MID Annual Safety Report Preliminary Analysis Sixth Edition - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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MID Annual Safety Report Preliminary Analysis Sixth Edition - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Dec 29, 2022 211 likes •404 views

MID Annual Safety Report Preliminary Analysis Sixth Edition Presented by: ASRT Rapporteur, Rose Al Osta Objectives of ASRT Gathering safety information Identification of safety focus areas Production the annual safety report 1

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SLIDE 1

MID Annual Safety Report

Preliminary Analysis Sixth Edition Presented by:

ASRT Rapporteur, Rose Al Osta

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SLIDE 2

Objectives of ASRT

  • Gathering safety information
  • Identification of safety focus areas
  • Production the annual safety report
  • 1st Edition, Nov 2012
  • 2ndEdition, Jan 2014
  • 3rd Edition, March 2015
  • 4th Edition, May 2016
  • 5th Edition, Jan 2017
  • 6th Edition, In progress
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SLIDE 3

Data Collection & Sources

Methodology

  • Existing safety databases of different aviation

stakeholders

  • Surveys
  • Experts opinion
  • Industry meetings

Data sources for ASR (6th edition)

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SLIDE 4

ASR Content (6th edition) RASG-MID uses different types of safety information

REACTIVE

Accidents and serious incidents

PROACTIVE

Safety audit results and incident reports

PREDICTIVE

SSP/SMS implementation and analysis of FOQA de-identified data - an area for improvement!

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SLIDE 5

Risk assessment based on:

 Frequency  Severity (fatality)

Safety Data Analysis

Accident category # accidents Frequency Severity Frequency * Severity

RS

8 1 3 3

SCF

3 2 2 4

OTH

2 3 N/A N/A

UNK

2 3 N/A N/A

TURB

1 4 3 12

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SLIDE 6

Reactive Safety Analysis – Accident rates

  • Reduced

accident rate for 2016 compared to 2015

  • Above global

rate in 2016

  • Matched 5 yr

average global rate! (avg global

= 2.8)

1.9 2.8 4.3 2.5 2.3 3.1 2.8 3 2.8 2.1

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Accidents pr Mil Dept

Accident rate Scheduled Commercial above 5700kg

MID accident rate Global accident rate

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SLIDE 7

Reactive Safety Analysis – Fatal Accidents

  • Accident rate

for MID fatal accidents (2012-2016) is 0.64

  • Above global

accident rate for World fatal accidents (2012 – 2016) which is 0.26

  • Fatalities in

2014 = 38 2015 = 224 2016 = 67

1 1 2 11 8 7 6 9

2 4 6 8 10 12 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

# Fatal Accidents

Fatal Accidents Scheduled Commercial above 5700kg

MID fatal accidents Global fatal accidents

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SLIDE 8

Reactive Safety Analysis

  • Top contributing factors
  • Safety management
  • Regulatory oversight
  • Airport facilities (Poor/faint

marking signs)

  • Flight crew errors related to

manual handling/ flight controls

  • Contained engine failure/

Power plant malfunction

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SLIDE 9

Proactive Safety Analysis - USOAP

  • 13 out of 15 States have been audited
  • Overall MID EI = 70.11% which is above Global average (64.71%)
  • 5 states are below 60% (Libya, Syria, Egypt, Jordan & Kuwait)
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SLIDE 10

Proactive Safety Analysis - USOAP

  • 8 areas and 6 critical elements are above the target of 60%
  • Critical elements CE4 (Qualified technical personnel), and CE8

(Resolution of Safety issues) are the lowest in terms of EI (below 60%)

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SLIDE 11

Proactive Safety Analysis - IOSA

  • All MID accidents rate among non-IOSA registered operators

was above the world average by an average of 8.55 (2012-2016)

  • 27 audits were performed in the MENA Region with an average
  • f 5.8 findings per audit.
  • Findings were mainly in the areas of:

 Maintenance (MNT),  Flight Operations (FLT),  Organization Management (ORG),  Ground Handling Operations (GRH),  Cabin Safety (CAB)

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SLIDE 12

HDL 16% LOD 3% ORM - H 3% ORM - HS 49% ORM - S 26% PAB 3%

ISAGO AUDIT FINDINGS PER AREA - MENA

Proactive Safety Analysis - ISAGO

  • 15 audits in 2016 (5 initial and 10 renewals)
  • Majority of findings were in the areas of:

 Organization & Management  Aircraft Handling & Control (HDL)

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SLIDE 13

Proactive Safety Analysis - Incidents

  • Bird Strikes – an increasing trend!
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SLIDE 14

Proactive Safety Analysis - Incidents

  • Deep landing – an increasing trend!
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SLIDE 15

Proactive Safety Analysis - Incidents

  • Engine Stall – an increasing trend!
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SLIDE 16

Predictive Safety Analysis

  • STEADES utilized for trending

purposes to analyze top contributing factors that would result in accidents

  • EGPWS/GPWS warning – a decreasing trend in 2016
  • Stall warning – no trend identified (higher MID incident rates)
  • TCAS RA – no trend identified (higher MID incident rates)
  • Unstable approaches – an increasing trend in 2016
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SLIDE 17

Focus Areas & Emerging Risks

  • Focus Areas for MID region for 2018 (based on 2012-2016 period)
  • Runway Safety (RS)
  • System/ Component Failure (SCF)
  • Regional emerging risks:
  • Loss of Control In Flight (LOC-I)
  • Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT)
  • RPAS/Drones
  • Wildlife & FOD
  • Laser attacks
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SLIDE 18

Thank you!