Regional Workshop on IMT for the Next Decade
- Future Trends in Mobile Market and Data Services
Bangkok, March 21, 2011
Enabling Mobile Broadband for Development Regional Workshop on IMT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Enabling Mobile Broadband for Development Regional Workshop on IMT for the Next Decade -Future Trends in Mobile Market and Data Services Bangkok, March 21, 2011 Outline Trends in Mobile Broadband Mobile Development Applications
Regional Workshop on IMT for the Next Decade
Bangkok, March 21, 2011
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Phone Email/SMS Smart Grids/M2M
Green Technology
Video on Internet
Social Networking
Mobile Banking
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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 active subscriptions (million) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Global Cellular Active Subscriptions by System Standard (03-11)
WCDMA/GSM GSM PDC TDMA CDMA Analogue & Other
Graphs: Ericsson
Faster data rates and rapidly increasing number of mobile broadband users worldwide Business drivers: consumer content delivery, value added services
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Source: ITU 2010
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200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 International bandwidth (Mbps / Month) International leased lines Mobile Internet BB Dial up Mobile Fixed lines
International Bandwidth Demand: Vanuatu (Mbps/month)
Source: World Bank 2010
educational games, classroom support
2.5, 3G, LTE
Source: GSMA
Health Education / Learning Financial Governance Agriculture Information
Supply Chain Management Health Financing
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Treatment Adherence / Appointment Reminders Data Collection / Disease Surveillance
Health Information Systems & Support Tools for Health Workers
Disease Prevention and Health Promotion Emergency Medical Response Systems
Health services
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Emergency response tools , including creation of EMR via mobile phones, and ambulance services whose reach is extended with mobile usage in remote areas Collection and analysis of patient data, particularly at clinics
treatment; information to help health worker prioritization; information on inventory (Note: overlaps with supply chain management) Use of smart-cards, vouchers, insurance and lending for health services linked to mobile platforms (e.g., m-Pesa) or otherwise enabled using mobile Usage of mobile handheld devices to collect data remotely (e.g., by community health workers); additionally, use of remote diagnostic tools for disease surveillance and treatment; includes civic participation in reporting outbreaks and disease information Management of inventory and supply chain steps by mobile tracking and communication; includes advocacy informed by supply chain information Use of mobile and SMS-based health information and education to inform individual patients of preventive care and treatment Utilization of messages and voice to communicate treatment and procedural reminders to patients (e.g., automated SMS reminders to patients on chronic medication)
Human
Payment for Health Services (consultation, medicines, point-of-care tests, appointment setting, health information) Payment(installment/credit) for:
Revenue Sharing
Payment for Health- Data Collection
Payment for Health Data Services
Livestock Crops
Reputed Pharmaceuticals
Diagnostics
Community Health Worker (NGO worker
Revenue share from referred patients
Payment for referral visits
Revenue share from Medicines sold HOSPITALS / SPECIALISTS
Govt./Donors/ Health Orgs
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www.skymet.net
10/14/2010 ICT Unit Overview 15
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Market Participation & Linkages
OBJECTIVES Agricultural Extension Distance Education Governance
Rural Finance, Infrastructure & ICT
information
farming methods
education
terms which overcome rural challenges
disaster
Resource Management
irrigation purposes
Project M.I.N.D
17 Increased income through better access to market information Higher-yield production Improved efficiency in supply chain Tradenet 23% premium on produce Lower information asymmetry between farmers and brokers KACE 75% of farmers & 60% of commodity traders report increased income Virtual City Typically 9% increase in income for each small scale farmer Produce volumes increased Transaction time reduced from 3 minutes to 22 seconds Cost of delivery reduced by 75% Drumnet Farmer's income increased by 32%. Easier access to agricultural inputs Agricultural input suppliers gain economies of scale Bank credit worthiness increased Reduced transaction costs for financial institutions Kulimo Salama $150 increase in income per smallholder /farmer 50%+ improvement in production due to insurance on high yield inputs Farmers in 1st year insured 10-20% of their inputs, increased insurance to 50% of inputs in the next year More efficient value chain leads to lower retail costs B2BPricenow. com Direct access to buyers improves sales More efficient payment to members via secure payment layer Total volume of trade since inception (year 2000) = $30 mil. Farmers texting centre (FTC) Planting varieties with higher yields 20% reported increases in production eDairy Additional income of $262 per additional calf due to more timely access to veterinary services Milk production can increase by 30% Accurate prices at delivery point compared to prices confirmed days after delivery in the past
reminder) with single purpose
enabling more sophisticated applications (e.g. crop insurance)
well as rigorous financing planning
be needed to support scaling up
business model
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increased investments in mobile broadband, through:
farming to allow use of 850 and 900 MHz for 3G to realise cost savings and increase coverage; in-band migration 2G-3G-4G; making available 700 MHz band (e.g. from digital switchover) and/or the 2.5 GHz band.
technology-specific licensing to technology and service-neutral regime (several models).
service provider roles of operators )and passive layers (buildings, ducts, pylons, dark fibre). Allowing non-telecom service providers to build passive infrastructure.
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Approach Leading country examples 1 Competitive tender &/or Government initiative to build new backbone &/or access infrastructure, including use of universal services funds or similar Canada, Chile, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Singapore, Malaysia, other USF countries 2 Create / Underwrite Demand Malaysia, Singapore, OECD countries 3 Stimulate Private Demand in the ICT Sector – e.g., PC initiatives, industry & educational initiatives, local services Korea, China, Egypt, Thailand, OECD countries 4 Regulatory Reform, liberalisation, competitive fixed & unified licensing, creative spectrum policies Pakistan, India, S. Africa, Chile, Brazil, Peru, New Zealand, Germany, UK, USA 5 Integral part of an Economic Stimulus package (1.38% GDP growth/10% Internet penetration) USA, UK, Canada, Japan, Finland, Singapore, Korea, Australia
spectrum re-farming to allow use of 850 and 900 MHz for 3G to realise cost savings and increase coverage; in-band migration 2G-3G-4G; making available 700 MHz band (e.g. from digital switchover) and/or the 2.5 GHz band.
technology-specific licensing to technology and service- neutral regime (several models).
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extension of backbone networks to commercially more marginal areas, particularly in developing countries—to stimulate mobile broadband access
programs, special funds – Subject to national budget priorities; and on role of public sector in telecoms service provision
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particularly outside major commercial centres by pooling national and/or local government demand and offering mServices
(school broadband access). Many Government programs to provide connectivity to schools.
permits, licenses, land administration
quarantine, other certifications
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Sector Reform / Access to ICT ICT Applications Human Capacity and Innovation
Communications Infrastructure Program (RCIP); other Regional Communications Infrastructure projects
Broadband wireless (Afghanistan)
banking knowledge map and research
Chinasoft; infoDev’s egovernment toolkit
partnership with UNESCO, ICT in Education Strategy in Indonesia (Papua)
Initiative
ITES industry and IT parks
buy bulk airtime aimed for retail market
provides financing and TA to over 300 incubators for 20,000 MSME businesses in over 80 countries
innovation and economic development and the Bank is working with several countries
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COVERAGE AND ACCESS GAPS
2002 2008
India: Rural versus urban teledensity Rural Urban Access to the Internet remains a challenge
INEQUITABLE ACCESS HIGH PRICES FOR BROADBAND
% of global revenues 2007 (total market - US$89 billion) US & Canada 61%
Middle East 1% Latin America 2% Asia 8%
Europe 28%
Africa 0%
Market for business information
GAPS IN CONTENT
$0 $200 $400 $600
Low Income Low-Mid Income Up-Mid Income High Income Average Monthly Lease Cost for a High Speed Internet
Connection (2Mbps)
10x More
2 4 6 2000 2008Total Telephone Subscribers To be Connected: 1.8 bn Developing Countries: 2.9 bn Developed Countries: 1.3 bn
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Transform Innovate Connect
Sector Reform Access to ICT Human Capacity ICT Applications
2001 Strategy Emerging Directions
CONNECT – Maintain a focus on the connectivity agenda with an emphasis on high-speed Internet including mobile broadband INNOVATE - Increase support for the use of ICT to unleash innovation across the economy and for the growth of local ICT industries TRANSFORM – Scale up support to client countries to use ICT to transform all areas of the economy. Focus on Apps 25
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Largest Ever Delivery Platform:
> 3 Billion Mobile Phones In Developing Countries
Back-end Applications (MIS, FMS, Procurement, etc.) Enabling Environment:
Foundations
East Asia and Pacific Region Natasha Beschorner (Jakarta): nbeschorner@worldbank.org