SALES 9M 2019
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HIGHLIGHTS 2019 THIRD QUARTER 1 SALES 9M 2019 DISCLAIMER This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SALES AND HIGHLIGHTS 2019 THIRD QUARTER 1 SALES 9M 2019 DISCLAIMER This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction. No reliance should be placed on the accuracy, completeness
SALES 9M 2019
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SALES 9M 2019
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This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction. No reliance should be placed on the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation, and none of EDF representatives shall bear any liability for any loss arising from any use of this presentation or its contents. The quarterly financial information is not subject to an auditor’s report. The present document may contain forward-looking statements and targets concerning the Group’s strategy, financial position or results. EDF considers that these forward-looking statements and targets are based on reasonable assumptions as of the present document publication, which can be however inaccurate and are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties. There is no assurance that expected events will occur and that expected results will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements of the Group to differ materially from those contemplated in this document include in particular the successful implementation of EDF strategic, financial and
the energy markets, as well as risk and uncertainties relating to the Group’s activities, its international scope, the climatic environment, the volatility of raw materials prices and currency exchange rates, technological changes, and changes in the economy. Detailed information regarding these uncertainties and potential risks are available in the Universal Registration Document (URD) of EDF filed with the Autorité des marchés financiers on 29 July 2019, which is available on the AMF's website at www.amf-france.org and on EDF’s website at www.edf.fr. EDF does not undertake nor does it have any obligation to update forward-looking information contained in this presentation to reflect any unexpected events or circumstances arising after the date of this presentation.
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(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 restated (1) 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(2) SALES 49,276 50,941 +3.4 +2.9
(1) The disposal of Edison's Exploration and Production (E&P) activity was classified as a discontinued operation within the meaning of IFRS 5 as of 1 January 2019. The 2018 published sales amount was restated due to the impact linked to the Edison E&P activity presentation as a discontinued operation. (2) Organic change at comparable scope and exchange rates.
Organic growth of sales mainly driven by: favourable market conditions for the Generation & supply activities in France growth of Group energy services activities good performance of EDF Trading and better use of the Group’s gas capacities performance of activities in Belgium and Brazil
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RENEWABLE ENERGIES
Record level of projects under construction by EDF Renewables: Start of construction for 2.4GW in 9 months bringing the total under construction at end-September 2019 to 4.7GW gross (x2 vs. end-December 2018) Wind power and Offshore
(480MW)
Solar: commissioning of 2 solar power plants in Egypt at Benban with a total installed capacity of 130MWp, holding a 25-year power purchase agreement (PPA)
STORAGE AND ELECTRIC MOBILITY PLANS
Acquisition of Pivot Power, a British company specialised in battery storage and infrastructure for electric vehicle charging (portfolio of projects with a potential capacity of up to 2GW) Acquisition of PowerFlex Systems in the USA, a company combining solar energy generation and storage with smart charging solutions for electric vehicle technology or building load Nissan and EDF Group partner to accelerate the adoption of Electric Vehicle and grid integration across Europe (smart charging solutions)
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CUSTOMERS AND SERVICES
Sales offensive
Dalkia: further commercial development with the renewal or the signature of new contracts (power network at La Grande Motte and energy facilities for the Nouvelle Aquitaine Regional Council) Linky: installation of the 21 millionth smart meter at end-September
REGULATORY DEVELOPMENT
ARENH: volume ceiling maintained for 2020 and price unchanged at this stage Energy saving certificates (CEE): 1 year extension until 2021 for the 4th period. Draft decree from the French Ministry of Ecological and Solidarity Transition submitted to the French State Council on 9 October 2019 Capacity mechanism in Great Britain: Positive decision by European Commission on 24 October 2019, with the British government reinstating the Capacity market
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NUCLEAR
Nuclear output
Hunterston B and Dungeness B Taishan (EPR in China)
Hinkley Point C(1): project completion cost revised to £21.5bn - £22.5bn(2) Flamanville 3(3)
Fessenheim(5): protocol agreement signature whereby the State will compensate EDF for the early closure of Fessenheim. This compensation will comprise initial instatements for a total of nearly €400m
(1) See press release of 25 September 2019. (2) In 2015 sterling, excluding interim interest and excluding forex effect versus the reference exchange rate for the project of 1 sterling = 1.23 euro. (3) See press release of 9 October 2019. (4) In 2015 euros and excluding interim interest. (5) See press release of 30 September 2019.
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(3,301) (3,135) 18,942 20,079 11,571 11,437 1,090 1,163 2,760 2,903 2,290 2,346 6,466 6,392 5,736 5,659 1,667 1,938 2,055 2,159
+1,080
+15 +128 +28
+251 +182 +403
Inter- segment elimination
France – Generation & supply activities France – Regulated activities (In €m)
50,941 49,276 (2)
Italy
Organic change: +2.9%(1)
France – Production & commercialisation France – Regulated activities United Kingdom Other international Italy Dalkia Other activities
9M 2019 9M 2018
restated(2)
31 % 49 % 36 % 39 %
EDF Renewables Dalkia
Framatome EDF Renewables
Framatome
(1) Organic change at comparable scope and exchange rates. (2) The 2018 sales amount was restated due to the impact linked to the Edison E&P activity presentation as a discontinued operation.
Scope & forex & inter- segment elimination United Kingdom Other international Other activities
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112.9 111.8 202.6 203.7 290.0 288.2
2019 cumulated output 2018 cumulated output
9M H1
(in TWh)
+0.5%
Q1
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2019 cumulative output(1) (2) 2018 cumulative output(1)
(1) Hydropower excluding French islands electrical activities, before deduction of pumped volumes. (2) After deduction of pumped volumes, output amounts to 23.5TWh in 9M 2017, 32.7TWh in 9M 2018 and 23.0TWh in 9M 2019.
Normal hydro productibility levels Seasonal mins. and maxs. between 2009 and 2019
Dec. Sept. June March
(In TWh)
Q1 H1 9M 2017 cumulative output(1)
10.8 14.6 9.9 21.3 29.4 20.1 28.6 38.0 27.5
40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%
2018 2019 2017
Very good rainfall in October
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(in TWh)
368
+1
+3
+18
368
Nuclear Hydropower(1) Fossil-fired LT & structured purchases Purchase obligations Net market sales Structured sales, auctions and other(2) ARENH supply End customers
OUTPUT/PURCHASES CONSUMPTION/SALES
41 5 7 27 288 199 30 90 49
NB: EDF excluding French islands electrical activities. (1) Hydro output after deduction of pumped volumes: 23.0TWh. (2) Including hydro pumped volumes of 4.5TWh.
∆ 9M 2019
∆ 9M 2019
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+ 48 + 126 + 588
+155 + 47 + 126 +120
9M 2018
Others(2) Decrease in net sales:
generation
subscriptions
sold to end customers (excluding ARENH)
certificates sold on wholesale markets Mainly:
effects on energy and capacities
and participations evolution Including:
tariffs on 1 June 2019
2013 tariff catch up on 1 August 2018 Intercompany transactions (2) Mainly price effect
18,942
Weather(2) Tariffs(2) (3)
Organic change: +5.7%(1)
20,079
Downstream market conditions(2) (4) (In millions of Euros) ARENH and purchases/sales
markets(2)
9M 2019
Resale of purchase
Energy Saving certificates component (2)
(1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates. (2) Estimated figures. (3) Price effects on regulated sales tariffs customers, excluding the Energy Saving Certificates component in tariff stacking. Increase in tariffs on 1 June 2019 of +7.7%. (4) Excluding the Energy Saving Certificates component in market offers.
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+39
9M 2018 9M 2019
11,571 11,437
Weather(3) (-2.0TWh) Other(3)
(in millions of Euros) Tariffs(3)(4) (TURPE)
Organic change: -1.2%(2)
(1) Regulated activities include Enedis, Électricité de Strasbourg and island activities. (2) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates. (3) Estimated figures. (4) Including upward adjustment of the tariffs of the low voltage customers domain ≤ 36 kVA of +1.16 % and indexation of TURPE 5 Distribution of +3.04% and TURPE 5 Transmission of 2.16% at 1 August 2019 (vs. respectively -0.21% and +3% in 2018).
Mainly distribution tariff optimisation by suppliers
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9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES(3) 3,292 2,932
Growth driven by generation
Positive price impact (portfolio effect) Generation down -0.6TWh vs. 9M 2018 to
10.7TWh, following 2018-2019 disposals calendar
Net installed capacity: 8.2GW (stable vs. end-2018)
(1) Organic change at comparable scope and exchange rates. (2) Group Renewables include EDF Renewables and Group hydro generation, as well as the renewable activities of EDF Luminus and Edison. (3) For renewable energy generation optimised within a larger portfolio of generation assets, in particular relating to the French hydro fleet, sales are estimated, by convention, as the valuation of the
(4) Hydro output after deduction of pumped volumes : 32.7TWWh in 9M 2018 and 23.0TWh in 9M 2019
(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 1,090 1,163 +6.7 +1.4
GROUP RENEWABLES(2)
Hydro generation: 27.5TWh (4),
linked to unfavourable hydrological conditions
EDF RENEWABLES
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9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 3,671 3,977 +8 +5
Commercial growth, in particular in France Positive effects of fuel price and price indices revision
(1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates. (2) Group Energy Services include Dalkia, Citelum, CHAM and services activities of EDF Energy, Edison, Luminus and EDF SA. They consist in particular of street lighting, heating networks, decentralised low-carbon generation based on local resources, energy consumption management and electric mobility.
(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 2,760 2,903 +5.2 +4.6
GROUP ENERGY SERVICES(2)
Sustained growth of the services activities in the United Kingdom and in Belgium
DALKIA
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9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 2,290 2,346 +2.4 +1.2 SALES EDF group contribution 1,330 1,296
Growth in “Installed Base” services activities, in particular in Canada Ramping up in the “Large Projects” activity linked to the construction of HPC, which is taking over from Taishan following the commissioning of its two EPR Strategic and commercial developments
Signature in October with Rosatom of 2 contracts for the supply of main Instrumentation &
Control system for the nuclear power plants of Hanhikivi-1 in Finland and of PAKS2 in Hungary
Closing on 1 October of FoxGuard Solutions acquisition, who is a specialist in cybersecurity
and industrial computing in the USA
Signature in November with CNEIC/CJNF of a letter of intent concerning the supply of
components for manufacturing fuel assemblies reloads in China
(1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates.
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Decrease in nuclear output (-9.1TWh to 36.8TWh) due to the extension of the
Missing capacity revenue (following the suspension of the mechanism in November 2018 – Positive decision by the European Commission on 24 October 2019, with the British government reinstating the Capacity market) Adverse impact of the standard variable tariff cap (SVT cap) since 1 January 2019 Resilience of the downstream business: BtoC customer portfolio stable and increase in volumes sold on the BtoB market
(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 6,466 6,392
(1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates.
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Gas retail
Decrease in gas prices across all markets Decrease in volume sold on the wholesale market partially offset by a rise in
volumes sold to B2B customers
Electricity activity
Higher volumes sold to the B2B and B2C customers Positive price effect on the B2B and B2C segments
(1) The 2018 sales amount was restated due to the impact linked to the Edison E&P activity presentation as a discontinued operation. (2) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates.
(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 restated (1) 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(2) SALES 5,736 5,659
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Belgium (+€83m) (1)
Higher prices in electricity and gas partially offset by lower volumes sold to
residential segment due to a mild weather
Further development in renewables (503MW of wind installed capacity, +14.3%
Brazil (+€144m) (1)
Positive effect of the evolution (without effect on EBITDA) of ICMS(2) tax revision
and of the contractual PPA tariff review for EDF Norte Fluminense electricity sales, which occurred at the end of 2018
(1) Organic change at comparable scope and exchange rates. (2) Tax on Commerce and Services.
(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 1,667 1,938 +16.3 +15.1
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EDF Trading
Good performance since the beginning of the year thanks to volatility on
commodity market in a bearish price environment and benefiting from favourable positions on the European power and gas market
Solid contribution from LNG trading and optimisation of activities and LPG
activities
Gas activities
Strong evolution in LNG activity linked to a better use of Group capacities
(1) Organic change at comparable scope and exchange rates. .
(in millions of Euros)
9M 2018 9M 2019 ∆% ∆% org.(1) SALES 2,055 2,159 +5.1 +8.9
832 846 +1.7 +6.7
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Excluding non-recurring items(4)
FY2019 and FY2020
€16.0 - €16.7bn ~€1.1bn vs 2015
DECREASE IN OPEX(2) EBITDA(1)
TOTAL NET INVESTMENTS(3) excluding acquisitions and “2019-2020 Group disposals”
45 - 50%
DIVIDEND
2019 TARGETS 2019-20 AMBITIONS
>€600m (5)
CASH FLOW excluding HPC and Linky
€2bn to €3bn
2019-2020 GROUP DISPOSALS NET FINANCIAL DEBT / EBITDA(1) (3)
≤2.7x
After IFRS 16 application Before IFRS 16 application
€15.3 - €16.0bn >0 ≤2.5x
(1) On the basis of the scope and exchange rates at 01/01/2019 and of an assumption of a 384-388TWh range for France nuclear output. (2) Sum of personnel expenses and other external expenses. At comparable scope, IFRS 16 standard and exchange rates. At constant pension discount rates. Excluding change in operating expenses of service activities. (3) For 2020: in accordance with the chosen Group’s scenario regarding the Flamanville 3 project completion costs and schedule, cf. press release of 9 October 2019. (4) Adjusted for the remuneration of hybrid bonds accounted for in equity. (5) The impact of IFRS 16 on cash-flow is derived from the increase in EBITDA, reduced by financial interests
2019: ~€15bn 2020: ~€15.5bn
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