Hunter Group ASA - Company Presentation 9 September 2020
Save a tree – presentation can be found at www.huntergroup.no
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Hunter Group ASA - Company Presentation 9 September 2020 Save a tree presentation can be found at www.huntergroup.no Forward Looking Statements CERTAIN STATEMENTS INCLUDED IN THIS DOCUMENT CONTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
Save a tree – presentation can be found at www.huntergroup.no
CERTAIN STATEMENTS INCLUDED IN THIS DOCUMENT CONTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS. THE WORDS “BELIEVE,” “ANTICIPATE,” “INTENDS,” “ESTIMATE,” “FORECAST,” “PROJECT,” “PLAN,” “POTENTIAL,” “MAY,” “SHOULD,” “EXPECT” “PENDING” AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN HUNTER GROUP’S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH HUNTER GROUP BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND HUNTER GROUP’S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT HUNTER GROUP WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND HUNTER GROUP UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES. IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN HUNTER GROUP’S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN HUNTER GROUP’S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR HUNTER GROUP’S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.
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Company overview Top 10 shareholders (as of 8 September 2020)
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and fitted with Wärtsilä scrubbers −
International, the world’s largest VLCC pool
provided by OSM in Arendal
either through dividends, buybacks or deleveraging Apollo Asset Ltd. Other shareholders
~29% ~71%
Indicator AS*
100%
Hunter GroupASA
Oslo Axess ("HUNT")
100%
7x VLCCs delivered 2019 - 2020 Hunter Tankers AS
*Limited activities
Future
Investor Shares (m) Ownership Apollo Asset Limited 169 29% Sundt AS 46 8% Songa 40 7% Swap Invest 16 3% BNP Paribas Securities 15 3% Nordnet Livsforsikring 10 2% DB London 8 1% DNB Luxembourg 6 1% Halvorsens Fabrikk 6 1% Verdipapirfondet Nordea Kapital 5 1% Sum top 10 319 56% Total 575 100%
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Q4 ’19 – Q2 ‘20 financial highlights Q4’19 Q1 ‘20 Q2 ‘20 Pool days 181 277 197 TC days
191 Offhire/startup days 44 10
225 299 388 Revenue 24.4 20.8 29.6
Pool revenue
12.0 19.9 14.5
TC revenue
0.9 14.8
Other revenue
12.4
3.4 5.3 6.4
1.4 1.9 2.5
Cash based G&A
0.2 0.3 0.3
Voyage expenses & commissions
1.9 0.6 0.3 Net income 16.1 11.8 18.8 Yard instalments 120 77 87 Remaining capex 269 192 106 Cash balance 52.5 35.2 17.1 Interest-bearing debt 180.0 233.1 283.2
$66,600 $72,030 $76,340
$27,500 $21,100 $24,300
leasebacks to avoid equity issuance and shareholder dilution Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
− USD 220 million takeout loan for four latest vessels − USD 157.5m bank loan to refinance the sale and leaseback
bank debt
27,500 21,100 24,300 22,500 21,450 20,500
200 300 400 500 600 700
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
Q4 '19 Q1 '20 Q2 '20 Q3 '20 est. Q4 '20 est. Pro forma* # vessel days USD/day
Vessel days
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Historical and expected cash breakeven levels
Increased by positioning costs prior to joining TI scrubber pool Includes amortization free period for SLBs Assumes Hunter Laga SLB refinanced with bank debt
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6,350 21,450 20,500 15,500 400 600 2,800 7,600 3,700 950 5,000 Opex & ins. Run rate cash G&A TI pool cost Sale leaseback Bank amort. Bank interest Cash breakeven Laga refi. effect PF cash breakeven Scrubber & fuel savings Market benchmark breakeven
Cash breakeven breakdown (USD/day)
Benchmark spot rates of around USD 15,500 per day means USD ~20,500 for Hunter vessels
21,450 63,750 42,075 25,250 17,200 12,200
20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Q4 '20 est. cash breakeven FFA market H2 '20 Current market (Hunter vessels**) Current market (Benchmark)
USD/d
66% covered 100% covered*
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Second half 2020: 66% covered at USD 63,750 per day 100% covered at USD 42,075* per day
*Assumes zero earnings for 34% of H2 ’20 **Includes current scrubber and fuel savings of USD 5,000 Source: Company, Clarksons
Hunter coverage H2 ‘20
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Current charter coverage Hunter Atla Hunter Saga Hunter Laga Hunter Freya Hunter Disen Hunter Idun Hunter Frigg Construction TC Spot Construction TC Spot Spot TC Spot Spot Construction TC Spot Q2 '20 Q3 '20 Q4 '20 Q1 '21 TC Spot
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Source: Tankers International Ltd., Company
Benchmark VLCC spot rates: TD3C MEG - China
100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Sep 19 Oct 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Dec 19 Dec 19 Jan 20 Jan 20 Feb 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Mar 20 Apr 20 Apr 20 May 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jun 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Jul 20 Aug 20 Aug 20
USD/day
20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000
USD/day
Chinese new year and 26 COSCO VLCCs reentering market Oil price war causing buying spree and contango driven floating storage High oil inventories, reduced imports and addtl. OPEC+ production cuts COSCO sanctions and Saudi Abqaiq attacks Seasonal strength and scrubber offhire VLCC spot rates (lhs) 5-year average VLCC spot rates (rhs)
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World oil consumption
40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
Mbd
Source: EIA, Company
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55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 80 85 90 95 100 105 Jan 19 Apr 19 Jul 19 Oct 19 Jan 20 Apr 20 Jul 20 Oct 20 Jan 21 Apr 21 Jul 21 Oct 21
Days Mbd
OECD inventory forward days coverage Total World Production Total World Consumption
Source: EIA, Company
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Top ten COVID-19 fiscal stimulus responses (USDbn)
Source: World Bank, Statista, JPMorgan
JPMorgan Global Composite PMI
2,821 1,072 1,004 342 269 217 198 148 136 98 345
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 US Japan China Germany Canada Brazil India Australia France Italy Other
13% 21% 7% 9% 16% 12% 7% 11% 5% 5% Share of 2019 GDP:
close to USD 5 trillion or ~12% of GDP
pledged globally in response to COVID-19
low, with August reading of 52.3 − Above/below 50 means expanding/contracting economy
52.4 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Apr 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Aug 20
360 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Sep 18 Nov 18 Jan 19 Mar 19 May 19 Jul 19 Sep 19 Nov 19 Jan 20 Mar 20 May 20 Jul 20 Sep 20
$/ldt
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VLCC orderbook and scrap candidates
− LNG dual fuel VLCCs currently priced with $15-20m premium
Scrap prices* have rebounded
Source: Clarksons, Fearnleys, Company *India tanker scrap price per lightweight ton
scrapping incentives for owners of older tonnage
− Steel renewal, machinery overhaul etc.
45k lightweight tonnes = $16.2m scrap value
38 27 36 36 29 31 19 28 39 53 58 65 49 31 23 21 47 50 39 68 24 24 27 12
20 40 60 80 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Fleet OB Turning 15-20 yrs Turning 20+ yrs Scrapped
Hunter Group ASA
Dronningen 1 0287 Oslo, Norway +47 975 31 227 info@huntergroup.no