CREATING VALUE
ING OFFICE FUND Annual Results Presentation 30 June 2005 CREATING - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ING OFFICE FUND Annual Results Presentation 30 June 2005 CREATING - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ING OFFICE FUND Annual Results Presentation 30 June 2005 CREATING VALUE ING REAL ESTATE Global update Gable s Residential Trust US$2.8 billion US multi family portfolio Abbey Portfolio (UK) 1.2 billion of diversified
PAGE 2 CREATING VALUE
ING REAL ESTATE
Gables Residential Trust
– US$2.8 billion US multi family portfolio
Abbey Portfolio (UK)
– £1.2 billion of diversified assets
Rodamco acquisition completed
– €832 million platform in Asia
ING Real Estate FUM - $A86 billion
Global update
PAGE 3 CREATING VALUE
ING REAL ESTATE (AUSTRALIA)
Listed $1.9 b ING Industrial Fund Unlisted (retail) $16 m ING Real Estate Income Fund Unlisted (retail) $26 m ING Real Estate Direct Office Fund Unlisted (wholesale) $1.2 b ING Retail Property Fund Australia Listed $200 m ING Real Estate Entertainment Fund Listed $300 m ING Real Estate Community Living Fund Listed $2.0 b ING Office Fund Type Size
Increased investment offering
PAGE 4 CREATING VALUE
AGENDA
12 months of value Results Portfolio summary Office markets Outlook & strategy
PAGE 5 CREATING VALUE
12 MONTHS OF VALUE
PAGE 6 CREATING VALUE
12 MONTHS OF VALUE
Net profit 16% to $106.4m EPU 5% to 10.85 cpu (normalised 1.7% to 10.51) Retained earnings $6.3m to $8.5m NPI
4.4% like for like
NTA 6 cents or 5% to $1.18
Performed
PAGE 7 CREATING VALUE
12 MONTHS OF VALUE
11.3% 11.3% 5 years* 9.6% 11.2% 3 years* 19.9%
- 1.1%
UBS Comm 200 17.4% 0.2% IOF 12 mths 6 mths
Returned
Source: UBS * Annualised compound return
PAGE 8 CREATING VALUE
12 MONTHS OF VALUE
- Leased 74,866sqm, representing 16% of the portfolio & $19.5m of income
- Repositioned 1 Adelaide Tce to lengthen WALE and diversify tenant base
- Extended ATO at Box Hill for 7 yrs until 2014
- Secured Telstra & Air New Zealand over 9,564sqm at 151 Clarence Street
- Achieved high retention and 10% NPI growth from Brisbane portfolio
- Maintained long WALE at 5.4 years and high portfolio occupancy of 99%
Leased & asset managed
PAGE 9 CREATING VALUE
12 MONTHS OF VALUE
Acquired
7.4% AUD 29.3m Freehold interest – 347 Kent Street, Sydney 8.0% USD 53.5m Computer Associates Plaza, Dallas metro 6.5% USD 92.8m Mitretek Systems HQ, Washington DC metro 6.5%1 USD 105.2m Homer Building, Washington DC (50%) Yield Purchase price
1 minimum yield for first 3 yrs
PAGE 10 CREATING VALUE
RESULTS
PAGE 11 CREATING VALUE
RESULTS SUMMARY
10.33 10.85 EPU (cents) 10.33 10.51* EPU normalised (cents) 10.20 10.20 DPU (cents) 91.6 106.4 Net profit (1.2) (1.4) Other costs (7.6) (7.9) RE fee (31.4) (35.9) Net interest 131.8 151.6 Net property income Jun 04 ($m) Jun 05 ($m)
Net profit
* Excludes $3.4m ATO lease termination at Cheltenham
PAGE 12 CREATING VALUE
RESULTS SUMMARY
5.6 yrs 5.4 yrs Avg lease duration 32,657 30,873
- No. of unitholders
901.9m 999.1m Units on issue $1.12 $1.18 NTA (per unit) $2.2m $8.5m Retained earnings 36.8% 40.5% Gearing (look through) $1.65b $2.05b Total assets (look through) Jun 04 Jun 05
Key financials
PAGE 13 CREATING VALUE
RESULTS SUMMARY
Revaluations June 2005
7.5% 7.8% 7.0% 6.4% Cap rate $68.0m $58.2m 151 Clarence Street Sydney $47.0m $45.0m 1 Adelaide Tce Perth $208.0m $168.0m 347 Kent Street Sydney* $142.1m $114.7m 900 Third Ave New York - 49% (USD) Current Previous
- Revaluation increment of $45.7m on book values
- Weighted average portfolio capitalisation rate 7.6%
*Freehold acquired on 30 November 2004 for $29.3m
PAGE 14 CREATING VALUE
RESULTS SUMMARY
Cents
5.21
Earnings per unit
9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.0
10.33 10.12 10.85 9.98
Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05
5.21 5.64 10.51
Jun-05 Normalised
5.21 5.30
PAGE 15 CREATING VALUE
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY
Dallas 3% Washington DC 13% New York 9% Sydney 44% Canberra 5% Brisbane 13% Perth 3% Melbourne 16%
PAGE 16 CREATING VALUE
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY
- Short term expiry reduced
- Long term expiry improved
1 % 44% 9% 1 5% 1 6% 1 5% 1 0% 32% 1 % 1 3% 1 4% 1 1 % 1 0% 8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Vacant FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY10+ Jun-04 Jun-05
Average lease term (by income)
PAGE 17 CREATING VALUE
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY – LEASING FOCUS
14% 10% 8% Total expiries 9% 8% 7% Major expiries 1% Homer Building Jenner & Block 1% 900 Third Ave Kroll Associates 3% 16 – 18 Mort St DEST 4% Campus MLC MLC 1% 900 Third Ave Zweig Advisors 2% Terrica Place ATO 2% Royal Mint Centre AFP 3% 40 Cameron Ave ATO 2% George St, Third Ave, Bourke St Various 1% 295 Ann St Dept Main Roads & Q-Build 2% 111 Pacific Hwy AGL 2% Homer Building White & Case
FY08 FY07 FY06 Property Tenant
PAGE 18 CREATING VALUE
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Percentage Debt Hedged 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% Average Hedged Cost of Fund % of Debt Hedged Hedged Rate
AUD interest rate hedging USD interest rate hedging
- 95% hedged for average of 2.3 yrs @ 5.9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Percentage Debt Hedged 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% Average Hedged Cost of Fund % of Debt Hedged Hedged Rate
- 96% hedged for average of 3.3 yrs @ 3.8%
PAGE 19 CREATING VALUE
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY
USD FX hedging
100% 100% 100% % of forecast revenue hedged 0.70c 0.67c 0.66c Avg forward FX rate Jun 10 Jun 09 Jun 05 – Jun 08 Income hedging USD
PAGE 20 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS
PAGE 21 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - GLOBAL
- Low inflation expectations a
key driver of low bond rates
- Net office yields offer attractive
spread to bonds in most major markets
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% UK Australia US Japan Canada EURO
Real 10-yr bond Real office property net yields
Source: ING Real Estate Note: Real returns are calculated by subtracting financial market implied 10-yr inflationary expectations. JPN inflation est. normalised.
Real yields for 10-yr bonds and office property
PAGE 22 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - GLOBAL
- Large variation in leveraged yields
across major office markets
- Leveraged yields most attractive in
Europe, Canada, Japan & USA; least in UK & AUS
After cost unleveraged v leveraged yields
Source: ING Real Estate Note: Leveraged returns use 5 year swap rate plus margins
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% UK AUS USA CAN JPN EURO Unleveraged yield Leveraged yield assuming 60% debt
PAGE 23 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - AUSTRALIA
- Unemployment rate of 5.0% lowest in 30
years
- Reductions in U/E rate primarily in blue
collar sector; little change in white collar
- Increased productivity and decreased
WSR mean business at full capacity
Output gap in labour market
Unemployment rate
Source: ABS, Borland and Kennedy (1998), Crosby and Olekalns (1996), Westpac Economics & ING Real Estate 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Jan-79 Jan-81 Jan-83 Jan-85 Jan-87 Jan-89 Jan-91 Jan-93 Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05
Natural rate of unemployment Unemployment rate
PAGE 24 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - AUSTRALIA
20 - 25% 3.5% Avg 10 – 15% 2.5% Canberra 10 – 20% 7.5% Brisbane 20 – 25% 2.5% Melbourne 30 – 35% 1.0% North Sydney 25 – 30% 3.0% Sydney Incentives Jun 05* Rental growth 3 yrs*
- Moderate face rental growth expected for most markets
- Better effective rental growth expected
Source: ING Real Estate * average annual compound growth rate and gross face incentives
Face rental growth outlook
PAGE 25 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - US
- 4%
- 2%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Real GDP Growth Productivity Growth Job Growth
- ‘Jobless recovery’ has now
passed
- Job growth to accelerate
- ffice market recovery
GDP and job growth
Source: Economy.com
PAGE 26 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - US
- Office sector vacancy showing
continued downward momentum
- National ave. 2.3% to 14.7%
- Washington DC 3.5% to 9.8%
- New York 1.9% to 8.4%
YoY change in vacancy
Source: Torto Wheaton
- 4.0%
- 2.0%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01 Mar-02 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04 Mar-05 Jun-05 National ave. Washington DC New York Dec-03
PAGE 27 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - US
1.0% 6.5% - 7.5% Dallas 4.5% 6.5% - 7.5% Boston 4.0% 5.5% - 6.5% LA 2.1% 6.0% - 7.0% Chicago 5.0% 5.5% - 6.5% Washington DC 5.6% 5.5% - 6.5% New York Rental growth 3 yrs* Avg cap rate
- Total return outlook most attractive in New York, Washington DC, LA and Boston
Cap rates and face rental growth outlook
Source: ING Real Estate * Average annual compound growth rate
PAGE 28 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - EUROPE
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0%
G e r m a n y F r a n c e I t a l y S p a i n H
- l
l a n d B e l g i u m A u s t r i a G r e e c e I r e l a n d P
- r
t u g a l F i n l a n d L u x e m b
- u
r g
Inflation Euro 10-yr bond
- Blanket cost of debt advantages
higher growth economies
Inflation across Euro zone
Source: European Central Bank Note: inflation for 12 months previous
PAGE 29 CREATING VALUE
OFFICE MARKETS - EUROPE
6.0% - 7.0% 5.5% - 6.5% 5.5% - 6.5% 6.0% - 7.0% 5.5% - 6.5% Avg cap rates** 13m Brussels, Antwerp Belgium 18m Milan, Rome Italy 18m Madrid, Barcelona Spain 10m The Hague, Amsterdam Netherlands 52m Paris, Lyon France Market size* (sqm) Major markets Country
- Markets offer diversification across Euro zone
Cap rates and market size
Source: *Jones Lang LaSalle & PMA, **ING Real Estate
PAGE 30 CREATING VALUE
OVERVIEW – OFFICE MARKETS
- Australian office market rental growth expected to be moderate
- Improved US job growth to drive US office markets
- Total return outlook most attractive in New York, Washington DC, LA & Boston
- European office markets provide attractive opportunities and returns
Summary
PAGE 31 CREATING VALUE
OUTLOOK & STRATEGY
Solid EPU and NTA growth Portfolio well positioned with little risk Commitment to drive earnings;
- Active asset management / retention / leasing
- Value add opportunities
- Further offshore expansion
Deliver distribution growth
Summary
PAGE 32 CREATING VALUE
OUTLOOK & STRATEGY
ING Real Estate Offices
China South East Asia Europe North America Australia
Europe The Hague Budapest Brussels Frankfurt London Madrid Milan Paris Prague Warsaw
Global network
Asia / Australia Asia / Australia Beijing Beijing Shanghai Shanghai Hong Kong Hong Kong Singapore Singapore Seoul Seoul Sydney Sydney Melbourne Melbourne Brisbane Brisbane Perth Perth USA USA Boston Boston Philadelphia Philadelphia New York New York Seattle Seattle Washington DC Washington DC 14 smaller offices 14 smaller offices