ecbi european capacity building initiative ecbi Common Time Frames: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ecbi european capacity building initiative ecbi Common Time Frames: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jan 17, 2023 503 likes •678 views

initiative europenne de renforcement des capacits european capacity building initiative ecbi european capacity building initiative ecbi Common Time Frames: What & Why? A CONTRIBUTION TO THE DEBATE ON ARTICLE 4.10 OF THE PARIS

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

‘Common Time Frames’: What & Why?

A CONTRIBUTION TO THE DEBATE ON ARTICLE 4.10 OF THE PARIS AGREEMENT

Presentation given at the 2018 ecbi Oxford Fellows Colloquium, Benito Müller

Director ecbi

european capacity building initiative

initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités

ecbi

for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

Part 1. Introduction

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

Target Periods, Periods of Implementation, and NDC Frequency

2030 NDC 2025 NDC 2035 NDC 2040 NDC 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Target Periods (TPs): Periods of Implementation (POI)

5-year NDC frequency 1-year TPs 5-year TPs 5-year POI

2030 NDC 2040 NDC 2020 2030 2040

10-year NDC frequency 1-year TPs 10-year TPs 10-year POI

2035 NDC 2030 NDC 2040 NDC 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

5-year NDC frequency 1-year TPs 10-year POI

  • Art. 4.9. Each Party shall communicate a nationally determined

contribution every five years in accordance with decision 1/CP21

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

§ 23. Urges those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2025 to communicate by 2020 a new nationally determined contribution and to do so every five years thereafter …; § 24. Requests those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2030 to communicate or update by 2020 these contributions and to do so every five years thereafter …;

What Common Time Frames?

Procedural Interpretation: Communication/Updating Timetable

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

§24 Communication & Updating Cycles

21-30 2020 31-40 2030 2025 2035 21-30 31-40 (a) Mid-term Updating INDC 21-30 2015 2020 31-40 2030 2025 21-30 2035 31-40 41-50 INDC 21-30 2015 (b) Up-front Updating

= Planning Horizon = being communicated (indicative) = time of communication = synchronized ambition updating space = being communicated (updated and fixed)

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

2020 2025

Indicated 2025 Ambition (INDC)

2030 2023 2028

  • C. Public assessment of indicated

longer-term ambition vision

  • A. Ratcheting-up and

locking-in short-term ambition

  • B. Indicating longer-term

ambition vision

Updated & Fixed 2030 Ambition Indicated 2030 Ambition

Dynamic Contribution Cycle

Global Stocktake

2035 2035 Updated & Fixed 2025Ambition (NDC)

2020 2025 2030

  • D. Government assessment of indicated

longer-term ambition vision

Global Stocktake

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

HOW?

  • Urges those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2025 to

communicate by 2020 a new nationally determined contribution and to do so every five years thereafter …;[§ 23]

  • Requests those Parties whose INDC … contains a time frame up to 2030 to

communicate or update by 2020 these contributions and to do so every five years thereafter …;[§ 24]

  • Invites all Parties in 2025 to update their 2030 NDC,

and communicate an indicative 2035 NDC, and to do so every five years thereafter.

Dynamic Contribution Cycle

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

Support for the Dynamic Contribution Cycle

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

Support for the Dynamic Contribution Cycle

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

End of Part 1

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

Part 2. Submitted Options & Issues Raised

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

(b) 5-year ‘one-step-at-a-time’ 31-35 2030 31-35 36-40 36-40 2035 26-30 2025 26-30 26-30 31-35 31-40 2030 31-40 2025 31-40 (a) 10-year ‘up-front updating’ 2035 31-40 31-40 31-40

Submitted Options

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31-35 2025 (c) Simple 5+5 36-40 2030 41-45 2035 31-35 36-40 31-35 41-45 31-35 36-40 (d) Dynamic Contribution Cycle 31-35 2025 2030 2035 31-35 41-45 36-40 31-35 36-40 41-45 31-35 36-40

Submitted Options

36-40 36-40

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

= Implementation Period for updated & fixed NDCs = Implementation Period for indicative NDCs (c) DCC with time lag 10-yrs 15-yrs 2035 46-50 36-40 41-45 10-yrs 15-yrs 2040 51-55 41-45 46-50 (b) DCC 2035 41-45 36-40 5-yrs 10-yrs 2040 46-50 41-45 5-yrs 10-yrs (a) One-step-at-a-time 36-40 2035 5-yrs 41-45 2040 5-yrs

Issue 1: What Period of Implementation?

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european capacity building initiative ecbi

(a) Simple 5+5 Cycle (b) Dynamic Contribution Cycle 41-45 36-40 41-45 36-40 = Planning Horizon for fixed NDCs = Planning Horizon for indicative NDCs 46-50 41-45 46-50 41-45 2035 5-yrs 10-yrs 2040 5-yrs 10-yrs 2035 10-yrs 2040 10-yrs

Issue 2: What Planning Horizon?

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Thank You!