Immigrant Population Trends Immigrant Population Trends in Peel and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Immigrant Population Trends Immigrant Population Trends in Peel and GTAH in Peel and GTAH

November 28, 2005 November 28, 2005

Ron Jaros Ron Jaros Region of Peel Planning Department Region of Peel Planning Department

2 2

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 Caledon Brampton Mississauga Peel

Peel Population 1971 - 2031

3 3

Citizenship and Immigration Canada (2004) Citizenship and Immigration Canada (2004)

• Immigrant Population by Original GTAH Destination

Immigrant Population by Original GTAH Destination

• Origins of Immigrants

Origins of Immigrants

• Age Structure of Immigrants

Age Structure of Immigrants

Statistics Canada (Census 2001, 1996, 1991, 1986, 1981) Statistics Canada (Census 2001, 1996, 1991, 1986, 1981)

• Immigrant Population by Place of Settlement

Immigrant Population by Place of Settlement

• Population Living in Immigrant Headed Households

Population Living in Immigrant Headed Households

• Origins of Immigrants

Origins of Immigrants

• Age Structure, Living Arrangements and Income Status of

Age Structure, Living Arrangements and Income Status of Immigrants. Immigrants.

Hemson Consulting Ltd. (2004) Hemson Consulting Ltd. (2004)

• GTAH Immigration Forecasts

GTAH Immigration Forecasts

Data Sources Data Sources

4 4

Immigration has been an important source of Immigration has been an important source of population growth in Peel Region and GTAH population growth in Peel Region and GTAH Peel attracts immigrants who arrive directly from Peel attracts immigrants who arrive directly from

• utside Canada or move into Peel from other
• utside Canada or move into Peel from other

places in Canada places in Canada According to the 2001 census, immigrants make According to the 2001 census, immigrants make up 43% of Peel’s population up 43% of Peel’s population Population living in households headed by Population living in households headed by immigrants make up over 60% of Peel’s immigrants make up over 60% of Peel’s population population Immigration trends vary across the GTAH Immigration trends vary across the GTAH

Background Background

5 5

Immigrant Population in the GTA Immigrant Population in the GTA

6 6 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 1992-1996

Natural Increase Net Migration

Background Background

Source: Statistics Canada

Population Growth in Peel by Source

68.4% 31.6% 57.7% 42.3% 65.2% 34.8%

1987-1991 1997-2001

68.4% 31.6% 57.7% 42.3% 65.2% 34.8%

1992-1996

7 7 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 1987-1991 1992-1996 1997-2001

Background Background

72.1% 27.9% 57.8% 48.2% 65.3% 34.7%

Source: Statistics Canada

Population Growth in GTAH by Source Natural Increase Net Migration

8 8

GTA Immigration GTA Immigration

Approximately 250,000 immigrants arrive Approximately 250,000 immigrants arrive in Canada each year. in Canada each year. Ontario receives approximately one Ontario receives approximately one-

• half of

half of these. these. Of this one Of this one-

• half, about 75% come to the

half, about 75% come to the GTA. GTA.

Immigrant Population by Immigrant Population by Original GTAH Destination Original GTAH Destination

10 10 Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada – July 2005

Immigrant Immigrant Population

Population by Original GTAH

by Original GTAH

Destination Destination

Percentage of All GTAH Immigrant Destinations (1985 - 2004)

0.0% 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 10.0% 20.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0%

11 11

Toronto remains as the primary original Toronto remains as the primary original destination for most immigrants destination for most immigrants Peel’s share of GTAH immigrants was at Peel’s share of GTAH immigrants was at 10 10-

• 12% in the 1990’s

12% in the 1990’s Recently Peel’s share of GTAH immigrants has Recently Peel’s share of GTAH immigrants has rapidly increased beyond 20% rapidly increased beyond 20% This recent sharp increase in Peel’s attraction to This recent sharp increase in Peel’s attraction to immigrants began after the 2001 Census immigrants began after the 2001 Census Peel’s sharp increase in immigrants will need to Peel’s sharp increase in immigrants will need to be monitored over time as it may impact on the be monitored over time as it may impact on the delivery of regional services delivery of regional services

Immigrant Population by Original GTAH Immigrant Population by Original GTAH Destination Destination

Immigrant Population by Immigrant Population by Place of Settlement Place of Settlement

13 13

Immigrant Population by Immigrant Population by Place of Settlement Place of Settlement

Source: Statistics Canada

All Immigrants as Share of Population

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 Share of Total Population

Toronto Halton Peel York Durham Hamilton GTAH

14 14

Peel’s immigrant population is the second Peel’s immigrant population is the second highest in the GTAH (43%) highest in the GTAH (43%) In 1996 Peel’s immigrant population was 39.8% In 1996 Peel’s immigrant population was 39.8% and by 2001 this figure has increased to 43% and by 2001 this figure has increased to 43% With the exception of the 1981 With the exception of the 1981-

• 86 period, recent

86 period, recent immigrant population has been growing in Peel immigrant population has been growing in Peel Peel is becoming a place where immigrants Peel is becoming a place where immigrants

• settle. They either arrive here and stay or select
• settle. They either arrive here and stay or select

Peel as a second settlement destination Peel as a second settlement destination

Immigrant Population by Immigrant Population by Place of Settlement Place of Settlement

Immigrant Headed Immigrant Headed Households Households

16 16

Immigrant Headed Households Immigrant Headed Households

Source: Statistics Canada

Population in Households Headed by Immigrants

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 1986 1991 1996 2001 Share of Total Population

Toronto Halton Peel York Durham Hamilton GTAH

17 17

A different perspective of immigration is A different perspective of immigration is represented by immigrant headed households represented by immigrant headed households These figures are higher than total immigrant These figures are higher than total immigrant population because children of immigrants who population because children of immigrants who were born in Canada are not immigrants were born in Canada are not immigrants The share of Peel’s population living in The share of Peel’s population living in households headed by immigrants exceeded households headed by immigrants exceeded 60% in Peel in 2001 60% in Peel in 2001 The population of immigrant headed households The population of immigrant headed households has been growing in Peel has been growing in Peel

Immigrant Headed Immigrant Headed Households Households

Origins of Immigrants Origins of Immigrants

19 19

Origins of Immigrants Origins of Immigrants

Source: Statistics Canada – 2001 Census

1996-2001 Peel's Immigrants by Place of Birth

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% I n d i a P a k i s t a n P h i l i p p i n e s C h i n a S r i L a n k a J a m a i c a P

• l

a n d S

• u

t h K

• r

e a G u y a n a H

• n

g K

• n

g Percent of Total

20 20

Origins of Immigrants Origins of Immigrants

Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada – July 2005

2000-2004 Peel's Immigrants By Place of Birth

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% I n d i a P a k i s t a n P h i l i p p i n e s C h i n a J a m a i c a S r i L a n k a U S A P

• l

a n d G u y a n a E g y p t Percent of Total

21 21

Recent immigrants to Peel are most likely to come from Recent immigrants to Peel are most likely to come from Asian countries Asian countries 34.6% of all immigrants arriving in Peel between 2000 34.6% of all immigrants arriving in Peel between 2000 and 2004 were born in India and 2004 were born in India

(Citizenship and Immigration Canada (Citizenship and Immigration Canada – – July 2005) July 2005)

India was also the leading birth country for immigrants India was also the leading birth country for immigrants arriving between 1996 and 2001 arriving between 1996 and 2001 – – 26.8% 26.8%

(Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada – – Census 2001) Census 2001)

India, Pakistan and the Philippines are the 3 leading India, Pakistan and the Philippines are the 3 leading countries of origin for immigrants who immigrated countries of origin for immigrants who immigrated between 1996 and 2001 as well as between 2000 and between 1996 and 2001 as well as between 2000 and 2004 2004 Immigrants from these 3 countries make up over 50% of Immigrants from these 3 countries make up over 50% of all immigrants coming to Peel Region all immigrants coming to Peel Region

Origins of Immigrants Origins of Immigrants

Age Structure, Living Age Structure, Living Arrangements and Income Arrangements and Income Status of Immigrants Status of Immigrants

23 23

Age Structure of Immigrants Age Structure of Immigrants

Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada – July 2005

Shares of Immigrants by Age Group

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 0-5 6-11 12-17 18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 65+ Percent of Total 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

24 24

Immigrants of all age groups have been Immigrants of all age groups have been choosing Peel as their destination choosing Peel as their destination Immigrants of the 26 Immigrants of the 26-

• 35 age group are the most

35 age group are the most represented among people immigrating between represented among people immigrating between 2000 and 2004 2000 and 2004 Almost 59% of these immigrants are people Almost 59% of these immigrants are people between 18 and 45 between 18 and 45 This immigrant population will feed into our This immigrant population will feed into our labour force and result in its growth labour force and result in its growth

Age Structure of Immigrants Age Structure of Immigrants

2.9 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9

Average Average Household Size Household Size Non Non-

• Immigrants

Immigrants Immigrants as a Immigrants as a Whole Whole Recent Recent Immigrants Immigrants

Living Arrangement Living Arrangement

7.8% 7.8% 18.0% 18.0% 21.2% 21.2%

Families Share a Families Share a Dwelling with Dwelling with Others Others

By immigration status of primary household maintainer.

Non Non-

• Immigrants

Immigrants Immigrants as a Immigrants as a Whole Whole Recent Recent Immigrants Immigrants

Source: Statistics Canada; 2001 Census

26 26

Living Arrangement Living Arrangement

The average household sizes for Peel’s recent The average household sizes for Peel’s recent immigrants, immigrants and non immigrants, immigrants and non-

• immigrants are

immigrants are 3.9, 3.7 and 2.8 people per household 3.9, 3.7 and 2.8 people per household respectively respectively 18.0% of immigrant families live in a shared 18.0% of immigrant families live in a shared

• dwelling. This number is slightly lower than for
• dwelling. This number is slightly lower than for

recent immigrants (21.2%) but much higher than recent immigrants (21.2%) but much higher than for non for non-

• immigrants (7.8%)

immigrants (7.8%)

27 27

LICO

Income levels at which the proportion of a person’s income that goes toward purchasing necessities (food, shelter and clothing) is 20% higher than the proportion that the average Canadian spends on necessities. It varies by family and community size.

28 28

Income Status Income Status

Population Living Below Low Income Cut-Off by Immigration Status

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% Total Population Non-Im m igrants All Im m igrants Recent Im m igrants Non-Perm anent Residents

Source: Statistics Canada (Urban Poverty Project) - 2001

29 29 Distribution of Total Population, Low Income of Immigrants and Low Income of Non- Immigrants in Peel, 2001

43% 56% 47% 61% 40% 47% 20% 22% 56% 42% 52% 37% 60% 52% 80% 77%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Peel's Population Low Income in Peel Mississauga's Population Low Income in Mississauga Brampton's Population Low Income in Brampton Caledon's Population Low Income in Caledon

Non- Immigrants Total Immigrants

30 30

Incidence of Low Income by Period of Immigration in Peel, 2001

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Non- Immigrants Total Immigrants Immigrated before 1986 Immigrated 1986-1990 Immigrated 1991-1995 Immigrated 1996-2001 Percentage with Low Income Peel Mississauga Brampton Caledon

31 31

Income Status Income Status

Proportion of population living below Low Proportion of population living below Low Income Cut Income Cut-

• Off is higher among

Off is higher among immigrants (15.1%) than non immigrants (15.1%) than non-

• immigrants

immigrants (8.7%) (8.7%) This ratio is even higher among recent This ratio is even higher among recent immigrants (23.9%) immigrants (23.9%) Recent immigrants probably contribute to Recent immigrants probably contribute to a very high ratio (33.7%) among non a very high ratio (33.7%) among non-

• permanent residents

permanent residents

32 32

LINC Funding per Capita GTA

$0.00 $100.00 $200.00 $300.00 $400.00 $500.00 $600.00 $700.00 $800.00 $900.00 Peel Halton Durham York Toronto GTA Ontario

2000-01* 2001-02** 2002-03** 2003-04*** 2004-05***

GTAH GTAH Immigrant Forecasts Immigrant Forecasts

34 34

GTAH Immigration Forecasts GTAH Immigration Forecasts

GTAH Forecast Scenarios - Annual Average Net International Migration 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 2002-2006 2007-2011 2012-2016 2017-2021 2022-2026 2027-2031

Low Reference High Source: Hemson Consulting

MAPS MAPS

38 38

44 44

There are now sizeable ethnic communities There are now sizeable ethnic communities established in Peel, where new immigrants will established in Peel, where new immigrants will find relatives, cultural centres and religious find relatives, cultural centres and religious congregations congregations More affordable housing prices than in Toronto More affordable housing prices than in Toronto Housing mix suitable for household composition Housing mix suitable for household composition and living arrangements and living arrangements Peel now has ethnically identifiable services that Peel now has ethnically identifiable services that are well established are well established

What Attracts Immigrants to Peel? What Attracts Immigrants to Peel?

45 45

Total Immigrant population makes up over 43% Total Immigrant population makes up over 43%

• f Peel’s population
• f Peel’s population

Population of households headed by immigrants Population of households headed by immigrants makes up over 60% of Peel’s population makes up over 60% of Peel’s population Recent trends show that Peel is attracting more Recent trends show that Peel is attracting more immigrants arriving directly or moving from other immigrants arriving directly or moving from other places in Canada places in Canada Recent immigrants to Peel are most likely to be Recent immigrants to Peel are most likely to be from Asian countries. from Asian countries.

Conclusions

46 46

Conclusions(2)

Since 2000, 34.6% of immigrants came Since 2000, 34.6% of immigrants came from India. from India. Immigrants will account for the growth of Immigrants will account for the growth of Peel’s labour force. Peel’s labour force. Recent immigrants are more than twice as Recent immigrants are more than twice as likely to live below the low income cut off likely to live below the low income cut off compared to the total population. compared to the total population. Immigration will continue to drive growth in Immigration will continue to drive growth in Peel. Peel.