For more information on non-GAAP measures please refer to disclosure in news releases.

Industry Leading Growth Outlook

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  • Exceptional array of attractive return investment opportunities
  • Financial risk tightly managed
  • Ample access to low cost funding sources
  • Growing earnings and cash flows

Attractive investments low cost of capital Industry leading growth Substantial Valuation Upside

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Investment Merits Summary