ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017 Setting the Scene Mr - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017 Setting the Scene Mr - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017 Setting the Scene Mr Boubacar Djibo Director Air Transport Bureau ICAO Chicago Convention Preamble THEREFORE, the undersigned governments having agreed on certain principles and arrangements in


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ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017

Mr Boubacar Djibo Director Air Transport Bureau ICAO

Setting the Scene

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Chicago Convention

Preamble

THEREFORE, the undersigned governments having agreed on certain principles and arrangements in order that international civil aviation may be developed in a safe and

  • rderly manner and that international air transport services

may be establish on the basis of equality of opportunity and

  • perated soundly and economically

Article 44 d) Meet the needs of the peoples of the world for safe, regular, efficient and economical air transport

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State of the Industry 2016: Latest Figures Impact of Air Transport - Aviation Benefits Regulatory Development

Overview

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Role Of ICAO in the Sustainable Development

  • f Air Transport
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STATE OF THE INDUSTRY AS AT 2016

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  • 50

100 150 200 250 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Revenue Passenger-Kilometres

(billion)

Oil crisis Gulf war Asian crisis Iran-Iraq war SARS 9/11 terrorist attack World recession

Freight Tonne-Kilometres

(billion)

Growth of air transport

Scheduled commercial traffic Total (international and domestic) services 5

Source: ICAO Annual Report of the Council

205 billion FTK

+3.8%

  • vs. 2015

7.1 trillion RPK

+7.4%

growth rate vs. 2015

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Traffic is for scheduled services

The size of the industry 2016

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 3.8 billion passengers  53 million tonnes of freight  Over 1 400 scheduled airlines  More than 28 000 aircraft  More than 4 130 airports  173 air navigation centres

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Air route network 2016

Source: ICAO

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Centre of gravity

Geographical centre

  • f gravity of

departing/arriving passengers

Source: ICAO

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Source: ICAO Annual Report of the Council

Scheduled commercial traffic

International and Domestic Passenger Traffic

International +4.3% CAGR (2012-2022) Domestic +5.3% CAGR (2012-2022)

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500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Domestic and International Revenue Passenger-Kilometres (RPK)

(in billion) International RPK Domestic RPK

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Source: ICAO

Share of Revenue Tonne-Kilometres by region in 2016

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12.8% 26.8% 34.6% 32.2% 12.7% 29.5% 28.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Africa Asia and Pacific Europe Latin America / Caribbean Middle East North America World

Share of passengers carried by LCCs in 2016

Low-cost carriers (LCCs) stimulating traffic

Source: ICAO

2015 2016 LCCs 11.4% 10.5% Others 5.1% 4.2% Total 7.2% 6.8%

Passenger number growth for LCCs and other carriers LCCs growth has been consistently twice as much as other carriers’ growth

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Financial Performance

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30.0% 24.4% 31.0% Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East North America

Share of Total Departures - 2016 Total departures - 35 million in 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East North America

International departures as a % of total departures

24.2% 17.7% 50.4% Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East North America

Share of Operating Profits - 2016

Total operating profits - USD 65 billion in 2016

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Proportion of Total MTK

Mail Tonnes Kilometres (MTK) Breakdown

Air E-Commerce* OTHER

16% 83% 91%

  • E-commerce share of MTKs grew from 16% to 83% between 2010 and 2016 and is

estimated to grow to 91% by 2025 * Air E-Commerce is estimated assuming parcels traveling a distance of above 1000 kilometres are delivered by air

78.0% 80.0% 82.0% 84.0% 86.0% 88.0% 90.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Percentage of E-Commerce Parcels Carried by Air

  • Approximately 90% of e-commerce parcels were

carried by air in 2016

E-commerce development

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IMPACT OF AIR TRANSPORT

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Aviation Benefits

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Aviation benefits report

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Value of aviation: Economic benefits

Aviation’s global employment and GDP impact, 2014

SOURCE: AVIATION BENEFITS BEYOND BORDERS, 2016, ATAG

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Air traffic will double by 2034

SOURCE: ICAO LONG-TERM TRAFFIC FORECASTS

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Estimated economic benefits growth

SOURCE: AVIATION BENEFITS BEYOND BORDERS, 2016, ATAG

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Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

Inbound tourism by mode of transport in 2016

Tourism expansion relies heavily on air transport, providing substantial economic benefits for anyone involved in the value chain of tourism

International tourists arrival - 2016

Aviation Supports Tourism

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Driver of global trade and e-commerce

Air freight, as a proportion of global trade, by volume and by value, 2014

SOURCE: AVIATION BENEFITS BEYOND BORDERS, 2016, ATAG

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Value of aviation: Social benefits

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Maximizing aviation benefits: Check list

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REGULATORY DEVELOPMENT

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.

Regu gula lato tory y De Develop elopmen ments ts

  • Web of Bilateral Air Services

Agreements.

Source: ICAO WASA Map Tool

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| ICAO UNITING AVIATION NO COUNTRY LEFT BEHIND

Market Access is becoming more open

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Regional Liberalization: Most world regions have liberalization programs

Full liberalization arrangements (ASEAN, CARICOM, EU, LACAC. Trans- Tasman cooperation) Gradual liberalization arrangements (AFCAC, Damascus Agreement signatory states, South Pacific Islands)

.

Regu gula lato tory y De Develop elopmen ments ts

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Bilateral Open Skies (by September 2016)

States which signed open skies agreements with both the US and third countries States which signed open skies agreements with the US only States which signed open skies agreements with the third countries

  • nly

~300+ Open Skies Agreements involving 158 States

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ROLE OF ICAO IN THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF AIR TRANSPORT

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Harmonizing global regulatory framework

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Harmonizing global regulatory framework by developing policies and guidance materials

Doc 9587 Doc 9626 Doc 8632

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Addressing Regulatory Challenges

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Assisting States in Addressing Regulatory Challenges

Addressing Regulatory Challenges

Consumer

  • nsumer

Pr Prot

  • tect

ection ion

Trad rade in Servic rvices Mark Market t Access ss

Air r Carri rrier r Ow Owne ners rship hip & & Control trol Competition

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Enhancing transparency of States’ regulatory practices through dissemination and exchange of information

WASA

Compendium

  • n

Competition Sur Surveys eys an and d Da Data ta S Sha haring ring Enhancing transparency of States’ regulatory practices

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Facilitating States’ air services negotiations

Facilitating States’ air services negotiations and business to business networking through the ICAO Air Services Negotiation (ICAN) Events

Air Services Negotiations

Workshops

Symposium Business to Business Meetings

ICAN EVENT

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THANK YOU!

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