ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017
Mr Boubacar Djibo Director Air Transport Bureau ICAO
ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017 Setting the Scene Mr - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ICAO Air Services Negotiations (ICAN) 2017 Setting the Scene Mr Boubacar Djibo Director Air Transport Bureau ICAO Chicago Convention Preamble THEREFORE, the undersigned governments having agreed on certain principles and arrangements in
Mr Boubacar Djibo Director Air Transport Bureau ICAO
Preamble
THEREFORE, the undersigned governments having agreed on certain principles and arrangements in order that international civil aviation may be developed in a safe and
may be establish on the basis of equality of opportunity and
Article 44 d) Meet the needs of the peoples of the world for safe, regular, efficient and economical air transport
State of the Industry 2016: Latest Figures Impact of Air Transport - Aviation Benefits Regulatory Development
3
Role Of ICAO in the Sustainable Development
4
100 150 200 250 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Revenue Passenger-Kilometres
(billion)
Oil crisis Gulf war Asian crisis Iran-Iraq war SARS 9/11 terrorist attack World recession
Freight Tonne-Kilometres
(billion)
Scheduled commercial traffic Total (international and domestic) services 5
Source: ICAO Annual Report of the Council
+3.8%
+7.4%
growth rate vs. 2015
Traffic is for scheduled services
6
3.8 billion passengers 53 million tonnes of freight Over 1 400 scheduled airlines More than 28 000 aircraft More than 4 130 airports 173 air navigation centres
7
Source: ICAO
Geographical centre
departing/arriving passengers
Source: ICAO
8
Source: ICAO Annual Report of the Council
Scheduled commercial traffic
International and Domestic Passenger Traffic
International +4.3% CAGR (2012-2022) Domestic +5.3% CAGR (2012-2022)
9
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Domestic and International Revenue Passenger-Kilometres (RPK)
(in billion) International RPK Domestic RPK
Source: ICAO
10
12.8% 26.8% 34.6% 32.2% 12.7% 29.5% 28.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Africa Asia and Pacific Europe Latin America / Caribbean Middle East North America World
Share of passengers carried by LCCs in 2016
Low-cost carriers (LCCs) stimulating traffic
Source: ICAO
2015 2016 LCCs 11.4% 10.5% Others 5.1% 4.2% Total 7.2% 6.8%
Passenger number growth for LCCs and other carriers LCCs growth has been consistently twice as much as other carriers’ growth
11
12
30.0% 24.4% 31.0% Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East North America
Share of Total Departures - 2016 Total departures - 35 million in 2016
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East North America
International departures as a % of total departures
24.2% 17.7% 50.4% Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East North America
Share of Operating Profits - 2016
Total operating profits - USD 65 billion in 2016
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Proportion of Total MTK
Mail Tonnes Kilometres (MTK) Breakdown
Air E-Commerce* OTHER
16% 83% 91%
estimated to grow to 91% by 2025 * Air E-Commerce is estimated assuming parcels traveling a distance of above 1000 kilometres are delivered by air
78.0% 80.0% 82.0% 84.0% 86.0% 88.0% 90.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Percentage of E-Commerce Parcels Carried by Air
carried by air in 2016
14
15
Aviation benefits report
16
Value of aviation: Economic benefits
Aviation’s global employment and GDP impact, 2014
SOURCE: AVIATION BENEFITS BEYOND BORDERS, 2016, ATAG
17
Air traffic will double by 2034
SOURCE: ICAO LONG-TERM TRAFFIC FORECASTS
18
Estimated economic benefits growth
SOURCE: AVIATION BENEFITS BEYOND BORDERS, 2016, ATAG
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
Inbound tourism by mode of transport in 2016
Tourism expansion relies heavily on air transport, providing substantial economic benefits for anyone involved in the value chain of tourism
International tourists arrival - 2016
Aviation Supports Tourism
19
20
Driver of global trade and e-commerce
Air freight, as a proportion of global trade, by volume and by value, 2014
SOURCE: AVIATION BENEFITS BEYOND BORDERS, 2016, ATAG
21
Value of aviation: Social benefits
Maximizing aviation benefits: Check list
22
23
.
Agreements.
Source: ICAO WASA Map Tool
24
| ICAO UNITING AVIATION NO COUNTRY LEFT BEHIND
Regional Liberalization: Most world regions have liberalization programs
Full liberalization arrangements (ASEAN, CARICOM, EU, LACAC. Trans- Tasman cooperation) Gradual liberalization arrangements (AFCAC, Damascus Agreement signatory states, South Pacific Islands)
.
Bilateral Open Skies (by September 2016)
States which signed open skies agreements with both the US and third countries States which signed open skies agreements with the US only States which signed open skies agreements with the third countries
~300+ Open Skies Agreements involving 158 States
27
Harmonizing global regulatory framework
28
Harmonizing global regulatory framework by developing policies and guidance materials
Doc 9587 Doc 9626 Doc 8632
Addressing Regulatory Challenges
29
Assisting States in Addressing Regulatory Challenges
Addressing Regulatory Challenges
Consumer
Pr Prot
ection ion
Trad rade in Servic rvices Mark Market t Access ss
Air r Carri rrier r Ow Owne ners rship hip & & Control trol Competition
30
Enhancing transparency of States’ regulatory practices through dissemination and exchange of information
Compendium
Competition Sur Surveys eys an and d Da Data ta S Sha haring ring Enhancing transparency of States’ regulatory practices
31
Facilitating States’ air services negotiations
Facilitating States’ air services negotiations and business to business networking through the ICAO Air Services Negotiation (ICAN) Events
Air Services Negotiations
Workshops
Symposium Business to Business Meetings
THANK YOU!
32