J MA / WMO WO R K S H O P O N E FF E C T I V E T - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

BM KG C O U N T R Y R E P O R T I N D O N E S I A J MA / WMO WO R K S H O P O N E FF E C T I V E T R O P I C A L C Y C L O N E WA R N I N G I N S O U T H E A S T A S I A T O K Y O , 11 – 15 Ma r c h 201 4 Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Cli limatology, and Geophysics (BMKG)

BM KG I. I. Overv rview of BMKG I.1. Organizational Structure I.2. Meteorological Operation I.3. Meteorological Services and Users I.4. On- going Developments II. II. J akarta TCWC II.1. Brief History of J akarta TCWC II.2. Area of Responsibility II.3. Operational Background II.4. Operational Procedure II.5. Operational Design II.6. List of Products II.7. List of Names III. III. Tropical Cyclon ones es Arou ound Indonesia IV. Chall llenges ges on on TC Analysis and Forecasting in Indonesia

BM KG Ina- CEWS

BM KG CENTER FOR PUBLIC WEATHER SERVICES REM OTE SENSING M ETEOROLOGICAL EXTREM E WEATHER DATA M ANAGEM ENT INFORM ATION WARNING DIVISION DIVISION DIVISION SATELLITE DATA RADAR DATA INFORM ATION DISSEM INATION EXTREM E M ANAGEM ENT M ANAGEM ENT TROPICAL SUB-DIVISION SUB-DIVISION WEATHER SUB-DIVISION SUB-DIVISION CYCLONE SUB-DIVISION WARNING SUB-DIVISION (J AKARTA TCWC)

I.2. M eteorological Operation BM KG Observations Analysis, Forecast, Application End User Space-based Products Observation Computer S ystem for Meteorological Services Upper Air Warnings Model Prediction Observation PC Advisories Information Issuance TC Forecast Data Collection Radar Observation Weather Forecast DataProcessing and Products Surface Observation One Week Forecast Dissemination Aeronautical Met. Information Ocean Observation Marine Met. Information Issuance of Products at Met. Sta and HQ International Data Exchange

I.3. M eteorological services and Users LAY ANAN BM KG PRODUCTS : USERS : Public Weather • M inistry of Transport - Daily Weather Forecast • M inistry of Services Extreme weather warning Agriculture • Tourisms - Aerodrome forecast • M arine stakeholders Aeronautical - Flight-Route forecast • Fisheries Weather Services - SIGM ET • Public works/ construction • M inistry of Health - M ax & Significant Wave & • M inistry of Defense M arine Swell forecast • National Logistics Weather Services - Surface current Agency - 10-meter wind forecast • Disaster M anagm ’ t Agency (Nat ’ l & Fire Weather - Hotspot/ Firespot Provincial/ District) (F D R S) - Fire Weather Index • M ass M edia - Smoke dispersion/ • Universities Trajectory • Research Institutions • General Public Tropical - TC Track forecast Cyclone - TC ’ s Impacted Area forecast

National Warning FLOW to the Public Tools GSM Interface Public Institution Alerting Ina Phone/Fax/ P Police HQ Siren sat phone - U GTS Army HQ TV/Radio M B RANET/ Harbor Adm SMS DVB E L FMRDS/ Airport FMRDS W ALERTUS ALERTUS I receiver Met Office S Dedicated C line TWC-Local Internet Speakers DMO TV/Radio Police siren Local DMO HF Radio TIMELY MANNER

I.4. On-going Development LAY ANAN BM KG ACEH M EDAN TARAKAN M ANADO PEKANBARU TERNATE BALIKPAPAN PONTIANAK GORONTALO PADANG PALANGKARAY A SORONG J AM BI J AY APURA PALU PK.PINANG BIAK BENGKULU PALEM BANG PKLN.BUN BANJ ARM ASIN AM BON TIM IKA KENDARI M AKASSAR LAM PUNG SURABAY A AM PENAN TANGERANG M ERAUKE SEM ARANG BIM A YOGY A DENPASAR KUPANG Obs. Radius : 150 km (C-band) ; 100 km (X-band) FY . 2006-2012 FY . 2013 (4 radars) FY . 2014 (add 4 radars)

II II.1. Bri rief History of J akarta TCWC BM KG 1. Indonesia has been being a member of WMO RA- V TCC since it establishment by RA V- IX in 1986 and responsible to operate J akarta TCWC covering the sea area of 90° – 125°E and 10°S – Equator. 2. During 1998 – 2006 Australia assume warning responsibilities covers Indonesia as interim measure 3. Indonesia takes over responsibility from Australia starting 2007/ 2008 cyclone season. 4. A major project to establish J akarta TCWC was completed at the end of 2007 and officially operated at March 24, 2008. 5. First activation during TC Durga (April 22 – 25, 2008). 6. RA V TCC- XIII approved to extend responsibility area of J akarta TCWC within coordinate 090°E - 120°E & 0° - 10°S 0° - 11°S & 120°E - 128°E , 0° - 09°S & 128°E - 141°E

II II.2. Area of Responsibility BM KG

II II.3. Operational Backgroun und BM KG WMO MANDATORY 1. WMO Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan For The South Pacific And South East Indian Ocean (TCP- 24, 2006 Edition) stated Indonesia would take over responsibility at the start of the 2007/ 2008 cyclone season. INTERNAL INTEREST OF BMKG 2. Though Indonesia is very rarely tracked by TC, the occurrence of TC near the region, gives impact to Indonesia weather variability.

Routine procedure Routine procedure II.4. Operational Procedure II BM KG no no Any suspect area in Any suspect area in or near Indonesia? or near Indonesia? yes yes Cyclogenesis analysis Cyclogenesis analysis no no Is it inside Jakarta Is it inside Jakarta Will it develop into Will it develop into yes yes Monitoring procedure Monitoring procedure TCWC AoR? TCWC AoR? TD within 24 hours? TD within 24 hours? yes yes no no Monitoring Monitoring Will it develop into Will it develop into no no Product preparation Product preparation products products TD within 24 hours? TD within 24 hours? for routine products for routine products yes yes Routine products Routine products Active procedure Active procedure Active products Active products

II II.5. Operational Design 6. 2. 4. BM KG BMG CMSS SS LINK STATIONS 1. NWP DATA INPUT FROM VARIOUS MODEL DATABASE ( ARPEGE, TXLAPS, ECMWF, SERVER Phone UK, US, J MA ) INTERNAL WEB Services 3. SERVER SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION Faximile DATA INPUT FORECASTER FO WORKSTATIONS 5. APP PPLICATION Webs bsite SERVER RADAR Radar Data Input DISPLAY TV Station 7. DENPASAR TCWC MEDIA DISPLAY (BACKUP SYSTEM) Satell llite Data Input VIDEO EDITING

II II.6. List of Products BM KG No. Product Name Format Frequency Languange Remarks of issuance 1. Extreme weather warning Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia 2. TV Crawler messages Text Indonesia 3. High seas warning Text 6 hourly English & International Indonesia exchange 4. Coastal Zone Warning Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia 5. TC Technical Bulletin Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia 6. TC Public Information Text 6 hourly Indonesia Bulletin 7. TC Outlook Text Daily English & Indonesia 8. TC Aviation Advisory Text 6 hourly English 9. CREX Text 6 hourly English 10. TC Track & Impact map Graphical 6 hourly English & Indonesia 11. Extreme Weather map Graphical English & Indonesia

II II.7. List of Names BM KG List A List B (St Standby) 1.Anggrek 1.Anggur 2.Bakung 2.Belimbing 3.Cempaka 3.Duku 4.Dahlia 4.Jambu 5.Flamboyan 5.Lengkeng 6.Kenanga 6.Melati 7.Lili 7.Nangka 8.Mangga 8.Pisang 9.Seroja 9.Rambutan 10.Teratai 10.Sawo

BM KG 1. Since 2007 – present, 2 tropical cyclones developed in J akarta TCWC AoR :TC Durga in March 2008 and TC Anggrek in November 2010 2. Indonesian area is only for the initial stage for TC developments. 3. During 2011 – 2012 cyclone season in SE Indian Ocean (South of Indonesia) 12 suspect ares identified in Indonesian water, 1 of them developed as a TC in Darwin AoR and 2 in La Reunion AoR 4. Remote / indirect impact of TC in Northwest Pacific and Southeast Indian to Indonesian weather

BM KG 1. Early stage analysis of TC development (Cyclogenesis analysis) 2. Remote / Indirect impact of tropical cyclones 3. Low latitude TC

http:/ / meteo.bmkg.go.id/ siklon

Track Tropical Cyclone “ DURGA ” , 22 - 24 April 2008

Tropical Cyclone Anggrek

SIKLON TROPIS “ ANGGREK ” , (01 November 2010, 07.00 WIB) SIKLON TROPIS ANGGREK