- J. Richard Bird
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development
The Changing Energy Landscape:
New Market Access Initiatives
TD Calgary Energy Conference
July 9, 2013
New Market Access Initiatives TD Calgary Energy Conference July 9, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Changing Energy Landscape: New Market Access Initiatives TD Calgary Energy Conference July 9, 2013 J. Richard Bird Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development Legal Notice This presentation includes
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development
July 9, 2013
This presentation includes certain forward looking information (FLI) to provide Enbridge shareholders and potential investors with information about Enbridge and management's assessment of its future plans and
"anticipate", "expect", "project", "estimate", "forecast", "plan", "intend", "target", "believe" and similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. Although we believe that our FLI is reasonable based on the information available today and processes used to prepare it, such statements are not guarantees
variety of assumptions, risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our FLI. Material assumptions include: expected supply and demand for crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; prices of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; expected exchange rates; inflation; interest rates; availability and price of labour and pipeline construction materials; operational reliability; customer project approvals; maintenance of support and regulatory approvals for Enbridge’s projects; anticipated in-service dates and weather. Our FLI is subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, project approval and support, construction schedules, weather, economic and competitive conditions, exchange rates, interest rates, commodity prices and supply and demand for commodities, including but not limited to those discussed more extensively in our filings with Canadian and US securities regulators. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on any particular FLI is not determinable with certainty as these are interdependent and our future course of action depends on management's assessment of all information available at the relevant time. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any FLI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All FLI in this presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by these cautionary statements. This presentation may make reference to certain financial measures, such as adjusted net income, which are not recognized under GAAP. Reconciliations to the most closely related GAAP measures are included in the MD&A filings and/or Supplementary Financial Information available on our website or in the slides that accompany this presentation, if applicable.
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Toronto Quebec City
Gas Distribution
Norman Wells Zama Fort McMurray Portland Casper Montreal Salt Lake City Patoka Cushing Houston Superior Clearbrook Edmonton Hardisty Toronto Chicago
Liquids Pipelines
Edmonton Fort St. John Houston Chicago Sarnia
Gas Pipelines
Toronto Edmonton
Renewable Energy
2012 Adjusted Earnings 2012 Adjusted Earnings 2012 Adjusted Earnings 2012 Adjusted Earnings 65% 15%
Wind Power Generation Waste Heat Recovery Solar Power Generation Geothermal Power Generation Power Transmission
16% 15% 4% 65%
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16% 20% 19%
7% 1% 9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
1 Year 5 Year 10 Year Total Shareholder Return CAGR
Enbridge Inc. S&P/TSX Composite Index
As at December 31, 2012
89% 100% 96%
North American Peer Group Percentile
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+0.4 +0.4 +1.5 +1.5 +2.9 +3.3 +4.1 +7.4
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
OECD Europe OECD America OECD Asia Oceania Russia Other Eurasia Latin America Middle East & Africa Other Asia OPEC India China MMbpd
Source: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. “World Oil Outlook “. 2012.
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0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Oil Sands
Pentanes/Condensate MMbpd
3.3 MMbpd
Source: Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. “Crude Oil: Forecast, Markets & Transportation”. June 2013.
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*Brent price is a landed price on US East Coast/ US Gulf Coast. Assumed tanker freight cost of US$2.00 per bbl.
$100 $104 $109 $92 $111 WCS Asia Maya $94 WTI Bakken Light Brent* LLS
Pricing based on YTD 2013 - Daily Average As at June 26, 2013 (USD per barrel)
Light Crude Heavy Crude
$72
$90 EDM Light
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Western Cdn Refineries, 586 (AVG) TMPL, 260
Clearbrook/Superior, 300 ENB - Ex Superior, 1930 KSL, 590 XL, 525 NGP, 525 TMX, 550 TCPL EA, 600
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Volume (KBPD)
ENB - Ex Superior, 2730
Source: Enbridge Internal Forecast
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Lloydminster Edmonton Cold Lake Hardisty Hub Cheecham Terminal
Nexen (Long Lake) Suncor (MacKay River) ConocoPhillips (Surmont) Suncor (Firebag)
Alberta
Husky (Sunrise) Imperial Oil (Kearl)
Waupisoo Pipeline (up to 580 kbpd) Athabasca Pipeline (up to 600 kbpd) Project Connections Athabasca Twin Pipeline (initially 450 kbpd)
Cenovus (Christina Lake) Statoil (Leismer)
Fort McMurray Woodland Pipeline Extension
4 5 3 2 1 6 7 9
AOC (Hangingstone)
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Wood Buffalo Pipeline
Montreal Gretna Regina Hardisty Kerrobert Toledo Buffalo Edmonton
Houston
Fort McMurray Cromer Cushing Patoka Chicago/ Flanagan Sarnia Superior Port Arthur Westover
+585 kbpd
+300 kbpd +440 kbpd
+80 kbpd
+320 kpbd
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2013
2014
2015
2016
Gulf Coast Access/ Eastern Access/ Light Oil Market Access Programs Opening New Continental Markets for up to 1.7 MMbpd
11 Canadian and U.S. East Coast Refinery Markets
decision
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* Unsecured growth capital is included in the funding plan
Commercially Secured
$28 Billion
Unsecured*
$9 Billion
Project Cost by In-Service Date
(2012 -2016) $, Billions
YTD ROY
Project / Program Enbridge Inc. Investment ($ Billions) First Full Year Full Life DCF ROE Years to Attain
Eastern Access1 $2.2 2014 low double digits 4 Western USGC Access2 $6.3 2015 low double digits 5 Light Oil Market Access1,2 $3.2 2016 low double digits 4 Edmonton to Hardisty Expansion1 $1.8 2016 low double digits
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1 Inclusive of supporting Canadian Mainline expansion capital and CTS effects. 2 Inclusive of 75% joint funding of U.S. Mainline components and CTS effects.
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Flat Profile ($ Billions) Tilted Profile ($ Billions)
Liquids Pipelines – Alberta Regional Infrastructure $1.4 $2.4 Liquids Pipelines – Market Access Initiatives $7.7 $10.9 Gas Pipelines $2.0 $1.1 Gas Distribution $0.6 − Green Power − $1.4
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$0.00 $3.00
* Adjusted earnings EPS is non-GAAP measures. For more information on non-GAAP measures please refer to disclosure in news releases.
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