FRESNO COUNTY EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT ASSOCIATION
September 6, 2006
WESTERN ASSET
Frances H. Coombes Andre M. Cuerington
HISTORY 1971 Founded Western Asset Management Company Los Angeles - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
F RESNO C OUNTY E MPLOYEES R ETIREMENT A SSOCIATION September 6, 2006 W ESTERN A SSET Frances H. Coombes Andre M. Cuerington T ABLE OF C ONTENTS I Organizational Update Market Review II Portfolio Review III IV Appendix 1 O
September 6, 2006
Frances H. Coombes Andre M. Cuerington
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I
Organizational Update
II
Market Review
III
Portfolio Review
IV
Appendix
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Los Angeles
Baltimore
London
Singapore
New York, London, Tokyo, Singapore, Hong Kong, Melbourne, São Paulo
*Assets under management by Western Asset and its supervised affiliates.
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As of 6/30/06. Assets in $ billions. Liquidity Portfolios
$99.2
Govt.- Only Portfolios
$9.9
$
ABS/ MBS Portfolios
$13.1
$ £ €
Corporate Portfolios
$15.7
$ £ €
High Yield Portfolios
$10.7
$
Emerging Market Portfolios
$3.0
$
Portable Alpha Portfolios
$12.5
$ £ €
Inflation- Linked Portfolios
$12.5
$ £ € $ £ €
Enhanced Cash Portfolios
$20.7
$ £ €
Limited Duration Portfolios
$21.4
$ £ €
Broad Market Portfolios
$145.2
$ £ €
Long Duration Portfolios
$18.1
$ £ € ¥
Global Portfolios
$85.5
$
Structured Portfolios
$2.7
$ £ €
Absolute Return Portfolios
$7.6
$ £ € $
Municipals Portfolios
$33.9
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CORPORATE PUBLIC TAFT HARTLEY INSURANCE
Abbey plc Arkansas Teacher Retirement System 1199 National Benefit Fund Arch Capital Group Ltd. Allied Domecq plc California Public Employees Retirement System Bricklayers and Trowel Trades International Union Pension Fund Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts AT&T Investment Management Corporation Commonwealth of Virginia Central Pension Fund Blue Cross Blue Shield of Tennessee BBC Pension Trust Limited Contra Costa County Employees' Retirement Association Directors Guild of America-Producer Pension and Health Plan Health Care Service Corporation Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Denver Public Schools Retirement System Engineers, Operating, Local #3 Horizon Blue Cross Blue Shield of New Jersey Co-operative Group Pension Fund Trustees Limited District of Columbia Retirement Board General Motors Defined Contribution Retiree Health Benefit Trust Oil Investment Corporation Ltd. Consolidated Edison Company Of New York, Inc. Fire & Police Pension Association of Colorado Midwest Operating Engineers Royal Liver Assurance Limited DaimlerChrysler Fresno County Employees' Retirement Association Southwest Carpenters Pension Trust Toyota Motor Insurance Corporation of Vermont DTE Energy Company Glasgow City Council The Western Conference of Teamsters Pension Trust Fund United HealthCare Services, Inc. E.ON Energie AG Gloucestershire County Council United Food & Commercial Workers Unions and Employers Pension Fund United Services Automobile Association Eastman Kodak Company Illinois State Board of Investment
ELEEMOSYNARY
WellPoint, Inc. Electronic Data Systems Corporation Iowa Public Employees Retirement System Alcoa Foundation
HEALTHCARE
General Mills Kansas Public Employees Retirement System Archdiocese of Boston Ascension Health GKN Group Pension Scheme Los Angeles County Employees Retirement Association Archdiocese of Saint Louis Baylor Health Care System Halliburton Co. Merchant Navy Pensions Administration Battelle Memorial Institute BJC HealthCare International Paper Company Michigan Municipal Employees' Retirement System Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Catholic Health Initiatives John Lewis Partnership Pensions Trust Ltd Minnesota State Board of Investment California Community Foundation Children's Hospital of New Orleans Lockheed Martin Investment Management Company MNOPF Trustees Limited Catholic Relief Services Evanston Northwestern Healthcare MeadWestvaco Corporation Nevada Public Employees Retirement System Commonfund Health Employees Superannuation Trust Australia Metal Box Pension Trustees Limited North Dakota State Investment Board Diocese of Rockville Centre Henry Ford Health System Nestec S.A. Ohio Police & Fire Pension Fund Donald W. Reynolds Foundation Iowa Health System Nortel Networks plc UK Oregon Investment Council Indiana University Lehigh Valley Hospital Northwest Airlines, Inc. Public Employee Retirement System of Idaho Jewish Federation of Metropolitan Chicago Providence Health System Pearson Group Pension Trustee Limited Public School Teachers' Pension and Retirement Fund of Chicago Purdue University
Pensioenfonds Horeca & Catering San Diego County Employees' Retirement Association San Francisco Foundation
Perennial Investment Partners Ltd San Francisco Employees' Retirement System The California Wellness Foundation
SUB-ADVISORY
Plumbing Pensions (UK) Ltd San Jose Police & Fire Department Retirement Plan The Church Pension Fund American Express Bank Limited Railpen Investments School Employees Retirement System of Ohio The Commonwealth Fund AssetMark Investment Services Rank Pension Plan State of Wyoming, State Loan And Investment Board The LCMS Foundation Citigroup Investment Advisory Services Inc. Salomon Brothers Global Horizons Funds (SBGH) State Universities Retirement System of Illinois The Pennsylvania State University CitiStreet Sun Microsystems International B.V. Surrey County Council United Negro College Fund Great West Life Assurance Syngenta Pensions Trustee Limited Tennessee Valley Authority University of Colorado GuideStone Capital Management The Johnson Matthey Employees Pension Scheme Treasurer of the State of Connecticut University of Illinois Legg Mason Institutional Funds The RWE npower Group of the ESPS Ventura County Employees' Retirement Association University of Massachusetts Legg Mason, Inc. The Trustees of the Rolls-Royce Pension Fund Virginia College Savings Plan University of Miami MLC Investment Management Unisys Corporation Virginia Retirement System Washington Education Foundation Russell Investment Group United Parcel Service, Inc. Wiltshire County Council Washington State University SEI Investments Management Corporation YMCA Retirement Fund Wyoming Retirement System Workers Benefit Plans of the Lutheran Church - Missouri Synod T&D Asset Management Co., Ltd.
Please see the Representative Client List Disclosure in the appendix for more information. All have authorized the use of their names by Western Asset for marketing purposes. Such authorization does not imply approval or otherwise of Western Asset nor the advisory of services provided.
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AUM**: $127.4 Products: Liquidity Municipal SMAs
AUM**: $231.5 Products: Absolute Return Bank Loan Asset-Backed (ABS) Commodities Core/Core Full Corporate Emerging Markets Enhanced Cash Government High Yield Index Plus Intermediate Limited Long Duration Mortgage-Backed (MBS) Portable Alpha TIPS
AUM**: $83.0 Products: Euro: Core/Core Full Corporate Enhanced Cash Limited Duration Liquidity Long Duration Polish Sovereign Sovereign Global: Core /Core Full Corporate Enhanced Cash High Yield Limited Duration Multi-Sector Non-US International Sovereign Inflation-Linked UK: Core /Core Full Corporate Enhanced Cash High Alpha Inflation-Linked Limited Duration Liquidity Long Duration
Chief Investment Officer
Chief Investment Officer
STEPHEN A. WALSH
Deputy Chief Investment Officer
STEPHEN A. WALSH
Deputy Chief Investment Officer
PASADENA
Stephen A. Walsh
PASADENA
Stephen A. Walsh
NEW YORK
James J. Flick
NEW YORK
James J. Flick
LONDON
Detlev Schlichter
LONDON
Detlev Schlichter
TOKYO
Kazuto Doi
TOKYO
Kazuto Doi
SINGAPORE
Tay Soo How
SINGAPORE
Tay Soo How
MELBOURNE
Mitchell Stack
MELBOURNE
Mitchell Stack
SÃO PAULO
Paulo Caricatti
SÃO PAULO
Paulo Caricatti *Investment professionals include portfolio managers only. **Billions of assets under management by Western Asset and its supervised affiliates. As of 6/30/06.
AUM**: $51.6 Products: Asset-Backed (ABS) Core/Core Full Credit Global Government Mortgage-Backed
AUM**: $1.9 Products: Asian HY Credit Asian IG Credit Hong Kong Dollar Indonesian Rupiah Korean Won Malaysian Ringgit Pan Asia Philippine Peso Singapore Dollar Singapore Cash/ Short Term Thai Baht
AUM**: $6.3 Products: Australia: Core/Core Full Credit Enhanced Cash Government New Zealand: Government
AUM**: $10.0 Products: Brazil Core Liquidity Sovereign
DENNIS J. MCNAMARA
Director of Portfolio Operations
DENNIS J. MCNAMARA
Director of Portfolio Operations
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0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Yield to Maturity Year Over Year Change
Source: Federal Reserve
10-year Treasury Yields vs. CPI Inflation CPI Inflation 10-year Treasury Yields
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3m 6m 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 30
2 4 6 Yield to Maturity (%) Maturity (Years) US Treasury Yield Curves 7/31/05-7/31/06 7/31/05 7/31/06 3 Month 2 Year 5 Year 10 Year 30 Year 30 Yr. STRIPS
5 Total Return (%) 4.20 2.56 0.20
Periodic Returns 7/31/05-7/31/06
Source: Bloomberg, Western Asset
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 3 Month LIBOR (Percent) Actual Yields
Source: Bloomberg
Expected Yields as of 3/31/97 Expected Yields as of 5/30/00 Expected Yields as of 10/31/98 Expected Yields as of 7/31/06 Expected Yields as of 11/30/01
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50 100 150 200 250 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Lehman Credit OAS (Basis Points)
Source: Lehman Brothers
Russia/LTCM Inverted curve Recession onset Enron WCOM Recession, Gulf War Spread: 95 bps 5-yr Avg.: 127 bps 16-yr Avg.: 105 bps Credit Spreads SE Asia GM
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High Yield Spreads vs. Altman Default Rate 1/1/85-7/31/06 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Default Rates (%) Spread (bp) Defaults Spread
Source: Citigroup
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0% 10% 20% 30% 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 YoY Percent Change World Nominal $ GDP
Source: IMF
400 800 1200 1600 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Spreads JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index
Source: Bloomberg
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100 125 150 175 200 225 2003 2004 2005 2006 Basis Points FNMA 30-yr Current Coupon Nominal Spread vs. 5/10 Treasuries Blend
Source: Goldman Sachs and UBS
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Source: Lehman Brothers
Duration-Adjusted Excess Returns 2005 LAGG Agency Mortgage- Backed CMBS Asset- Backed Credit BBB Corporates High Yield Non-US Emerging Market
250 500 750 1000 Return (Basis Points)
17
15 32
47 266 959 Duration-Adjusted Excess Returns 2004 LAGG Agency Mortgage- Backed CMBS Asset- Backed Credit BBB Corporates High Yield Non-US Emerging Market 250 500 750 1000 Return (Basis Points) 103 78 142 118 142 159 219 800 156 823
LAGG Agency Mortgage- Backed CMBS Asset- Backed Credit BBB Corporate High Yield Non-US Emerging Market
250 500 Return (Basis Points) 30 27 52 65 41 26 48 380 92 335 Duration-Adjusted Excess Returns - Year to Date Ending July 31, 2006
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The above reflects current opinions of Western Asset Management.
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Since Inception 6/1/05-7/31/06 Annualized 1 Year Year To Date 1 2 3 Total Return (Percent) 0.9 2.1 2.3 1.5 2.3 2.6 0.6 1.3 1.5 Lehman Aggregate Index Fresno County ERA (net) Fresno County ERA (gross) Periods Ending 7/31/06
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Lehman Aggregate Index
Note: All weightings are a percentage of total market value. 25% 11% 40% 1% 23% Treasury Credit Mortgage- Backed Agency Asset- Backed
Fresno County ERA
7% 1% 3% 53% 18% 9% 3% 5%1% Treasury Credit Mortgage- Backed TIPS Agency High Yield Non-US Emerging Markets Bank Loan
Government Mortgage- Backed Credit High Yield Non-US Emerging Markets 1 2 3 Contribution (years) 1.6 0.9 1.8 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 Lehman Aggregate Index: 4.7 years Fresno County ERA: 4.8 years Duration Contribution
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1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Treasury Yields Core CPI YOY Treasury Yields vs. Inflation Core CPI 5-yr Treasuries 30-yr Treasuries
Source: Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Percent of Benchmark Duration Western Asset Composite Fresno County ERA 102% of Benchmark Benchmark
Period ending 7/31/06
4.7 years 4.8 years
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Lehman Credit Index Duration Adjusted Excess Returns
Lehman Credit Index
Note: All weightings are a percentage of total market value. 11% 21% 35% 33% AA A BBB AAA
2005 YTD 2006* AAA
0.02% AA
0.26% A
0.13% BBB
0.48%
*As of 7/31/06
Fresno County ERA
3% 12% 24% 35% 26% AA A BBB AAA <BBB
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Lehman Mortgage Index
Note: All weightings are a percentage of total market value.
10% 51% 39% GNMA FNMA FHLMC
4 6 8 10 12 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 FNMA 30-yr Current Coupon % MBA Refinancing Index Mortgage Rates and Refinancings MBS Current Coupon MBA Refi Index
Source: Mortgage Bankers Assoc., Bloomberg
Fresno County ERA
20% 68% 12% GNMA FNMA FHLMC
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Opportunistic High Yield Allocation
Allocation: 3%
Opportunistic Bank Loan Allocation Individual Issue Allocation
Allocation: 6%
Note: All weightings are a percentage of total market value.
Last 5 Years
High: 5% Low: 2% Avg: 4%
Last 5 Years
High: 8% Low: 1% Avg: 3%
Allocation: 3%
High: 3% Low: 2% Avg: 3%
Since Inception (10/1/03)
6% 10% 26% 15% 16% 4% 4% 1% 1% 4% 1% 6% 3%1% 2% Natural Gas Basic Industry Energy Transportation Electric Capital Goods Communications REITS Technology Consumer Non-Cyclical Consumer Cyclical Sov/Supra Short Term Securities Financial Other Industrial Other
Media Cable
8% 5% 4% 5% 2% 5% 17% 9% 9% 2% 4% 2% 11% 2% 8% 7%
Finance Basic Industry Capital Goods Wireless Wireline Energy Technology Transportation Utility Cash Equivalents Other Industrial Media Non-Cable Consumer Non-Cyclical Other Consumer Cyclical
67% 3% 4% 14% 12% Communications Technology Consumer Non-Cyclical Utility Autos
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Non-US Allocation
Allocation: 5%
Emerging Markets Allocation
Allocation: 1% Last 5 Years
High: 8% Low: 4% Avg: 6%
Last 5 Years
High: 5% Low: 1% Avg: 4%
Note: All weightings are a percentage of total market value.
37% 2% 61% Canada Poland UK 63% 17% 20% Panama Colombia Brazil
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Note: Western Asset experience reflects current position title and hire date. FRANCES H. COOMBES 8 Years Experience EXPERIENCE: – Western Asset Management Company – Client Service Executive, 1998- EDUCATION: – Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, M.P.P. – University of California, Berkeley, B.A. ANDRE M. CUERINGTON 15 Years Experience EXPERIENCE: – Western Asset Management Company – Client Service Executive, 2002- – Progress Investment Management Company – Senior Vice President, Client Service Operations, 2000-2002 – Callan Associates – Vice President and Manager, Quantitative Consulting, 1997-2000 – United States Military Academy – Asst. Professor, Department of Math, 1991-1997 EDUCATION: – Stanford University, California, M.S. – Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, M.S. – United States Military Academy, West Point, New York, B.S.
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The following supplements the information contained in the attached material: On December 1, 2005, Citigroup Inc. (“Citigroup”) sold substantially all of its worldwide asset management business, Citigroup Asset Management, to Legg Mason, Inc. (“Legg Mason”). As part of this transaction, Salomon Brothers Asset Management Inc., TIMCO Asset Management, Inc., and CAM North America, LLC became wholly-owned subsidiaries of Legg Mason. As a result of the sale of Citigroup Asset Management to Legg Mason as described above, the following changes to Citigroup Asset Management’s North American, institutional investment advisory business, CAM-Institutional, are effective as of December 1, 2005: (1) CAM-Institutional no longer manages assets directly through Citibank, N.A. or Citigroup Global Markets, Inc., which continue to be wholly-owned subsidiaries of Citigroup Inc. (although CAM-Institutional may manage certain assets as a sub-adviser to those entities); (2) CAM-Institutional continues to manage assets through Salomon Brothers Asset Management Inc and TIMCO Asset Management, Inc., which are now wholly-owned subsidiaries of Legg Mason; and (3) CAM-Institutional now manages various assets (including assets formerly managed through Citibank, N.A. and Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.) through CAM North America, LLC, a newly formed registered investment adviser and wholly-owned subsidiary of Legg Mason. In the future, CAM-Institutional expects to transfer various fixed income assets under its management to Western Asset Management, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Legg Mason. All references to “Citigroup Inc.” or “Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates” are deleted, and replaced by “Legg Mason, Inc.” and “Legg Mason,
Under a licensing agreement between Citigroup and Legg Mason, the names of the investment advisers, Salomon Brothers Asset Management Inc, TIMCO Asset Management, Inc., and CAM North America, LLC, and their affiliated advisory entities, as well as all logos, trademarks and service marks related to Citigroup or any of its affiliates (“Citi Marks”) are licensed for use by Legg Mason. Citi Marks include, but are not limited to, “Salomon Brothers Asset Management,” “Citigroup Asset Management” and “TIMCO Asset Management, Inc.” All Citi Marks are owned by Citigroup, and are licensed for use until no later than one year after date of licensing agreement. Legg Mason and its subsidiaries, including investment advisers Salomon Brothers Asset Management Inc, TIMCO Asset Management, CAM North America, LLC and other advisory entities, are not affiliated with Citigroup.
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The clients listed in the Insurance company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $225(M) or greater. The clients listed in the Healthcare company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $147(M) or greater. The clients listed in the Sub-Advisory company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $260(M) or greater. The clients listed in the Corporate company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $286(M) or greater. The clients listed in the Public company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $195(M) or greater. The clients listed in the Taft-Hartley company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $168(M) or greater. The clients listed in the Eleemosynary company type are in all mandates, located in all countries and all regions of the United States, and with portfolios with an aum of $92(M) or greater.