NETWORKING BREAKFAST MORNING September 11, 2019 8:30am-11am Dusit Thani Hotel
Networking Event Sponsor
Dusit Thani Hotel Networking Event Sponsor FM Industry Market Pulse - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NETWORKING BREAKFAST MORNING September 11, 2019 8:30am-11am Dusit Thani Hotel Networking Event Sponsor FM Industry Market Pulse Hosted by the MEFMA Strategic Sub-Committee Francisco Ramalheira Director Business Development &
Networking Event Sponsor
Regional Legislation and Regulation in FM – Networking event April 15th Industry Body collaboration and co-operation FM companies and Licensing requirements Regulation / Standardization of Regulations Best Practices and Innovation in FM – Networking event June 26th Framework document development Classification of buildings / businesses Innovation as a deliverable FM Industry Market Pulse – Networking event September 11th Value of Human Capital & Training in FM – Networking event December 12th
Regional Market Overview Geographies Segments Maturity Opportunities and Challenges FM Market Landscape Segmentation Evolution Who and How? Trends in FM Competitiveness Blockchain AI / Blockchain / Data driven decision making Energy Management Smart Facilities Flexibility and Wellbeing in the workplace
Regional Market - Overview*
Egypt – 4 Total market value – 1.6 biUSD Private – 56% and Public – 44% Inhouse FM – 80% Outsourcing as a single service KSA – 1 Total market value – 5.5 biUSD Private – 67% and Public – 33% Inhouse FM – 62% 8% of Outsourcing as IFM Kuwait – 5 Total market value – 1.0 biUSD Private – 63% and Public – 37% Inhouse FM – 50% 5% Outsourcing as IFM Bahrain – 6 Total market value – 0.8 biUSD Private – 67% and Public – 33% Inhouse FM – 42% 8% Outsourcing as IFM Qatar – 3 Total market value – 3.9 biUSD Private – 69% and Public – 31% Inhouse FM – 39% 10% Outsourcing as IFM UAE – 2 Total market value – 5.4 biUSD Private – 77% and Public – 33% Inhouse FM – 35% 10% Outsourcing as IFM Oman – 7 Total market value – 0.3 biUSD Private – 60% and Public – 40% Inhouse FM – 57% 7% Outsourcing as IFM
* Frost and Sullivan, 2018
Regional Market - Segmentation
* Frost and Sullivan, 2018
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 KSA UAE Qatar Egypt Kuwait Bahrain Oman
Market value [miUSD]
Commercial Institutional Public Industrial Others
FM potential growth to 2% of GDP KSA – 0.8% – market could double in size UAE – 1.3% – market could grow 50% Qatar – 2.2% – market plateau Egypt – 0.7% – market could more than double in size Kuwait – 0.8% – market could double in size Bahrain – 2.2% – market plateau Oman – 0.5% – market could triple in size Commercial – office buildings, retail, F&B, warehouses Institutional – healthcare and education Public – government offices, airports, ports roads, railway as well as utilities Industrial – manufacturing and primary energy operations Others – leisure, entertainment, sports, theme parks
Regional Market – Maturity (1/2)
There is a clear push for differentiation, innovation and value added services, which could lead to a situation of market desaturation.
companies having been established with international groups via local partnerships.
providers that is lead by the easy establishment of corporation. Most opportunities rely on the private sector where there is awareness about FM in general.
input based contracts. Opportunities for the FM market in the public sector rely more and more in output based contracts based on the vectors set by Vision 2030. KSA seems to be converging faster in the last years using the UAE as a benchmark.
Regional Market – Maturity (2/2)
customer service improvements is driving positively the FM sector.
companies have difficulty to compete locally and require a service methodology that offers value added services.
market is immature and local work force vacuum to the public sector pegged with low penetration of technology on the building sector remains a challenge.
Opportunities The regional growth – GDP set to grow between 2-4% Public but mostly private development and investment will continue to occur – which eventually creates opportunities in the FM sector Eagerness for “purchasers” to learn about and outsource FM services Demand for digitally enabled solutions Provision of added value services Challenges Competitiveness Market saturation Attract talent Change of law Geopolitical situation Divestment Regional Market
Competitor Landscape – Segmentation 7 main segments but often companies provide services beyond the traditional definition of FM
O&M Services (Hard FM)
M&E HVAC Mechanical systems Building fabric Fire detection and protection BMS Vertical transportation (…)
Support Services (Soft FM)
Cleaning Pest control Landscaping Security Reception services Catering Laundry (…)
Environmental management and compliance
Waste management Recycling services Energy Management Water treatment and recovery (…)
Value Added Services
T&C PAT testing Drone inspections Condition audit surveys Green building certification Indoor air quality auditing and monitoring (…)
ITC
Establishment
infrastructure Maintenance of ITC systems System integration Digital tools development (…)
Property Management
Asset management Leasing Space planning Authorities liaising services Property acquisitions and disposal (…)
FM Consultancy
Delivery strategies Budget preparation and service charges allocation Design review Processes and Procedures development Development supervision Transitional services
Competitor Landscape – Segmentation Volume driven business (Hard, Soft and EMC) Across the 7 geographies portrayed we estimate the presence of over 100 companies Less than 10 companies operate in more than 1 country With some exceptions decision is made based on price - commoditization We estimate than more circa 90% of the FM market value is here Specific opportunities (Value added, ITC, PM, FM Consultancy) Limited number of companies because services delivered are specific Typically and because of the nature of the service delivery methodologies and market opportunity these companies
Commissions are of added value so decision making is based on technical capability and after sales support Market value is smaller but typically with better margins
Trends in the FM industry Competitiveness Purchasing pressure as led to a commoditization of the FM industry with companies having to optimize operating strategies to remain successful. Mature companies are adopting a proactive approach on the development
delivery) and leveraging on the use of technology. Blockchain This disruptive technology, defined as a cloud-based, permanent, distributed digital ledger of activities between parties can enable real-time visibility and security in contractual obligations and accelerating transactions while enhancing accountability. Challenges remain with the transition from an non-existing or diversified information status into a fully integrated mode – structure, fields, language, permissions, etc.
Trends in the FM industry Artificial Intelligence AI has developed rapidly over the last few years with the major advances being in the area of “deep learning” techniques that employ multi-layer artificial neural networks to model complex real-world situations. This could lead to the adoption of AI to model complex processes with the aim
and allocation to what they do best, and development of complex predictive models that map solution scenarios. Energy Management With the rapid increase on utility prices, the environmental pressure around traditional solutions to generate utilities and with the creation of Super ESCO’s, utility management in general is a service required / offered by FM companies, creating multiple opportunities within the sector.
Trends in the FM industry Smart Facilities Buildings are evolving with the development of technology and the need of connectivity, becoming increasingly more efficient and easy to operate but increasingly more complex to maintain. This will lead to the need of different service delivery methodologies as well as the necessity to develop human capital competencies to address the new maintenance requirements. Flexibility and Wellbeing in the Workplace Smaller enterprises continue to be the predominant users of flexible workspaces but large organizations are continuously assessing how to accommodate a growing workforce and manage spend during times of transition, which puts pressure on the commercial models for service
and the need to maintain proper indoor environmental conditions.
Key Takeaways and way forward Regional market: expansion of the knowledge it exists to geographies that are less well known, assessing and summarizing available information on the market. Work towards the vectors that can be addressed (e.g. talent development and applicable law watch). Competitor landscape: generation of a database (similar to that existing) but encompassing general information based on a set criteria to help those seeking services from the different segments to know who to approach. Trends in FM: regular assess the market for new trends, evaluate the penetration and adoption of new technologies / methodologies, and promote the discussions around what affects the industry.
ROSMEAD BUSINESS CONSULTING
FM Leaders’ Perspectives on AI (Rosmead / / MEFMA In Industry Su Survey) Current sit situation
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% CAFM BMS Mobile solutions Remote monitoring Internet of things Robotics Artificial intelligence Always Frequently Generally Rarely Never
To
what extent was as tech echnol
firm rm won
n the the pas past 12 mon months?
%
FM Leaders’ Perspectives on AI (Rosmead / / MEFMA In Industry Su Survey) Fu Future Im Impact
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% CAFM BMS Mobile solutions Remote monitoring Internet of things Robotics Artificial intelligence Critical Very important Important
2018 survey %
Ho How w imp mpor
will l eac each of
those technol
gies be be to
uccessful FM FM bus busin iness over the the ne next 5 years?
FM Leaders’ Perspectives on AI (Rosmead / / MEFMA In Industry Su Survey) In Investment Pr Prio iorit ities
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Mobile solutions through up-to-date applications. It helps to facilitates daily procedures, data analysis and customers trust”
monitoring are important areas. These allow
time being effective. IOT, Robotics, AI are new to
before an investment is made”
analytics enabling intelligent situation recognition, prediction and autonomous service delivery”
intelligence for the implementation of predictive and RCM techniques”
%
Wha hat do do you
ider to
be the the pri priorit ity ar areas for
the ne next 3 year ears?
FM Leaders’ Perspectives on AI (Rosmead / / MEFMA In Industry Su Survey) Ar Artif ific icia ial l In Intelli ligence in in FM
Yes
No: No: will ill tak ake long longer No: No: othe
r pr prio iorit ritie ies No: No: no not rele levant Don’t kno now
itself, allowing us to create a predictive model as the basis for proactive - rather than reactive - actions“
requirement in field workforce environment”
to incorporate with the industry. Not in 5 years, maybe in 10 to 15 years.”
present however due to the cost of upgrade I don't think they will be common place”
Do Do you
belie ieve th that AI AI wi will l pl play a a sign gnifi ificant role
n the the FM FM ind ndustry ry over the the ne next 5 years?
FM Leaders’ Perspectives on AI (Rosmead / / MEFMA In Industry Su Survey) AI AI Ap Appli licatio ions
Predictive maintenance Energy efficiency Autonomous service delivery Planning & logistics Other
condition reporting and communication”
performance patterns and take action before failure occurs. Also energy conservation, manpower and resource utilization”
robots if it becomes economical. Ducts Cleaning, security services, helpdesk services, energy management”
equipped with the right information prior to attending a maintenance call out”
Wha hat do do you
ider wi will l be be the the mo most ben benefic icia ial l app applic ications of
AI to
the FM FM ind ndustry ry?
Pr Prim imer on
AI Technologies Key AI AI Technologies
“Taking instruction” - Giving a machine detailed instructions as to how each task that it has to perform is to be carried out
Trad aditional com
prog
“Learning from experience” - Teaching the computer to learn from experience, then “training” it with historical input data and
Three key AI technologies – based on “neural networks” and “deep learning” algorithms that enable machines to learn from experience - underlie recent advances in AI: – Machine learning – Natural language processing – Autonomous robotics
Art Artificial intelligence
Pr Prim imer on
AI Technologies Machin ine Le Learnin ing
High profile example: Goo
apti tioning FM-relevant application: Pred edicti tive mai aintenance The computer is “trained” to recognize the content
The computer is “trained” to recognise trends in multiple sensor readings and predict the need for maintenance interventions
rogramming tec techniques tha that t en enable com computers rs to to lea earn from rom exp experi rience rath rather r tha than jus just taki taking di directi tion.
Pr Prim imer on
AI Technologies Na Natural La Language Pr Processin ing
High profile example: Amazon Alexa FM-relevant application: Do Document scr creening an and cla classificati tion The computer can recognize and interpret unstructured verbal commands and initiate a wide range of applications The computer can recognise and interpret unstructured document content and screen for relevance
rogramming tec techniques tha that t en enable com computers rs to to reco recognize an and resp respond to to com commands an and qu questi tions in n unst unstructured spo poken and and writt ritten form
Pr Prim imer on
AI Technologies Au Autonomous ro robotics
High profile example: Tesl esla aut autonomous veh ehicles FM-relevant application: Dr Drone-based rem emote / ha hazardous insp nspecti tion The computer can determine a safe course to its destination, recognizing and avoiding dynamic hazards as they occur The computer can guide a drone to inspect remote equipment, recognising and avoiding dynamic hazards as they occur
rogramming tec techniques tha that t en enable phy physical inte nteracti tion of
achines with hum humans and and the the env environment t tha that t can can take take into nto acc account t un unpro rogrammed / un unexpected eve events ts
Ap Appli lication of
AI to to Busin iness Pr Processes Enhance, Re Redesign, Tra ransform
existing processes
activities between AI and people - each taking on the activities they do best
processes that are impossible without AI
a large number of data points and / or the inclusion of complex multi-dimensional data sources such as video or audio feeds
Enhance
(c. 80% current use cases*)
Redesig ign
(c. 15% current use cases*)
Tran ansform
(c. 5% current use cases*)
* Source: McKinsey & Co 2018
high dimensional data – including audio and video feeds - can take existing systems to a new level of performance, e.g:
(aerospace)
dealing with routine activities, leaving people to pick up more complex or challenging situations, e.g:
services, transportation)
classification (legal services)
predictions based on high dimensional data inputs is enabling the development
were previously impossible, e.g.
delivery (shipping, oil & gas)
Ap Appli lication of
AI to to Busin iness Pr Processes Use se cas ases in in re rela lated ind industry se sectors
Enhance Redesig ign Tran ansform
management
inaccessible / hazardous areas
standard questions / requests
services (e.g. cleaning, security)
performance records and reports
avoidance
tools to jobsites
enhancement
interactions
Ap Appli lication of
AI to to Busin iness Pr Processes Po Potentia ial l FM FM ap appli licatio ions
Enhance Redesig ign Tran ansform
Ap Appli lication of
AI to to Busin iness Pr Processes Im Implementatio ion chal allenges
Ch Challe llenge Miti itigation 1. Inadequate / poor quality data capture
2. Lack of historical data for AI training
sources
3. Lack of decision “explainability”
4. Investment economics