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Michigan Population Trends Eric Guthrie PhD State Demographer October 16, 2019 State Demographer Michigans liaison with the U.S. Census Bureau for most programs including population estimates, projections, data dissemination and the

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Michigan Population Trends

Eric Guthrie PhD State Demographer

October 16, 2019

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Michigan’s liaison with the U.S. Census Bureau for most programs

including population estimates, projections, data dissemination and the decennial census

Advisor to state leaders, businesses, non-profits, the media, and the

general public on issues related to population and the Census

Lead for the State Data Center (SDC)

State Demographer

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I send out updates when there is a significant data release from the

Census Bureau

The Bureau of Labor Market Information & Strategic Initiatives also

sends out regular updates on a wealth of topics

You can sign up for those updates and pick what topics interest you at:

https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/MIDEPTTMB/subscriber/new

Subscribe to the Bureau’s Listserv for updates

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Michigan Population

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program

9,952,450 10,055,315 9,877,535 9,995,915 9,750,000 9,800,000 9,850,000 9,900,000 9,950,000 10,000,000 10,050,000 10,100,000

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Michigan Historic and Projected Population

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program; DTMB, Labor Market Information & Strategic Initiatives, 2045 Population Projections

9,952,450 10,055,315 9,877,535 9,995,915 10,425,000 10,646,000 10,606,000 9,400,000 9,600,000 9,800,000 10,000,000 10,200,000 10,400,000 10,600,000 10,800,000

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There are only three things that affect a population size over time:

– Births – Deaths – Migration

Population2 = Population1 + Births – Deaths + (In-migration – Out-migration)

How Populations Change

Natural Change Net Migration

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Michigan Population and Components of Change

Source: DTMB, Labor Market Information & Strategic Initiatives, 2045 Population Projections

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Michigan Age Structure

Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)

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Michigan Age Structure

Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)

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Michigan Age Structure

Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)

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Projected Population Structure

Source: DTMB, Labor Market Information & Strategic Initiatives, 2045 Population Projections

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Where to Get Projections Data from the State of Michigan

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Questions?

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Eric A. Guthrie, PhD State Demographer Department of Technology, Management & Budget Bureau of Labor Market Information & Strategic Initiatives Victor Office Building 201 N. Washington Square 5th Floor Lansing, MI 48913 (517) 241-8667 GuthrieE@Michigan.gov