initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités european capacity building initiative ecbi european capacity building initiative ecbi ‘Common Time Frames’: What & Why? A CONTRIBUTION TO THE DEBATE ON ARTICLE 4.10 OF THE PARIS AGREEMENT Presentation given at the 2018 ecbi Oxford Fellows Colloquium, Benito Müller Director ecbi for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques
european capacity building initiative ecbi Part 1. Introduction
Target Periods, Periods of Implementation, and NDC Frequency 5-year NDC frequency 2025 NDC 2030 NDC 2040 NDC 2035 NDC 1-year TPs european capacity building initiative ecbi 5-year TPs 5-year POI 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 10-year NDC frequency 2030 NDC 2040 NDC 1-year TPs Art. 4.9. Each Party shall communicate a nationally determined 10-year TPs contribution every five years in accordance with decision 1/CP21 10-year POI 2020 2030 2040 2030 NDC 2040 NDC 2035 NDC 5-year NDC frequency 1-year TPs 10-year POI 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Periods of Implementation (POI) Target Periods (TPs):
What Common Time Frames? Procedural Interpretation: Communication/Updating Timetable european capacity building initiative ecbi § 23. Urges those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2025 to communicate by 2020 a new nationally determined contribution and to do so every five years thereafter …; § 24. Requests those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2030 to communicate or update by 2020 these contributions and to do so every five years thereafter …;
§ 24 Communication & Updating Cycles (a) Mid-term Updating (b) Up-front Updating european capacity building initiative ecbi INDC 21- 30 INDC 21- 30 2015 2015 21- 30 21- 30 2020 2020 31- 40 21- 30 2025 2025 31- 40 31- 40 2030 2030 41- 50 31- 40 2035 2035 = being communicated (indicative) = time of communication = being communicated (updated and fixed) = Planning Horizon = synchronized ambition updating space
Dynamic Contribution Cycle 2035 D. Government assessment of indicated european capacity building initiative ecbi 2030 longer-term ambition vision 2035 Updated & Fixed 2030 Ambition B. Indicating longer-term 2025 ambition Indicated 2030 Ambition vision Updated & Fixed 2025Ambition (NDC) Indicated 2025 Ambition (INDC) 2020 A. Ratcheting-up and locking-in short-term ambition C. Public assessment of indicated longer-term ambition vision 2020 2025 2030 2023 2028 Global Stocktake Global Stocktake
Dynamic Contribution Cycle HOW? european capacity building initiative ecbi • Urges those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2025 to communicate by 2020 a new nationally determined contribution and to do so every five years thereafter …;[ § 23] • Requests those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2030 to communicate or update by 2020 these contributions and to do so every five years thereafter …;[ § 24] • Invites all Parties in 2025 to update their 2030 NDC, and communicate an indicative 2035 NDC , and to do so every five years thereafter.
Support for the Dynamic Contribution Cycle european capacity building initiative ecbi
Support for the Dynamic Contribution Cycle european capacity building initiative ecbi
european capacity building initiative ecbi End of Part 1
european capacity building initiative ecbi Part 2. Submitted Options & Issues Raised
Submitted Options (a) 10-year ‘up-front updating’ (b) 5-year ‘one-step-at-a-time’ european capacity building initiative ecbi 31- 40 26- 30 26- 30 31- 40 2025 2025 26- 30 31- 35 31- 40 31- 35 31- 40 2030 2030 31- 40 31- 35 36- 40 36- 40 31- 40 2035 2035
Submitted Options (d) Dynamic Contribution Cycle (c) Simple 5+5 european capacity building initiative ecbi 31- 35 31- 35 31- 35 31- 35 2025 2025 31- 35 36- 40 31- 35 36- 40 31- 35 36- 40 31- 35 36- 40 2030 2030 41- 45 36- 40 41- 45 36- 40 36- 40 41- 45 36- 40 41- 45 2035 2035
Issue 1: What Period of Implementation? european capacity building initiative ecbi (c) DCC with time lag (a) One-step-at-a-time (b) DCC 36- 40 36- 40 41- 45 36- 40 41- 45 46- 50 5-yrs 10-yrs 2035 2035 2035 15-yrs 5-yrs 10-yrs 41- 45 46- 50 51- 55 41- 45 41- 45 46- 50 10-yrs 5-yrs 2040 2040 2040 5-yrs 15-yrs 10-yrs = Implementation Period for updated & fixed NDCs = Implementation Period for indicative NDCs
Issue 2: What Planning Horizon? european capacity building initiative ecbi (a) Simple 5+5 Cycle (b) Dynamic Contribution Cycle 36- 40 41- 45 36- 40 41- 45 5-yrs 2035 2035 10-yrs 10-yrs 41- 45 46- 50 41- 45 46- 50 5-yrs 2040 2040 10-yrs 10-yrs = Planning Horizon for fixed NDCs = Planning Horizon for indicative NDCs
european capacity building initiative ecbi You! Thank
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