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For speaking appearances Additional educational videos - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 04, 2023 161 likes •583 views

RAYMOND RONDEAU For speaking appearances Additional educational videos EasyLanguage programming Strategy design & optimization Analysis writings (401) 451 4163 Email: QPrime2@cox.net www.Investorstein.com

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RAYMOND RONDEAU

  • For speaking appearances
  • Additional educational videos
  • EasyLanguage programming
  • Strategy design & optimization
  • Analysis writings

 (401) – 451 – 4163  Email: QPrime2@cox.net  www.Investorstein.com

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Welcome

Benve venuto nuto - It Italian ian Bienveni nvenidos dos - Spanish nish Bienvenue nvenue - French ch Bun venit it - Rom

  • manian

nian Dobro pozhalovat’ - Ru Russian ian Emuke kela la - Zulu Foo

  • on ying

ng & Huan n yin n - Chinese hinese Hwangy ngyon

  • ng-hamni

hamnida da - Kor

  • rean

ean Iiwy - Ancient cient Egyp ypt Irashaimasu shaimasu & Yo k

  • kos
  • so
  • - Japanese

anese Laska skavo

  • pros
  • sim

imo

  • - Ukrainian

rainian Sos

  • sop
  • po
  • mai

i - Sam amoan

  • an

Velkommen’ - Dani anish sh Vite tezte te - Czech ch Willkom komme men n - German rman Wita tajcie jcie - Pol

  • lish

ish Zayt yt vilku lkum - Yidd ddish ish

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Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it.

  • Andre Gide
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Basic Chart Reading Skills are Required

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Chart Reading 101

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Candle Stick Price Break Down

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Chart Reading - 101

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Support / Resistance & Trends

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S”up”port & “Resist”ance

Demand SUPPLY

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Battle Lines

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The “Price Is Right”

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“ Markets Discount Everything” ….

Over any period of time, all factors that have happened, are expected to happen and could happen are already priced into the market. As anything changes real or perceived, the market adjusts along with the prices, reflecting that new information.

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“Correlated Relative Efficiency”

ETF’s ( Big Factor )

Closet Mutual Funds

Arbitraging

Computer Processing Abilities

Fair Value Pricing Models

Growing Number of Educated Market Participants

Exposure to the Same Information & News

Lack of Information Delay

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Technical Analysis & Mutual Funds

For Mutual Fund Selections it is recommended that you evaluate and compare the funds relative strength over various periods of time, to that specific fund’s category peers. For Mutual Fund Purchases and Redemptions it is appropriate to utilize technical analysis on the Major Indexes on which the specific fund’s components are based and correlated.

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 Supply and demand of market participants are the

driving forces behind long term price movements and those forces are driven by …..

 The current fundamentals of a company and its

future prospects and the …..

 Quantitative analysis of revenues, earnings,

expenses, assets, liabilities, etc. , are obviously very beneficial in predicting future long term price movements.

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Fundamental / Technicals & Time

Fundamentals are the driving force behind long term price movements and their study becomes more relevant as the investment time increases. Technicals relevancy and benefits are accentuated on shorter duration trades or for longer term investors looking to fine tune their executions.

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News & Events / Drive Price Movements

Technicals relevancy and benefits are clearly more effective in quieter times when there are no other prominent factors moving prices. Similarly in times of extreme market emotions and panic, pricing does become more erratic and less predictable, so technical studies can be less effective.

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When you couple the flexibility and the simplicity, it becomes obvious why a technical approach is so popular with a today’s traders and investors.

 Momentum Traders  Day Traders  Swing Traders  Position Traders  Long Term Investors

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The tools of technical analysis and related

trend line theory can be applied directly to multiple assets classes:

 Stocks  ETF's  Major Indexes  Commodities  Forex  Other Indicators

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Other Measurements & Indicators

O Volatil

tility ity Indicat icator

  • rs (VIX, VXN)

O Put - Call Rati

tios

  • s (Option Ratios)

O Market

et Breat ath h (Advance/Decline Ratios)

O Senti

timent ment Indica icator

  • rs (AAII / Michigan)

O New Highs vs. New Lows (Hindenburg Omen) O Commitm

tment ent of Trade ders Reports ts (Futures Participants)

O TICK & TRIN

N (Intraday Statistics)

O Market

t Depth th / Time & Sales es (Order & Executions)

O Short Intere

rest t Ratio tios (Day’s To Cover)

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Internal Types of Risk Associated with Investing

  • Over Aggressive ( too many positions )
  • Over Confidence ( positions too large )
  • Worship Risk ( someone else knows )
  • Hindsight Bias ( knew it all along )
  • Extrapolation Risk ( need to predict )
  • Herd Instinct ( everyone else is doing it )
  • Chasing Performance ( buying high – selling low )
  • Over Reaction ( past events )
  • Under Estimating ( probability of adverse events )
  • Rationalizing ( someone else's fault )
  • Irrational Thinking ( due for some good luck )
  • Physiological Risk ( fatigue, illness, stress )
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Key Observation

Consider avoiding stocks on the long side of this set-up that have been falling during a recent bull market. Unless they are in an industry that traditionally tends to run counter to the overall market or are in an industries that is considered a safe haven.

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Focus on stocks (small cap) with strong fundamentals, that have been FALLING with the market on decreasing volume, and that have formed clear well defined relatively shallow angled TL’s over a long time frame, with multiple, widely spaced touches and that have broken out

  • n high volume and a gap.

DECLINING TREND LINE SYNOPSIS

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Chances Are ………….

A Coin Flip:

Heads you Win $2

Tails you Lose $1

► 50% chance of making $2

► 50% chance of losing - $1

  • ► 100% $1

► Trials 2

$0.50 Anticipated Return / Flip

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Free Trade Principle

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HIGHER HIGHS LOWER LOWS

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PRICE CHANNELS

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TRIANGLE PATTERNS

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DOUBLE BOTTOM

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TRIPLE BOTTOM

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INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER

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ROUNDED BOTTOM

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CANDLE PATTERNS

Abandoned Baby Bullish Engulfing Hammers Morning Star Bullish Kicker

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There Are No Coincidences

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TREND LINE - UPS & DOWNS

The differences in the tracings between up & down trends are simply a function of the way financial markets tend to move. Slowly and deliberately up, followed by sharp panic motivated drops. “When Markets go up they use the stairs and when they go down they use the window.”

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The Silver Rule

Al Alwa ways ys Trade ade In a Ma n a Manner nner No Not To Lo Lose e Money ney

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Thank You For Attending !

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RAYMOND RONDEAU

  • For speaking appearances
  • Additional educational videos
  • EasyLanguage programming
  • Strategy design & optimization
  • Analysis writings

 (401) – 451 – 4163  Email: QPrime2@cox.net  www.Investorstein.com

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