May 2015 2 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014 80% 70% - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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May 2015 2 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014 80% 70% - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

May 2015 2 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014 80% 70% % Urban 60% Today 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% GHANAS SUCCESSFUL URBANIZATION 0% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 3 Full range of


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May 2015

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

3

Today

GHANA’S SUCCESSFUL URBANIZATION

% Urban

SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014

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Full range of GDP per capita

SOURCE: MADDISON 2006; UNITED NATIONS 1969, 1949, 1953, 2006C; HISTORICAL DATABASE OF THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT

GDP per capita, USD thousands

constant int’l Geary-Khamis

% Urban Share

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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Urbanization rate, %

Log GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 US$)

Strong relationship between income and urbanization

All countries, 2013 Ghana, 1990-2013

  • Log. (All countries, 2013)

SOURCES: WDI; WORLD BANK STAFF CALCULATIONS.

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23 28 26 38 53 62 73 10 10 26 30 28 55

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

ACCRA (GAMA) URBAN COASTAL URBAN FOREST URBAN SAVANNAH RURAL COASTAL RURAL FOREST RURAL SAVANNAH

%

Poverty incidence in selected regional areas

1991 2012/13

SOURCE: GSS 2013, 2014.

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18 14 14 11 17 12 6 7 32 32 30 25 28 25 14 15 10 20 30 40

ACCRA KUMASI SEKONDI/TAKORADI TAMALE TEMA CLASS 6 CLASS 7 OTHERS

%

Secondary education attainment of population 15+ years 2000 2010

SOURCE: GUR I, ANNEX TABLE 14

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Today

CHALLENGES IN FURTHER ENHANCING ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INCLUSION THROUGH CITIES

8 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014

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GHANA’S URBAN POPULATION

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ADDING ANOTHER LIBERIA!

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DOUBLE IN JUST TWENTY YEARS!

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SOURCES: WDI; WORLD BANK STAFF CALCULATIONS.

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1985 2013

2 4 6 8 10 12 14

30 35 40 45 50 55

Manufacturing value added (% of GDP)

Urbanization rate (%)

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SOURCES: WDI; WORLD BANK STAFF CALCULATIONS. 14

  • 2

2 4 6 8 1992-2006 2006-2010

%

Sources of Ghana’s growth

Capital accumulation Human capital accumulation Labor reallocation Total factor productivity

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15 SOURCE: GHANA UR

18 28.6 12.9 30.4 17.5 27.2 13.4 38.7 13.3 33.7

10 20 30 40 50 MANUFACTURING WHOLESALE & RETAIL

Share of employment – metropolitan areas Accra Kumasi Sekondi/Takoradi Tamale Tema

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196 227 110 95 258 563 157 158 286 1148 237 276

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400

Abidjan Accra Conarky Cotonou

Area in sq kms

Urban Footprint of West African Cities

1990 2002 2012

SOURCE: WORLD BANK, THE FUTURE OF WATER IN AFRICAN CITIES: WHY WASTE WATER (2013)

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9842 5273 5651 11155 2947 4209 6961 15368 1804 2460 7037

5000 10000 15000 20000

ABIDJAN ACCRA COTONOU CONARKY

Urban Density circa 1990 circa 2000 Circa 2014

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Population per Km2

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Source: National Transport Survey 2007. 18

5.8 24.7

41.6 22.6

32.8 39.3

20 40 60 80 100

ACCRA KUMASI

Percent of total Means of transport to and from workplace, 2007

foot trotro shared taxi

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SOURCE: GUR I ANNEX TABLES. 19

  • 3.7
  • 3.8
  • 1.5
  • 8
  • 7.3
  • 11.1
  • 16.5
  • 20.3
  • 22.2
  • 7.7
  • 0.5

9.3

  • 5.7

1.7 10.1 10.9

  • 30
  • 20
  • 10

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ACCRA KUMASI SEKONDI/TAKORADI TAMALE TEMA CLASS 6 CLASS 7 OTHERS

% Change in access to piped water + toilet, 2000-10

Safe toilet facilities Piped water

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15% of pop

20 SOURCES: UN-HABITAT GHANA HOUSING SECTOR PROFILE 2011 AFFORDABLE HOUSING INSTITUTE ETHIOPIA COUNTRY CASE STUDY 2014

ADDIS ABABA GHANA

25% of pop 60% of pop 15% of pop 50% of pop 35% of pop 80%

Pop in slums

USD$970

USD$638

Monthly income required for cheapest complete house

53%

Pop in slums

Monthly income

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Available financing at MMDA remains marginal

Source: Ghana UR

Pc today

Infrastructure financing gap

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Policy priorities

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EFFICIENCY INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INCLUSION

Enables new business dev and construction and agglomeration economies

Improves access to affordable housing

Strengthens capacity for distribution of basic urban services

Enables workers, firms, materials to locate at most efficient location: agglomeration effects

Supports the provision of basic urban services Enables development of connective infrastructure Enables coordination and financing Improves service delivery and coordination in service provision

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