Meeting 1 Monday, February 12, 2018 Ag Agenda Welcome & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Meeting 1

Monday, February 12, 2018

Ag Agenda

• Welcome & Introductions
• Overview of the Committee
• State of the District
• District Enrollment & Demographic Projections
• CAC Group Work

(Observations, Questions & Committee Needs)

• CAC Group Share & Gallery Walk
• Meeting Wrap-Up

WH WHY WE WE’RE HERE

Overview of the Committee

Wh Why You

• u’re Here
• You are Alvin ISD!
• 150+ parents, community members,

elected officials and business leaders

• Represent a diverse cross-section of
• ur district
• Bring varying perspectives from our

communities

Goal of the Citizen’s Advisory Committee The goal of the Citizen’s Advisory Committee is to in involv lve members rs of the Alvin Independent School District community in ev eval aluat ating an and id identif ifyin ing the possible need for re renovated an and/or new ew faci facilities es to support quality educational and instructional programs. Purpose of the Citizen’s Advisory Committee The purpose of the Citizen’s Advisory Committee is to pr provide de facility re recommendations to the Board of Trustees after having studied current facilities, educational and student programs, and information associated with student population growth in the school district.

Ou Our Charges

Develop recommendations that:

• Consider the educational needs of all students
• Provide an adequate and appropriate learning environment
• Are fiscally sound
• Reflect community values and perceptions of need
• Include recommended solutions for aging facilities and

program growth

• Include recommended solutions for new facilities needed to

accommodate student enrollment growth

• Are based on current, relevant data and best practices
• Adhere to law and policy
• To the extent possible, provide the school district with

recommendations that include information regarding the priority

• f each project

Th The Committee Shall…

• Address immediate and five-year facility needs
• Evaluate and prioritize needs based on the

established goal, charges, and parameters

• Have access to Alvin ISD data and resources
• Discuss funding options for recommendations
• Provide recommendations to the Alvin ISD Board of

Trustees by July 2018, recognizing that the Board has the responsibility to make final determinations regarding projects, funding, and will determine the structure and content of any potential bond

Co Committee ee Sch Sched edule

Currently scheduled meetings:

• Meeting 1 – Monday, February 12
• Meeting 2 – Monday, March 5
• Meeting 3 – Monday, March 26
• Meeting 4 – Monday, April 16
• Meeting 5 – Monday, May 7

All meetings are currently scheduled at Manvel Junior High School Light meal at 6:00 p.m. Meeting to begin promptly at 6:30 p.m. Meetings are open to the public. Meeting materials will be posted at www.alvinisd.net/cac

Le Let’s Get to Know Each Other

Raise your hand if…

• You’ve served on AISD’s CAC in the past
• You represent a business in Alvin ISD
• You’re a parent of a current Elementary student
• You’re a parent of a current Junior High student
• You’re a parent of a current High School

student

• You live in Alvin
• You live in Amsterdam
• You live in Iowa Colony
• You live in Liverpool
• You live in Manvel
• You live in Pearland
• You live in other areas of Alvin ISD
• You’ve lived in AISD for 5 years or more
• You’ve lived in AISD for 10 years or more
• You’ve lived in AISD for 20 years or more

ST STATE OF THE DIST STRICT

Overview of Alvin ISD

Al Alvin ISD Vision & Be Beliefs fs

Vision: Alvin ISD is a dynamic learning organization committed to excellence for each student and every program. Be Beliefs:

• We believe STUDENTS achieve their maximum potential when provided engaging learning opportunities.
• We believe PARENTS expect excellence in educational experiences that will make each child’s goals become

achievable.

• We believe TEACHERS create a safe and engaging learning environment that fosters the success of each

student.

• We believe CAMPUS LEADERS establish a climate where everyone matters by creating a culture of pride and
• wnership in their schools.
• We believe the CENTRAL OFFICE provides the foundation to equip staff with resources in a supportive

environment so that each student has the opportunity to thrive.

• We believe the BOARD OF TRUSTEES engages the community to create an environment where excellence is

prioritized to ensure each student reaches his or her maximum potential.

Al Alvin ISD

Areas of Focus

Co Community Cl Classroom

Op Opportunity & Choice

Designed to address a variety of needs, the Alvin ISD CTE program includes exploration of career interests, practical experiences in an intended career field and entry-level skills for selected occupations. The JB Hensler College and Career Academy is a comprehensive College and Career Academy built to accommodate 800-1000 students from all of our high school campuses.

Students can select from programs in computer networking, veterinary sciences, and health sciences including courses in EMT, Pharmacy Tech and Certified Nursing/Medical Assistant, along with programs such as welding, auto tech and more.

Ad Advanced Ac Academics

• The WINGS Academy is a school within a school

model designed to provide highly gifted students an advanced educational opportunity matched to their individual abilities, strengths and interests. The WINGS Academy is for elementary aged children.

• The Alvin ISD STEM Academy is designed to meet

the needs of the district’s highly gifted junior high

• population. The STEM Academy focuses on problem

solving, discovery, creativity, exploratory learning, teamwork, leadership skills, and communication skills while providing the depth and complexity needed to meet the cognitive needs of the highly gifted student.

St Studen ent Enrollmen ent

Al Alvin ISD currently enrolls 24,976 students.

Year Enrollment Student Growth

2015 22,158 2016 23,631 + 1,473 2017 24,896 + 1,265 Current 24,976

Keeping pace with the Growth

2015 2015 Bond Update

All All previo ious Bond in informatio ion can be found at www www.alvinisd.net/P /Page/4 /4636

2015 B 2015 Bond | | Elementary Projects

Shirley Brothers Elementary School

• Opened August 2017

Pomona Elementary

• Opened August 2017

Bob & Betty Nelson Elementary

• 14400 County Rd. 185, Alvin
• Began October 2017
• Opens 2019/20

Bel Nafegar Sanchez Elementary

• 1721 Sterling Lakes W. Dr., Rosharon
• Began November 2017
• Opens 2019/20

Land for Elementary #21 Shirley Brothers Elementary

2910 Half Moon Bay Dr., Pearland

Pomona Elementary

4480 Kirby Dr., Manvel

2015 B 2015 Bond | | Junior High Projects

• Dr. Ronald E. McNair Junior High
• 2950 Kingsley, Pearland
• Scheduled to open August 2018

Design for Junior High #8

• Dollars for land purchase approved in 2013 Bond

2015 B 2015 Bond | | High School Projects

JB Hensler College & Career Academy (Phase 2)

• 7380 Lewis Lane, Manvel
• Opened December 2017

Alvin High School Auditorium

• 802 S Johnson, Alvin
• Began January 2018
• Scheduled to Open August 2019

Memorial Stadium Upgrades

• Began November 2016
• Scheduled Completion August 2018

Land & Partial Design for High School #4

2015 B 2015 Bond | | District Level Projects

Alvin ISD Heritage Complex

• 10855 County Road 65, Iowa Colony
• Began December 2016
• Scheduled Opening June 2018

Satellite Transportation Center

• 10855 County Road 65, Iowa Colony
• Began July 2017
• Scheduled Opening June 2018

Central District Stadium & Satellite Transportation Center

Di District Enrol

• llment & De

Demogr

• grap

aphic Pr Projections

Templeton Demographics

21

Ec Economic Conditions – Ho Houston Area

(D (December 2017)

Unemployment Rate

• 0.6%

59, 59,268 268 new jobs Na National rate 1.2%

Job Growth

1.9%

1, 1,818 818 more st starts s than 4Q16

Annual Home Starts

27,307

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission & Metrostudy

U. U.S. 3.9% Te Texas 3.7% Ho Houston MSA 4.3% Pe Pearland 3.3% Al Alvin 5.2%

22

Al Alvin ISD Home Sales

• Alvin ISD had roughly 3,015 home sales in

2017, and about 38% were new homes

• The average sale price in 2017 for a new

home in AISD was $318,155

• The average sale price in 2017 for an

existing home in AISD was $245,462

2017 Home Sales by Transaction Type

Ex Existing Home Sa Sales es 55.83% 55.83% Ne New Home Sa Sales es 38.66% 38.66% REO S Sales 3.55% 3.55% Fo Foreclosures 1.96% 1.96%

Di District Hom

• me

Sa Sales es by Type

23

Ho Houston New Ho Home Ranking Re Report rt

ISD Ranked by Annual Closings – 4Q17

*Adjusted based on additional research by Templeton Demographics staff

Rank District Name Annual Starts Annual Closings VDL Future 1 Fort Bend ISD 3,035 3,195 4,054 13,525 2 Cypress-Fairbanks ISD 2,766 2,810 3,250 15,821 3 Lamar CISD 2,501 2,438 4,402 17,325 4 Katy ISD 2,422 2,242 3,583 15,187 5 Conroe ISD 2,243 2,089 4,836 23,941 6 Houston ISD 2,141 1,980 3,134 8,962 7 Alvin ISD* 1,319 1,281 2,059 17,645 8 Humble ISD 1,299 1,150 2,122 7,550 9 Tomball ISD 1,131 1,078 2,228 3,097 10 Klein ISD 916 1,028 1,820 1,975 11 Clear Creek ISD 942 986 1,487 3,282 12 Spring ISD 641 725 676 6,590 13 Spring Branch ISD 600 528 1,265 1,063 14 Dickinson ISD 561 401 933 5,338 15 New Caney ISD 519 393 962 3,429 16 Sheldon ISD 420 393 782 3,328 17 Aldine ISD 430 364 864 1,086 18 Magnolia ISD 343 343 1,107 3,868 19 Barbers Hill ISD 414 331 412 853 20 Pearland ISD 258 327 256 1,404

24

Al Alvin ISD New w Housing Ac Activity

• Alvin ISD started and

closed more than 1,250 new homes in 2017

• This is the most annual

starts and closings in more than 10 years

• New home inventory is at

a healthy 6.3 month’s supply

Starts 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Closings 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q 195 143 205 229 314 292 1Q 178 178 156 212 227 277 2Q 204 186 233 299 209 392 2Q 200 168 232 274 246 294 3Q 204 174 252 243 316 390 3Q 193 158 188 244 293 406 4Q 151 163 224 252 262 245 4Q 182 155 226 228 293 304 Total 754 666 914 1,023 1,101 1,319 Total 753 659 802 958 1,059 1,281

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1 Q 1 3 Q 1 1 Q 1 1 3 Q 1 1 1 Q 1 2 3 Q 1 2 1 Q 1 3 3 Q 1 3 1 Q 1 4 3 Q 1 4 1 Q 1 5 3 Q 1 5 1 Q 1 6 3 Q 1 6 1 Q 1 7 3 Q 1 7

Starts Closings

25

An Annual Closings

Top 10 Subdivisions - 4Q17 (Ranked by Annual Closings) Rank Subdivision Annual Closings Quarter Closings VDL Future 1 Rodeo Palms 180 36 92 135 2 Meridiana 178 50 247 4,958 3 Lakes of Savannah (Pomona) 169 39 181 804 4 Southlake (AISD) 118 26 67 103 5 Sterling Lakes 112 31 331 3,085 6 Pomona 109 32 274 1,561 7 Sedona Lakes 97 18 63 237 8 Southern Trails 63 17 31 9 Lakeland 62 2 123 231 10 Kendall Lakes 48 15 89 70 TOTALS 1,136 266 1,498 11,184

26

Va Vacant De Delivered Lots

Top 10 Subdivisions - 4Q17 (Ranked by remaining VDL) Rank Subdivision Annual Closings VDL Future 1 Sterling Lakes 112 331 3,085 2 Pomona 109 274 1,561 3 Meridiana 178 247 4,958 4 Sierra Vista 211 521 6 Lakes of Savannah (Pomona) 169 181 804 5 Lakeland 62 123 231 8 Rodeo Palms 180 92 135 7 Kendall Lakes 48 89 70 9 Savannah Plantation 20 76 22 10 Newport Lake Estates 73 98 TOTALS 878 1,697 11,485

27

Fu Future Lots

Top 10 Subdivisions - 4Q17 (Ranked by Future Inventory) Rank Subdivision Annual Closings VDL Future 1 Meridiana 178 247 4,958 2 Sterling Lakes 112 331 3,085 3 Walton 1445 Acres 2,500 4 Pomona 109 274 1,561 5 Massey Oaks 975 6 Lakes of Savannah (Pomona) 169 181 804 7 Sierra Vista 211 521 8 Lacovia Lakes 440 9 Yanni Palms 376 10 Morgan's Landing 2 324 TOTALS 570 1,244 15,544

28

Ne New Home Activity by Elementary Zone

Highest activity in the category Second highest activity in the category Third highest activity in the category

ELEMENTARY ATTENDANCE ZONE Annual Starts Quarter Starts Annual Closings Quarter Closings Under Const. Inventory Vacant

• Dev. Lots

Future ALVIN/ALVIN 21 22 1 9 14 79 256 BROTHERS 58 7 63 17 17 28 31 DUKE HASSE 2 169 HOOD-CASE 60 8 47 15 12 19 7 1,467 JETER 198 18 180 36 31 58 165 609 MAREK MASON 58 20 62 2 28 31 194 485 MERIDIANA 303 63 292 81 105 181 847 11,504 PASSMORE 12 18 POMONA 405 90 375 89 181 251 518 2,602 SAVANNAH LAKES STEVENSON/DISNEY 3 2 1 2 2 6 324 TWAIN 61 20 48 15 24 38 89 108 WILDER YORK 152 19 190 38 28 45 109 103 Grand Total 1,319 245 1,281 295 437 667 2,059 17,645

29

Di District Housing Ov Over erview ew

• The district has more

than 2,050 lots available to build on

• Alvin ISD has more

than 17,600 planned future lots

• Of those, groundwork

is underway on about 600 lots

30

Re Residential Activity

Meridiana

• 5,502 total lots
• 4,958 futures
• 204 occupied
• Building 180 – 200

homes in 2018

• Current student yield =

0.59

• Meridiana Elementary
• Approx. 1,900 total

elementary students at build out

31

Sierra Vista

• 732 total lots
• Phase 1 with 211

lots delivered December 2017

• First homes

starting early 2018

• Meridiana

Elementary

• Approx. 250 total

elementary students at build

• ut

Lacovia Lakes

• Approx. 440 future

lots

• Preliminary plat

approved in November 2016

• Homebuilding

could start by late 2019 or early 2020

• Split between

Meridiana and Mason Elementary

• Approx. 150 total

elementary students at build out

Residential A Activity

32

Pearland ISD

Bluewater Lakes

• 330 total lots
• 254 future lots
• First homes occupied early 2018
• Beezer Homes
• Mason Elementary
• Approx. 80 total elementary

students at build out Massey Oaks

• 975 total lots
• Property was rezoned and annexed into the

City of Pearland in July 2017

• Hood-Case Elementary
• Approx. 250 total elementary students at

build out Martha’s Vineyard

• 315 total future lots
• Groundwork underway on Phase

1 with 143 lots

• Homes starting mid to late 2018
• Hood-Case Elementary
• Approx. 75 total elementary

students at build out

Residential A Activity

Fi Five Year Fo Forecast by Grade Level

33

*Yellow box = largest grade per year *Green box = second largest grade per year

Year (Oct.) EE/PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Total Growth % Growth 2013/14 842 1,657 1,604 1,631 1,517 1,412 1,527 1,469 1,418 1,507 1,524 1,453 1,273 975 19,809 2014/15 852 1,670 1,770 1,676 1,668 1,570 1,504 1,583 1,506 1,484 1,662 1,416 1,429 1,076 20,866 1,057 5.3% 2015/16 844 1,720 1,800 1,855 1,758 1,746 1,612 1,628 1,679 1,564 1,719 1,579 1,419 1,235 22,158 1,292 6.2% 2016/17 851 1,726 1,920 1,880 1,923 1,875 1,853 1,711 1,728 1,762 1,837 1,686 1,607 1,272 23,631 1,473 6.6% 2017/18 819 1,779 1,842 1,985 1,976 2,034 1,981 1,939 1,797 1,803 2,009 1,800 1,675 1,454 24,896 1,265 5.3% 2018/19 819 1,824 1,911 1,927 2,076 2,081 2,145 2,106 2,033 1,878 2,005 1,919 1,770 1,547 26,041 1,145 4.6% 2019/20 819 1,865 1,967 2,000 1,987 2,191 2,180 2,292 2,230 2,140 2,115 1,885 1,869 1,631 27,170 1,129 4.3% 2020/21 819 1,918 1,989 2,058 2,062 2,082 2,300 2,330 2,415 2,350 2,399 2,047 1,857 1,720 28,347 1,177 4.3% 2021/22 819 1,964 2,063 2,088 2,168 2,183 2,203 2,465 2,459 2,540 2,625 2,290 2,010 1,719 29,596 1,250 4.4% 2022/23 819 2,033 2,086 2,136 2,158 2,281 2,289 2,362 2,615 2,597 2,843 2,505 2,246 1,861 30,831 1,235 4.2%

• Alvin ISD may enroll 27,000 students by 2019
• 5 year enrollment growth = 5,938
• 2022/23 enrollment = 30,831

Ten Y Year F Forecast b by E Elementary C Campus

34

*Yellow box = enrollment exceeds stated permanent building capacity *Red box = enrollment exceeds stated capacity with temp/flex buildings

Permanent Building Capacity Cap. W/Temp/ Flex/Bldgs Current

ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

Campus 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Alvin Primary 702 746 589 592 601 1,131 1,139 1,138 1,142 1,148 1,127 1,146 1,139 1,148 Hood-Case Elementary 750 926 717 671 678 653 657 668 707 715 735 754 765 774 Jeter Elementary 800 888 796 829 851 863 912 971 989 1,007 1,022 1,040 1,058 1,060 Hasse Elementary 800 800 713 769 811 825 834 837 844 832 824 817 809 797 Marek Elementary 800 888 886 765 723 692 663 681 685 707 700 702 721 731 Mark Twain Elementary 800 800 773 783 800 801 826 824 823 824 829 827 831 837 Mason Elementary 653 829 757 695 729 751 788 835 868 867 867 858 854 863 Passmore Elementary 750 838 708 674 675 678 672 678 694 708 709 726 720 699 Savannah Lakes Elementary 800 932 897 844 837 833 839 827 856 868 885 915 944 972 R L Stevenson Elementary 613 745 598 592 590 572 574 568 565 562 580 591 601 615 Walt Disney Elementary 572 572 566 543 526 515 496 498 492 506 484 491 501 512 Wilder Elementary 800 932 937 843 847 833 782 771 751 765 778 786 802 813 York Elementary 800 800 1,005 869 907 930 933 930 908 912 918 923 927 938 Duke Elementary 800 888 908 539 531 542 520 501 497 503 518 531 544 562 Meridiana Elementary 800 800 610 701 802 922 1,029 1,159 1,318 1,429 1,567 1,706 1,829 1,962 Brothers Elementary 800 800 770 843 873 881 858 866 868 873 879 885 893 Pomona Elementary 800 800 399 499 582 670 731 784 871 908 933 972 1,006 ELEMENTARY TOTALS 13,324 14,688 12,007 12,403 12,770 12,996 13,215 13,475 13,789 14,092 14,324 14,625 14,902 15,182 Elementary Absolute Growth 696 396 367 226 219 260 314 303 232 301 277 280 Elementary Percent Growth 6.15% 3.30% 2.96% 1.77% 1.69% 1.97% 2.33% 2.20% 1.65% 2.10% 1.89% 1.88%

Ten Y Year F Forecast b by S Secondary C Campus

35 Permanent Building Capacity Cap. W/Temp/ Flex/Bldgs Current

ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

Campus 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Alvin Junior High 1,000 1,000 831 847 917 945 893 881 857 836 859 854 867 836 Fairview Junior High 1,000 1,000 757 719 790 835 885 899 888 890 917 931 932 919 Harby Junior High 832 904 768 766 786 857 899 931 889 934 940 981 977 988 Rodeo Palms 1,000 1,000 780 970 1,116 1,282 1,432 1,546 1,647 1,697 1,680 1,682 1,702 1,720 Manvel Junior High 1,000 1,000 1,009 1,135 1,238 1,413 1,514 1,716 1,819 1,983 2,055 2,235 2,331 2,442 Ryan Junior High 1,000 1,144 1,055 1,099 1,167 1,327 1,469 1,488 1,471 1,387 1,371 1,347 1,386 1,378 JUNIOR HIGH TOTALS 5,832 6,048 5,200 5,536 6,014 6,659 7,092 7,461 7,571 7,727 7,822 8,030 8,195 8,283 Junior High Absolute Growth 330 336 478 645 433 369 110 156 95 208 165 88 Junior High Percent Growth 6.78% 6.46% 8.63% 10.72% 6.50% 5.20% 1.47% 2.06% 1.23% 2.66% 2.05% 1.07% Alvin High School 2,640 2,760 2,661 2,763 2,716 2,728 2,818 2,869 3,036 3,116 3,150 3,125 3,118 3,177 Manvel High School 2,685 2,901 2,091 1,832 1,781 1,862 2,040 2,217 2,444 2,694 2,971 3,140 3,399 3,621 Shadow Creek High School 2,500 2,500 1,470 2,194 2,567 2,738 3,000 3,387 3,806 4,197 4,561 4,728 4,727 4,750 HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 7,825 8,161 6,222 6,789 7,064 7,328 7,858 8,473 9,286 10,007 10,682 10,993 11,244 11,548 High School Absolute Growth 450 567 275 264 530 615 813 721 675 311 251 304 High School Percent Growth 7.80% 9.11% 4.05% 3.74% 7.23% 7.83% 9.60% 7.76% 6.75% 2.91% 2.28% 2.70% Assets 300 300 197 159 187 181 176 181 179 179 180 179 179 179 Brazoria Co. J JAEP 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 ALTERNATIVE TOTALS 300 300 202 165 193 187 182 187 185 185 186 185 185 186 DISTRICT TOTALS 27,281 29,197 23,631 24,893 26,041 27,170 28,347 29,596 30,831 32,011 33,014 33,833 34,526 35,198 District Absolute Growth 1,473 1,262 1,148 1,129 1,177 1,250 1,235 1,179 1,003 820 693 673 District Percent Growth 6.6% 5.3% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.2% 3.8% 3.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.9%

*Yellow box = enrollment exceeds stated permanent building capacity *Red box = enrollment exceeds stated capacity with temp/flex buildings

36

Su Summary

• The Houston MSA annual job growth rate has returned to nearly 2% after being

depressed since 2014.

• Alvin ISD started more than 1,300 new homes in 2017.
• Six subdivisions within Alvin ISD closed more than 100 new homes in 2017.
• Sierra Vista and Bluewater Lakes have their first phases delivered and are starting

homebuilding.

• Alvin ISD added 1,265 students this fall.
• Five-year enrollment growth of 5,938 students, with a fall 2022 enrollment of 30,831.
• Ten-year enrollment growth of 10,305 students, with a fall 2027 enrollment of 35,198.

CA CAC C GROUP WORK

Table Discussions

At At Your r Table

Review and digest information presented. Discuss and identify:

• 1. Observations
• 2. Questions
• 3. Committee needs

Choose a table scribe to capture discussions on provided chart paper. Add your names to the back of the chart paper.

Ob Observations

Qu Questions

Co Committee ee Need eeds

Ne Next Meeting

Monday, March 5, 2018 Manvel JH Light dinner at 6:00 p.m. Meeting at 6:30 p.m. Review materials and submit any questions via website: www www.alvinisd.net/cac cac