Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Alex - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Alex - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

For investment professionals only Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Alex Araujo , Fund Manager January 2018 Learning objectives Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Learn about listed


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Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age

Alex Araujo, Fund Manager

January 2018 For investment professionals only

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Learning objectives

  • Learn about listed infrastructure, its evolving nature and the benefits it

can bring to investors’ portfolios

  • Grasp the differences between the active and passive routes to

investing in listed infrastructure

  • Comprehend the risks associated with investments in this asset class

Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age

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Listed infrastructure

Image source: By Unbekannte Autoren und Grafiker; Scan von Auktionshaus Vladimir Gutowski - http://www.gutowski.de/Katalog-58/Katalogbilder/797.jpg, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=50944680

Equity markets have financed infrastructure for over a century The foundation of the industrialised world

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Infrastructure

An essential part of your day

12 6 3 9 1 2 4 5 7 8 10 11

z

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Agenda

Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age

Why

listed infrastructure?

What

are the risk considerations?

How

do we think about listed infrastructure?

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  • 1. Why listed infrastructure?

A diversifier for Warren Buffett and Bill Gates

Cascade Investment Berkshire Hathaway

“Recession-resistant earnings which result from these companies offering an essential service for which demand is remarkably steady”

Warren Buffett

Quote source: Letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, 25 February 2017; Image sources: By DFID - UK Department for International Development - https://www.flickr.com/photos/dfid/19111683745/, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=41202006, By Augy8400 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=42102073, By en:user:Myke2020 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Cntrain7331.JPG, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=3355874, By Nixdorf, CC BY-SA 3.0, By Rose and Trev Clough, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=12965176
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  • 1. Why listed infrastructure?

Source: M&G, PCR team, 25 August 2017 *As defined by M&G Investments

Diversification benefits – the evidence … and the longer the holding period, the more pronounced the effect

Infrastructure universe vs MSCI AC World (10 years)*

14 16 18 20 2 4 6 8 10 12 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Volatility % Return % Return (LHS) Risk (RHS)

Increased allocation to listed infrastructure

Higher allocation to our infrastructure universe enhances return, while reducing risk…

Infrastructure universe vs MSCI AC World (5 years)*

9 10 11 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Volatility % Return % Return (LHS) Risk (RHS)

Increased allocation to listed infrastructure

Past performance is not a guide to future performance

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  • 1. Why listed infrastructure?

Higher yield and lower volatility/drawdown vs global equities

Source: Factset, 30 June 2017 . *As at 31 January 2017. **As at 27 October 2017 ϯ As defined by M&G Investments

Yield: Infrastructure universe vs MSCI AC World ϯ

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% Infra Universe MSCI AC World

Beta: Infrastructure universe rel. to MSCI AC World*

0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Beta to MSCI AC World MSCI AC World Index

Past performance is not a guide to future performance

Drawdown (in USD)**

  • 0.7
  • 0.6
  • 0.5
  • 0.4
  • 0.3
  • 0.2
  • 0.1

0.0 MSCI AC World

Infra Universe

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  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Source: M&G, 2017. Illustrative figures only

M&G Income team philosophy: focus on dividend growth The power of long-term compounding

5 10 15 20 25 30 Dividend (pence) Dividend (stock yielding 6%, no growth) Dividend (stock yielding 4%, 10% growth)

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  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Investing in businesses owning or controlling:

  • Critical infrastructure
  • Long-life concessions
  • Perpetual royalties

Essential assets for the functioning of global society Strategic assets with physical backing and long-term growth

Source: M&G, 2017

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Social (10-20%) Evolving (15-25%) Economic (65-75%)

Industry & sub-industry Dividend profile*

  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Source: M&G, October 2017 *Expected annual dividend increase, for illustrative purposes only

Expanding the universe to capture long-term growth A stable, dependable foundation…..augmented by growth

Infrastructure class

Utility Energy Transport Electricity Pipelines Toll roads Natural gas Terminals Railways Renewables LNG Airports Water Ports Waste Public transit Health Education Security Hospitals Schools Prisons State care Universities Student housing Communication Transactional Royalty Towers Payments Energy Data centres Exchanges Mineral Optical networks Satellite

Past performance is not a guide to future performance

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LBJ Expressway, Texas

  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Economic infrastructure: Ferrovial

Source: Company website, 30 June 2017

World-class assets, long-term growth, and innovation

Standard toll road Managed lanes

UK airports 407ETR, Toronto

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  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Evolving infrastructure: Equinix

Source: Company website, 30 June 2017

Strategic assets connecting an increasingly digital world

Connected devices Big data eCommerce IP traffic Data storage Cloud services

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14 Source: M&G, 5 October 2017

Average market cap (USD) Combined market cap (USD) $13 billion $3+ trillion 250+ Investible universe (number of companies)

An opportunity set with depth and liquidity A scalable strategy with a diverse range of business models

  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?
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15 Source: M&G, October 2017

  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Multiple sources of growth

Inflation-Linked Cash Flows Greenfield Investment Opportunities Brownfield Investment Opportunities Emerging Markets Structural Growth: Communications Payments Renewables Airports

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Infrastructure index Constituents Utilities Energy Telecom services Transport

FTSE Core Infrastructure 149 56% 11% 1% 25% FTSE Core Infrastructure 50/50 227 48% 11% 1% 32% S&P Global Infrastructure 75 39% 18% 0% 43% MSCI ACWI Infrastructure 262 41% 9% 42% 4% Macquarie Global Infrastructure 241 80% 12% 0% 7%

  • 2. How do we think about listed infrastructure?

Source: Provider factsheets, 31 August 2017

An active approach is essential: infrastructure indices are flawed Highly concentrated with bond-proxy performance

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  • 3. What are the risk considerations?

Regulation

“It is in the self-interest of governments to treat capital providers in a manner that will ensure the continued flow of funds to essential projects” Warren Buffett

Benevolent Cautious

Source: M&G, October 2017. Quote from Letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, 25 February 2017

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18 Source: M&G, October 2017

ESG analysis is integrated in the investment process for economic reasons Environmental, social and governance issues

  • 3. What are the risk considerations?

Infrastructure assets require:

Close examination of business sustainability Rigorous framework to assess long-term financial impact

Strict limits applied to:

Coal-fired power Nuclear power

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  • 3. What are the risk considerations?

Source: M&G PCR team, Bloomberg Global Factor Model, 31 October 2016

Rising interest rates

  • 6%
  • 4%
  • 2%

0% 2% 4% 6% Performance impact (% points) Economic Social Evolving

‘Evolving’ bucket is an effective diversifier

Effect of +100 basis point shift on investible universe, propagated (%)

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Learning objectives

  • Learn about listed infrastructure, its evolving nature and the benefits it

can bring to investors’ portfolios

  • Grasp the differences between the active and passive routes to

investing in listed infrastructure

  • Comprehend the risks associated with investments in this asset class

Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age

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M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund

Risks associated with this fund

The value of investments and the income from them will rise and fall. This will cause the fund price, as well as any income paid by the fund, to fall as well as rise. There is no guarantee the fund will achieve its objective, and you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Changes in currency exchange rates will affect the value of your investment. The fund holds a relatively small number of investments and, as a result, may experience larger price rises and falls than a fund which holds a larger number of investments. The fund will invest in emerging markets which are generally more sensitive to economic and political factors, and where investments are less easily bought and sold. In exceptional circumstances, the fund may encounter difficulties when selling or collecting income from these investments, which could cause the fund to incur a loss. In extreme circumstances, it could lead to the temporary suspension of dealing in shares in the fund. Convertibles are subject to the risks associated with both bonds and company shares, and to risks specific to the asset class. Their value may change significantly depending

  • n economic and interest rate conditions, the creditworthiness of the issuer, the performance of the underlying company shares and general financial market conditions. In

addition, issuers of convertibles may fail to meet payment obligations and their credit ratings may be downgraded. Convertibles may also be less liquid than the underlying company shares. Where market conditions make it hard to sell the fund’s investments at a fair price to meet customers’ sale requests, we may temporarily suspend dealing in the fund’s shares. Some transactions the fund makes, such as placing cash on deposit, require the use of other financial institutions (for example, banks). If one of these institutions defaults on their obligations or becomes insolvent, the fund may incur a loss. For any performance shown, please note that past performance is not a guide to future performance.

It is also important to note that:

The fund invests mainly in company shares and is therefore likely to experience larger price fluctuations than funds that invest in bonds and/or cash.

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Introducing: M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund

Inception: 5th October 2017 Performance objective: Higher total return (combination of income and capital growth) than MSCI AC World Index over any five-year period Distribution objective: Increase annual distributions in sterling

Available on all platforms

Source: M&G, 30 November 2017

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M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund

Source: M&G, 31 August 2017

Established expertise in infrastructure across M&G and the Prudential group Leveraging our collective knowledge

Alex Araujo Equities London

Listed infrastructure (Global)

John Mayhew Fixed income London

Infrastructure debt (Public and private)

Martin Lennon Infracapital London

Private infrastructure

Bonnie Chan Eastspring Singapore

Listed infrastructure (Asian)

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Utilities, 29.6% Transport, 21.4% Energy, 15.5% Comms, 9.8% Education, 6.9% Health, 5.7% Transactional, 5.5% Royalty, 4.9% Cash, 0.7%

M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund

Source: M&G, 30 November 2017

Diversity across industry, geography and infrastructure class

Fund weighting by industry Fund weighting by country/region

North America 52.9% Europe ex UK 16.0% UK 15.5% Hong Kong 7.3% Australia 4.3% Singapore 2.5% Brazil 0.9% Cash 0.7%

Infrastructure class Economic Social Evolving Fund weighting 66% 13% 20%

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M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund

Source: Bloomberg, 15 December 2017.

Dividend announcements since fund inception Dividend growth across the portfolio

Past performance is not a guide to future performance

+10% +10% +8% +9% +12% +23%

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Summary

Source; M&G, October 2017

Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age A long-term strategy to deliver long-term solutions

Unique asset class with compelling characteristics Rising income backed by structural growth and inflation-protected revenues

Past performance is not a guide to future performance

Modern and differentiated approach

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For financial advisers only. Not for onward distribution. No other persons should rely on any information contained within. This financial promotion is issued by M&G Securities Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK and provides ISAs and other investment products. The company’s registered office is Laurence Pountney Hill, London EC4R 0HH. Registered in England No. 90776.