World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
IPG Photonics Corporation The Fiber Laser Company (NASDAQ: IPGP) - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers IPG Photonics Corporation The Fiber Laser Company (NASDAQ: IPGP) 2016 Investor Day May 11, 2016 www. ipgphotonics .com World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers Welcome and Overview Tim Mammen
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
The statements in this presentation that relate to future plans, market forecasts, events or performance are forward-looking statements. These statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, risks associated with the strength or weakness of the business conditions in industries and geographic markets that IPG serves, particularly the effect of downturns in the markets IPG serves; uncertainties and adverse changes in the general economic conditions of markets; IPG's ability to penetrate new applications for fiber lasers and increase market share; the rate of acceptance and penetration of IPG's products; inability to manage risks associated with international customers and operations; foreign currency fluctuations; high levels
manufacturing capacity for the level of demand; competitive factors, including declining average selling prices; the effect of acquisitions and investments; inventory write-downs; intellectual property infringement claims and litigation; interruption in supply of key components; manufacturing risks; government regulations and trade sanctions; and other risks identified in the Company's SEC filings. Readers are encouraged to refer to the risk factors described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K and its periodic reports filed with the SEC, as applicable. Actual results, events and performance may differ materially. Readers are cautioned not to rely on the forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements that may be made to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
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Welcome and Overview ………………………………………………………….…….Tim Mammen Current and Future Market Opportunities…………………………………………. Trevor Ness Accessories………………………………………………………………… Felix Stukalin Strategic Growth Projects…………………………………………………Yuri Erokhin Medical……………………………………………………………………… Gregory Altshuler Telecom………………………………………………………………………Mark Cannata Manufacturing Devices and Components……………………………………………….. Eugene Scherbakov Diodes………………………………………………………………………..Alex Ovtchinnikov Break China……………………………………………………………………………………… Trevor Ness Financial Review…………………..…………………………………………………… Tim Mammen Summary and Growth Strategy............................................................................ Valentin Gapontsev Q&A Session Tours and Lunch
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Approximate average annual growth rate of 6%
Estimated 12% CAGR from 2015 to 2020
First mover advantage Performance, product range and reliability Lowest cost (vertically integrated model) Strong IP position
Asia & Australia 51%, Europe 33%, North & South America 15%
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$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 All Lasers Fiber Lasers All Lasers Fiber Lasers 2015 2020 Forecast Materials Processing Advanced Applications Medical 7
$4,800 $1,480 $6,751 $2,600
____________________ Source: Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPGP estimates. (000)
Fiber, 31%
2015 - Share of Total Laser Market
Fiber, 39%
2020 - Share of Total Laser Market
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Automotive General Manufacturing Heavy Industry Oil & Gas Shipbuilding Nuclear Construction Aerospace Shipbuilding Semi/ Electronics Displays Consumer
Expand addressable market and enhance future growth opportunities by addressing new application and customer specific requirements
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Marking & Engraving Cutting Welding Fine Processing Additive Manufacturing Brazing Drilling Welding of Alloys and Specialty Materials Cladding & Deposition Ablation Display & Imaging
3D-Cinema Entertainment and Projection
Micro-processing Medical Devices Bio-Medical Sensing & LIDAR
CURRENT FUTURE
10 Semi/PC Board/Display, $153 Solar/LED/ Other, $367 Excimer/DUV , $719 CO2/EUV , $193 Addressabl e Market, 36% Other Applications, 64%
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____________________ Source: Strategies Unlimited, IPGP estimate of potentially addressable market.
Fiber participation is relatively low in these other applications. Longer term opportunity will depend
(US$ mm)
$192 $161 $67 $455 $372 $628
Displays & Light Shows Sensors, LIDAR & Inspection Mid-IR Spectroscopy R&D Defense Medical
$569 $236 $108 $594 $524 $1,042
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Three Distribution Channels
OEMs/Integrators Direct Sales Representatives
End User End User End User End User End User End User End User End User Factory 1 Factory 2 Factory 3 End User OEM Large Manuf. OEM Integrator
Representatives Direct Sales Direct Sales Direct Sales
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
Wavelength Mode of Operation Laser Power
Fe:ZnSe/S 3.4 -5.2 mm
UV ~0.36 mm Ultra-violet Blue, green, yellow , orange and red 0.45-0.73 mm Ytterbium ~1.07 mm Visible Near-Infra-red 400 nm 700 nm 1.5 mm Diode ~0.98 mm Erbium ~1.5 mm Thulium, Holmium ~2 mm Cr:Zn/Se/S 1.8-3.4 mm > 5 mm Mid-Infra-red
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IPG’s Core Existing Applications
$1,453 $1,867 $569 $662 $385 $431 $520 $718 $644 $1,323 $278 $352 $219 $333 $144 $183 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 High Power Marking Fine Processing Micro Processing All Lasers Fiber Lasers
____________________ Source: Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPGP estimates.
(US$ mm)
(Excludes lithography)
New Applications
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$462 $967 $182 $356 $591 $364 $219 $180 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% $- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 2015 2020 2015 2020 Cutting Welding & Other High Power Fiber Lasers All Other Lasers Fiber Market Share
7% 9% 17% 40% 27%
Welding Applications
Power Train Tube Welding Car Body Scanner Welding Car Body Seam Welding / Brazing Other
81% 3% 16%
Cutting Applications
Flat Sheet Cutting Tube Cutting 3D Cutting
(US$ mm)
Welding Opportunity - potentially much more significant
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Additive Manufacturing
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81% 3% 16%
Cutting Applications
Flat Sheet Cutting Tube Cutting 3D Cutting
Source: Strategies Unlimited & IPGP estimate 22
Fiber Disk/OtherFiber CO2
Source: IPGP estimate
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Source: Optech Consulting, Sep. 2015; Strategies Unlimited Mar. 2016; IPG estimates 100,000,000 200,000,000 300,000,000 400,000,000 500,000,000 600,000,000 2015 2019
Welding Market USD - Laser Sources
CAGR 7%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2015 2019
Global HP Laser Welding Market - Analysis by units (excl. Surface Treatment)
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Niche Welding Applications
High Strength Steel Aluminum Titanium Alloys Thick Materials Automotive Aerospace Construction Heavy Equipment Railways Shipbuilding Transportation & Storage
Decreasing cost of laser welding, new laser welding technologies, know-how, software & algorithms
In many instances strength of the laser weld > welded material Diverse Materials Diverse Industries Limited Materials Aircraft Autos Bridges Buildings Pipelines Rails Railcars Ships Storage Tanks Trucks Diverse Products FUTURE
CURRENT
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Source: Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPGP estimates.
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apps labs and test customers this quarter
prototypes in Q3’16
controller seamlessly interfaces to IPG lasers and scanning systems
IPG is able to offer a complete remote welding solution to Integrators and OEMs
incremental $45-$50M
Market size scanning ~380 lasers in Y15, our sales <30%. Expect to grow as we roll out an integrated total product that we can support, at a competitive price point.
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Launch: Q2 2016 Market Opportunity*: $140M estimated by Y19 Strategy: Customer testing from Q2 in multiple geographies
$90 $90 $140 $140 2015 2019 (E)
Market Opportunity*
(US$ mm) *Source: Optech/IPG
Description: Scan head for high speed welding in 2D and 3D for use with kW class lasers Applications/Markets: Automotive; body in white, seat welding, battery welding Advantages: Ease of use, lightweight, competitively priced, 2D & 3D IPG is able to provide complete solution laser + beam delivery + chiller + software
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Launch: Launched Q2 Y15, several large automotive manufacturer wins, multiple global engagements Market Opportunity*: Market size estimated at 140 units, growing to 380+ by Y20 Strategy: Rapid deployment globally to become technology of choice for brazing
$3 $34.5 4.5 $65 $65 2015 2019 (E)
Market Opportunity*
(US$ mm) Source: Optech Consulting, Sep. 2015; Strategies Unlimited Mar. 2016; IPG estimates
Description: IPG's new YLS-5000-BR trifocal laser brazing allows cleaning of the base metal parts improving filler material flow, resulting in reproducible brazed joint with increased strength and better appearance Applications/Markets: Brazing of Electrogalvanized Material, Automotive manufacturing Advantages: Unique three beam approach, cleaning and braising. Highly reproducible brazed joint with increased strength and better appearance
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Components
per annum still produced in China. Expect 20-30% of market to transition to QCW
displaced old YAG lasers which are large, inefficient and unreliable
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Main market application marking & engraving across most/all industries, ablation, cleaning, micro-processing
pulsed market; erosion of ASP’s
applications, sales up 20% in Q1 with good pricing/margin
(laser + scan head + software) gaining traction
applications growing; coatings removal, cutting applications
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
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Launch: Ready for introduction Market Opportunity*: >$110 million
$110 $110 $140 $140 2015 2019 (E)
Market Opportunity*
(US$ mm) *Source: IPG Estimates
Description: Laser marking module with 2-axis scanner integrated with IPG UV laser Applications/Markets: UV marking for white plastics and cabling; electronics, aerospace Advantages: IPG’s Complete UV Marking Module Provides Ease-of-Integration, High Performance and Reliability to Integrators and OEMs at a competitive cost point
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
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Pico and femto pulses enable microprocessing and medical applications Key process areas are micro cutting, scribing, 3D micro-milling, micro hole drilling and blind hole machining, laser lift-
marking Typical industries include production of consumer and appliances, semiconductor industry, medical device manufacturing and medical procedures Leverage IPG fiber laser technology into the $130+M ultrafast laser market segment by developing compelling new lasers differentiated by performance, form factor and total cost of ownership
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Launch: Ready for introduction Market Opportunity*: $190 million annual industrial picosecond laser market opportunity Strategy: IPG will accelerate ultrafast market growth by providing robust, easy to integrate economical fiber lasers
$190 $190 $300 $300 2015 2019 (E)
Market Opportunity*
(US$ mm) *Source: Strategies Unlimited
Description: Air-cooled, rack-mountable chassis featuring remote head produces 50 µJ pulses at high repetition rate totaling >50 Watts average power Applications/Markets: Sapphire scribing (LED)/cutting (watch glass), high strength glass cutting (smartphone/tablet), thin film ablation (display/electronics) Advantages: Compact, affordable, reliable picosecond laser
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Launch: Initial units available Market Opportunity*: >$600 million annual industrial femtosecond laser market opportunity Strategy: IPG’s robust, affordable fiber lasers will enable femtosecond laser processing to enter the mainstream
$620 >$1B 2015 2019 (E)
*Source: Strategies Unlimited
Description: Air-cooled, rack-mountable chassis featuring remote head produces 500 femtosecond pulses at high repetition rates totaling >10 Watts average power Applications/Markets: Medical (Laser Eye Surgery), Scientific, Ultra-precise micromachining Advantages: Compact, affordable, reliable femtosecond laser
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
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Overview: IPG provides visible fiber lasers in many wavelengths, including red, yellow,
materials processing, medical and entertainment. For example green wavelength has distinct advantages for fine processing of highly reflective metals like Copper, gold and platinum Strategy: Penetrate emerging micro applications and enable new applications through the introduction of visible fiber lasers with unprecedented performance levels Competition: IPG Green Fiber lasers provide unprecedented levels of average power with reasonable pulse energy in a rack-mountable industrial footprint with an elegantly compact remote laser head
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Launch: Expected Q3 2016 Market Opportunity: Kilowatt-class HRR green laser creates a new market segment Strategy: IPG is partnered with leading OEMs in the PCB, Aerospace and Semi Equip industries to pioneer new applications
<$ <$1 2015 2019 (E)
Market Opportunity*
(US$ mm) *Source: IPG Internal Data
Description: Rack-mountable 500 Watt single mode laser providing 1.5 nano second pulses at high 150 MHz repetition rate through a compact remote head Applications/Markets: Emerging applications in reflective metal welding and drilling, wafer and glass panel annealing Advantages: Unprecedented level of single-mode green power
$10-20
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Market Opportunity*: $250M annual micro materials laser market in Semi, PCB and Solar Strategy:
IPG partners with leading micro materials processing companies to pioneer new high pulse energy green applications
$263 $263 $451 $451 2015 2019 (E)
Market Opportunity*
(US$ mm) *Source: Strategies Unlimited, 2016 Worldwide Laser Report
Description: Rack-mountable 100 Watt nanosecond laser providing up to 500 milliJoule pulse energy through a compact remote head Applications/Markets: Solar Cell thin film ablation and wafer dicing, precision via drilling for microelectronics PCBs Advantages: Unique combination of throughput and precision stemming from high pulse energy and short 1.5 nanosecond pulse width
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
Resonators Lasers Process Heads
INTEGRATED LASER, ACCESSORIES AND CONTROLLER TO DRIVE LASER, OPTICAL PROCESSING AND ROBOT
$15-$20K $50K to $1.0 million $4-$10K $10- $20K $8-$100K
COMPLETE SYSTEMS $200k to $5 million +
Amplifiers Chillers and Power Supplies
$3K
Couplers, Switches & Delivery Fibers
$5-40K $4-$10K
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Overview: IPG manufactures complete integrated systems for welding, cladding, cutting, drilling. The systems are typically customised solutions i.e. 50kW laser welding cell with IPG laser, welding head, control software for US customer welding rockets. We integrate the industry’s best lasers with IPG high precision motion systems, optics, beam switches, processing heads and software. Strategy: Penetrate new applications for lasers and expand product portfolio through the development and introduction of specialized laser-based systems to meet the specific needs of manufacturing end users whose requirements are not met by standard systems or in certain geographic areas where fiber laser systems are not currently available Growth Targets: Target to develop systems business of $200M + by 2020
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New system platforms offering specific laser and beam delivery tailored to specific applications
Small format 2D cutting Small format multi-axis welding, cutting & drilling Micromachining Multi-axis welding, cutting & drilling Multi-axis pipe welding system Tube and Profile Welding Laser Seam Stepper Orbital Pipe Welding
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– YLS-50000-CT 50 KW Welding Laser – IPG FLC D50 Welding Head – LC170 Chiller
– 6-Axes Robot, 10 ft reach – 10 ft linear track – Rotary worktable 22 ton 8 ft dia – Tip/Tilt 2-axes positioner
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Launch: First system delivered in Q1 2016 Market Opportunity: Large application area with zero penetration by lasers today Description: Multi-axis high power fiber laser pipe welding system Applications/Markets: Pipelines, construction Advantages: High productivity vs incumbent technology
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Cutting Welding & Brazing Other High Power Micro-processing Excluding DUV & EUV Fine Cutting, Welding & Drilling Marking Other Low Power
*Source: Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPG Photonics estimates
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
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Laser System Lasers & Chillers Couplers, Switches & Delivery Fibers Cutting Heads
Welding Heads Integrated Modules Scan Heads Pulsed Laser Controller + Software
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– Develop product platforms for highest volume applications – Leverage expertise into more specialized and new applications
– Achieve highest quality through technological superiority
– Offer superior performance though integration with laser source – Provide lower cost through vertical integration
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– Cutting and welding heads are sold at 10% of laser price – Advanced process heads are sold at 30% to 50% of laser price – Marking heads are sold at 30% of laser price – Sensors and advanced features are sold at significant premium – IPG can offer better value to IPG customers
– Power of IPG fiber lasers advanced faster than process heads – Existing offering have power limitations above 20 - 30 kW for welding and above 6 kW for cutting – IPG in-house optics technology and sealed designs solve power limitations
– One-stop shop from IPG for the laser, processing head and application – Enhanced opportunity for advanced applications development – Service and warranties are aligned with integrated solution – Service and support benefits from IPG’s worldwide infrastructure
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– IPG currently provides 100% in Switches and Process Fibers – IPG current share is less then 10% in Process Heads and Scanners
TAM 2015 2020E
TOTAL $150M $280M-$300M Welding heads $35M $80M Cutting heads $50M $80M Scanning heads $30M $60M Beam Switches $22M $45M Process Fibers $13M $25M
*Market size estimate by IPG
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Industry – 12kW
sensing
Sensing options
combined in one product
and better visual finish
frequency of 300Hz
Applications
CW lasers
handling
penetration depth
35mm+ of penetration depth in SST at 50kW 56
Industry – 15kW
sensing
available in a compact and lightweight architecture
1000Hz
applications
design
Software
the Industry – 15kW
Lasers
and IPGWeld software
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Seam Stepper
addresses large resistance spot welding market
Welding with Seam Tracking Sub-system
tracking capability addresses pipe and seam welding market
Cladding Heads and 3D Cutting Heads
cutting heads for emerging material processing applications
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
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– Major cinema players upgrading image quality and overall moviegoer experience, opportunities in other entertainment and signage markets – Transitioning projectors from Xenon Bulb to laser luminaires
– ~$200M annualized IPG revenue potential beginning to ramp in 2017
– Key Differentiators versus laser diode based illumination alternatives:
– Leverages IPG existing fiber laser technologies – Successful product introduction at CinemaCon-2016 Significant interest from leading projector makers and high-end theater operators
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Segment Screen Count TAM over 8-10 years Ultra-Premium IMAX, Dolby, etc. Mostly 3D 2,000 $200M- $400M Very Large Screens 2D and 3D 5,000 $250M- $450M Large Screens 10,000 $300M- $600M Medium Screens 38,000 $425M- $950M 55,000* screens $1.2B to $2.4B**
Very Large Screens 2D and 3D Large Screens Primarily 2D, some 3D capable
Medium Screens, Mostly 2D
3D Ultra Premium
Projected Top-Down Laser Luminaire Market Adoption
Laser Strength Segments
Fiber Lasers or diodes
* Remaining 85.000 (+/-) screens WW are small size **Revenue opportunity is exclusive of service
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– High impact advertising campaigns – Theme parks and museums – Architectural projection mapping – Concerts, other performances
2015 Freightliner unveiling autonomous truck - Hoover Dam promo event. 60 projectors with 1.17M lumen
http://www.barco.com Projection mapping: A map to spectacle
Creating Technology – design; Barco Entertainment – projection system
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Unique Flat Panel market opportunity for IPG UV fiber lasers
Source: DisplaySearch, 2014 Source: Samsung Display
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Excimer Laser Anneal (ELA) is an incumbent LTPS process ELA process (excimer) suffers from high cost, both initial capital requirements and high ongoing equipment maintenance 96% of LCDs (by area) still fabricated
backplane fiber laser opportunity 3-5x lower operating cost vs. ELA expands OLED to next generation smartphone, tablet and laptop displays >$300M IPG opportunity IPG patent pending processes under evaluation with three major WW Flat Panel Manufacturers
DisplaySearch, Jan., 20th, 2014
*Source: Samsung
By 2018 Samsung Projects Proliferation of LTPS into High End Tablets
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Ablates paint from the surface Vacuum removes 99.9% of residue Does not require chemicals which produce toxic sludge or plastic beads Manual paint stripping requires: F-16 4 people 16 to 18 people for a C-130
$800 million per year (2015 Air Force LCMC) Many applications outside of aerospace: Cleaning of molds, casts, tanks, pipes &
New generation of Nano-Second Pulsed laser with average power up to 4 kilowatt Pulsed product limits thermal damage to cleaned surface
Sources: *Potential alternative report for the portable handheld laser small area supplemental coating removal system, prepared for USAF by SAIC, Feb. 2001 ** Penn State Applied Research laboratory, Automated Rotor Blade Stripping System (ARBSS) study for the USN, 2005
Environmental Benefits:
5 10 Media Blast* Solvent* Laser Ablation** Solid waste (lb.) generated Per 1 lb. on paint stripped Paint Stripping Method
Plus 165 lbs of Liquid Waste
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($ in Millions)
*Includes Ophthalmic, Surgical, Cosmetic, Dental and Veterinary applications Source: BCC Research
$4,110 $7,759 $628 $1,042 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000 2015 2020 Laser medical systems*, $MM Laser sources for medical systems**, $MM
**Source: Strategies Unlimited
Lamp Pumped SSL 35% CO2 20% Eximer laser 4% Fiber laser 9% Diode Pumped SSL 12% Diode laser 20%
Lamp Pumped SSL 37% CO2 21% Eximer laser 4% Fiber laser 5% Diode Pumped SSL 16% Diode laser 17%
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Source: Strategies Unlimited
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– IPG Medical provides turn-key solutions for development and manufacturing
– ISO 13485 certified and FDA registered manufacturer (2016) – Research and development in Marlboro (USA) and Fryasino (Russia) – Production of components and final product in Fryasino (Russia) and final product for US market in Marlboro (USA)
– IPG’s unique fiber lasers new game-changing products which are more efficient, safe and cost-effective and enable new medical procedures – Penetrate new medical applications, such as urology (BPH and Lithotripsy), aesthetic (hair removal, vascular and pigment, skin texture and tightening, body contouring, tattoo), dental (surgery and tissue regeneration),
– Approach the market in partnership with leading medical device companies in particular fields or direct distribution in selective field and territory
– We target medical opportunities from $70M - $150M in 2020
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– Conducts joint research, design and development of the new product platform for professional dental use – Manufactures laser console and application modules on exclusive basis
– Commercializes the final medical products with Biolase accessories in the professional dental field under Biolase brand – Exclusive, performance-based distribution rights
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New IPG products based on QCW Tm fiber laser: laser for Lithotripsy and Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia & Lithotripsy would replace flash-lamp pumped Ho:YAG laser platforms with more than 10,000 installed base 2 times faster speed of human stone dusting with significantly lower retropusion than current “gold standard” Ho laser has been demonstrated in vitro study (Super Pulse Tm Laser for Lithotripsy, ASLMS Annual Meeting 2016) First product would be launched in 2016 in Russia pending regulatory approval US and worldwide market would be approached in partnership with leading urology partner with product launch in 2018
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IPG Consumable Surgical Fiber with proprietary connector
Laser patterns on gum tissue treatment Replacement of tissue grafting
Before Tx 3 w after Tx
ALD 2015, G. Altshuler et al.: Laser Patterned technology: a new natural method
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World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
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– Optical amplifiers and Raman lasers – Optical transmission and DWDM systems
– Fiber-based Fiber to the Home (FTTH) and Cable TV (CATV)
– Ultra-long haul
– Highest power amplifiers, any wavelength/any power Raman – Proprietary signal processing system technology for ultra-long haul telemetry and DWDM applications – Eliminates mid-span optical regeneration in long-haul links – Provides industry’s highest density amplification with the lowest electrical power utilization
– $520M (2016) growing to $630M (2020)1; 15% CATV amplifiers / 85% transport amplifiers1
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1 Ovum, Total OC Forecast Spreadsheet: 2014–20, August 2015
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RF Overlay for CATV delivery
~10W amplification
Fiber Deep architectures e.g. RFOG, Node Segmentation
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IPG DWDM and Optical Transport
Repeater-less 40x100G DWDM – 400+ Km
Menara Optical System Modules
100G CFP/CFP2/QSFP
Data Center / metro / Regional And DWDM Connectivity
10G OTN XFP System in a Module 10G SFP+ Vendor Agnostic Plug-and-Play
Addressable Optical Networks Market: $12.8B in 2016 to $15.4B in 2020 All Growth in 100G+ Line Cards and Pluggable Modules
Product Line Tomorrow (with Menara)
– Patented “System in a pluggable module” integrating all line card functions; “transponder-less transport” – Short Reach to Ultra-Long Reach, 1G to 100G+ DWDM for all network segments
Markets and Customers
– Major network operators, CATV MSOs, Data, Wireless – Optical network equipment manufacturers
Large and Growing Optical Line Card Market Opportunity
– 100G+ market growing from $5.4B in 2016 to $8B by 2020
IPG + Menara Differentiators
– Vertically integrated transponder technology- optics, ASICs, manufacturing – ASIC with patented mixed-mode coherent & multilevel 100G+ signal processing – Plug-and-play functionality with all vendor transmission and switching equipment – Optimized DWDM solutions with transponder blade elimination – Software Defined Network control
Synergies
– Vertical integration of IPG’s optical transmission solutions – Add new addressable markets for IPG’s telecom portfolio – Leverage IPG’s resources to accelerate time to market, lower cost, expand Menara’s current markets
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Ovum, Optical Networks Forecast Spreadsheet: 2015–20, December 2015
Terminals, L2/OTN switching, $1,973 ROADMs, Amplifiers, $1,967 10G, 40G TXP, $3,536 100G, >100G MXP/TXP,
$5,360
Terminals, L2/OTN switching, $2,002 ROADMs, Amplifiers, $2,531 10G, 40G TXP, $2,915 100G, >100G MXP/TXP,
$7,900
$0.0 $5.0 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Revenue ($bn) Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
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40,000.00 60,000.00 80,000.00 100,000.00 120,000.00 140,000.00 160,000.00 Current Business With Menara 3-5 Year Opportunity
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Total: 57,000 sq.m. Clean Rooms: 10,000 sq.m. Employees: 1,400 Total: 38,600 sq.m. Clean Rooms: 10,000 sq.m. Employees: 1,113 Total: 50,000 sq.m. Clean Rooms: 8,000 sq.m. Employees: 1,100
Production Facility and World Headquarters Oxford, MA IPG Laser Facility Burbach, Germany NTO Facility Fryazino, Russia
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Fab Operations Semiconductor Wafer Growth Diode Processing, Chip Mounting & Burn-In Laser diode Packaging Up to 120-watts Optical Preform Silica based glass MCVD method Dope with rare earth ions Fiber Draw Draw towers Fiber Block Modules Up to 2000 Watts Final Assembly Coupling Final burn in Shipment Components Bragg Gratings Isolators, Couplers
Optical Delivery Systems: Welding & Cutting Heads, Scanners, process fibers US, Germany & Russia US Germany & Russia US & Russia Germany & Russia US, Germany & Russia US, Germany & Russia US, Germany & Russia US, Germany & Russia 85
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10 20 100 200 400 600 1000 2000 4000 5000 8000 10000 15000 20000 50000
Output Power [W]
IPG offers more than 510 different fiber lasers for micro and macro applications!
2015 - First 6kW W ECO O laser WPE> E>50% 2013 - First 100kW kW HPL
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0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0 2013 2014 2015 HP Lasers LP Lasers Systems Laser Heads Telecom Medicine Components ($ in millions)
$109 $129 $173
386 180 384 578 728 823 793 834 66 67 56 192 497 418 200 402 644 795 879 985 1,331 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total length, km
Active Fibers
NTO IRE-Polus IPG Laser GmbH
1,554 575 1,430 2,712 2,500 3,129 3,403 4,218 1,541 2,134 3,388 3,713 3,600 6,120 7,800 3,095 985 3,564 6,100 6,213 6,729 9,523 12,018 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total length, km
Passive Fibers
NTO IRE-Polus IPG Laser GmbH 89
6,813 5,353 8,276 10,457 12,839 13,456 13,031 14,263 15,756 4,133 24,480 32,278 34,838 41,032 52,600 79,570 22,569 9,486 32,756 42,735 47,677 54,488 65,631 93,833
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quantity, pcs Year
NTO IRE-Polus IPG Laser GmbH 90
817 1,020 1,214 1,125 5,785 2,951 6,011 5,640 7,697 7,434 6,616 6,578
4,011 5,334 6,181 7,940 11,579
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quantity of Lasers, pcs
Pulsed Lasers. Production in US, Germany and Russia.
IPG Photonics IPG Laser GmbH NTO IRE-Polus
91
5,916 3,159 9,246 10,468 14,051 14,829 15,681 18,604
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352 461 724 886 1,051 164 191 413 842 947 1,398 2,015 2,758
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quantity of Lasers, pcs
High Power Lasers. Production in US, Germany and Russia.
IPG Photonics IPG Laser GmbH NTO IRE-Polus 259 276 590 1,266 1,518 2,241 3,021 3,883
93
939 827 1,043 1,230 1,518 1,755 3,441 1,083 694 1,454 1,583 1,635 1,957 2,759 3,616 634 1,677
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quantity of Lasers, pcs IPG Photonics IPG Laser GmbH NTO IRE-Polus 1,259 1,647 2,317 2,686 2,940 3,652 5,148 8,734
Low- & Mid-power Lasers. Production in US, Germany and Russia.
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 >500W >1KW
94
95
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Total Units Sold
– Many OEMs are just starting to use fiber lasers – Huge potential substitution for spot/ arc/ other joining technologies – Move to lightweight materials creates opportunities for fiber lasers – Strong growth potential in electric vehicle batteries – Many new products; trifocal braising, high power scan head, three beam LSS aid application and market growth
– Requires extensive design in work with auto OEMs – Long preproduction time frames – Competition with other joining techniques
96
Auto HP units for joining forecast to grow from 718 in 2015 to 1,200 in 2019 IPG targeting to grow sales in joining from ~50% to 65% through superior technology, technical differentiation, applications wins, regional excellence and strong commercial position Opportunity is $200M+ by 2019 (mid and HP welding, cutting and ablation) Existing market forecast could have strong upside from electric vehicles
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2015 2019
Total IPG
Growth in HP Lasers for Automotive Joining
97
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
– Cost control: Advantage of internal manufacturing – Quality control: Key subcomponents manufactured internally – Technology/IP control: Significant process know how, trade secrets & strong patent protection – Unprecedented flexibility: Rapid product development and introduction into volume production
– Full vertical integration: Not a single manufacturing step or key subcomponent is outsourced – High-volume manufacturing: IPG is largest manufacturer of high power pump laser diodes – Highly automated robotic manufacturing: Most automation processes and equipment are designed and manufactured in-house
99
– Increases output power per chip and reliability – Lowers manufacturing cost volume of packaged diodes
100
Front-End U.S. Germany Russia
Wafer Fab Operation Wafer Growth (MBE) ─ ─ Wafer Processing ─ ─ Facet Passivation and Coating ─ ─ Chip-On-Submount Assembly Submount Manufacturing ─ ─ COS Assembly
Back-End U.S. Germany Russia
Test and Burn-In Screening out low-reliability lots and individual devices Packaging Manufacturing of various types of pumps
101
– Highly qualified technical staff, proprietary designs, equipment and technology ensure industry best diode performance and reliability
– Over-capacity in MBE and Wafer Processing equipment – Strategic stock of MBE-grown qualified wafers
102
IPG assembles over 0.5 million Chip-On-Submount each month
IPG manufactures submounts internally
Manufacturing is based on automated equipment (some built in-house), and proprietary processes
Production processes are fully DB-traceable: translates to higher yields and little direct labor
103
Key operation to screen out “weak devices” to ensure long-term reliability of pumps
IPG has industry’s largest TEST/BI facility:
simultaneously
All TEST/BI equipment has been designed and manufactured internally for a fraction of an open market price
Every COS used in IPG Fiber Lasers undergoes rigorous screening by burn-in: elevated temperature and elevated current
104
Contributes to low cost of ownership of Fiber Lasers, and Minimizes IPG need for field service
Packaging is the most labor-intensive part of pump manufacturing and the most “value-added” operation Facts about IPG Packaging operation:
Pioneered commercialization of single emitter pumping
Produces industry’s most efficient pumps All automated equipment and processes used in PKG
– Designed and manufactured internally for a fraction of open market analogues’ cost, and – More productive than commercially available analogues
Cost of subcomponents: IPG is the only company in the industry that manufactures all micro-optics and packages mechanical subcomponents internally
– More than 90% of BOM are internally manufactured parts and components
105
PLD130 PLD70 PLD40
PLD40 3 COS 40 W CW PLD70 6 COS 60 W CW PLD130 12 COS 120 W CW PLD80 6 COS: new design > 70 W CW: Q2 PLD90 6 COS: next design; new package > 80 W CW: H2 Most commonly used pumps New pumps: introduced through 2016
IPG continues to increase PACKAGING labor productivity through wider robots utilization and automation Internal development and manufacturing
106
1.00 .00 1.28 .28 1.56 .56 2.00 .00 2.35 .35 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
____________________ Source: IPGP estimates.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 % Change in Packaged Diode Cost Tested Chips Produced
Tested Chip Production Cost/watt % decrease (base yr 2009) Annual cost decrease % 107
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
109 Shenyang
Beijing Shanghai Shenzhen
Wuhan
Micro Process Application Lab
Ningbo Chengdu Jinan
Remote service station
Branch office/application lab/service station
Qingdao Nanjing Suzhou Chongqing NingDe Hangzhou Guangzhou ZhengZhou
Headquarter Central warehouse Automotive application lab Sheet Metal cutting application lab
110
Total addressable market for IPG is $916M , IPG has 36% sales position – big enough space for growth.
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220
142
203 104
M$
147
240 260 280 300 320
288
Marking/ Engraving/ Cleaning
Micro processing Micro welding HP welding / adhesive manufacture Cutting (metal/ non-metal)
Resource: Input from major IPG Chinese OEMs
Beam Delivery System
32
111
Welding:
cabinet/furniture
– Remote welding, scanner welding and trifocal braising
Cutting and Welding Optical Heads:
cutting, welding and scanning applications
Cutting:
service coverage
Chinese industry is intent on adopting advanced technologies to enhance manufacturing capability
112
Marking and Engraving:
– Cleaning/cutting, engraving, mold making – Display applications Emerging Applications:
Fine and Micro Processing: International and Chinese local electronic brands are accelerating adaption
QCW lasers are entering new applications (micro-welding replacing YAG) and new customers UV and Pico second laser are quickly adopted on a large scale: marking and precise cutting of brittle materials
– Low cost manufacturing in Russia – Highest volume vertically integrated producer
– Broadest product range – High-end and low-end offerings – Vertical integration drives lowest cost
– Unrivaled service capabilities drives sales
113
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
115
116
____________________ (1) Gross margin includes stock-based compensation of $2.2mm, $3.2mm, $4.2mm, $5.3mm, $1.2mm and $1.4mm for 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, Q1 2015 and Q1 2016, respectively.
$562.5 .5 $648.0 .0 $769.8 .8 $901.3 .3 $199.0 .0 $207.2 .2 54.2% 52.5% 54.1% 54.6% 54.2% 55.2% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2015 Q1 2016
Gross Margin(1) (%) Sales ($ mm)
Revenue ($mm) Gross Margin
117
$562.5 .5 $648.0 .0 $769.8 .8 $901.3 .3 $199.0 .0 $207.2 .2 $208.9 .9 $218.1 .1 $283.8 .8 $342.0 .0 $82.0 .0 $70.0 .0 37.1% 33.7% 36.9% 38.0% 41.2% 33.8% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Operating Margin(1) (%) Sales & Operating Income(1) ($mm)
Revenue ($mm) Operating Income ($mm) Operating Margin
____________________ (1) Operating income includes stock-based compensation of $8.6mm, $11.7mm, $15.2mm, $19.0mm, $4.1mm and $5.0mm for 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, Q1 2015 and Q1 2016, respectively. (2) Operating margin includes FX gains/(losses) of $2.6mm, $8.8mm and ($5.0mm) for 2015, Q1 2015 and Q1 2016, respectively.
(2) (2) (2)
118
($ in thousands)
As of December 31, 2015 As of March 31, 2016
Cash and cash equivalents $582,532 $613,692 Short-term investments $106,584 $126,273 Total assets $1,453,429 $1,550,100 Revolving line-of-credit facilities
$19,667 $19,167 Stockholders' equity $1,259,528 $1,345,856
119
$135.3 $344.1 $53.8 $13.3 $21.5 $131.6 $426.1 $81.0 $13.2 $34.9 $124.8 $499.6 $99.5 $13.8 $56.5 $28.6 $118.2 $22.6 $3.0 $8.6
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 $550
Pulsed High-Power Medium-Power Low-Power QCW
($US mm)
2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016
Approximate average annual growth rate of 6%
Estimated 12% CAGR from 2015 to 2020
First mover advantage Performance, product range and reliability Lowest cost (vertically integrated model) Strong IP position
Asia & Australia 51%, Europe 33%, North & South America 15%
120
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers
www.ipgphotonics.com