Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age
Alex Araujo, Fund Manager
January 2018 For investment professionals only
Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Alex - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
For investment professionals only Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Alex Araujo , Fund Manager January 2018 Learning objectives Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age Learn about listed
Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age
Alex Araujo, Fund Manager
January 2018 For investment professionals only
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Learning objectives
can bring to investors’ portfolios
investing in listed infrastructure
Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age
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Listed infrastructure
Image source: By Unbekannte Autoren und Grafiker; Scan von Auktionshaus Vladimir Gutowski - http://www.gutowski.de/Katalog-58/Katalogbilder/797.jpg, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=50944680
Equity markets have financed infrastructure for over a century The foundation of the industrialised world
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Infrastructure
An essential part of your day
12 6 3 9 1 2 4 5 7 8 10 11z
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Agenda
Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age
Why
listed infrastructure?
What
are the risk considerations?
How
do we think about listed infrastructure?
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A diversifier for Warren Buffett and Bill Gates
Cascade Investment Berkshire Hathaway
“Recession-resistant earnings which result from these companies offering an essential service for which demand is remarkably steady”
Warren Buffett
Quote source: Letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, 25 February 2017; Image sources: By DFID - UK Department for International Development - https://www.flickr.com/photos/dfid/19111683745/, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=41202006, By Augy8400 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=42102073, By en:user:Myke2020 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Cntrain7331.JPG, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=3355874, By Nixdorf, CC BY-SA 3.0, By Rose and Trev Clough, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=129651767
Source: M&G, PCR team, 25 August 2017 *As defined by M&G Investments
Diversification benefits – the evidence … and the longer the holding period, the more pronounced the effect
Infrastructure universe vs MSCI AC World (10 years)*
14 16 18 20 2 4 6 8 10 12 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Volatility % Return % Return (LHS) Risk (RHS)
Increased allocation to listed infrastructure
Higher allocation to our infrastructure universe enhances return, while reducing risk…
Infrastructure universe vs MSCI AC World (5 years)*
9 10 11 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Volatility % Return % Return (LHS) Risk (RHS)
Increased allocation to listed infrastructure
Past performance is not a guide to future performance
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Higher yield and lower volatility/drawdown vs global equities
Source: Factset, 30 June 2017 . *As at 31 January 2017. **As at 27 October 2017 ϯ As defined by M&G Investments
Yield: Infrastructure universe vs MSCI AC World ϯ
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% Infra Universe MSCI AC World
Beta: Infrastructure universe rel. to MSCI AC World*
0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Beta to MSCI AC World MSCI AC World Index
Past performance is not a guide to future performance
Drawdown (in USD)**
0.0 MSCI AC World
Infra Universe
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Source: M&G, 2017. Illustrative figures only
M&G Income team philosophy: focus on dividend growth The power of long-term compounding
5 10 15 20 25 30 Dividend (pence) Dividend (stock yielding 6%, no growth) Dividend (stock yielding 4%, 10% growth)
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Investing in businesses owning or controlling:
Essential assets for the functioning of global society Strategic assets with physical backing and long-term growth
Source: M&G, 2017
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Social (10-20%) Evolving (15-25%) Economic (65-75%)
Industry & sub-industry Dividend profile*
Source: M&G, October 2017 *Expected annual dividend increase, for illustrative purposes only
Expanding the universe to capture long-term growth A stable, dependable foundation…..augmented by growth
Infrastructure class
Utility Energy Transport Electricity Pipelines Toll roads Natural gas Terminals Railways Renewables LNG Airports Water Ports Waste Public transit Health Education Security Hospitals Schools Prisons State care Universities Student housing Communication Transactional Royalty Towers Payments Energy Data centres Exchanges Mineral Optical networks Satellite
Past performance is not a guide to future performance
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LBJ Expressway, Texas
Economic infrastructure: Ferrovial
Source: Company website, 30 June 2017
World-class assets, long-term growth, and innovation
Standard toll road Managed lanes
UK airports 407ETR, Toronto
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Evolving infrastructure: Equinix
Source: Company website, 30 June 2017
Strategic assets connecting an increasingly digital world
Connected devices Big data eCommerce IP traffic Data storage Cloud services
14 Source: M&G, 5 October 2017
Average market cap (USD) Combined market cap (USD) $13 billion $3+ trillion 250+ Investible universe (number of companies)
An opportunity set with depth and liquidity A scalable strategy with a diverse range of business models
15 Source: M&G, October 2017
Multiple sources of growth
Inflation-Linked Cash Flows Greenfield Investment Opportunities Brownfield Investment Opportunities Emerging Markets Structural Growth: Communications Payments Renewables Airports
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Infrastructure index Constituents Utilities Energy Telecom services Transport
FTSE Core Infrastructure 149 56% 11% 1% 25% FTSE Core Infrastructure 50/50 227 48% 11% 1% 32% S&P Global Infrastructure 75 39% 18% 0% 43% MSCI ACWI Infrastructure 262 41% 9% 42% 4% Macquarie Global Infrastructure 241 80% 12% 0% 7%
Source: Provider factsheets, 31 August 2017
An active approach is essential: infrastructure indices are flawed Highly concentrated with bond-proxy performance
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Regulation
“It is in the self-interest of governments to treat capital providers in a manner that will ensure the continued flow of funds to essential projects” Warren Buffett
Benevolent Cautious
Source: M&G, October 2017. Quote from Letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, 25 February 2017
18 Source: M&G, October 2017
ESG analysis is integrated in the investment process for economic reasons Environmental, social and governance issues
Infrastructure assets require:
Close examination of business sustainability Rigorous framework to assess long-term financial impact
Strict limits applied to:
Coal-fired power Nuclear power
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Source: M&G PCR team, Bloomberg Global Factor Model, 31 October 2016
Rising interest rates
0% 2% 4% 6% Performance impact (% points) Economic Social Evolving
‘Evolving’ bucket is an effective diversifier
Effect of +100 basis point shift on investible universe, propagated (%)
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Learning objectives
can bring to investors’ portfolios
investing in listed infrastructure
Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age
21
M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund
Risks associated with this fund
The value of investments and the income from them will rise and fall. This will cause the fund price, as well as any income paid by the fund, to fall as well as rise. There is no guarantee the fund will achieve its objective, and you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Changes in currency exchange rates will affect the value of your investment. The fund holds a relatively small number of investments and, as a result, may experience larger price rises and falls than a fund which holds a larger number of investments. The fund will invest in emerging markets which are generally more sensitive to economic and political factors, and where investments are less easily bought and sold. In exceptional circumstances, the fund may encounter difficulties when selling or collecting income from these investments, which could cause the fund to incur a loss. In extreme circumstances, it could lead to the temporary suspension of dealing in shares in the fund. Convertibles are subject to the risks associated with both bonds and company shares, and to risks specific to the asset class. Their value may change significantly depending
addition, issuers of convertibles may fail to meet payment obligations and their credit ratings may be downgraded. Convertibles may also be less liquid than the underlying company shares. Where market conditions make it hard to sell the fund’s investments at a fair price to meet customers’ sale requests, we may temporarily suspend dealing in the fund’s shares. Some transactions the fund makes, such as placing cash on deposit, require the use of other financial institutions (for example, banks). If one of these institutions defaults on their obligations or becomes insolvent, the fund may incur a loss. For any performance shown, please note that past performance is not a guide to future performance.
It is also important to note that:
The fund invests mainly in company shares and is therefore likely to experience larger price fluctuations than funds that invest in bonds and/or cash.
Introducing: M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund
Inception: 5th October 2017 Performance objective: Higher total return (combination of income and capital growth) than MSCI AC World Index over any five-year period Distribution objective: Increase annual distributions in sterling
Available on all platforms
Source: M&G, 30 November 2017
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M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund
Source: M&G, 31 August 2017
Established expertise in infrastructure across M&G and the Prudential group Leveraging our collective knowledge
Alex Araujo Equities London
Listed infrastructure (Global)
John Mayhew Fixed income London
Infrastructure debt (Public and private)
Martin Lennon Infracapital London
Private infrastructure
Bonnie Chan Eastspring Singapore
Listed infrastructure (Asian)
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Utilities, 29.6% Transport, 21.4% Energy, 15.5% Comms, 9.8% Education, 6.9% Health, 5.7% Transactional, 5.5% Royalty, 4.9% Cash, 0.7%
M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund
Source: M&G, 30 November 2017
Diversity across industry, geography and infrastructure class
Fund weighting by industry Fund weighting by country/region
North America 52.9% Europe ex UK 16.0% UK 15.5% Hong Kong 7.3% Australia 4.3% Singapore 2.5% Brazil 0.9% Cash 0.7%
Infrastructure class Economic Social Evolving Fund weighting 66% 13% 20%
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M&G Global Listed Infrastructure Fund
Source: Bloomberg, 15 December 2017.
Dividend announcements since fund inception Dividend growth across the portfolio
Past performance is not a guide to future performance
+10% +10% +8% +9% +12% +23%
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Summary
Source; M&G, October 2017
Listed infrastructure: essential assets for the modern age A long-term strategy to deliver long-term solutions
Unique asset class with compelling characteristics Rising income backed by structural growth and inflation-protected revenues
Past performance is not a guide to future performance
Modern and differentiated approach
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For financial advisers only. Not for onward distribution. No other persons should rely on any information contained within. This financial promotion is issued by M&G Securities Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK and provides ISAs and other investment products. The company’s registered office is Laurence Pountney Hill, London EC4R 0HH. Registered in England No. 90776.