European Offshore Wind 2009 A description and analysis of the new - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

european offshore wind 2009
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European Offshore Wind 2009 A description and analysis of the new - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

European Offshore Wind 2009 A description and analysis of the new competitive regime for the provision of grid connections for UK offshore wind farms Overview Transmission Capital an introduction Financing Offshore Transmission


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European Offshore Wind 2009

A description and analysis of the new competitive regime for the provision of grid connections for UK offshore wind farms

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Overview

  • Transmission Capital – an introduction
  • Financing Offshore Transmission – an emerging issue in Europe
  • The UK Offshore Transmission Regime

– a description – an offshore wind developer’s perspective – an OFTO bidder’s perspective

  • Who will the new offshore transmission owners be?
  • How does the regime impact on offshore grid design?

– a grid system planner’s perspective

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SLIDE 3

Transmission Capital – an introduction

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Leading Offshore Transmission Experience

  • New company but experienced staff
  • Over 50 years in offshore transmission
  • Led several major successful offshore

projects now in construction:

– Greater Gabbard OWF – BritNed Interconnector – Robin Rigg OWF

  • Other roles on many other offshore

projects now operational:

– Basslink Interconnector – Isle of Man Interconnector

  • A team of international experts

providing project management and specialist technical expertise

Offshore wind farms (under construction) Submarine cable (in service or under construction) Round 3 wind farms (initial development recently completed) Onshore power stations (in service)

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Design, Development, Investment & Asset Management

  • We offer a full design & development

service in relation to transmission assets:

– Front end engineering and design – Environmental Impact Assessment – Stakeholder consultation – Land right acquisition – Crossing agreement negotiations – Sea-bed survey (and other site investigations as necessary) – Connection application and connection agreement negotiation – Liaison with TSO and onshore transmission companies – Advice on performance targets – Advice on regulatory transmission issues

  • Full service for equity investors,

working with specialist advisers to provide:

– Bid management – Development and Design – Technical and legal due diligence – Arranging debt finance – Procurement and construction management – Operational management – Insurance – Industry and stakeholder liaison – Health & safety compliance – Regulatory compliance

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Financing Offshore Transmission – an emerging issue in Europe

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Growth in Capex Requirements for Offshore Transmission

  • The pace of offshore wind growth is picking up
  • Even conservative estimates envisage 20-

40GW by 2020

  • To date rule of thumb of €500m capex on
  • ffshore transmission for every 1000MW of
  • ffshore wind capacity (15-20% total capex)
  • Farther offshore wind farms will require even

greater transmission capex

  • So minimum of €10bn in Europe by 2020
  • UK government /Ofgem estimating UK offshore

transmission market may be worth €15bn-€20bn

  • n its own
  • Greater interconnection will increase capex

requirements, and benefits even more so

Installed European Offshore Wind Capacity (GW)

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2006 2010 2015 2020 Delivering Offshore Wind Power in Europe, Offshore Wind Industry Group, EWEA, 2007

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New Challenges for Transmission Companies

  • Onshore grids largely built by state owned monopolies
  • Many grids now in private hands
  • Private finance required to fund offshore transmission expansion
  • Investment requirement offshore may be greater than existing asset base (cf UK)
  • Investors may not be willing to fund or at least to commit to funding expansion
  • Particularly in current “credit crunch” climate
  • Hence different models required …. UK first of these …
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The new UK offshore transmission regime

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Description

  • By summer 2010 it will be prohibited in the UK to transmit electricity offshore at

132kV or above without an offshore transmission licence

  • Ofgem will be the licence awarding entity
  • Currently no offshore transmission licences exist
  • Licences will be awarded following a competitive tender on a project-by-project basis
  • The criteria for licence award will be 60% finance based and 40% non-finance
  • Existing and under construction offshore transmission assets will be transferred to

new offshore transmission owners (OFTOs) – TRANSITIONAL REGIME

  • New offshore transmission assets will be procured, constructed and owned by new

OFTOs – ENDURING REGIME

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Scope of OFTO

Offshore Transmission Owner (OFTO) Onshore TO Generator Offshore Platform Connection to onshore network 132 kV Cable 33 kV Inter Array Cables Onshore Substation

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Industry Relationships

OFTO

GBSO O&M Contract Ofgem Offshore Generator Crown Estate

Lease Sale and Purchase Agreement Transmission Licence Bid revenue stream Transmission Use of System Charges

Insurance Financing

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Transitional Regime Projects

Project Developer Size (MW)

  • Exp. Completion

1. Barrow Dong Energy / Centrica 90 Operating 2. Robin Rigg E.ON 180 Jul 09 3. Gunfleet Sands I & II Dong Energy 172 2009 4. Thanet Vattenfall 300 * 5. Greater Gabbard SSE / RWE Innogy 504 Mar 11 6. Ormonde Vattenfall 150 Nov 10 7. Walney I & II Dong Energy 360 * 8. Sheringham Shoal Statoil Hydro / Statkraft 315 Jun 10 Project Developer Size (MW) 9. London Array E.ON / Dong / Masdar 1000 10. Lincs Centrica 250 11. Gwynt y Mor RWE Innogy 750 12. Docking Shoal Centrica 500 13. Race Bank Centrica 500

Projects likely to qualify for First Transitional Tender (£1.15bn) Projects that may qualify for Final Transitional Tender (up to £1.5bn)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 8

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An offshore wind developer’s perspective …

  • Good bits

– Offshore wind developers don’t need to finance offshore transmission connection – Rate of return requirements will be less than for offshore wind farm – offshore wind developers will benefit (customer taking the risk of default of the offshore wind farm) – Energy production metered offshore

  • Bad bits

– No significant compensation if offshore transmission is unavailable – No significant compensation if offshore transmission is late

  • Clarification needed in some areas

– When to seek appointment of the OFTO? – How many OFTOs for a large multi-site project?

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An OFTO bidder perspective

  • Good bits

– Credit risk minimal, 20-yr fixed revenue stream subject RPI indexation – Availability incentive/penalty (capped at 10% of annual revenue) – O&M and insurance costs, generally small and can be estimated and fixed – Most significant repair costs should be insured or under manufacturer’s warranties – Some cost items are pass-through

  • Bad bits

– A long time coming (regime first consulted on in 2004) – Complex, costly and lengthy tendering process

  • Clarification needed in some areas

– Lack of clarity as to when committed financing required – Indeterminate timing gap between licence award and takeover of asset – Requirement for compliance with utilities contract regulation (OJEU) – Level playing field with respect to generator-affiliated OFTO bidders

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Who will the new offshore transmission owners be?

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Who might the new OFTOs be?

  • Transitional

– Offshore wind generators (for their own projects) – Existing onshore TOs – New entrants backed by infrastructure/pension funds

  • Enduring

– Offshore wind generators (subject to unbundling) – Existing onshore TOs – New entrants - to the extent cut-their-teeth on the transitional rounds – New entrants - with offshore construction management experience

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UK regime impact on offshore grid design

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Offshore Wind Farm Connections or offshore grids?

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A grid system planner’s perspective

  • UK regulatory enduring regime still being developed
  • Some positives

– Information to be published by TSO – Co-ordination by controlling body (landlord) – Co-operation between developers

  • Some way to go though …

– Connection application process requires individual treatment of offshore wind farms – Offshore wind developers incentivised to be selfish in some circumstances – Interconnection has to be merchant

  • Some of these issues will be addressed through forthcoming UK consultation

processes

  • What can EU do to help or hinder?

– Cross-border planning standards – Clear and certain mechanism for recovering costs of interconnection (including return on investment)

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Conclusions

  • Financing offshore transmission is a growing challenge
  • New models for funding being tried
  • UK model has acceptable risk/return profile for low return capital
  • Some issues still need to be resolved in the tender process but otherwise attractive

for investors

  • Some issues less than ideal for offshore wind developers and enduring regime still

being devised

  • A competitive process expected with new entrants in the transmission ownership

space

  • EU has a role to play in facilitating cross-border connections leading to an optimal
  • ffshore grid design
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Contact details: Email: chris.veal@transmissioncapital.com Tel: 07768 036613 Web: www.transmissioncapital.com