I.M. Skaugen SE
Annual General Meeting
IMS – Innovative Maritime Solutions
Oslo, March 18th 2011
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I.M. Skaugen SE Annual General Meeting IMS Innovative Maritime - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
I.M. Skaugen SE Annual General Meeting IMS Innovative Maritime Solutions Oslo, March 18 th 2011 1 IMS Specialized marine transport services IMS Marine transport niche markets Petrochemical gas transport Small scale LNG Integrated
Oslo, March 18th 2011
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Petrochemical gas transport Marine transfer services Integrated Construction Small‐scale LNG
Petrochemical gas transportation Small‐scale LNG Petrochemical gas transportation Small‐scale LNG Shipbuilding Manufacturing Crew training Petrochemical gas/LPG river transportation Marine equipment trading Shipbuilding Manufacturing Crew training Petrochemical gas/LPG river transportation Marine equipment trading Crude oil transfer services LNG transfer services Support services worldwide Crude oil transfer services LNG transfer services Support services worldwide
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With a focus on development in ”East of Suez”‐ Mainly Middle East region and China ‐ with a base in Singapore and headquarter functions in Oslo
presence in offices worldwide to be on same “time zone” and speak the language adopt to the culture.
China, Shanghai and Wuhan Bahrain Singapore Russia, St. Petersburg U.K., Sunderland Norway, Oslo USA, Houston
excess of 85% of these are from Asia
the majority in Asia
500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 4 500 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Millions of people
The Expanding World Middle Class
China India World World ex China and India
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 G7 BRIC N‐11 Other Developed Markets Other Emerging Markets 2010 US$trn
BRICs' GDP Will Continue To Gain On The G7
2000 2010 2020
Source: Goldman Sachs
Why East of Suez?
growth
How do we do it?
China from a base in Singapore + entrepreunurial and technological support from Norway
Asia to achieve higher growth by making natural gas available in the form of LNG .
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Source: Bloomberg
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
USD/MMBtu USD/barrel
Crude oil & Natural gas historical price comparison
WTI Crude spt HenryHug NG spt
Natural gas WTI crude spot price Last Friday $101.16 $24.30
* US Henry Hub natural gas spot price
Price for energy equivalent of one barrel of oil*
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more like the US, Japan or WE?
Source: Pardos Marketing
Source: Bloomberg
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 USD/bbl USD/ton
Ethylene JAP Naphtha JAP Brent crude oil
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petrochemicals in this region. Positive market momentum starting in 3Q continued in Q4, with December closing rate reaching the highest index level since April 2009
Q4 at 94% with 50% utilization under COA
thereby reducing ballast days and increasing our fleet utilization
Source: BRS Feb11
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
USGC (E) USGC (N) W. Canada
Japan
SE Asia
Cost of Production of Ethylene
(Leader Plants, Fourth Quarter 2010)
Variable Cost Fixed Costs Freight to SE Asia Price (CFR SEA) US Dollars per Ton
Source: Nexant ChemSystems 4Q10
400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 jan. 10 feb. 10 mar. 10 apr. 10 mai. 10 jun. 10 jul. 10 aug. 10 sep. 10
10 nov. 10 des. 10 jan. 11 feb. 11
TC & TCE to Spot 2010/2011
Eth/C 8000 Cbm TC Eth/C 8000 Cbm TCE S/Ref 8000 Cbm TC S/Ref 6500 Cbm TCE S/Ref 20/22500 Cbm TC S/Ref 15000 Cbm TCE
important region is Asia.
between 2012 and 2014 as we have seen partly in 2010
additional 1.25 million tons of ethylene exports per year. In this case, it will require 20‐25 ships of > 8000 cbm able to carry average 50‐55000 tons per year for transporting the equal amount of ethylene exports. 11
109.7 115.3 109.1 111.7 119.1 125.7 131.0 137.1 141.0 4.19 4.47 5.03 5.24 5.49 5.64 3.84 4.04 4.36 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Million Tons Year
Ethylene World Capacity Ethylene World Production Seaborne trade 3% Seaborne trade 4% Seaborne trade 5% Seaborne trade 6%
Ethylene world capacity and seabornetrade
Source: Norgas
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much of the import from especially low cost producers in the Middle East.
Source: Drewry
0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 40 000
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
Domestic Deriv. Ethylene Demand Net Equiv. Imports (Exports) Self‐Sufficiency
China Ethylene Self Sufficiency
Thousand Tons Sufficiency
Source: Sinopec
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Norgas Innovation – I.M. Skaugens first LNG Multigas vessel
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Source: EIA Source: EIA
use, the rest of the world will require an equal amount.
doubling and accounting for 30 percent of total world energy consumption in 2035 in the Reference case.
rising by 118 percent from 2007 to 2035
5 10 15 20 25 30 1990 1995 2000 2007 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
United States China India
Figure 14. Shares of world energy consumption in the United States, China, and India, 1990-2035
% of world total
Projections History
100 200 300 400 500 1990 2000 2007 2015 2025 2035
Figure 13. World marketed energy consumption: OECD and Non‐OECD,1990‐2035
quadrillion Btu
History OECD Non‐OECD
heating and transportation from traditional diesel or heavy fuel to natural gas in the form of LNG. The environmental and economic benefit is significant and it will facilitate to ease the energy shortage many emerging countries are facing as the bottle‐neck of the overall economic growth
and flexibility
China, South East Asia, the Indian sub‐continent and the GCC region in the Middle East.
Norgas Invention, the third Multigas vessel delivered in early January 2011
The growth in the supply or the fleet will be somewhat mitigated by ship recycling in the period with 15 % of the capacity (348 514 cbm) that are now 25 years or more and thus eligible for recycling or alternative uses in the coming years. During 2010 there were 16 Semi Refrigerated ships scrapped. The normal age for scrapping of such vessels has been in the period between 27 and 30 years of age. However at about 25 years of age it is quite normal for such ships to cease carrying ethylene and concentrate on other less demanding products to trade. There are 15 Semi Refrigerated newbuildings of 4 000 cbm and above (both short and long haul vessels) delivered during 2010, with 9 of these having ethylene capacity. The existing world fleet (4 000 cbm and above) of 243 Semi Refrigerated vessels has now an order book of 39 vessels to be delivered before end of 2014. Norgas has now 4 new ships capacity to be delivered in this period and that is about 17 % of the ethylene capacity to come in this period.
Source: BRS 4Q10 Source: BRS 4Q10
2010 2009 2008 Revenue 723,5 559,9 427,1 EBITDA 99,7 86,4 51,3 EBIT 75,8 70,6 41,3 Net profit 51,3 59,1 34,0 EBITDA % 13,8 % 15,4 % 12,0 % EBIT % 10,5 % 12,6 % 9,7 % Net profit % 7,1 % 10,6 % 8,0 %
Shenghui historical performance (MRMB)
Marine Construction (SMC)‐As an EPCS contractor delivering very advanced ships to Norgas at a competitive cost.
into the company in 2006 as a necessary strategic supplier to our newbuilding program of gas carriers. In the up‐coming years we have agreed with our partners in the company that we will facilitate an IPO process to visualize the values created in this company
the only certified foreign shipping JV company operating
We expect the company to experience further growth in seaborne transportation of not only LPG, but more so petrochemical gases and LNG in the Chinese domestic market.
The Marine Transfer Activities suffered from very weak crude tanker markets over the whole of 2010 and more so in the 4Q, and with the second half of the year being more difficult than the first. It seems not very likely at this point that the output gap will be closed for crude tankers in 2011. For the SPT tanker business we will continue to focus and grow in the global support segment in order to reduce
market that continues to look challenging ahead, as the massive delivery of newbuildings still seems to be the case in 2011.
Source: RS Platou 4Q10
A Joint Venture company with Teekay Corp, an add on service to customers with a global range
Source: Internal
Vessels Type CBM Ex.Del Mei Wen Ti Fully pressurized LPG carrier 3 200 1Q 2007 Qin Shi Huang Fully pressurized LPG carrier 3 200 2Q 2007 Xi Shi Fully pressurized LPG carrier 3 200 3Q 2008 Norgas Pan Semi ref LEG/LPG and chemical carriers 5 800/9 600 2009 Norgas Cathinka Semi ref LEG/LPG and chemical carriers 5 800/9 600 2009 Norgas Camilla Semi ref LEG/LPG and chemical carriers 5 800/9 600 1Q 2011 Norgas Innovation Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 10 000 2010 Norgas Creation Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 10 000 3Q 2010 Norgas Invention Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 10 000 2011 Norgas Conception Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 10 000 3Q 2011 Norgas Unikum Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 12 000 1Q 2011 Norgas Vision Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 12 000 3Q 2011 To be confirmed Type CBM Ex.Del TBN Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 12 000 ‐ TBN Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 12 000 ‐ TBN Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 12 000 ‐ TBN Semi ref LNG/LEG/LPG/VCM carriers 12 000 ‐
Source: Internal
sheet ratios through optimization of debt and working capital will continue through 2011, with the completion of the current newbuilding program in 2011
working capital provisions, and improve our key balance sheet ratios. We envision that for future newbuildings we will contract vessels through a more traditional shipbuilding setup which is less working capital intensive
Teekay LNG partners (the ships are all scheduled for delivery in the 1H of 2011), we are able to improve
maturing in 2012.
‐40 ‐20 20 40 60 80 Capex commitments Sale & leaseback proceeds Cash 4Q 2010 China WC loans Net
IMS net capex commitments
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‐ 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000
IMS ‐ Bond maturity schedule (000' USD) Dec 2010
Year end 2010 Year end 2009
I.M. Skaugen SE has successfully completed a new bond issue of NOK 350 million. The bonds will have final maturity on 15 March
covenant terms similar to our previous bond issues. An application will be sent for listing of the bonds on the Oslo Stock Exchange. In connection with the bond issue, I.M. Skaugen SE has bought back a nominal amount of NOK 200 million in IMSK05 with ISIN NO0010457856 and NOK 8.5 million in IMSK08 with ISIN NO0010534613. After the buy‐backs, the nominal amounts outstanding are NOK 0 million in IMSK 05 and NOK 142.5 million in IMSK08. Proceeds from the completed bond issue will cover the outstanding amount maturing for IMSK08. 21
Source: Internal Source: Internal
20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000
IMS - Bond maturity schedule (000' USD) after refinancing 2011 After refinancing 2011 Year end 2010
22 USD million 3Q 2Q (except per share data) 2010 2009 2010 2010 EBITDA 19.4 24.7 4.8 4.6 7.9 2.3 EBIT
3.8
3.4
Financial items, investments and associates
Exchange gain/loss 1.0
0.8 1.2 0.8
Net result before tax
0.0
Net debt 77.9 62.1 77.9 62.1 76.0 72.1 Net interest bearing debt 145.8 116.3 145.8 116.3 148.5 128.5 Net interest bearing debt (incl. changes in hegding derivatives) 149.1 119.1 149.1 119.1 142.9 136.7 Interest rate coverage ratio ** 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.00 Total liquidity 40.0 96.1 40.0 96.1 55.3 57.7 Equity ratio* 28.5% 27.1% 28.5% 27.1% 26.9% 27.2% Book equity (excl minority interests) 78.7 94.0 78.7 94.0 84.5 84.5 Book equity per share - USD 2.9 3.5 2.9 3.5 3.1 3.2 * = book equity/total assets ** = EBITDA/net interest Improved balance sheet ratios with the equity ratio increasing from 26.9% to 28.5% Changes in notional amounts of the NOK bonds are secured with basis swaps 4Q 2010 2009
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