2018 INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN PROJECT UPDATE APRIL 10, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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2018 INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN PROJECT UPDATE APRIL 10, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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2018 INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN PROJECT UPDATE APRIL 10, 2018 Commission Presentation August 9, 2016 Presentation Outline 2 What is an Integrated Resource Plan (IRP)? Key Takeaways from 2016 IRP Preview 2018 IRP Information 2018

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SLIDE 1

2018 INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN

PROJECT UPDATE

APRIL 10, 2018

Commission Presentation August 9, 2016

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SLIDE 2

 What is an Integrated Resource Plan (IRP)?  Key Takeaways from 2016 IRP  Preview 2018 IRP Information  2018 IRP Considerations  Summary

Presentation Outline

2

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SLIDE 3

What is an IRP?

3

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SLIDE 4

What is an IRP?

 Washington State RCW 19.280 mandate  10 year strategy to meet energy, capacity, and renewables  Evaluates generation resources, conservation and Renewable

Energy Credits (REC)

 Provides strategies for reliable, low cost electricity at

reasonable risk

 Creates action plan over two to four years

4

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SLIDE 5

IRP Inputs/ Modeling

5

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SLIDE 6

Key Takeaways from 2016 IRP

6

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SLIDE 7

Key Takeaways From 2016 IRP

 District long on resources with seasonal capacity deficit  District relying on market  Energy needs  Capacity needs  Renewable Energy Credits (REC) needs  Regional summer capacity constraints growing post 2019

 PNUCC Northwest Regional Forecast  Power Council Resources Adequacy Studies  BPA White Book (2015 Pacific NW Loads & Resources Study)

 Regional uncertainty of future legislation

7

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SLIDE 8

Preview 2018 IRP Information

8

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SLIDE 9

2018 IRP Project Charter

9

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SLIDE 10

2018 Assumptions & Modeling

Carbon Assumption Load Growth Assumption Low Natural Gas Price Modeling Stochastic Modeling

10

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SLIDE 11

25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 aMW Block Critical Slice Renewables Market Frederickson Resource Requirement*

Block Slice

Renewables

Frederickson

Market

Load/Resource Balance – DRAFT

Annual – Critical Water

11

* Retail Load Forecast plus distribution & transmission losses

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SLIDE 12

25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 aMW Block Critical Slice Average Slice Adder Renewables Frederickson Resource Requirement*

Renewables

Average Water Slice Adder

Block Slice

Frederickson

Load/Resource Balance – DRAFT

Annual – Average Water

12

* Retail Load Forecast plus distribution & transmission losses

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SLIDE 13
  • 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 January February March April May June July August September October November December aMW Block Critical Slice Average Slice Renewables Frederickson 2018 Resource Requirement

Block/Slice Generation observed over the last 3 years Frederickson available as energy call option through August 2022

Rely on Frederickson & Market to meet load Average Slice needed to serve load Slice surplus sold to market

2018 Monthly Forecasted Loads

Block and Critical/Average Slice over time

13

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SLIDE 14

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 MW Hour Ending

Load/Resource Balance (2015 Peak Day)

Block To Load Slice To Load Nine Canyon Wind - To Load White Creek - To Load Packwood - To Load Fredrickson - To Load District Market Purchases Actual Load

Temperature Observed1: 105° F

1 – As observed by the Hanford Meteorological Station

Example of Hourly Market Purchases

How hourly loads are met on a extreme hot summer day

14

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SLIDE 15

Capacity Deficits

15

Without Frederickson With Frederickson

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SLIDE 16

2018 IRP Considerations

16

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SLIDE 17

2018 IRP Considerations

 Energy & Capacity Uncertainties  Resource Adequacy Studies (PNUCC, NWPCC & BPA)  Market availability? Who and when will build?  Frederickson CT contract retires in 2022  Legislation Uncertainty

 EIA requirements  Carbon Policy

 Customer Preferences Changing?

 Customer Green Rate options

 BPA Post 2028

17

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SLIDE 18

Summary

 Key Draft Takeaways

 Regional seasonal capacity constraints growing  Winter constrained  Summer constraints growing  District continues to be annually long on resources  Critical water- short after 2022  Frederickson expires in 2022  Average water- long thru 2028  District seasonal deficits continue to be met by RMC hedging

 2018 Considerations/Uncertainties

 Market, Legislation, Customer Preference, BPA 2028

 Commission updates throughout summer

 Adopt 2018 IRP by August 28th

18

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SLIDE 19

Questions

19

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SLIDE 20

What is an IRP?

 Washington State RCW 19.280 mandates all electric utilities with more

than 25,000 customers to develop an IRP

 A strategy for meeting energy needs, capacity demand, and Washington

State Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) obligations over a 10 year planning horizon

 Provides framework for evaluating wide array of supply resources,

conservation and Renewable Energy Credits (REC)

 Provides guidance towards strategies that will provide reliable, low cost

electricity at reasonable level of risk

 Creates an action plan identifying the steps to be taken during the next

two to four years to implement the plan

40

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SLIDE 21

2018 IRP Considerations

 Market purchases availabile?  Energy/Capacity/REC’s  Resource Adequacy/LOLP improving ? (PNUCC &

NWPCC)

 5 years out inadequate but conservative modeling…  Not including all available California imports  Not in including IRPs planned DR programs

 Frederickson CT contract retires in 2022

 Explore long term PPAs (market purchase short or long term,

  • r build resource)

45

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SLIDE 22

Summary

 Integrated Resource Plan Required every 2 years  Key Takeaways from 2016

 Rely on market for Energy, Capacity, RECs  Market available through 2019

 2018 Assumptions and Modeling

 Market availability appears extended to 2023  Load reduction paper mills & Alcoa  Conservation & gas lowering load growth  Further if include all California available imports

 Commission updates throughout summer

 Adopt 2018 IRP by August 28th

46

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SLIDE 23

April 10, 2018

Public Utility District No. 1

  • f Benton County

Final Audit Communication with Those Charged with Governance

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SLIDE 24

AGENDA

4 Questions and Answers on the Audit Process Question 1 – What does an audit of the District entail? Question 2 – Are the financial statements a fair representation of transactions and ending balances for the year? Question 3 – Did the District comply with applicable laws? Question 4 – What procedures were performed to identify fraud?

2

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SLIDE 25

Question #1 – What does an audit of the District entail?

  • Inspection of source documents
  • Verification with third parties
  • Analytical review and inquiry procedures
  • Perform substantive test procedures

Independent verification of transactions and balances

  • Review key controls in all significant account

cycles

  • Testing for operational effectiveness
  • Reporting of control weaknesses

Evaluation of the effectiveness

  • f internal

controls

  • Tests in accordance with Governmental

Auditing Standards Testing compliance with Federal and State laws

3

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SLIDE 26

Question #1 – What does an audit of the District entail?

  • Balances and transactions verified against

audited amounts and documentation

  • Financial statements meet all applicable GAAP,

State and legal requirements

  • Supplementary information presented

accurately Technical review of the financial statements

  • Daily and weekly updates with Finance staff
  • Reporting to Board of Directors

Reporting of audit results

4

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SLIDE 27

Question #2 – Are the financial statements accurate?

  • Perform risk assessment to identify significant risk

areas

  • Perform substantive test procedures
  • Perform technical review of financial statements

Moss Adams Audit Procedures

  • Unmodified (clean) opinion provided to the District for

its financial statements.

  • Financial statements are presented fairly in

accordance with US GAAP. Results

  • Issued our communication to those charged with

governance to discuss any audit adjustments noted during the process Additional Audit Comments

5

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SLIDE 28

Audit Adjustments

Audit Adjustments Amount

Slice True up reclassification $533,000

Passed Adjustments Amounts

None noted N/A

6

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SLIDE 29

Question #3 – Did the District comply with applicable laws and regulations?

  • Perform risk assessment to identify significant

compliance risk areas

  • Perform compliance testing over several areas

including contracting Moss Adams Audit Procedures

  • No compliance issues noted

Results

  • Management is aware of the compliance

requirements that are subject to our audit procedures and monitor compliance throughout the year. Additional Audit Comments

7

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SLIDE 30

Question #4 – What procedures were performed to identify fraud?

  • Evaluation of key controls for all significant balances

and transaction cycles

  • Brainstorm session to identify fraud risk areas
  • Interview individuals throughout the District
  • Perform ‘surprise’ procedures

Moss Adams Audit Procedures

  • Controls found to be effective
  • No instances of fraud were identified throughout the

audit

Results

  • Overall, management is able to design and implement

controls that are appropriate and help protect the District’s resources.

Additional Audit Comments

8

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SLIDE 31

Items to Note

NISC Conversion

  • Testing approach
  • District IT involvement

No internal control issues identified. Best practice recommendations provided to management.

9

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SLIDE 32

Acknowledgements

Thanks to the Board, Chad Bartram, Jon Meyer, Kent Zirker and other staff for the excellent facilitation of the audit process

  • All personnel across all departments

were courteous, responsive and fulfilled all of our requests in a timely manner.

  • ‘Tone at the Top’ and attitude from

management was one of helpfulness, candor, and openness in response to audit requests and discussion points.

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SLIDE 33

Benton PUD credit Exposure by sector as of Februarv 28,20lg

r Bank 5841.,457

  • .: IOU S6,817

r Marketer/Merchant S1,163,015

, RTO 50 r lntegrated Oil & Gas Companies 544,45! r rou Affiliate szs,sgg r Muni/Coop 592,909

4%

39% s4% Benton's total exposure (principal and agent) is 52,t79,L88

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SLIDE 34

Benton PUD Credit Exposure by Sector as of April Z,2OLg

r Bank 5284,541,

rou s30,911 n Marketer/Merchant S1,309,736

RTo So

t lntegrated Oil & Gas Companies S20,946 r IOU Affiliate 58,121

r Muni/Coop 592,892 5% L6%

Benton's total exposure (principal and agent) is 5L,747,L47

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SLIDE 35

Ë,^.

EriärgyAuthority

Gredit Exposure: Public Ut¡l¡ty District No. 1 of Benton County, Washington

Counterparty

Agreement Type American Electric Power Service Corporation WSPP Arizona Public Service Company WSPP Av¡sta Corporation TRNC WSPP BP Energy Company ISDA TRNC WSPP CP Energy Marketing (US) lnc. WSPP Cargill Power Markets, LLC TRNC WSPP Ciligroup Energy lnc. ISDA w/ Pwr Anx TRNC WSPP City of Seattle, by and through its C¡ty Light Dept TRNC WSPP Credit Limit Credit Available $1,612,500 $1,612,500

$ 1,612,500

$1,762,500 $1,762,500 $1,762,500 $862,500 $862,500 $862,500 $862,500 $2,893,371 $2,893,371 $2,893,371 $2,893,371 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,163,445 $2,163,445 $2,163,445

$2,1 63,445

$2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,2s0,000 Percent Available 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000/.

99.77Yo 99.770/0 99.770/o 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

96.r5% 96.15%

96.15o/o 100.000/o 100.00%

Credit Adj Collateral Receivable Balance Unbilled Rec/ Fwd Physbals Fwd Financials Pay $38 $6,629

$2s5,842 $86,555

Credit S&P Rating Exposure

BBB BBB $2,900,000 A- $o $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o $2,000,000 $2,250,000 $o $o $6,591

$o

  • $14e,288

$o $o $o $0 $0 $o $2,250,000

I

5

Created on: Mar 31 ,2018 4:16 AM

$2,250,000

Page

AA

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SLIDE 36

Counterparty Clatskanie People's Util¡1y District EDF Trading North America, LLC Emerald People's Utility District Agreement Type TRNC WSPP ISDA w/ Pwr Anx TRNC Transmission Cred¡t L¡mit $843,750 $2,250,000 $2,2s0,000 $2,250,000 $1,012,500 $2,250,000 $1,875,000 $2,250,000 Credit Available $843,750 $843,750 $843,750 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,2s0,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $1,012,500 $l,012,500 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $100,000 $r 00,000 $1,875,000 $1,875,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 Percent Available 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00%

100.00o/o 100.00% 100.00%

Credit Adj Collateral $2,250,000 Receivable Balance Unbilled Rec/ Fwd Physicals Fwd Financ¡als Pay

  • $17,759 -$17,759
  • $7,186
  • $7,186

Credit S&P Raling Exposure BBB+

NR BBB AA BBB $o $0 $o $o $o $0 $o $o

$2,250,000 100.00%

$o $o $o $o Eugene Water & Electric Board TRNC WSPP Exelon Generation Company, LLC ISDA TRNC WSPP FortisB0 Energy lnc. Gas EDI Grant County Public Utility District No. 2 TRNC WSPP lGl Resources, lnc. Gas ldaho Falls Power WSPP ldaho Power Company TRNC WSPP

  • J. Aron & Company LLC

WSPP AA. $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o $0 $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o

$1 00,000

$o $2,250,000 $o $o $o $o $o

5

Created on: Mar 31 ,2018 4:16 AM

100.00o/o

$o

Page

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SLIDE 37

Counterparty

Agreement Type JP Morgan Ventures Energy Corporation ISDA WSPP LL&P W¡nd Energy, lnc. Power Macquarie Energy, LLC ISDA w/ Pwr Anx Morgan Stanley Capital Group lnc. ISDA TRNC WSPP NorthWestern Corporat¡on d/b/a Northwestern Energy TRNC WSPP PacifiCorp TRNC Transmission WSPP Portland General Electric Company TRNC WSPP Powerex Corp ISDA NAESB TRNC WSPP Public Service Company of Colorado WSPP Credit Limit Credit Available $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $500,000 $500,000 $500,000 $0 $2,150,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $562,500 $562,500 $562,500 $562,500 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $1,462,500 $1,462,500 $1,462,500 $1,462,500 $1,462,500 $1,980,000 $1,980,000 $1,980,000 Credit Adj Gollateral $0

$2,1 50,000

Unbilled Rec/ Fwd Physicals Fwd Financials Pay Percent Available 100.00%

100.00o/o 100.00% 100.000/. 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000/" 100.00% 100.000¿ 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.000/o 100.00%

Receivable Balance

$o

$52,204

$0

$50,826

$0

  • $97,706

$o

  • $'t27,675 -$75,471

Credit S&P Rating Exposure

BBB BBB

A. $2,250,000 $o $o

$o $o $0 $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $o $2,250,000

A.

$0 $o $o $0 $0 $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $o $0 $0 $o

  • $156,062 -$105,236

$0

  • $97,706

,462,500

$1

$o $o $o $0 $0 $0 $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o

Created on: Mar 31 ,2018 4:16 AM

100.00o/o

Page

3

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SLIDE 38

Counterpârty

Agreement Type Public Utility District No. 1 of Chelan County, Washington WSPP Public Utility District No. .t of Clark County Washington TRNC WSPP Public Utility District No. 1 of CowliÞ County, Washington WSPP $2,250,000

$2,250,000 100.00%

$2,250,000 100.000/. 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

100.000/0 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% $2, I 56,250

$2,156,250 100.000/o

$2,250,000 $2,250,000 100.00% Credit Limit $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 Credit Available $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 Percent Available '100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Credit Adj Collaterat $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o $0 $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $o $0 $o $o $o Unbilled Rec/ Fwd physicals Fwd Financials Pay Receivable Balance Credit S&P Rating Exposure AA BBB+ AA. $0 $o $o $o NR A Public Utility District No. 1 of Franklin County, Washington TRNC Transmission WSPP Public Utility Distr¡ct No. 1 of Grays Harbor County, Washington TRNC Transmission WSPP Publ¡c Utility District No. 1 of Klickitat County, Washington Power TRNC Transm¡ssion WSPP $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000

$2,062,500 $2,062,500

$2,062,500 $2,062,500 $2,062,500

$2,062,500 $2,062,500

$2,062,500 $2,062,500 $2,062,500 $2,062,500

$2,1 56,250 $0 $o $o

$o $o $o A Public Utility District No. 1 of Lewis County, Washington TRNC Public Utility District No. I of Snohomish County WSPP Pubfic Utility District No. 2 of pacific County, Washington ÏRNC $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $o $o $o $o $o $0

5

Created on: Mar 31 , 2O1g 4:1 6 AM

$2,250,000 100.00%

Page

4 $o

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SLIDE 39

Counterparty

Agreement Type Public Utility District No. 3 of Mason County WSPP Puget Sound Energy lnc. NAESB TRNC WSPP Sacramento Municipal Utility District WSPP Shell Energy North America (Canada), lnc. NAESB Shell Energy North America (US), L.P ISDA TRNC WSPP Tacoma Power Credit Limit $843,750 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $r 00,000

$2,1 50,000

$2,250,000 $4,000,000 Credit Available $84r,743 $841,743 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,250,000

$1 00,000 $1 00,000 $2, r 50,000 $2, r 50,000 $2,1 50,000 $2,1 50,000

$2,250,000 $2,250,000 $2,2s0,000 $0 $1,800,000 $1,800,000 $r,800,000 $r,800,000 $l,800,000 $2,679,592 $2,679,592 $2,679,592 Percent Available

99.76o/o 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% '100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

66.99% 66.99% Credit Adj Collateral Receivable Balance Unbilled Rec/ Fwd Physicals Fwd Financials Pay Credit S&P Rat¡ng Exposure A+ $2,007 BBB AA- A- AA $2,250,000

$2,250,000 100.00%

$0 $0 $o $o $0 $o $o $o $0 $0 $0 $0 $o $o $o $0 $0 $1,159 $761

$1 ,1 63,1 87

$148,216

  • $5,038

$0 $184 $13,858 $1,158,333

$1 62,075

$87 $o $o $o $o $0 $0 $0 $o $0 $0 $o $o $o $o Tenaska Marketing Veniures Transmission WSPP NAESB TRNC Transmission WSPP Acct RMA Transmission $o $1,800,000 Tenaska Power Services Company The Energy Authority, lnc.

$ ,800,000 $o

$o $o $o $0 $o $o $0 $o $0

BCPD:5351 0:201 80331 :040541

Created on: Mar 31 , 201 I 4:16 AM Page

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SLIDE 40

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slide-41
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slide-42
SLIDE 42

5250,000 for OWS Removal Contract #17-07 Change Order #3

1'

April 10,2018 Open Wire_9acondary

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slide-43
SLIDE 43

5250,000 for OWS Removal Contract #t7-O7 Change Order #3

April 10,2018

slide-44
SLIDE 44

HOW TIOTTO GREETA DOG

ûllost people do this stuff and ít sliresses dogs out so they BITE! I don't care how cute you {or your kîQ think Eoogle /s. Please show hlm some respect.

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DOT{T Lean werlhe dog your band ln hle DOH"T Lcaa ov¡rt'hc dsg & ¡tic* your iand on top of hir hoad DONT Squoal or shout in hi¡ face DOÌ{T Gr¡b or lkrg hlm

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a

DONT Grab hi¡ haad and ki¡¡ it

ffhir it an invacion of tpace|

'Pet or ¡toks hlm on the SIDE of hl¡ face or body. Or on hi¡ back.

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& ¡liel¡

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DONT Stars him in llrc eye {Thir ir an edvcr¡adal gwture}

Doíng this to a dog who doesn't knaw you ís líke a perlect stranger giving yau a great big hug and kíss ín an elevator. Wouldn't that creep you out? And wouldn't yau have the ríght to defend yourserf?

THE CORRECT TTAY:

'No Eya contact 'Lct the dog approach you ln hlr own lims

' feap either your SltlE or BACK

towards the dog (non-lhrcatenlng poslurel

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