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1 United Way improves lives by mobilizing the caring power of communities around the world to advance the common good. Mathematical Modeling Class Spring 2018 Slide 1 1 Different title please Anonymous, 4/24/2018 Model Objectives


  1. 1 “United Way improves lives by mobilizing the caring power of communities around the world to advance the common good.” Mathematical Modeling Class Spring 2018

  2. Slide 1 1 Different title please Anonymous, 4/24/2018

  3. Model Objectives ● Research whether daycares in Monroe County are affordable ● Find the needs of childcare for families ● Gather demographics such as: (income, hours of operations, daycare costs, keystone stars, waiting lists, ages)

  4. About Monroe ● Total Population: 166,098 County ● Number of Daycares: 76 ● Population Ages 0-5: 9,498

  5. Gathering of Ways We Gathered Information: Information ● Using their website ● Emailing the daycares ● Calling the daycares Variables From Each Daycare: Age Range ● ● Cost per month Stars Rating ● ● Availability/ Vacancy Hours open ●

  6. Camelback’s Water Park Pocono Mountain Top Employers in County(Municipality Building) School District East Stroudsburg School District Quarry/Paving the Area ESU Sanofi Pasteur FedEx Shawnee Ski Resort FedEx Supply Chain Skytop Great Wolf Lodge Stroudsburg Area School Hains & Kibblehouse District Home Depot Tobyhanna Army Depot Kalahari United Envelope Corp. Mount Airy Walmart Distribution Pleasant Valley Center Pleasant Valley Manor Weiler Pocono Medical Center Weis

  7. Do the locations of Assumptions: ● The locations we found consist of the daycares the largest number of employers correspond with who need childcare families’ needs? ● The database information obtained is accurate Summary: ● Compiled a map with pinpoints of the top employers in Monroe County compared to the daycares and also created a heat map Conclusion: ● The daycares are well spaced throughout the top employers

  8. Map of Monroe Pinpoint Map: https://www.google.com/maps/d/view County er?mid=11WcTryOqiGT77duYkzsLZBO MXpMwcLot&ll=40.98262315975927% 2C-75.14057366956103&z=10 Heat Map: https://bomalley3.github.io/sturdy- fiesta/

  9. Can families afford Cost Adjustment Assumptions: ● Assume each month has 30 days the daycare rates ● Assume 4 weeks per month being offered ● Assume there is no discount for nearby? multiple children in the same daycare ● Assume the daily/weekly rates do not change Other Assumptions: ● Cost of Living = Cost of Housing + Cost of Food

  10. Can families afford Summary: ● Median Income in Monroe County: the daycare rates $58,980 being offered ● Bare Minimum Income Required: nearby? $32,173 (1 Adult, 1 Child) ● At least 28.2% cannot afford ● Suggested Cost of Living: $63,415 (1 Adult, 1 Child) ● At least 52.5% cannot afford ● 41 Daycares surveyed ○ $743 avg cost per month for one child

  11. Percent of Households Unable to afford Daycare 1 Child 2 Children 3 Children Minimum 18.2% 26.7% 36.6% Maximum 39.1% 44.9% 59.6% Average 30.5% 38.8% 47.1%

  12. Percent of Households Unable to afford Daycare

  13. Can families afford Conclusions: ● A significant number of families in the daycare rates Monroe County cannot afford being offered daycare rates nearby? ● Due to bare minimum CoL estimates, the actual percentage is likely much higher

  14. Summary: Does the Supply of ● 67.2% of all children with single Child Care Meet the working mothers receive non- Demand? parental care ● 9,498 children in Monroe County aged 0-5 ● 5,763 children can be served with all daycares at maximum capacity ● Up to 3,735 children can never be served Conclusion: ● The demand for child care in Monroe County is not met

  15. Keystone Stars Program Improving the quality through: S tandards T raining/Professional Development A ssistance R esources and S upport

  16. Goals of Keystone ● To improve the quality of early care and education STARS ● To support early care and education providers in meeting their quality improvement goals ● To recognize programs for continuous quality improvement and meeting higher quality standards ● To provide families a way to choose a quality early care and education program

  17. Are there various Summary: ● 69.74% of daycares that were daycares per area surveyed were found to have just that have multiple 1 star. keystone stars? ● Only 27.63% of daycares have multiple stars. Conclusions: ● Yes, there are daycares in Monroe county with multiple stars, yet one star daycares outnumber multiple star daycares greatly.

  18. Does the number of Summary: ● Providers enroll voluntarily in the Keystone Keystone Stars a STARS program and there are no charges for the provider to enroll. Costs to parents daycare has affect are set only by the provider themselves. the cost? Keystone STARS provides many child care providers with targeted financial assistance to help them continue to improve quality so they do not have to pass the cost on to families. Conclusions: ● The number of stars a daycare has does NOT affect the cost of the daycare where some 1 star daycares would cost much more than 3 or 4 stars

  19. Summary: ● Created a map of daycares and Summary and employees in Monroe County Conclusions ● Found that daycares are spaced throughout top employer areas ● Discovered the nearby daycares are not affordable to families Conclusions: ● Daycares are well spaced ● Daycares do not meet the needs of children ● The cost is the biggest issue (38% of people in Monroe County can’t afford) ● Have low star ratings

  20. Suggestions ● The free Online Database, Sodadb creates a specific URL that can be published for the public to see, and can be shared with daycares to keep their contact information, waiting lists and prices up to date. https://sodadb.com/3X35KIqy64SJQaC3sI0p ● Host a day long event to help daycares increase their star rating ● Increase the number or pre-k and head start programs and reduce the eligibility for children to get into these programs

  21. Daycare Excel Sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet s/d/1KQhnYk- KhjJiTiaxRkum6xI0__mCQEhHIjyQrjuZf mk/edit#gid=0

  22. http://www.poconoymca.org/index.cfm?e=inner&itemcategory=60581 http://www.poconoymca.org/index.cfm?e=inner&itemcategory=61609 https://www.care.com/b/l/countryside-preschool-and-child-care-center-inc/buck-hill-falls- References pa http://www.weewons.com/pk2.htm https://northampton.edu/childrens-center/facilities.htm http://nebula.wsimg.com/482c03e260acfb56cdaf1859cdc0b397?AccessKeyId=44EA15 6AEF14AA6C95F7&disposition=0&alloworigin=1 http://www.goodstart.academy https://rainbowtrailchildcare.weebly.com/about.html https://www.care.com/b/l/ms-mayra-s-preschool-daycare/tobyhanna-pa https://www.care.com/b/l/a-z-learning-daycare/mount-pocono-pa http://www.pakeys.org/keystone-stars/ https://www.yellowpages.com/brodheadsville-pa/mip/imagination-land-day-care- 503659338 https://www.care.com/b/l/three-stages-daycare/mount-pocono-pa http://www.tobyhannakids.org https://childcarecenter.us/provider_detail/the_growing_tree_marshalls_creek_pa https://childcarecenter.us/provider_detail/camp_restoration_inc_pocono_pines_pa http://www.littlediscoveriesdaycare.com/centers.php http://www.thegrowingplacecenters.org/Locations/ https://childcarecenter.us/provider_detail/peace_of_mind_at_allisons_wonderland_mars halls_creek_pa https://www.momtrusted.com/childcare/pocono-ymca-at-j-m-hill-elementary-school-in- east-stroudsburg-pa-45883d08a023 https://childcarecenter.us/provider_detail/poconoski_child_care_east_stroudsburg_pa https://www.daycare.com/php/showlisting.php?ID=00240917&p=0 http://abcpreschools.net/daycare/398384 https://www.care.com/b/l/little-red-barn-early-learning-center/stroudsburg-pa https://datausa.io/profile/geo/monroe-county-pa/#intro https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/eaststroudsburgboroughpennsylvania/PST 045216 http://www.dhs.pa.gov/citizens/childcareearlylearning/keystonestarsinformationforparent s/index.htm

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