Integrated Resource Plan Integrated Resource Plan Rick Haener - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Integrated Resource Plan Integrated Resource Plan

Rick Haener September 4th, 2015

Integrated Resource Plan (IRP)

• Public utilities first began preparing integrated resource plans (IRPs) in the

early 1990s

• IRPs are Public Utility Commission (PUC) mandated documents for how a

utility expects to provide service to customers for the next 20 years y p p y

• IRPs are typically updated and filed with the PUCs every two years
• IRPs consider supply‐side resources, demand‐side measures and

transmission options

• Balance cost, risk, and environmental concerns

P bli i l i k f h l i

• Public involvement is a key component of the planning process

Idaho Power Generation

2015 IRP Key Assumptions/Issues

Load Forecast

• 1.2% growth in energy
• 1.5% growth in peak‐hour capacity

5% g o t pea

• u capac ty

Transmission Projects

• Boardman to Hemingway (B2H)
• Gateway West

EPA’s Proposed 111(d) Rule ( )

• First deficit year ranges from 2020 to 2025 depending on 111(d)

compliance and coal retirement assumptions PURPA Contracts PURPA Contracts

• 461 MW Solar contracts (un‐built)

North Valmy Generating Station North Valmy Generating Station

• Owner Future Expectations Alignment

Peak Load and Resource Capacity‐ Status Quo Y 2015 2034 i tt Years 2015‐2034 in megawatts

5500 5000 4500 3500 4000 3000 3500 2015 2020 2025 2030 2015 2020 2025 2030

Load 95 Percentile Annual Peak Forecast Resource Capacity

PURPA

P j t d C t t d i t d N l t R ti (MW) Projects under Contract and associated Nameplate Rating (MW)

2009 2011 2013 2015 Projects MW Projects MW Projects MW Projects MW Hydro 60 137 62 141 65 148 68 154 Hydro 60 137 62 141 65 148 68 154 Cogen 5 37 5 37 5 37 4 31 Bi 7 26 11 37 11 49 10 29 Biomass 7 26 11 37 11 49 10 29 Solar 1 20 1 20 19 461 Wind 17 252 22 447 27 577 32 627 Total 89 452 101 682 109 831 133 1,302

PURPA

Increase from the 2013 IRP ‐ 471 MW or 57%

2015 IRP

1,302 MW

2013 IRP

831 MW 1,302 MW

Preferred Portfolio

Portfolio P6(b)

• 301 aMW of energy efficiency over 20 years and 473 MW of reduction on peak

by 2034

• Valmy Retirement in 2025 (262 MW)
• Actual Valmy retirement date will depend on B2H completion date, the ability

to agree on a depreciation date and eventual closure date with NV Energy, and g p gy, PUC approval of an accelerated depreciation schedule

• Boardman to Hemingway in 2025 (+500 MW in Summer, +200 MW in Winter)

Date Resource Installed Capacity Peak-Hour Capacity 2025 Boardman to Hemingway 500 MW transfer capacity Apr-Sep 200 MW transfer capacity Oct-Mar 500 MW 2025 Retire North Valmy (both units) (262 MW) (262 MW) 2030 Demand response 60 MW 60 MW 2030 Ice-based thermal energy storage 20 MW 20 MW 2031 Combined-cycle combustion turbine 300 MW 300 MW Total retired capacity (262 MW) Total added capacity 880 MW Net peak-hour capacity 618 MW

Action Plan 2015‐2018

• 2015–2018 B2H and Gateway West: Ongoing permitting, planning studies,

and regulatory filings

• 2015–2019 Energy efficiency: Continue the pursuit of cost‐effective energy
• efficiency. The forecast reduction for 2015–2019 programs is 84 average

( ) f d d d f k d d megawatts (aMW) for energy demand and 126 MW for peak demand.

• 2015–2016 Coordinate with government agencies on implementation

planning for CAA Section 111(d).

• 2015 Shoshone Falls File to amend FERC license regarding 50‐MW expansion

g g p

• 2015 Jim Bridger Unit 3 Complete installation of SCR emission‐control

technology technology

Action Plan 2015‐2018 i d continued

• 2015–2016 Shoshone Falls Study options for a smaller upgrade ranging in size

up to approximately 4 MW up to app o ate y

• 2016 Jim Bridger Unit 4 Complete installation of SCR emission‐control

technology gy

• 2016 North Valmy units 1 and 2 Continue to work with NV Energy to

synchronize depreciation dates and determine if a date can be established to cease coal‐fired operations

• 2017 Shoshone Falls Commence construction of smaller upgrade
• 2017 Jim Bridger units 1 and 2 Evaluate the installation of SCR technology for

units 1 and 2 at Jim Bridger in the 2017 IRP

• 2019 Shoshone Falls On‐line date for smaller upgrade during first quarter

Other Projects

Solar PV on Distribution Feeder Lines Install solar PV panels near the end of long distribution feeders to boost/regulate

• voltage. The pilot project would confirm whether this concept is the lowest cost
• ption in certain cases. Three locations have been identified for the pilot project.

Thermal Ice Storage Pilot Project (Ice Bears) Thermal Ice Storage Pilot Project (Ice Bears) Identify and work with a commercial customer to install thermal ice storage. The initial phase would involve identifying a customer, designing the system, and putting together a detailed cost estimate. The second phase would be to purchase and install th i t f ll d b d t ll ti f i d f ti t d t i th the equipment followed by data collection for a period of time to determine the effectiveness of the concept. Shoshone Falls Upgrade Project pg j The previously planned 59 MW expansion of the Shoshone Falls Hydroelectric Project has been scaled back to an upgrade of 1.7 to 4.0 MW. Construction is tentatively planned to commence in 2017.

h d l / Schedule/Questions

Utility Scale Single Axis

2015 IRP Assumed Solar Capacity Factors

Month Utility Scale, Single Axis Tracking Residential, Fixed Tilt January 12% 7% February 19% 11% March 26% 16% April 32% 20% May 37% 23% June 41% 25% July 42% 26% August 39% 24% September 33% 20% October 25% 16% Octobe 5% 6% November 14% 9% December 11% 7% Annual Capacity Factor

27.5% 17.0%