HRTPO Strategic Campaign and Vision Plan for Passenger Rail July - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

July 21, 2010

HRTPO Strategic Campaign and Vision Plan for Passenger Rail

Presentation By

Transportation Economics & Management Systems, Inc.

Presentation To

HRTPO Board Meeting Agenda Item #13

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TEMS, Inc.

Vision Plan Phase 1: Study Objectives

• 1. Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization –

Resolution 2009-05 The Hampton Roads TPO endorses –

• Designation of a “High-Speed Rail” corridor along

the NS/Route 460 corridor.

• Enhancement of the Intercity Passenger Rail

service along the CSXT/I-64 corridor.

• 2. USDOT FRA Public/Private Partnership Potential –
• POSITIVE OPERATING RATIO
• POSITIVE COST BENEFIT RATIO

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TEMS, Inc.

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Population (million) Corridor Length (mile)

Cleveland-Detroit Orlando-Tampa Charlotte-Raleigh

Washington- Hampton Roads

Dallas-Houston Philadelphia-Harrisburg- Pittsburg Miami-Orlando Cleveland-Columbus- Cincinnati Cleveland-Pittsburg Portland-Seattle Atlanta-Birmingham

How Important is our Corridor?

• Washington-Richmond-Hampton Roads corridor is one
• f the top 200-mile High-Speed Rail corridors in the

country.

• The corridor has independent utility
• The corridor provides connectivity with the Southeast

and Northeast corridors.

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TEMS, Inc.

DRPT has initiated the development of the corridor using conventional technology

This includes -

• Introducing rail service to South Hampton Roads
• Planning to upgrade service to a maximum of 90-mph
• Developing critical connections for Southeast High-

Speed Rail (SEHSR) and Northeast (NEC) corridors

• Increasing frequencies to 6 trains on the NS/Route 460

segment, and 3 trains on the CSXT/I-64 segment

• Improving access to Richmond Main Street Station
• Developing new stations along the routes

This lays the foundations for developing an effective high-speed rail program

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TEMS, Inc.

High-Speed Rail Eliminates Annual Subsidy

Increasing speed to 110-mph produces a positive

• perating ratio that meets FRA financial criteria.

1.52 1.06 1.19 1.51 1.52 1.06 1.19 1.51

2025 Operating Ratio 2025 Operating Ratio

NS/ Route 460 CSXT/ I-64 NS/ Route 460 CSXT/ I-64

STEP 4 STEP 3

NS/ Route 460 CSXT/ I-64 NS/ Route 460 CSXT/ I-64

STEP 4 STEP 3

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TEMS, Inc.

High-Speed Rail in the Washington- Richmond-Hampton Roads Corridor Achieves FRA Financial and Economic Funding Criteria

• Positive Operating Ratio with Operating Surplus
• Positive Cost Benefit Ratio

–Good for the Corridor –Good for Virginia –Good for the Country

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TEMS, Inc.

Capital Cost and Funding

• Capital Cost – Steps 3 and 4 Cost $3 – 6 Billion respectively
• Funding Approach - Two Options
• 80 percent of funding from USDOT FRA, Local match from station

development/parking

• 30-60 percent from public-private partnership (P3), Design, Build,

Own, Operate, Maintain and Finance (DBOOM-F)

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TEMS, Inc.

Benefits 1: Both Corridors have High-Speed Rail Potential: Travel Times and Train Frequency can be dramatically improved

NS/Route 460: 150-mph CSXT/I-64: 110-130-mph Travel Times

2:05 2:00

Train Frequencies

6 – 8 Trains 14 – 16 Trains

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TEMS, Inc.

Benefits 2: The System Largely Diverts Auto Traffic; Reducing Congestion on highways I-64 and I-95

90.5% Diverted Demand Induced Demand 7.6% Natural Growth 1.9%

NS/Route 460 Corridor

Natural Growth 1.6% Induced Demand 9.5% Diverted Demand 88.9%

CSXT/I-64 Corridor

“85-90 Percent of Rail Demand is from Auto”

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TEMS, Inc.

Benefits 3: Joint Development Potential is Considerable at Stations

Proposed San Jose High-Speed Rail Station Proposed Sacramento High-Speed Rail Station

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TEMS, Inc.

Benefits 4: Supplyside Impacts are Very Significant

Productivity jobs (person years of work) Income ($) Property Values ($)

Washington, DC – North Virginia Area 430-480 thousand 3.5 – 4 billion 0.5-0.8 billion Richmond – Petersburg Area 230-250 thousand 1.2 – 1.5 billion 0.15-0.2 billion Norfolk- Newport News Area 140-170 thousand 0.8 – 1 billion 0.8-1 billion

Total 0.8-0.9 million 5.5 – 6.5 billion 1.45 – 2 billion

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TEMS, Inc.

Conclusions

• HRTPO Objectives can be achieved
• High-Speed Rail generates very significant benefits for

the corridors communities

• The Washington-Richmond-Hampton Roads corridor is
• f national importance
• High-Speed Rail generates very significant benefits for

the corridors communities

• The corridor is a critical element of the Southeast

High-Speed Rail (SEHSR) and Northeast Corridor (NEC)

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TEMS, Inc.

Challenges of Developing the High-Speed Rail Corridor

• Long-term HSR Funding – Initial USDOT $8B funding

but national program opportunities require much more.

• FRA/Environmental Processes – Process for HSR

implementation is lengthy and cumbersome. More rules being added to implementation / time to develop / programming.

• In the change of rules the lack of a designated

“Virginia” HSR corridor and HSR Service Plan hinder applying for HSR funds.

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TEMS, Inc.

Recommendations

• VA Department of Rail and Public

Transportation should continue the implementation of the Intercity Rail Alternatives Steps 1 & 2.

• Pursue USDOT designation of the

Washington-Richmond-Hampton Roads HSR corridor as a Virginia corridor having independent utility (e.g., the Chesapeake Bay corridor).

• Complete the High-Speed Rail Vision by

developing the Vision Plan/Service Plan for FRA Funding.

• Consider implementing High-Speed Rail

with a Public-Private Partnership Process

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TEMS, Inc.

Thank You