May 2015 2 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014 80% 70% - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
May 2015 2 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014 80% 70% - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
May 2015 2 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014 80% 70% % Urban 60% Today 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% GHANAS SUCCESSFUL URBANIZATION 0% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 3 Full range of
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
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Today
GHANA’S SUCCESSFUL URBANIZATION
% Urban
SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014
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Full range of GDP per capita
SOURCE: MADDISON 2006; UNITED NATIONS 1969, 1949, 1953, 2006C; HISTORICAL DATABASE OF THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT
GDP per capita, USD thousands
constant int’l Geary-Khamis
% Urban Share
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Urbanization rate, %
Log GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 US$)
Strong relationship between income and urbanization
All countries, 2013 Ghana, 1990-2013
- Log. (All countries, 2013)
SOURCES: WDI; WORLD BANK STAFF CALCULATIONS.
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23 28 26 38 53 62 73 10 10 26 30 28 55
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
ACCRA (GAMA) URBAN COASTAL URBAN FOREST URBAN SAVANNAH RURAL COASTAL RURAL FOREST RURAL SAVANNAH
%
Poverty incidence in selected regional areas
1991 2012/13
SOURCE: GSS 2013, 2014.
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18 14 14 11 17 12 6 7 32 32 30 25 28 25 14 15 10 20 30 40
ACCRA KUMASI SEKONDI/TAKORADI TAMALE TEMA CLASS 6 CLASS 7 OTHERS
%
Secondary education attainment of population 15+ years 2000 2010
SOURCE: GUR I, ANNEX TABLE 14
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Today
CHALLENGES IN FURTHER ENHANCING ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INCLUSION THROUGH CITIES
8 SOURCE: UN WORLD URBANIZATION PROSPECTS, 2014
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GHANA’S URBAN POPULATION
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ADDING ANOTHER LIBERIA!
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DOUBLE IN JUST TWENTY YEARS!
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SOURCES: WDI; WORLD BANK STAFF CALCULATIONS.
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1985 2013
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
30 35 40 45 50 55
Manufacturing value added (% of GDP)
Urbanization rate (%)
SOURCES: WDI; WORLD BANK STAFF CALCULATIONS. 14
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2 4 6 8 1992-2006 2006-2010
%
Sources of Ghana’s growth
Capital accumulation Human capital accumulation Labor reallocation Total factor productivity
15 SOURCE: GHANA UR
18 28.6 12.9 30.4 17.5 27.2 13.4 38.7 13.3 33.7
10 20 30 40 50 MANUFACTURING WHOLESALE & RETAIL
Share of employment – metropolitan areas Accra Kumasi Sekondi/Takoradi Tamale Tema
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196 227 110 95 258 563 157 158 286 1148 237 276
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
Abidjan Accra Conarky Cotonou
Area in sq kms
Urban Footprint of West African Cities
1990 2002 2012
SOURCE: WORLD BANK, THE FUTURE OF WATER IN AFRICAN CITIES: WHY WASTE WATER (2013)
9842 5273 5651 11155 2947 4209 6961 15368 1804 2460 7037
5000 10000 15000 20000
ABIDJAN ACCRA COTONOU CONARKY
Urban Density circa 1990 circa 2000 Circa 2014
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Population per Km2
Source: National Transport Survey 2007. 18
5.8 24.7
41.6 22.6
32.8 39.3
20 40 60 80 100
ACCRA KUMASI
Percent of total Means of transport to and from workplace, 2007
foot trotro shared taxi
SOURCE: GUR I ANNEX TABLES. 19
- 3.7
- 3.8
- 1.5
- 8
- 7.3
- 11.1
- 16.5
- 20.3
- 22.2
- 7.7
- 0.5
9.3
- 5.7
1.7 10.1 10.9
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20
ACCRA KUMASI SEKONDI/TAKORADI TAMALE TEMA CLASS 6 CLASS 7 OTHERS
% Change in access to piped water + toilet, 2000-10
Safe toilet facilities Piped water
15% of pop
20 SOURCES: UN-HABITAT GHANA HOUSING SECTOR PROFILE 2011 AFFORDABLE HOUSING INSTITUTE ETHIOPIA COUNTRY CASE STUDY 2014
ADDIS ABABA GHANA
25% of pop 60% of pop 15% of pop 50% of pop 35% of pop 80%
Pop in slums
USD$970
USD$638
Monthly income required for cheapest complete house
53%
Pop in slums
Monthly income
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Available financing at MMDA remains marginal
Source: Ghana UR
Pc today
Infrastructure financing gap
Policy priorities
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EFFICIENCY INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INCLUSION EFFICIENCY INCLUSION
Enables new business dev and construction and agglomeration economies
Improves access to affordable housing
Strengthens capacity for distribution of basic urban services
Enables workers, firms, materials to locate at most efficient location: agglomeration effects
Supports the provision of basic urban services Enables development of connective infrastructure Enables coordination and financing Improves service delivery and coordination in service provision
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