Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man Mike New man SVP & Chief Financial Officer SVP & Chief Financial Officer 4Q 2002 Sales 4Q 2002 Sales Comparable Store Sales +2%
4Q 2002 Sales 4Q 2002 Sales
- Comparable Store Sales +2%
- Total Sales (-1%)
- Areas of Strength
- Portable Computing
- Computer Accessories
- Photography
- DVD Players
- Select Toys & Giftables (e.g. Zip Zap Micro RC Cars, Environizer)
- Areas of Weakness
- Sprint PCS Handset Unit Sales
- Most Radio Control Toys
- Direct-to-Home Satellite TV
- Desktop Computers
- Comparable Store Sales +2%
- Total Sales (-1%)
- Areas of Strength
- Portable Computing
- Computer Accessories
- Photography
- DVD Players
- Select Toys & Giftables (e.g. Zip Zap Micro RC Cars, Environizer)
- Areas of Weakness
- Sprint PCS Handset Unit Sales
- Most Radio Control Toys
- Direct-to-Home Satellite TV
- Desktop Computers
Long-Term Financial Model 2003 – 2005 Long-Term Financial Model 2003 – 2005
Base Case Sales 2% to 3% GM Rate 70 to 80 bps/yr SG&A Growth 1% to 2% Operating Income Growth 10% to 12% EPS Growth 13% to 15% Base Case Sales 2% to 3% GM Rate 70 to 80 bps/yr SG&A Growth 1% to 2% Operating Income Growth 10% to 12% EPS Growth 13% to 15%
2003 E.P.S. Goal Predicated In Part Upon Vendor Initiatives and Stock Buyback 2003 E.P.S. Goal Predicated In Part Upon Vendor Initiatives and Stock Buyback
$1.40 $1.44 $1.48 $1.52 $1.56 $1.60 $1.64 $1.68 2002 EPS 2003 EPS Base Sales +2% Price/Mkdwns Vendor Inflation Buyback $1.40 $1.44 $1.48 $1.52 $1.56 $1.60 $1.64 $1.68 2002 EPS 2003 EPS Base Sales +2% Price/Mkdwns Vendor Inflation Buyback 0.10 0.08 (0.07) 0.07 0.03
13% - 15% E.P.S. Growth 13% - 15% E.P.S. Growth
Long-Term Financial Model 2003 - 2005 Long-Term Financial Model 2003 - 2005
Stretch Case Sales 2% to 3% 4% to 5% GM Rate 70 to 80 bps/yr 90 to 100 bps/yr SG&A Growth 1% to 2% 2% to 3% Operating Income Growth 10% to 12% 22% to 24% EPS Growth 13% to 15% 25% to 30% Stretch Case Sales 2% to 3% 4% to 5% GM Rate 70 to 80 bps/yr 90 to 100 bps/yr SG&A Growth 1% to 2% 2% to 3% Operating Income Growth 10% to 12% 22% to 24% EPS Growth 13% to 15% 25% to 30%
2003 E.P.S. Stretch Goal Predicated In Larger Part Upon Initiatives Other Than Sales 2003 E.P.S. Stretch Goal Predicated In Larger Part Upon Initiatives Other Than Sales
$1.40 $1.45 $1.50 $1.55 $1.60 $1.65 $1.70 $1.75 $1.80 2002 EPS 2003 EPS Base Sales +4% Price/Markdowns Vendor Inflation SG&A Lev. Buyback $1.40 $1.45 $1.50 $1.55 $1.60 $1.65 $1.70 $1.75 $1.80 2002 EPS 2003 EPS Base Sales +4% Price/Markdowns Vendor Inflation SG&A Lev. Buyback
0.15 0.05 0.12 (0.07) 0.03 0.10
25% E.P.S. Growth 25% E.P.S. Growth
How We Define Our Business How We Define Our Business
RadioShack Retail Sales Composition RadioShack Retail Sales Composition
Wireless Communications 33% Wired Comm 9% Radio Comm 3% Computer 10% Home Entertainment 18%
Accessories, Batteries, Tech 17% P/E, Seasonal, Portable Audio 9% Service Plans, Repair 1%
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales Red Type = Gross Margin % Mid-High 40s Mid-High 40s Mid-High 40s High 20s Low-Mid 40s High 60s – Low 70s Low 50s High 80s
Credible 2003 Sales Case: Credible Improvements, Favorable Anniversaries in H/E and Computer Credible 2003 Sales Case: Credible Improvements, Favorable Anniversaries in H/E and Computer
Nov YTD Base Case Dept ’02 Sales ’03-’05 Wireless 11% 3% – 4% Wired (-2%) (-2%) – 0% Radio (-11%) (-3%) – 0% Computer (-8%) 10% – 12% Home Ent. (-26%) 0% – 2% Accs/Bat/Tech 4% 3% Toys/Port Aud/P-E (-10%) 1% – 2% TOTAL (-5%) 2% Nov YTD Base Case Dept ’02 Sales ’03-’05 Wireless 11% 3% – 4% Wired (-2%) (-2%) – 0% Radio (-11%) (-3%) – 0% Computer (-8%) 10% – 12% Home Ent. (-26%) 0% – 2% Accs/Bat/Tech 4% 3% Toys/Port Aud/P-E (-10%) 1% – 2% TOTAL (-5%) 2%
RadioShack Retail Sales Composition RadioShack Retail Sales Composition
Wireless Communications 33% Wired Comm 9% Radio Comm 3% Computer 10% Home Entertainment 18%
Accessories, Batteries, Tech 17% P/E, Seasonal, Portable Audio 9% Service Plans, Repair 1%
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales
Breakdown of Wireless Communication Breakdown of Wireless Communication
Handsets Handsets Airtime, Services Airtime, Services Wireless Access Wireless Access Wireless Comm 33% Wireless Comm 33%
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales
Healthy Wireless Dept Sales Growth
Less Reliant on Handsets
Healthy Wireless Dept Sales Growth
Less Reliant on Handsets
- Assumes Handset Growth
Low-Mid Singles
- Assumes 10% Growth in
Accessories
- Assumes Handset Growth
Low-Mid Singles
- Assumes 10% Growth in
Accessories
2001 2004
3-Year CAGR of Dept Low to Mid-Single %
Handsets Accessories
Airtime, Services
Handsets Accessories Airtime, Services
RadioShack Retail Sales Composition RadioShack Retail Sales Composition
Wireless Communications 33% Wired Comm 9% Radio Comm 3% Computer 10% Home Entertainment 18%
Accessories, Batteries, Tech 17% P/E, Seasonal, Portable Audio 9% Service Plans, Repair 1%
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales
Breakdown of Home Entertainment Breakdown of Home Entertainment
Home Entertainment 18% Home Entertainment 18% Home Entertainment Accessories Home Entertainment Accessories DTH DTH Home Video Home Video Other Other
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales
Mixing Up Home Entertainment to Drive Profit
Strong Accessory Growth; Less Dependent on DTH
Mixing Up Home Entertainment to Drive Profit
Strong Accessory Growth; Less Dependent on DTH
- Material Mix Shift in Favor of
Accessories, Up Mid-Single %
- Home Video Share Gain to Smaller
Extent
- DTH Down Single-Digit %, Due to
DISH Lower Sales Ring
- Material Mix Shift in Favor of
Accessories, Up Mid-Single %
- Home Video Share Gain to Smaller
Extent
- DTH Down Single-Digit %, Due to
DISH Lower Sales Ring
2001 2004
3-Year CAGR of Dept Flat to Low-Single %
Direct to Home Accessories Other
Home Video
Direct to Home Accessories Other
Home Video
RadioShack Retail Sales Composition RadioShack Retail Sales Composition
Wireless Communications 33% Wired Comm 9% Radio Comm 3% Computer 10% Home Entertainment 18%
Accessories, Batteries, Tech 17% P/E, Seasonal, Portable Audio 9% Service Plans, Repair 1%
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales
Breakdown of Computer Department Breakdown of Computer Department
Computer 10% Computer 10%
Home Networking, Portable Computers, Photography Home Networking, Portable Computers, Photography Desktop Computers, Printers, Monitors Desktop Computers, Printers, Monitors
Accessories Accessories Other Other
Based on 3Q02 YTD Sales
Computer Dept To Look Vastly Different Computer Dept To Look Vastly Different
- Continuing Strong Double Digit % Growth
- f Home Networking, Portable
Computing, and Digital Photography
- Double-Digit Growth of
Other Accessories
- Continued Deceleration of
Desktops, 20% - 30%
- Continuing Strong Double Digit % Growth
- f Home Networking, Portable
Computing, and Digital Photography
- Double-Digit Growth of
Other Accessories
- Continued Deceleration of
Desktops, 20% - 30%
2001 2004
3-Year CAGR of Dept Double Digit %
Networking, Portable Computing, Digital Photography
Netw, Port Comp, Photo
Desktop Computers, Printers, Monitors
D e s k t
- p
s e t a l
Accessories Accessories Other Other
Leaning Into RadioShack’s Strength: Servicing Customers’ Routine Electronics Needs Leaning Into RadioShack’s Strength: Servicing Customers’ Routine Electronics Needs
‘02 Sales ’02 Sales (mil) Growth CAGR ’03-’05 Computer Accessories $150 40% Strong Dbl Digit % Home Ent Accessories $350 6% Mid-Single % Wireless Accessories $200 17% 10% Batteries $250 10% High-Single % $950 13% 8% - 10% ‘02 Sales ’02 Sales (mil) Growth CAGR ’03-’05 Computer Accessories $150 40% Strong Dbl Digit % Home Ent Accessories $350 6% Mid-Single % Wireless Accessories $200 17% 10% Batteries $250 10% High-Single % $950 13% 8% - 10%
Activities to Drive Sales, Profit
- In-Store Space Allocation
- Assortment
- Training
- Compensation
Activities to Drive Sales, Profit Activities to Drive Sales, Profit
- In
In-
- Store Space Allocation
Store Space Allocation
- Assortment
Assortment
- Training
Training
- Compensation
Compensation
Operating Efficiency Operating Efficiency
- Pricing
- Supply Chain – Vendors & Purchasing
- SG&A Management
- ROIC
- Cash Flow
- Pricing
- Supply Chain – Vendors & Purchasing
- SG&A Management
- ROIC
- Cash Flow
Pricing Initiatives Pricing Initiatives
- 2003 Targeted Benefits
- $10 Million (In 13% - 15% Base Case)
- $15 Million (In 25% Stretch Case)
- Markdowns
- $200 Million Annually
- Improved Management
- New Tools for Buyers
- DemandTec, Price Optimization Software
- 2003 Targeted Benefits
- $10 Million (In 13% - 15% Base Case)
- $15 Million (In 25% Stretch Case)
- Markdowns
- $200 Million Annually
- Improved Management
- New Tools for Buyers
- DemandTec, Price Optimization Software
Vendor, Purchasing Initiatives Vendor, Purchasing Initiatives
- 2003 Targeted Benefits
- $25-$30 Million (In 13% - 15% Base Case), 1% of COGS
- $45-$50 Million (In 25% Stretch Case), 2% of COGS
- Significant Progress Made in 2002 on Vendor
Costs
- Significant % of 2003 Base Target Realized &
Capitalized in Inventory
- 2003 Targeted Benefits
- $25-$30 Million (In 13% - 15% Base Case), 1% of COGS
- $45-$50 Million (In 25% Stretch Case), 2% of COGS
- Significant Progress Made in 2002 on Vendor
Costs
- Significant % of 2003 Base Target Realized &
Capitalized in Inventory
SG&A Initiatives SG&A Initiatives
- 2002 SG&A Dollars Approximately Flat vs. 2001
- 2001 Restructuring / Headcount Reductions
- Improved Cost Management
- 2002 SG&A at Upper 30s % of Sales
- Cost Team Formed
- Indirect Cost Opportunity of $20 Million
- Benchmarking of Functions and Processes vs.
External Best Practices
- Targeting 33% - 34% of Sales in 2005
- 2002 SG&A Dollars Approximately Flat vs. 2001
- 2001 Restructuring / Headcount Reductions
- Improved Cost Management
- 2002 SG&A at Upper 30s % of Sales
- Cost Team Formed
- Indirect Cost Opportunity of $20 Million
- Benchmarking of Functions and Processes vs.
External Best Practices
- Targeting 33% - 34% of Sales in 2005
New Store ROIC Improving New Store ROIC Improving
29% 13% 30% 14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
ROIC ROIC (inc PV)
1Q01 1Q02
29% 13% 30% 14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
ROIC ROIC (inc PV)
1Q01 1Q02
Based on Stores Open in 1Q00 Based on Stores Open in 1Q00
480 249 178 120 80 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2Q01 2Q02 4Q02 Est 4Q03 Est 4Q04 Est
ROIC Improving ROIC Improving
Number of Stores with ROIC Less Than 10% Number of Stores with ROIC Less Than 10%
Cash Flow Detail
HQ Financing To Impact Cap Ex
Cash Flow Detail
HQ Financing To Impact Cap Ex
2002E 2003E 2004E
Net Income/ D&A/ Other Non Cash
410 440 470 A/R & Inventory 45 40 35 Cap Ex (110) (225) (230) Dividends (45) (40) (40) Total 300 215 235 2002E 2003E 2004E
Net Income/ D&A/ Other Non Cash
410 440 470 A/R & Inventory 45 40 35 Cap Ex (110) (225) (230) Dividends (45) (40) (40) Total 300 215 235
$593 $300 $215 $235
- $48
2000 2001 2002E 2003E 2004E
Free Cash Flow in Millions Free Cash Flow in Millions
How Our Business Compares How Our Business Compares
12 17 14 17
RSH S&P 500 S&P Retail S&P SPEC RETAIL
RadioShack Trading At Discount RadioShack Trading At Discount
Forward P/E (2003) Forward P/E (2003)
Source: Compustat, Thomson Financial, Dec 06, 2002
21% 13% 10% 14%
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24%
RSH S&P 500 S&P Retail S&P SPEC RETAIL
RadioShack ROIC At Premium RadioShack ROIC At Premium
Return on Invested Capital Return on Invested Capital
Source: Compustat, Thomson Financial ROIC% = Net Operating Profit After Tax / (Total Debt+Shareholder Equity) * 100
Solid Projected Earnings Growth Solid Projected Earnings Growth
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% RSH S&P 500 S&P RETAIL S&P SPEC RETAIL
2003 Estimate 5-YR Estimate
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% RSH S&P 500 S&P RETAIL S&P SPEC RETAIL
2003 Estimate 5-YR Estimate
Source: RadioShack, Compustat, Thomson Financial