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Institute for Local Government Statewide Survey Presentation May 16, 2017 Opinion Research on Public Policy Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 Newport Beach CA 92660

  1. Institute for Local Government Statewide Survey Presentation May 16, 2017 Opinion Research on Public Policy Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 Newport Beach CA 92660 Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  2. Institute for Local Government – Statewide Survey Survey Methodology From Thursday, May 4 to Sunday, May 7, 2017 Probolsky Research conducted a live-interviewer telephone survey of California voters. A total of 1,000 voters were surveyed. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/- 3.2% with a confidence level of 95%. Interviews were conducted with respondents on both landline and mobile phones (31%) and were offered in English and Spanish (10.1%) languages. Probolsky Research specializes in opinion research on behalf of corporate, government, non-profit and special interest clients. Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 2 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  3. Top Issues Open-ended question Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 3 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  4. What is top of mind for California voters? Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 4 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  5. Public Safety is Most Important Issue Among California voters Question: What is the most important issue facing your community today? 22.1% Public safety 14.6% Jobs and the economy 11.3% Healthcare 9.7% Government 8.7% Transportation 7.3% Poverty 6.0% Affordable housing 5.9% Education/schools/higher education 3.8% Environmental issues 2.3% Moral issues 2.2% Water/drought 1.8% Overpopulation/controlling growth/development 3.5% None/nothing 2.2% Other 16.3% Don't know/refused Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 5 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  6. Community Satisfaction/Dissatisfaction Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 6 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  7. 80.1% Say They are Satisfied with Overall Quality Of life in their town/city/county Question: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the overall quality of life in [TOWN/CITY/COUNTY]? 80.1% 15.4% 4.5% Satisfied Dissatisfied Unsure/Refused Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 7 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  8. Asians Show High Satisfaction Level with Overall Quality of life in their town/city/county Question: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the overall quality of life in [TOWN/CITY/COUNTY]? 80.0% Size of Demographic Latino/Hispanic 14.8% Latino/Hispanic 29.0% 9.4% 9.7% 29.0% 82.1% White/Caucasian 42.9% White/Caucasian 14.7% 6.5% Black/African American 6.5% 72.3% Satisfied 42.9% Asian 9.7% Black/African American 23.1% Dissatisfied Other 9.4% 90.7% Asian 4.1% 71.3% Other 22.3% Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 8 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  9. Community Safety Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 9 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  10. 79.2% Say They Feel Safe in Their Own Town/city/county Question: In general, I feel safe in [TOWN/CITY/COUNTY]? 79.2% 19.0% 1.8% Agree Disagree Unsure/Refused Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 10 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  11. Perspectives on Opportunities for Economic Prosperity Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 11 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  12. Perceived Opportunities for Economic Prosperity In respondents’ town/city/county are mixed Question: Everyone in [TOWN/CITY/COUNTY] has the opportunity to become economically prosperous. 51.9% 43.3% 4.8% Agree Disagree Unsure/Refused Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 12 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  13. Black Voters Disagree Opportunity for Economic Prosperity in their town/city/county applies to everyone Question: Everyone in [TOWN/CITY/COUNTY] has the opportunity to become economically prosperous. Size of Demographic 61.0% Latino/Hispanic 35.5% Latino/Hispanic 29.0% 9.4% 9.7% 47.3% 29.0% White/Caucasian 47.1% White/Caucasian 42.9% 6.5% Black/African American 6.5% 38.5% Agree Black/African American 58.5% 42.9% Disagree Asian 9.7% 59.8% Other 9.4% Asian 35.1% 45.7% Other 48.9% Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 13 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  14. Local Government Officials: Addressing Key Issues in the Community Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 14 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  15. 34.7% Say Local Government Officials are Doing Fair Job addressing the most pressing issues in their communities Question: How would you rate the job your local government officials are doing addressing the most pressing issues facing your community? Excellent, good, fair, poor, very poor? 34.7% 33.9% 25.5% 5.9% Excellent/Good Fair Poor/Very Poor Unsure/Refused *SPLIT SAMPLE A Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 15 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  16. Unincorporated Voters Give Low Ratings To local government officials for addressing important community issues Question: How would you rate the job your local government officials are doing addressing the most pressing issues facing your community? Excellent, good, fair, poor, very poor? Size of Demographic 1.1% 38.1% 33.2% City 18.7% 22.3% City 80.1% Unincorporated County 18.7% Excellent/Good 16.0% Fair 80.1% Town 1.1% Unincorporated 40.0% County Poor/Very Poor 40.0% 66.7% 33.3% Town 0.0% *SPLIT SAMPLE A Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 16 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  17. Black Voters Give Local Government Low Marks For addressing critical community issues How would you rate the job your local government officials are doing addressing the most pressing issues facing your Question: community? Excellent, good, fair, poor, very poor? 39.7% 28.8% Latino/Hispanic Size of Demographic 28.1% 36.5% Latino/Hispanic 29.0% 9.4% 35.6% White/Caucasian 21.2% 9.7% 29.0% White/Caucasian 42.9% Excellent/Good 20.0% 6.5% Black/African Fair 37.1% Black/African American 6.5% American 42.9% Poor/Very Poor 42.9% Asian 9.7% 30.8% 40.4% Asian 15.4% Other 9.4% 25.0% 41.7% Other 31.3% *SPLIT SAMPLE A Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 17 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  18. Local Government Officials: Communication with Residents Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 18 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  19. 35.9% Rate Local Government Officials as “Fair” In terms of the job they are doing communicating with residents How would you rate the job your local government officials are doing communicating with residents on important issues Question: facing your community? Excellent, good, fair, poor or very poor? 35.9% 33.3% 27.5% 3.3% Excellent/Good Fair Poor/Very Poor Unsure/Refused *SPLIT SAMPLE B Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 19 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

  20. Other Northern CA Voters=High Rating for the Job local government officials are doing communicating with residents Question: How would you rate the job your local government officials are doing communicating with residents on important issues facing your community? Excellent, good, fair, poor or very poor? 34.1% Size of Demographic Los Angeles 4.7% 36.3% County 26.7% Los Angeles County 26.9% 30.5% 26.9% Other Southern 36.6% Other Southern California 31.2% 20.6% California 29.9% Central Valley 16.6% Excellent/Good 24.4% 43.6% 16.6% Central Valley Fair 28.2% San Francisco Bay Area 20.6% 31.2% Poor/Very Poor 38.7% Other Northern California 4.7% San Francisco 32.3% Bay Area 23.7% 51.7% Other Northern 20.7% California 27.6% *SPLIT SAMPLE B Probolsky Research Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 San Francisco (415) 870-8150 20 Newport Beach CA 92660 USA Washington DC (202) 559-0270

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