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JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust plc
Annual General Meeting | 25 April 2019
William Meadon, Portfolio Manager Callum Abbot, Portfolio Manager
JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust plc Annual General Meeting | - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust plc Annual General Meeting | 25 April 2019 William Meadon , Portfolio Manager Callum Abbot , Portfolio Manager FOR AGM USE ONLY | NOT FOR FURTHER PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION Managers of JPM Claverhouse Investment
FOR AGM USE ONLY | NOT FOR FURTHER PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
William Meadon, Portfolio Manager Callum Abbot, Portfolio Manager
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An employee since 2012 Manager of Claverhouse since January 2018 7 years industry experience – 7 years at J.P. Morgan Asset Management Qualified CFA
An employee since 1996 Head of Behavioural Finance Core Team Manager of Claverhouse since 1st March 2012 36 years industry experience – 23 years at J.P. Morgan Asset Management Qualified ACA
As at 31 March 2019.
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Founded in 1963, £460million, all cap investment trust
– UK only – 60 – 80 stocks – Risk-controlled – Flexible gearing (5% cash to 20% geared) £30m 2020 debenture @ 7.00% pa £50m facility @ 1.87% pa
Since new strategy implemented (1 March 2012)
– NAV outperformance vs. benchmark of +1.8% p.a. – Share price outperformance versus benchmark of +3.5% p.a.
Dividend: 46 consecutive years of dividend growth. Well covered. Best reserves in the sector ( > 1year)* Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results. Dividends are not guaranteed.
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management as of 30 March 2019. Annualised net asset value (NAV) return of the investment trust in excess of the benchmark calculated geometrically. NAV return per share is calculated on a bid value to bid value basis, in GBP, cum-income NAV (assuming that all dividends paid out during the relevant periods were reinvested into the shares of the investment trust at the NAV per share on ex-dividend date), with borrowings at par basis. Benchmark = FTSE All –Share Index. Index return does not include fees or operating expenses. *Sector = UK Equity Income Investment Instruments – refer to data provided later in presentation. Image source: Wikimedia, available in the Public Domain Mark 1.0.
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85 90 95 100 105 110 Dec 17 Feb 18 Apr 18 Jun 18 Aug 18 Oct 18
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Thomson Reuters Datastream. Data from 31 December 2016 to at 31 December 2017, in GBP. Index return does not include fees or operating expenses. Returns rebased to 100 as of 31 December 2017. Image source Shutterstock.
12 months to 31 December 2018, FTSE All Share Index total return performance
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0% 2018 FTSE All Share Index NAV Total Shareholder return
Benchmark return
NAV
Total Shareholder Return
Dividend +5.8% to 27.5p: 46th consecutive annual
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results. Dividends are not guaranteed.
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data from 31 December 2017 to 31 December 2018, in GBP. NAV returns are net of fees and applicable charges, income reinvested, borrowings at par (debt valued at maturity face value). Total shareholder return is change in the share price of JPM Claverhouse Investment Trust plc. Benchmark is FTSE All Share Index (total return). Index return does not include fees or operating expenses. The Benchmark is a point of reference against which the performance, risk characteristics or composition of the Investment Trust may be measured. However, the Investment Trust will be managed without reference to its Benchmark.
2018 performance
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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FactSet. The Investment Trust is actively managed according to the Investment Policy and the investment manager’s internal guidelines. Holdings, sector weights, allocations and leverage, as applicable, are subject to change without notice. (o) represents an overweight position relative to the benchmark (FTSE All Share Net Index), (u) represents an underweight position & (n) represents neutral position. Attributions may not match official returns due to differences in systems rounding.
0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
0.0% 0.4% 0.8% British American Tobacco (u) Fenner (o) Fevertree Drinks (o) John Laing (o) Softcat (o) Tesco (o) AstraZeneca (u) Smurfit Kappa (o) Thomas Cook (o) Jupiter Fund Management (o)
Stock level attribution
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Bloomberg. Activity from 24 June 2016 to 31 October 2018. The companies above are shown for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell.
948 321 224 191 183 164 113 77 48 46 42 33 30 28 24 18 11 10 9 3 200 400 600 800 1000 United Kingdom Germany Spain France Italy Netherlands Switzerland Sweden Denmark Ireland Portugal Norway Luxembourg Belgium Finland Austria Greece Jersey Cyprus Isle of Man GBP billions
Top 15 Western European countries by mergers and acquisition activity from 24 June 2016 – 31 October 2018
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Bloomberg. Share Price 31 March 2016 to 31 March 2019. The companies/securities above are shown for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. Image source: Shutterstock.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator for current and future results.
Thomas Cook share price (£)
25 50 75 100 125 150 Mar 16 Sep 16 Mar 17 Sep 17 Mar 18 Sep 18 Share price (£)
Investment thesis
A holiday company wrong-footed by the weather! Poor management Balance sheet crisis
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. The securities above are shown for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. Image source: Fevertree.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator for current and future results.
Fever-Tree Investment thesis
Marketing expertise combined with quality product has
driven growth
Vast markets at early stages of growth Stocked in 74 countries
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Scotch 27% Vodka 11% Canadian Whisky 7% Rum 7% Liqueurs 6% IMFL Whisky 5% Gin 4% Tequila 3% US Whiskey 2% Beer 15% RTD 5% Other 8%
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Goldman Sachs. Sales split by category FY18. The securities above are shown for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. Image source Shutterstock.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator for current and future results.
Investment thesis
Diversified growth across spirits, brands and regions Productivity gains supporting margin expansion whilst
investing in brands and innovation
Strong free cash generation facilitating £6.9bn of cash
returns to shareholders since FY17 Diageo - sales split by category, FY18
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0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 Apr 17 Oct 17 Apr 18 Oct 18 Share Price (LHS) Consensus EPS estimate 2019* (RHS)
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Bloomberg. Data from 28 April 2017 – 23 April 2019. * The consensus EPS estimate is an arithmetic average of selected broker estimates for earnings per share of the company for the year shown. The securities above are shown for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. Image source: pxhere under the creative commons licence CC0. The use of the image does not represent an endorsement of JP Morgan Asset Management or any of its affiliates.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator for current and future results.
Share price (£) Consensus EPS (£)
Investment thesis
Consumer demand is for the latest releases from the
biggest brands – “The King of Trainers”
Showcasing the brands in the right environment – good for
customers, good for brands
Operates in 16 countries in 1474 shops
JD Sports
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Source: J.P.Morgan Asset Management, Factset. The Investment Trust is actively managed according to the Investment Policy and the investment manager’s internal guidelines. Holdings, sector weights, allocations and leverage, as applicable, are subject to change without notice.
Largest overweight and underweight positions (%) Largest overweight and underweight positions (%)
2.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4%
0% 2% 4% Beverages Oil & Gas Producers Mining H'hold Goods & Home Const.
Media Mobile Telecoms Gas, Water & Multi-Utilities Support Services Aerospace & Defense 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4%
0% 1% 2% Diageo Unilever Rio Tinto Legal & General GlaxoSmithKline Standard Chartered National Grid Reckitt Benckiser CRH Vodafone
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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *Since change of strategy on 1 March 2012. NAV returns are net of fees and applicable charges, in GBP with income reinvested, including actual ongoing charges excluding any entry and exit fees. Total shareholder return is the change in the share price of JPM Claverhouse Investment Trust plc. Benchmark is FTSE All Share Index (total return). Index return does not include fees or operating expenses. The Benchmark is a point of reference against which the performance, risk characteristics or composition of the Investment Trust may be measured. However, the Investment Trust will be managed without reference to its Benchmark. Excess return calculated geometrically. Returns greater than 1 year are annualised.
Three months One year Three years (% pa) Five years (% pa) Since strategy change* (% pa) NAV returns 11.88 4.45 9.26 6.06 9.63 Share Price returns 8.81 5.06 13.26 7.17 11.50 Benchmark returns 9.39 6.31 9.47 6.08 7.69 NAV excess return +2.27
+1.80 Share price excess return
+3.47 +1.03 +3.54
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Share price change versus FTSE All Share Index
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Bloomberg. Data in GBP. Benchmark Indices do not include fees or operating expenses. Excess returns calculated geometrically. The benchmark is for comparative purposes only, unless otherwise indicated in the Investment Trust’s Investment Objective and Policy. TSR = Total Shareholder Return. TR = Total Return
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 JPM Claverhouse Investment Trust FTSE All-Share
NAV outperformance in > 70% of quarters
Returns Since 1/3/2012 (%) Claverhouse TSR 113.9% (11.3% p.a.) FTSE All-Share TR 67.6% (7.6% p.a.)
Claverhouse excess NAV return v FTSE All Share Index Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012
0.5 1.3 2013 3.5 2.6 1.4 2.8 2014 1.5
1.2 1.4 2015 0.5 0.6 2.0 1.7 2016
0.4 1.0 2017 1.4
1.0 0.4 2018
1.7
2019 2.3
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Image source: Shutterstock.
16 | FOR AGM USE ONLY | NOT FOR FURTHER PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION Image source: Shutterstock. Quote source: AZ Quotes
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Source: Global Financial Data, Datastream, Citi Research. Image source: Shutterstock. Data as at 19 February 2019. UK equities in comparison with 10 year gilts.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
UK equity dividend yield and bond yield gap (%)
2 4 6 8 1914 1924 1934 1944 1954 1964 1974 1984 1994 2004 2014 UK Yield Gap
Current yield gap
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United Kingdom 28% Emerging Markets 23% North America 23% Europe ex UK 13% Pacific ex Japan 6% Japan 3% Other 4%
Image source: Shutterstock. Data source J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FTSE All-Share revenue split by geographic region as at 31 March 2010.
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Payout 32% Yield 1.6%
Payout 78% Yield 5.3%
Payout 49% Yield 4.1%
Payout 34% Yield 2.2%
Payout 45% Yield 3.4%
Payout 53% Yield 4.1%
Payout 40% Yield 6.9%
Payout 47% Yield 3.3%
Payout 31% Yield 2.6%
Payout 29% Yield 2.7%
Payout 22% Yield 2.3%
Payout 53% Yield 3.3%
Payout 49% Yield 3.3%
Payout 55% Yield 4.6%
Payout 42% Yield 3.4%
Payout 62% Yield 5.2%
Image Source: Shutterstock. Data Source: Bloomberg, MSCI (*FTSE) indices at 24 January 2019, Payout=Price /Earnings * Dividend Yield
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future performance.
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as at 31 December 2018. Dividend growth is calculated as the compounded annual growth rate of dividends paid by JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust plc (excluding special dividends) over the period shown (2008-2018). Not including special dividend of 3.6 pence per share paid in 2008. Dividends paid by the fund may exceed the gains of the fund, resulting in erosion of the capital invested. It may not be possible to maintain dividend payments indefinitely and the value of your investment could ultimately be reduced to zero.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results. Dividend declaration and payment is not guaranteed and subject to the dividend policy.
16.4 16.9 17.5 18.3 18.9 19.5 20.0 21.5 23.0 26.0 27.5 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Dividend (pence per share)
+5.3% p.a. +8.3% p.a. Annual dividend per share
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0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
Source: Numis Securities Research, Datastream, Company Data, Bloomberg. Data as of 31 October 2018. Covered and secured dividend refers to attempting to minimize the impact of any falls in capital gains and income from the trust.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results. Dividend declaration and payment is not guaranteed and subject to the dividend policy.
JPM Claverhouse IT
Revenue reserves (Years’ dividend) Dividend cover
UK Equity Income Investment Companies
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GTM – UK | Page 93 Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Investment outcomes based on total return. For illustrative purposes only. Returns calculated daily over the time period assuming no return on each of the specified number of best days. Guide to the Markets - UK. Data as of 31 March 2019.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
5.1% 1.7%
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Fully invested Missed 10 best days Missed 30 best days Missed 50 best days
Returns of FTSE All-Share
GBP, value of a £10,000 investment from 1999 to 2018 with annualised total return (%) Initial investment
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Image source: Shutterstock.
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Image source: Shutterstock. Data source J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as at 31st January 2019. *Claverhouse Investment Trust. University tuition base on the UK maximum amount of £9,250 per year for a 3 year course. Home deposit is total pot net of university fees. For more information see the appendix. Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
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Claverhouse continues to provide good performance and a growing annual dividend After a poor 2018, the UK stock market has rallied strongly in 2019, and still looks good value Many uncertainties, but most things you worry about are known by others Volatility is increasing. Don’t market time, enjoy the power of compounding returns
Opinions, estimates, forecasts, projections and statements of financial market trends are based on market conditions at the date of the publication, constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. There can be no guarantee they will be met.
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Image source: Shutterstock.
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Image source: Shutterstock. Quote source: BrainyQuote
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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Value of Dividends (Rebased) UK Market Index JPM Claverhouse IT plc
Source: Bloomberg, Numis Securities Research. Date as of December 2017. Source: Capita, Company Data, Bloomberg, Numis Securities Research. Please note that UK market data excludes the Vodafone special dividend in 2014. As at December 2018.
FTSE All-Share dividend growth by year JPM Claverhouse vs UK Market
Dividends are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. NAV returns are net of fees and applicable charges, in GBP with income reinvested, including actual ongoing charges excluding any entry and exit fees. Total shareholder return is the change in the share price of JPM Claverhouse Investment Trust plc. Benchmark is FTSE All Share Index (total return). Index return does not include fees or operating
managed without reference to its Benchmark. Excess return calculated geometrically.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 NAV returns 34.90 2.03 6.04 10.75 16.19
Share Price returns 42.94 3.96 3.59 7.22 21.79
Benchmark returns 20.81 1.18 0.98 16.74 13.06
NAV excess return +11.67 +0.84 +5.01
+2.77
Share price excess return +18.32 +2.75 +2.59
+7.72 +4.46
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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results.
Source: J. P. Morgan Asset Management. Bloomberg. Data from 31 March 2016 to 31 March 2019.
Net Asset Value (NAV) vs. Share Price Premium/Discount to NAV
5 Mar '16 Sep '16 Mar '17 Sep '17 Mar '18 Sep '18 500 600 700 800 900 Mar 16 Sep 16 Mar 17 Sep 17 Mar 18 Sep 18 Net Asset Value Last Price
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Please refer to the Investor Disclosure Document, latest annual report, and Key Information Document (KID) for more information relating to the Company.
Risk profile
The value of your investment may fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you originally invested.
Where permitted, a trust may invest in other investment trusts that utilise gearing (borrowing), which will exaggerate market movements both up and down.
Dividend income payments are not guaranteed and may fluctuate.
This fund may use derivatives for investment purposes or for efficient portfolio Management. Derivatives are complex and trusts that use them for investment purposes may be more volatile. These trusts are considered to be higher risk than trusts that invest only in shares.
External factors may cause an entire asset class to decline in value. Prices and values of all shares or all bonds could decline at the same time, or fluctuate in response to the performance of individual companies and general market conditions.
This trust may utilise gearing (borrowing) which will exaggerate market movements both up and down.
The trust may invest in smaller company shares, which can be more unpredictable and less liquid than shares of larger companies.
The share price may trade at a discount to the Net Asset Value of the company.
The single market in which the Trust primarily invests, in this case the UK, may be subject to particular political and economic risks and, as a result, the trust may be more volatile than more broadly diversified trusts.
The key risks facing the Company and the mechanisms in place to monitor and measure these risks are set out in the Company’s annual report, a copy of which is available from its website, www.jpmclaverhouse.co.uk.
Investment objective
The Company aims to provide a combination of capital and income growth from a portfolio consisting mostly of companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. The Company’s portfolio consists of between 60 and 80 individual equities in which the Manager has high conviction. The company has the ability to use borrowing to gear the portfolio within the range of 5% net cash to 20% geared in normal market conditions.
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This is a marketing communication and as such the views contained herein do not form part of an offer, nor are they to be taken as advice or a recommendation, to buy or sell any investment or interest thereto. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Any research in this document has been obtained and may have been acted upon by J.P. Morgan Asset Management for its own purpose. The results of such research are being made available as additional information and do not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, statements of financial market trends or investment techniques and strategies expressed are unless otherwise stated, J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s own at the date of this document. They are considered to be reliable at the time of writing, may not necessarily be all inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. They may be subject to change without reference or notification to you. It should be noted that the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of the products or underlying overseas investments. Past performance and yield are not reliable indicators of current and future results. There is no guarantee that any forecast made will come to pass. Furthermore, whilst it is the intention to achieve the investment objective of the investment products, there can be no assurance that those objectives will be met. J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand name for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates worldwide. To the extent permitted by applicable law, we may record telephone calls and monitor electronic communications to comply with our legal and regulatory obligations and internal policies. Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our EMEA Privacy Policy www.jpmorgan.com/emea-privacy-policy. Investment is subject to documentation. The Investor Disclosure Document, Key Features and Terms and Conditions and Key Information Document can be obtained free of charge from JPMorgan Funds Limited or www.jpmam.co.uk/investmenttrust. This communication is issued by JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited, which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England No: 01161446. Registered address: 25 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5JP. Material ID: 0903c02a8257fbdf