Endesa Chile IR presentation
As of June 2012
Endesa Chile IR presentation As of June 2012 Endesa Chile IR - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Endesa Chile IR presentation As of June 2012 Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012 Our company Multinational electricity generation company based in Chile Vast experience, with over 69 years of history Efficient and diversified
As of June 2012
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Multinational electricity generation company based in Chile Efficient and diversified investment portfolio of generation assets Part of an important worldwide electricity group (Enel, Endesa, Enersis)
Vast experience, with over 69 years of history Conservative commercial policy leading to revenue and margin stability Among the most actively traded companies in Chilean stock markets
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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AMPLA COELCE FORTALEZA CDSA CIEN 61% 92% 60% PEHUENCHE 93% CELTA 100% SAN ISIDRO 96% ENDESA ECO 100% CANELA 75%
60% 15% 4% 17% 4% ENERSIS Chilean Pension Funds ADR Holders Other Inst Shareholders Minority Shareholders
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Colombia
2,914 MW inst. capacity 20% market share
5,612 MW inst. capacity 32% market share
Peru
1,668 MW inst. capacity 26% market share
Chile Brazil
987 MW inst. capacity 1% market share in generation
Market shares based on installed capacity Figures as of June 2012
Consolidated installed capacity: 13,845 MW Capacity including Brazil: 14,832 MW Consolidated energy sales 2011: 58,012 GWh Consolidated energy sales 1H2012: 28,998 GWh
3,652 MW inst. capacity 12% market share
Argentina
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Results affected by the drought in Chile and high fuel costs
Million Ch$ 1H 2012 1H 2011 Change MM US$ * 1H 2012 Revenues 1,155,422 1,176,178 (2%) 2,345 Gross margin 469,037 504,733 (7%) 952 EBITDA 363,981 387,597 (6%) 739 EBIT 270,825 302,621 (11%) 550 Net financial expense (65,700) (62,080) (6%) (133) Net income 174,419 211,772 (18%) 354 Net attibutable income 101,443 161,726 (37%) 206
in Chile.
US$87 million* during the first half of 2011.
financial expenses.
*Amounts are expressed in US$, using the average exchange rate for each period.
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
Chile 41% Colombia 21% Peru 12% Argentina 26% Chile 45% Colombia 37% Peru 15% Argentina 3% Chile 39% Colombia 24% Peru 17% Argentina 20%
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Total Installed Capacity: 13,845 MW EBITDA 1H2012 TTM: US$ 1.929 million Total Generation (TTM): 53,564 GWh
Endesa Brasil
direct)
million
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
67% 30% 3% 54% 19% 27% 65% 29% 6% 17% 83%
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Regulated Spot Unregulated
Physical Sales as of June 2011
Chile Colombia Peru
Regulated Spot Unregulated
Argentina
Physical Sales as of June 2012
Chile Colombia Peru Argentina 66% 33% 1% 50% 20% 30% 65% 26% 9% 17% 83%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Debt by Type Debt by Currency Debt by Country
Amounts expressed in US$, using the exchange rate as of June 30, 2012.
Million Ch$ 1H 2012 1H 2011 Chg. Chg % MM US$ 1H2012 Gross Debt
1,974,825 2,142,355 (167,530) (8%) 3,935
Cash & Equivalents
165,200 229,581 (64,381) (28%) 329
Net Debt
1,809,625 1,912,774 (103,149) (5%) 3,606
Leverage
0.93 0.92 (0.01) (1%) 0.93
Financial Expenses Coverage
4.5 5.5 (1.63) (30%) 4.5
Chile, 53% Argentina, 7% Colombia, 30% Peru, 9% Local Currency, 35% US$, 52% UF, 13% Others, 17% Bank Debt, 16% Bonds, 68%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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1
Amounts are expressed in US$, using the average exchange rate for each period.
1 Over Trail Twelve Months
2,248 (305) (564) (308) 1,070 (394) 2,098 (235) (499) (353) 1,012 (523) 2,014 (251) (549) (435) 779 (462) 1,929 (260) (477) (416) 775
EBITDA Net Financial Result CAPEX Income Tax FCF Dividends 2009 2010 2011 1H2012 TTM
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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4.4% 2.4% 5.3% 5.4% 3.6% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 130% 140% 150% 160% 170% 180% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total Sales in GWh (% growth) Years
Historic electricity demand growth (CAGR, last ten years)
CHILE COLOMBIA PERU ARGENTINA BRAZIL
*: Estimated growth using 1H2012
*
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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ARGENTINA AUSTRALIA AUSTRIA BOLIVIA BRAZIL CANADA CHILE COLOMBIA FRANCE GERMANY INDIA ITALY JAPAN MEXICO PERU SPAIN UNITED KINGDOM UNITED STATES CHINA RUSSIA FINLAND GREECE IRELAND 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
Electricity consumption, per cápita (Kwh per year) Income per person (Fixed PPP $)
Internal elaboration. Data source: International Energy Agency (EIA) and The World Bank.
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Final tariff to customers1 as of December 2011
Lima Bogotá Buenos Aires Río de Janeiro Latam Average Ceará Santiago
Gx & Tx Dx
1 US$/MWh. Reference values. Taxes not included.
200 203 177 162 128 24 158
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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plant Bocamina, in Bío-Bío region.
blowing steam pipe finished.
BOCAMINA II
Emgesa’s Betania plant.
building permissions were granted
Vertedero Presa h = 151 m
Río Magdalena
Casa de máquinas 400 MW Túnel de desviación Bocatoma Dique Conducción Embalse 720 msnm Vertedero Presa h = 151 m
Río Magdalena
Casa de máquinas 400 MW Túnel de desviación Bocatoma Dique Conducción Embalse 720 msnm
EL QUIMBO
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Neltume, hydro run-of-the-river plant Installed capacity: 490 MW Los Cóndores, hydro power plant Installed capacity: 150 MW Punta Alcalde, coal-steam power plant Installed capacity: 740 MW Curibamba, hydro power plant Installed capacity: 188 MW Hydroaysén, hydro power plant Installed capacity: 2,750 MW
1
1EIA rejected. On appeal to the Ministers Committee.
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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312 144 134 81 81 75 69 65 54 54 53 45 41 29 23 12 12 7 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
GWh / year-km2
Energy / Flooded Surface
projects in the world.
tons/year
9, 2011: EIA was approved for the Generation Plants.
an injunction, leaving the resolution in state of abeyance.
rescinded seven protection requirements presented to stop the construction of the project.
“Electric Highway project” in 2H 2012.
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
Apr-10 may jun jul ago sep
nov dec Jan-11 feb mar Timeline Water Flow [ m³/s]
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
MAIPO RIVER IN CABIMBAO BIOBIO RIVER IN RUCALHUE MAULE IN ARMERILLO (R.N.) CENTRAL BAKER 2 CENTRAL PASCUA 2.2
SIC : 23% SIC : 21% SIC + Hidroaysen : 9% SIC + Hidroaysen : 12% Seasonal Variability Annual Variability
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
17 Power Plants Zone HVDC Land Line HVDC Submarine Line 640 km 160 km 1.112 km
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
13.8 21.3 26.8 32.5 27.2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1.503 1.671 2.033 2.248 2.098 2.014 1.929 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2012 TTM
1Amounts expressed in US$, using the average exchange rate for each period. 2 Amounts expressed in US$, using the last exchange rate for each period. 3As of June 30 , 2012
18 Dividends (Ch$ per Share) EBITDA (US$ Million) Market Value (US$ Million)
Dividend Yield: 3.2%
1
Source: Intern using Bloomberg 10.072 10.393 9.428 13.963 15.364 12.102 13.878 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2012
2 3
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
19 Contact us at: ir@endesa.cl Juan Pablo Vicuña Investor Relations Executive (56-2) 630 9585 jpvp@endesa.cl Susana Rey Investor Relations Director (56-2) 630 96 06 susana.rey@endesa.cl Catalina Gonzalez Head of Investor Relations (56-2) 630 96 03 cbgs@endesa.cl Guillermo Berguecio Investor Relations Executive (56-2) 630 9506 gabb@endesa.cl
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Growth of 6% in electricity demand in the region Growth of 1.9% in physical sales on a consolidated basis Increase of 2.2% in operating costs, primarily as a consequence of higher fuel costs in Chile, Colombia and Peru, and higher transportation costs in Chile Non-recurring accounting effects in Colombia and Peru in the first half 2011 Growth of 3.1% in consolidated generation due to 13% more hydro generation in Colombia and Chile Good results in Colombia, mainly related to higher hydro generation in the period.
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Guavio: 1,213 MW Betania: 541 MW Río Bogotá: 716 MW
85% Hydro 2,471 MW 15% Thermal 444 MW
Cartagena: 208 MW Termozipa: 236 MW
Installed Capacity: 2,914 MW Market Share: 20% Total Generation: 6,396 Gwh
EMGESA
Cartagena
Bogotá
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 552 471 17% EBITDA 360 235 53% EBITDA Margin 65.3% 50.0% 31% Physical Sales (Gwh) 7,719 7,224 7%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
23 Installed Capacity: 5,611 MW Market Share: 32% Total Generation: 9,554 Gwh
ENDESA CHILE
Bocamina Laja Maule Bio Bio Tarapaca Huasco San Isidro Los Molles Cachapoal
Santiago
Los Molles: 18 MW Rapel-Sauzal: 466 MW Maule: 884 MW Laja: 940 MW Ralco-Pangue: 1,157 MW
62% Hydro 3,465 MW 37% Thermal 2,068 MW
Tarapaca-G.Atacama: 572 MW
269 MW Huasco: 64 MW San Isidro 1 and 2: 778 MW Bocamina: 128 MW TG Quintero: 257 MW
1% Wind 78 MW
Canela: 18 MW Canela II: 60 MW
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 1,136 1,269 (10%) EBITDA 206 346 (40%) EBITDA Margin 18.1% 27.3% (33%) Physical Sales (Gwh) 10,409 10,169 2%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Lima:
Ventanilla: 493 MW Santa Rosa: 429 MW
55% Thermal 922 MW
Cuenca Río Rímac: 552 MW Yanango: 43 MW Chimay: 151 MW
45% Hydro 747 MW
Installed Capacity: 1,668 MW Market Share: 26% Total Generation: 4,463 Gwh
EDEGEL
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 288 234 23% EBITDA 146 152 (4%) EBITDA Margin 50.7% 65.0% (22%) Physical Sales (Gwh) 4,835 4,746 2%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Costanera: 2,324 MW El Chocon: 1,328 MW
Hydro 1,328 MW
Installed Capacity: 3,652 MW Market Share: 12% Total Generation: 5,758 Gwh
EL CHOCON COSTANERA
Thermal 2,324 MW
El Chocon Costanera
CIEN Line (2x1.050 MW) Interconnection with Brazil
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 50 47 6% EBITDA 28 25 15% EBITDA Margin 56.0% 53.2% 5% Physical Sales (Gwh) 1,498 1,395 7%
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 321 367 (13%) EBITDA (2) 29 (105%) EBITDA Margin (0%) 7.9% (106%) Physical Sales (Gwh) 4,537 4,919 (8%)
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Fortaleza: 322 MW
Thermal 322 MW
Cachoeira: 665 MW
Hydro 665 MW
Installed Capacity: 987 MW Market Share: 1% Total Generation: 2,371 Gwh
CACHOEIRA FORTALEZA
Fortaleza Rio de Janeiro
Two 500 Km lines Total interconnection capacity: 2,100 MW
CIEN1: Transmission Brazil-Argentina Interconnection
Cachoeira
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 147 120 22% EBITDA 102 89 15% EBITDA Margin 69.4% 73.7% (6%) Physical Sales (Gwh) 2,145 1,792 20%
1Includes CIEN, CTM and TESA
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 133 124 7% EBITDA 56 57 (1%) EBITDA Margin 41.9% 46% (8%) Physical Sales (Gwh) 1,399 1,334 5%
Million US$
1H 2012 1H 2011 Change Revenues 76 35 121% EBITDA 53 22 138% EBITDA Margin 69.2% 64.1% 8%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Installed Capacity Output
MW as of 1H 2012 Chile Brazil Peru Colombia Argentina Total Total 5,611 987 1,668 2,914 3,652 14,832 Hydro 3,456 665 746 2,471 1,328 8,666 Nuclear
286
Oil-Gas 1,783 322 922 208 2,324 5,559 CHP / Renewables 87
GWh as of 1H 2012
Chile Brazil Peru Colombia Argentina Total Total 9,554 4.0% 2,371 75.3% 4,463
6,396 16.1% 5,758
28,541 6.8% Hydro 5,181 16.0% 1,880 65.3% 2,513
6,189 16.9% 1,295 14.4% 17,058 17.0% Nuclear
880
Oil-Gas 3,392
491 128.1% 1,949
97 2.5% 4,462
10,391
CHP / Renewables 101 18.9%
18.9%
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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BBB+ Baa2 BBB+ Since: Affirmed: Jan 2012 May 2012 Credit Risk Ratings Credit Risk Ratings Financial Debt Financial Debt
US$ Million 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Balance TOTAL Chile
366 419 165 219 15 909 2,094
Argentina
89 69 59 35 34
Perú
40 52 50 34 57 129 363
Colombia
163 23 927 1,192
TOTAL
496 541 354 451 129 1,965 3,935
Jun 2012
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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Net debt/EBITDA1 EBITDA/Net financial expenses1
1 EBITDA“ and “Net Financial Expenses” are over Trail Twelve Months” 2 EBITDA / (Financial expenses + Income (Loss) for indexed assets and liabilities + Foreign currency exchange differences, net)
Endesa Chile
1H 2012 1H 2011 Financial Expense Coverage2 4.5 5.5 ROE (%) 15.7% 21.0% ROA (%) 8.6% 10.0%
2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.9 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2012 5.6 7.4 8.9 8.0 7.4 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2012
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
30 100%
Risk variables affecting margins Risk variables affecting margins Our goal is to ensure a 95% reliability with a margin of at least 90% of budget even in the following scenarios:
Risk limit Real margin ≥ 0.9x expected margin Risk limit Real margin ≥ 0.9x expected margin
Spot
Extreme hydro volatility
Thermal
Target
Target sales
Output and sales targets for future years
Hydro Regulated and unregulated contracts
75%
Relative Frequency
Results
MMUS$ 5%
MaR 95%
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 10 20 30 40 50 1980 1972 1965 1982 1986 1993 1992 1997 1966 1977 1991 2002 1978 2001 2000 1984 1994 1981 1979 1987 1975 1995 1961 1963 1969 1971 1983 1974 1973 1985 2003 1960 1970 1967 1976 1999 1988 1990 1964 1989 1962 1996 1968 1998 Costo Operacional , US$/MWh Generación, TWh
Generación SIC abr/12-mar/13
Pasada Embalse Carbón Gas Diesel Otros Falla Embalse+Pasada
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 10 20 30 40 50 1980 1972 1965 1982 1986 1993 1992 1997 1966 1977 1991 2002 1978 2001 2000 1984 1994 1981 1979 1987 1975 1995 1961 1963 1969 1971 1983 1974 1973 1985 2003 1960 1970 1967 1976 1999 1988 1990 1964 1989 1962 1996 1968 1998 Costo operacional , US$/MWh Generación, TWh
Generación Endesa abr/12-mar/13
Pasada Embalse Carbón Gas Diesel Otros Falla Embalse+Pasada
Generation SIC Generation Endesa Chile
Generation, TWh Generation, TWh
Mini Hydro Damn Coal Others Diesel Gas Fails Total Hydro
Mini Hydro Damn Coal Others Diesel Gas Fails Total Hydro
WET DRY WET DRY
Operational Cost, US$/MWh Operational Cost, US$/MWh
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Contribution Margin (MMUS$) Exceedance Probability
Contribution Margin (MMUSD) Endesa Chile; Consolidated Contribution Margin (MMUSD) Endesa Chile; Chile Lineal (Contribution Margin (MMUSD) Endesa Chile; Consolidated) Lineal (Contribution Margin (MMUSD) Endesa Chile; Chile) 1Q10 2Q11 WET DRY 1Q10 4Q11 2Q11 3Q10 2Q12 1Q12 2Q12 1Q12
Correlation between Hydrology and Contribution Margin
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Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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USA Stock Market Spain Stock Market NYSE (US$) Price 1H 2012 TTM (Avg) 49.3 Max 1H 2012 TTM 57.6 Min 1H 2012 TTM 40.6 Daily Avg Trans Vol (million ADR) 0.14 Avg Daily Trans (US$ millions traded) 6.65 LATIBEX (€) Price 1H 2012 TTM (Avg) 1.2 Max 1H 2012 TTM 1.4 Min 1H 2012 TTM 1.0 Daily Avg Trans Vol (million shares) 0.01 Avg Daily Trans (€ millions traded) 0.02 Chilean Stock Market BOLSA DE SANTIAGO (CLP) Price 1H2012 TTM (Avg) 806.6 Max 1H2012 894.0 Min 1H2012 700.5 Daily Avg Trans Vol (million shares) 5.15 Avg Daily Trans (CLP millions traded) 4,142.3
Source: Intern, using Bloomberg
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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LATIN AMERICA´S INVESTOR RELATIONS AWARDS – LIRA 2011
1st Place
1st Place
3rd Place
3rd Place
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
This presentation contains statements that could constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this announcement and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of Endesa Chile and its management with respect to, among other things: (1) Endesa Chile’ business plans; (2) Endesa Chile’ cost- reduction plans; (3) trends affecting Endesa Chile’ financial condition or results of operations, including market trends in the electricity sector in Chile or elsewhere; (4) supervision and regulation of the electricity sector in Chile
its subsidiaries. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and
various factors. These factors include a decline in the equity capital markets of the United States or Chile, an increase in the market rates of interest in the United States or elsewhere, adverse decisions by government regulators in Chile or elsewhere and other factors described in Endesa Chile’ Annual Report on Form 20-F. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward-looking statements, which state only as of their dates. Endesa while undertakes no obligation to release publicly the result of any revisions to these forward- looking statements. 35
Endesa Chile IR presentation 1H 2012
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