JANUARY-JUNE 2018
Strong organic growth continued
JARI ROSENDAL, PRESIDENT AND CEO PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO JULY 20, 2018
growth continued JANUARY-JUNE 2018 Key financial highlights Q2 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
JARI ROSENDAL, PRESIDENT AND CEO PETRI CASTRN, CFO JULY 20, 2018 Strong organic growth continued JANUARY-JUNE 2018 Key financial highlights Q2 2018 Organic growth +9% EUR million Q2 Q2 % FY Healthy organic growth in all
JANUARY-JUNE 2018
JARI ROSENDAL, PRESIDENT AND CEO PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO JULY 20, 2018
Key financial highlights
– Healthy organic growth in all businesses – Strong growth continued in Oil & Gas
– Sales prices started to offset increasing raw material costs – Currencies were still significant headwind
Q2 2017 EUR million (except ratios) Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Δ% FY 2017 Revenue 647.6 617.2 +5 2,486.0 Operative EBITDA 80.2 77.1 +4 311.3
12.4% 12.5%
Operative EBIT 45.1 43.6 +3 170.3
7.0% 7.1%
Net profit 23.5 19.6 +20 85.2 EPS, EUR 0.14 0.12 +17 0.52
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 2Q2 2018
VARIABLE COST SPLIT Last 12 months EUR 1.5 billion TOP 10 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND 1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda) 2. Acrylonitrile (OD) 3. Colloidal silica dispersion 4. Amines (OD) 5. Aluminum hydrate 6. Petroleum solvents 7. Acrylic acid (OD) 8. Acrylic ester (OD) 9. Alpha olefin (OD)
Top 10 account for 45%
OD = Oil & gas derivative
Q2 2018 RESULTS 3EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
30%
Oil & gas derivative
70%
Not oil related
65%
Raw materials
15%
Electricity & energy
20%
Logistics
JULY 20, 2018Raw material prices on inflationary path
material prices have been very volatile
value chain from WTI Crude Oil to acrylonitrile and acrylic acid illustrated on the right
far only partially passed
WTI +41% Propylene +28% Acrylonitrile +19% Key feedstock Key oil related raw materials
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 4CERTAIN FEEDSTOCK AND RAW MATERIAL PRICES IN THE US Change y-o-y
Acrylic Acid +6%
Change in Q2/18:
10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 WTI Crude Oil US Propylene Acrylonitrile Acrylic Acid
Majority of contracts with fixed annual pricing
Pulp & Paper – Contract types and pricing terms on high level
longer / only 5% are spot deals
pricing Industry & Water – Contract types and pricing terms
/ 40% spot deals
pricing, incl. Oil & Gas where contracts are either formula or spot based
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 5Pulp & Paper – good organic growth, profitability hampered by FX
H1 organic growth +5%
growth
Operative EBITDA below prior year
EBITDA by EUR -9 million in H1
compensate higher raw material prices Update on China AKD JV/acquisition
venture with Tiancheng
approvals
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 6REVENUE EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND EBITDA-% EUR million
741 745
H1 2017 H1 2018
94 88
H1 2017 H1 2018 11.8% 12.7%
Industry & Water – profitable growth continued in water treatment and oil & gas
Strong revenue growth
driven by positive underlying market trends Operative EBITDA increased
gross margin
Polymer production optimization
as a part of long-term polymer manufacturing
REVENUE EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND EBITDA-% EUR million
486 517
H1 2017 H1 2018
52 61
H1 2017 H1 2018 11.9% 10.8%
Outlook for 2018
Kemira expects its operative EBITDA to increase from the prior year (2017: EUR 311.3 million).
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 8EUR million 2015 2016 2017 H1 2017 H1 2018 2018
Operative EBITDA 287 303 311 146 150 Increase
PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO JULY 20, 2018
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 9Organic growth continued
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 10Q2 2018
Group’s organic growth +9%
Operative EBITDA +4%, margin 12.4%
implementing sales price increases
72.8 78.9 80.8 70.0 69.0 77.1 84.5 80.7 69.4 80.2 12.5% 13.4% 13.6% 11.7% 11.3% 12.5% 13.6% 12.7% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018 617 +2%
0% 648 Q2 2017 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency impact Acquisitions Q2 2018 +8%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
12.4% 11.3%
Earnings per share up by 17%
and gain on sale
– Q2 2018 includes also EUR 9 million write-down of manufacturing unit and Q2 2017 includes restructuring costs of EUR 10 million
EUR/USD SINCE JANUARY 2017
1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2017 2018
CURRENCY IMPACT ON EBITDA
EUR million (Rounded figures) Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Delta H1 2018 H1 2017 Delta Translation / transaction
Hedges and balance sheet revaluation
+1
+2
Currencies in total
CURRENCIES HAD EUR -16 MILLION IMPACT ON H1 2018 VS H1 2017 OF WHICH -10 FROM EUR/USD
Adverse FX movements impacted EBITDA
Negative FX effect on revenue and EBITDA (Q2/17 vs Q2/18) Negative FX effect on hedges and balance sheet (Mar 31 vs Jun 30)
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND
50 100 150 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (CHANGE Y-O-Y)
9 5
11
3 11 23 47
16 13 13 26 36
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 12Net impact of sales price & variable cost delta positive for the 1st time since Q2 2016
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
Pulp & Paper – good growth but profitability impacted by raw material prices and FX
362 361 365 369 372 369 363 373 369 376 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018 47.9 49.3 51.8 46.3 46.0 47.8 48.5 55.4 42.7 45.4 13.2%13.7% 14.2% 12.6% 12.4% 13.0% 13.4% 14.9% 11.6% 12.1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 13+3% +1%
0% +1% +2% +5%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
+5% +6%
Industry & Water – strong growth continued and margin improved
– Vast majority of growth in Oil & Gas came from higher sales prices
220 227 231 228 238 248 259 264 245 272 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018 24.9 29.6 29.0 23.7 22.9 29.3 36.0 25.3 26.6 34.8 11.3% 13.1% 12.5% 10.4% 9.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.6% 10.9% 12.8% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 140% +9% +15%
+6% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
+11%
Development of selected key figures
9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.2% 9.7% 2015 2016 2017 H1 2017 H1 2018 642 634 694 758 773 2015 2016 2017 H1 2017 H1 2018
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 15ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION EXCEPT RATIOS
248 271 205 41 58 2015 2016 2017 H1 2017 H1 2018 104 118 124 44 41 78 95 66 38 22 2015 2016 2017 H1 2017 H1 2018
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS NET DEBT AND LEVERAGE RATIO OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.5 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.2 Growth capex
JANUARY-JUNE 2018
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 17SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 18GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in brief
FY2017: REVENUE EUR 2,486 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 311 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 12.5%, OPERATIVE ROCE 9.7%
25% Bleaching and pulping 20% Polymers 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides 20% Coagulants 15% Sizing and strength
Revenue by product category rounded to the nearest 5%39% AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil 52% EMEA 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany 9% APAC 1.China 2.South Korea 3.Indonesia
59%
Pulp & Paper
41%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS 2,000 customers TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue TOP 50 customers are ~45% of revenue EXAMPLES OF LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g. Frankfurt, London, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore #1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas #1 globally
1,068 1,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 130 137 171 195 198 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
Q2 2018 RESULTS 19REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – market leader with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
50% EMEA 35% Americas 15% APAC 35% Bleaching & pulping 25% Sizing & strength 20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and
chemicals
10% Polymers 10% Other 40% Pulp 20% Printing & writing papers 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 0-1% Market growth
AkzoNobel (pulp) #4 BASF (paper) #2 Solenis (paper) #3 Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #1 Ecolab (paper) #5
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
JULY 20, 2018REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
Q2 2018 RESULTS 20REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
40% Coagulants 40% Polymers 20% Other products such as defoamers and biocides
2-3% 5-6% 2-3%
50% EMEA 45% Americas 5% APAC 70% Water treatment 10% Other 20% Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt London Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market growth Market growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
JULY 20, 2018938 921 906 906 924 945 973 1,009 1,016 1040
111 107 105 107 105 105 112 113 117 123 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA ROLLING 12 MONTHS MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share ~30% in coagulants and ~20% in polymers Main competitors in coagulants:
Market share ~25% in polymers used in shale oil & gas Main peers in polymers (also in water treatment):
MUNICIPAL (40%), customer examples INDUSTRIAL (60%), customer examples
Municipal Industrial
Global trends favor Kemira
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 21RECYCLING E-COMMERCE ALTERNATIVE MATERIALS TO PLASTICS REGULATION DRIVING BETTER WATER QUALITY OIL RESOURES ARE BECOMING HARDER TO EXTRACT
Increasing the lifespan and quality of the recycled fibers Growing demand for light- weight and recyclable materials in packaging Increasing need for biobased and biodegradable materials in packaging materials Stricter regulation increases usage of chemicals and requires more efficient water treatment Oil yield boosting and lifespan extension of resources is a growing
soluble polymer chemistry
REVENUE EUR million
2,229 2,137 2,373 2,363 2,486 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
OPERATIVE EBITDA OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
252 253 287 303 311 11.3% 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q2 2018 RESULTS 22Delivering profitable growth
JULY 20, 2018Kemira offers stable and competitive dividend
invested into future growth and partly distributed to shareholders as dividends
listing of shares in 1994
0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.13 0.37 0.47 0.44 0.51 0.61 0.43
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q2 2018 RESULTS 23 Dividend per share Dividend yield
JULY 20, 2018Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end Growth investments per share
Key figures
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 24EUR million Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Δ% H1 2018 H1 2017 Δ% 2017 2016 Δ% Revenue 647.6 617.2 +5 1,261.4 1,227.3 +3 2,486.0 2,363.3 +5 Operative EBITDA 80.2 77.1 +4 149.6 146.1 +2 311.3 302.5 +3 margin 12.4% 12.5%
11.9%
12.8%
45.1 43.6 +3 79.0 78.6 +1 170.3 170.1 margin 7.0% 7.1%
6.4%
7.2%
23.5 19.6 +20 46.6 39.4 +18 85.2 97.9
Earnings per share, EUR 0.14 0.12 +17 0.28 0.24 +17 0.52 0.60
Cash flow from operations 23.4 28.6
57.9 40.8 +42 205.1 270.6
Capex excl. acquisitions 39.8 45.2
63.0 82.1
190.1 212.6
Net debt 773 758 +2 773 758 +2 694 634 +10 NWC ratio 9.6% 9.5%
9.5%
10.2%
12 months) 9.7% 9.2%
9.2%
9.9%
4,858 4,849 4,858 4,849 4,732 4,818
Currencies
Currency exchange rates had EUR -26 million impact on revenue and EUR -9 million impact on the operative EBITDA in Q2 2018 compared to Q2 2017 Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 25 43 % EUR 10 % Others KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION Q2 2018 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION Q2 2018 2 % SEK 3 % CNY 4 % CAD 36 % USD 10 % Others 5 % CNY 5 % CAD 7 % SEK 29 % USD 44 % EUR 2 % BRL
EUR million Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Δ% H1 2018 H1 2017 111111 Δ% 2017 2016 Δ% Revenue 376.0 368.9 +2 744.6 741.1 1,476.9 1,457.3 +1 Operative EBITDA 45.4 47.8
88.2 93.8
197.7 195.3 +1 margin 12.1 13.0%
12.7%
13.4%
22.0 25.7
40.9 49.6
104.8 111.6
margin 5.9% 7.0%
6.7%
7.7%
8.3% 9.1%
9.1%
10.0%
19.1 35.2
32.5 65.0
138.3 125.1 +11 Cash flow after investing activities 2.3 8.9
22.9
105.7
KEY FINANCIALS
Pulp & Paper
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 26*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Δ% H1 2018 H1 2017 Δ% 2017 2016 Δ% Revenue 271.7 248.3 +9 516.7 486.1 +6 1,009.1 906.0 +11 Operative EBITDA 34.8 29.3 +18 61.4 52.3 +17 113.6 107.2 +6 margin 12.8% 11.8%
10.8%
11.8%
23.0 17.9 +28 38.1 29.0 +31 65.5 58.5 +12 margin 8.5% 7.2%
6.0%
6.5%
12.6% 9.4%
9.4%
9.7%
18.4 10.0 +84 27.3 17.1 +60 51.7 85.5
Cash flow after investing activities 6.1 3.3 +85 2.0 12.5
35.6 +32 KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 27*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q2 2018 Q2 2017 H1 2018 H1 2017 2017 2016 Net profit for the period 24 20 47 39 85 98 Total adjustments 53 60 95 106 204 187 Change in net working capital
29 Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
Net cash gen. from operating activities 23 29 58 41 205 271 Purchases of subsidiaries and acquisit. 2 3 2 Capital expenditure
Proceeds from sale of assets 1 5 3 37 Change in long-term loan receivables
1 Cash flow after investing activities
4
13 98
Cash flow
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 28FY 2017
Revenue split by country
JULY 20, 2018 Q2 2018 RESULTS 29USA 27% Canada 6% Brazil 3% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 1% Finland 14% Sweden 6% Germany 5% Poland 3% UK 3% Spain 2% Other APAC 4% Korea 1% China 4% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2% Other EMEA 9% Norway 2%
Important information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures)
growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration. Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information. All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments