Introduction to the Propane Industry Oregon Public Utility - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Introduction to the Propane Industry Oregon Public Utility - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Introduction to the Propane Industry Oregon Public Utility Commission Salem, Oregon March 31, 2016 Jeffrey M. Petrash National Propane Gas Association Washington, D.C. National Propane Gas Association 3000 members Producers
National Propane Gas Association
- 3000 members
- Producers
- Service providers
- Equipment suppliers
- Marketer/retailers
- Three large national
- Several large regional
- Thousands of small, local
- 38 state and regional associations
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“THE OTHER WHITE MEAT”
- C3H8 (versus CH4 for natural gas)
- Nontoxic, colorless, odorless
- 75% derived from the natural gas stream
- 25% derived from petroleum refining
- 100% percent American
- “Portable natural gas”
- Greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) similar to natural gas
- Criteria pollutants emissions similar to natural gas
- Fugitive propane is not a GHG (unlike natural gas)
- Propane not a groundwater contaminant (unlike fuel oil)
- Two percent of America’s primary energy
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PROPANE AND NATURAL GAS ARE COMPLEMENTARY FUELS
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BEYOND THE BARBEQUE Odorized propane
- Only 3% is used in
barbeques
- Residential
- Commercial
- Agricultural
- Industrial
- Vehicles
Non-odorized propane
- Approximately half the
market
- Petrochemical
feedstock
- Exports
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USES OF ODORIZED PROPANE
- More than 5.5 million U.S. households are heated with
propane
- Residential—5 billion gallons—54%
- Commercial—1.8 billion gallons—18%
- Vehicles—0.6 billion gallons—7%
- Industrial—0.5 billion gallons—5%
- Agricultural—1.1 billion gallons—12%
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Five percent of U.S. households heat with propane.
How do households use propane?
While propane is mainly used for home heating, it has many other uses as a residential heat and energy source.
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PROPANE IN OREGON
- Total: 63 million gallons
- Residential: 16 million gallons
- Commercial: 15 million gallons
- Cylinders: 4 million gallons
- Vehicles: 10 million gallons
- Industrial: 14 million gallons
- Agricultural: 4 million gallons
- Market value: $112 million
- Jobs: $9-10 million
- Oregon part of PADD V
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KEY U.S. PROPANE DEMAND CATEGORIES
10
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Million BD Millions
Chemical Engine Fuel Industrial/Gas Utility Agricultural Residential/Commercial Exports
PROPANE MARKETERS
- Free marketers
- Compete with other fuels
- Natural gas
- Electricity
- Fuel oil
- Wood
- Ground source heat pump
- Compete with each other
- Majority are small businesses
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IT’S ALL ABOUT SHALE!
(NATURAL GAS AND PROPANE)
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LET’S CONNECT EVERYONE!
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SHIPPING AND HANDLING $9 NATURAL GAS $4
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THE REALITIES
- Facilities built today are much more
expensive than facilities built in the past
- $1 million per mile is a benchmark
- Population density is necessary to make
natural gas service economical
- In most circumstances rates for new
service would have to be significantly higher than old service to be economic
- Conversion costs $3,500-$10,000
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SUBSIDIZED NATURAL GAS SERVICE COMPETES UNFAIRLY WITH OTHER ENERGY SOURCES
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THE ECONOMIC TEST
- Costs: building and operating the new
infrastructure
- Revenues: delivery revenues for new
service
- Revenues ≥ costs = economic
expansion
- Revenues < costs = uneconomic
expansion
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UNDERPRICED NATURAL GAS SERVICE
- ECONOMICALLY INEFFICIENT
- CAUSES MISALLOCATION OF
RESOURCES
- ARTIFICIALLY CREATES DEMAND
FOR THE SERVICE
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MOST EXPANSION PROPOSALS DO NOT MAKE SENSE
- Revenues will not cover costs
- Utility is unwilling to deploy its capital for the expansion
- Utility seeks a subsidy to make the expansion
- Tax revenues
- Charging existing customers (rolled-in pricing)
- Existing customers receive no benefit or minimal benefit
- Why should existing customer subsidize utility
shareholders
- Natural gas service is not a public good
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OUR OREGON COLLEAGUES
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QUESTIONS?
OTHER ISSUES?
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