Casco Bay Lines Schedule Analysis SAC Meeting—Findings Presentation
May 16, 2018
DRAFT Schedule and Fleet Analysis Project Background Key Project - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Casco Bay Lines Schedule Analysis SAC MeetingFindings Presentation May 16, 2018 DRAFT Schedule and Fleet Analysis Project Background Key Project Staff Mike Anderson, KPFF Kristen Kissinger, KPFF Scott Davis, KPFF Mike retired from
May 16, 2018
Mike Anderson, KPFF Mike retired from Washington State Ferries in 2008 as Chief Executive Officer after a 34-year career there. At KPFF, Mike has
ferry planning projects for Kitsap Transit, Staten Island Ferry, and NYC Ferry through on-call projects, as well as many other contract services for ferry operations around the country.
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Scott Davis, KPFF Scott has 40 years of experience in maritime safety, emergency planning an preparedness, personnel and resource supervision, cost-benefit analysis, and financial and executive level
includes serving as the first Director of the King County Marine Division in Seattle, Safety Systems Manager at WSF, and as a Captain in the U.S. Coast Guard. Kristen Kissinger, KPFF Kristen has 13 years of experience in transportation and land-use planning and project management. She has worked on waterborne transit projects in Puget Sound, San Francisco Bay, and New York Harbor. Her specialties include project management, land use and transportation planning, environmental project permitting and scheduling, entitlement project management, and community
John Waterhouse, EBDG John has 40 years of experience in Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering, and is a leader in the global maritime industry. He has provided analysis and design services for ferry systems including Staten Island Ferries, NYC Ferry, Alaska Marine Highways, Washington State Ferries, and North Carolina DOT.
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Carla Sawyer, Progressions Carla 25 years experience in the transportation field, including 9 years as the Director of Finance and Administration for Washington State Ferries. Carla has extensive experience in transportation financial planning and analysis, budget development, fare policy development and analysis, and fare collection system design and implementation for ferry systems including King County, Kitsap County, and Boston Harbor Now. Pierre Vilain, SDG Pierre has 25 years of experience in infrastructure and regional economic policy formulation and advisory, including analysis and appraisal of major infrastructure projects, transportation demand modeling, economic cost-benefit analysis, risk analysis, and financial appraisal. He has worked with ferry services including NYC Ferry, Staten Island Ferry, Kitsap Transit, and Port Authority of New York and New Jersey.
Goals: – To inform customers about the project – Gather input on schedule and fleet decisions. Outreach Activities: – Survey from August 24 to Sept 15, 2017 – Open House on August 29, 2017 – Public meetings in September and October 2017. Survey Scope and Methods: – Targeted questions to Peaks and Down Bay customers in order to focus on their unique concerns. – Electronic and paper comments and survey responses. Participation: – 589 electronic survey completed – 51 paper surveys completed
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Input
stakeholders to understand system characteristics, needs, and desires.
Identify Goals
applicable system scheduling goals as means to assess value of schedule alternatives.
Tool Development
to capture key measures of baseline and alternative sailing schedules and associated crew shifts.
Establish Baseline
characteristics as input to a customized cost model to establish a baseline cost and then assess the financial impacts of schedule alternatives considered.
Analyze Alternatives
tradeoffs of competing scheduling goals and costs for the various alternatives.
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Commuter School
Activities
Freight
AM and one PM
Lifestyle
commute window
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Popular themes for DOWN BAY open-ended responses regarding vessels included: – Use faster boats (14 responses) – Have a separate freight boat or freight run (13 responses)
People and freight together on one boat (more layover time for loading/unloading 50% People and commercial freight on separate boats (less layover time for passenger boat, may result in higher
29% No preference 21%
Down Bay – Preference between the two following choices:
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Down Bay: Preferred weekday times to arrive in Portland
1% 4% 6% 15% 16% 23% 14% 11% 23% 22% 12% 12% 9% 1% 5% 5 : – 6 : a m 6 : – 7 : a m 7 : – 8 : a m 8 : – 9 : a m 9 :
1 : a m 1 1 : a m
: p m 1 :
: p m 3 :
: p m 4 : – 5 : p m 5 : – 6 : p m 6 : – 7 : p m 7 :
: p m 9 :
1 : p m 1 1 : p m
2 : a m N
r e f e r e n c e 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Down Bay: Preferred weekday times to arrive at your island
2% 15% 33% 27% 27% 16% 12% 4% 11% 10% 4% 3% 2% 1% 5% 5 : – 6 : a m 6 : – 7 : a m 7 : – 8 : a m 8 : – 9 : a m 9 :
1 : a m 1 1 : a m
: p m 1 :
: p m 3 :
: p m 4 : – 5 : p m 5 : – 6 : p m 6 : – 7 : p m 7 :
: p m 9 :
1 : p m 1 1 : p m
2 : a m N
r e f e r e n c e 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Key Findings:
evening commute period
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Meet service needs: Maintain service that fully supports the commuter, mail/freight, school, and lifestyle needs identified. Support passenger preferences: Look for ways to support customer preferences, when such services do not add to
Support schedule on-time performance: Adjust the schedule to ensure that printed schedules align with planned and actual performance. Right-size dwell time: Consistent with operational demands, reduce in-port dwell time to minimize vessel wear and tear associated with start/stop/idle time, and reduce non- productive crew time; or increase dwell times to allow the vessel to be completely shut down. Simplify the number/nature of sailing schedules: Reduce the number of sailing schedules to a maximum total of three, by establishing a summer, winter, and single shoulder season schedule serving both spring and fall periods. Provide schedule uniformity: Establish schedules that provide uniformity in departure times to make the system more user friendly for both patrons and crews. Retain sailing consistency between seasons: Look for ways to retain, to the extent possible, similar sailing schedule times between the yearly schedules. Stagger ferry departure times: Eliminate duplicate sailing times from the schedule to avoid confusion. Establish route uniformity: Provide route uniformity, which supports predictability of service and helps passengers to understand which islands they will be stopping at and in what
Be fiscally responsible: Either reduce operating costs or maximize the level of service provided from operating cost. Maximize labor productivity: Improve labor efficiency by maximizing service delivery through optimum crew assignments, including elimination of short shifts for which CBL is paying a 4-hour minimum. Maintain acceptable crew endurance posture: Maintain crew shifts within the 12-hour limit, consistent with current maritime laws and industry best practices.
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comparable or reduced labor costs considered a limiting factor
for earlier freight service and a consistent mid-day sailing Down Bay
freight for select freight sailings, as well as personal baggage on all sailings
handle efficient movement of freight and management of elevated passenger crowds
incorporated to extent possible, as applicable:
– Expand vehicle service to/from Peaks Island later in the evening – Coordinate with schools and seasonal Down Bay businesses
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April 20May 17, 20188 14
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All Portland departures 45 minutes after hour, with hourly service except for 2 (3 winter) 2:00 breaks Last vehicle ferry at 6:45
Winter Shoulder Summer Shoulder Winter
Proposed Service Schedule
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Winter Shoulder Summer Shoulder Winter
Existing Service Schedule
Service Factors Existing Proposed Alternative start/end time 05:45 23:30 05:45 23:45 (+15 mins) Weekday
16 17 Weekday
14 15 Sat/Sun
17/16 17/16 Sat/Sun
15/12 16/13 summer vehicle trips/week 103 110 winter vehicle trips/week 69 83
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Peaks Island Alternative Schedule
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even with increase in service)
service increases (<0.5%)
percent (~$6K)
7.1% winter, net decline in overall labor
Summer Winter Shoulder Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Peaks Route Crew Labor 150,839 147,232
277,252 280,428 3,176 1.1% 145,005 136,501
Fuel 48,625 48,160
102,620 102,843 223 0.2% 52,856 53,859 1,003 1.9% Vessel Maintenance 186,248 185,328
372,189 373,632 1,444 0.4% 194,061 195,405 1,344 0.7% Total Variable Cost 385,711 380,720
752,060 756,902 4,842 0.6% 391,922 385,765
Annual Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Crew Labor 573,096 564,160
Fuel 204,101 204,862 761 0.4% Vessel Maintenance 752,497 754,365 1,868 0.2% Total Variable Cost 1,529,694 1,523,388
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Schedule 2018 Baseline 2018 Schedule Change Delta Summer $1,134,348 $1,172,415 $38,067 Off-Season $864,596 $871,764 $7,168 Total $1,998,944 $2,044,179 $45,235
Passengers: Vehicles:
Schedule 2018 Baseline 2018 Schedule Change Delta Summer $573,869 $592,616 $18,747 Off-Season $636,695 $640,502 $3,807 Total $1,210,564 $1,233,118 $22,554
The alternative schedule shows a 2% increase (or approximately $67K) in revenue in 2018 for passengers and vehicles.
April 20May 17, 20188 20
Bay ridership during the summer and 16% during the off-season.
totals and 51% of off-season totals.
summer months than the summer months in the past year.
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schedule
consistent with operational need
dwell time in support of on-time performance
Winter Shoulder Summer Shoulder Winter
Proposed Service Schedule
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Existing Service Schedule
can be provided with existing assets
freight focused sailings
greatest extent possible
serve in place of the Machigonne
scheduled maintenance periods
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Service Factors Summer Winter Shoulder Existing Proposed Alternative Existing Proposed Alternative Existing Proposed Alternative Service Start Time
05:05 21:30 05:00 (+5) 22:00 (+30) 05:05 20:30 05:00 (+5) 20:45 (+15) 05:05 21:00 05:00 (+5) 21:00
End Time Down Bay 6 7 5 6 5 7 Weekday RT/day Down Bay 4 5 4 5 4 6 Weekend RT/day Inner Bay 9 9 3 3 6 4* Weekday RT/day Inner Bay 8 7 2 2 4 2* Weekend RT/day Weekly Stops/Transits 621 776 (+25% ) 408 497 (+22%) 480 600 (+25%) Freight Sailings 2 3 2 2 2 3 *Inner Bay transits listed do not include those included as part of the Down Bay runs (listed above).
10 20 LD GD DC LO CH CL
Additional Transits
Winter Shoulder Summer
Winter Shoulder Summer
Little Diamond +4 +5 +8 Great Diamond +4 +5 +8 Diamond Cove +2 +1 +1 Long Island +2 +4 +4 Chebeague Island +1 +2 +1 Cliff Island +1 +2 +1
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25%, 22%, and 25% summer, winter, and shoulder, respectively
Service level change (+/- transits/day) with alternative
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Down Bay Summer Weekday Alternative Schedules By Island
Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 5:05 5:22 5:28 5:45 6:10 6:25 6:45 7:00 7:05 7:20 5:35 6:15 6:30 7:00 7:45 8:25 8:40 9:00 9:05 9:20 7:45 8:02 8:13 8:35 9:05 9:25 9:45 10:00 10:05 10:20 10:00 10:17 10:23 10:46 11:11 11:40 12:20 13:13 11:00 11:17 11:23 11:45 12:05 12:25 12:30 12:45 13:15 13:32 13:38 13:55 14:15 14:30 14:35 14:50 14:15 14:55 15:12 15:50 16:15 17:00 15:15 15:32 15:38 15:55 16:20 16:35 16:40 16:55 16:15 16:45 17:05 17:35 17:45 18:02 18:08 18:30 18:45 18:50 19:05 17:45 18:25 18:40 19:05 19:30 19:40 19:53 19:57 20:12 19:45 20:02 20:08 20:25 20:50 21:15 21:30 21:35 21:50 21:30 21:47 21:53 22:15 22:45 23:00 23:05 23:20 22:30 22:47 22:53 23:16 23:40 23:55 0:20 0:35 0:39 0:54 Friday only Existing Casco Bay Summer Schedule Weekday Sailing Summary Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 5:00 5:17 5:23 5:40 6:05 6:20 6:40 6:55 7:00 7:15 5:30 6:05 6:20 6:35 6:40 6:55 7:15 7:32 7:38 7:55 8:20 8:35 8:55 9:10 9:15 9:30 7:45 8:20 8:35 8:55 9:00 9:15 8:00 8:17 8:23 8:45 9:05 9:40 10:05 10:25 10:40 10:45 11:00 10:15 10:32 10:38 10:53 11:08 11:25 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:17 12:23 12:45 13:05 13:40 14:05 14:25 14:40 14:45 15:00 13:15 13:32 13:38 13:53 14:08 14:25 14:30 14:45 15:15 15:32 15:38 15:53 16:08 16:25 16:30 16:45 16:00 16:17 16:23 16:45 17:05 17:40 18:05 18:50 16:15 16:32 16:38 16:53 17:08 17:25 17:30 17:45 17:30 17:47 17:53 18:08 18:23 18:40 18:45 19:00 18:15 18:32 18:38 18:55 19:20 19:35 19:55 20:07 20:10 20:15 20:30 19:45 20:02 20:08 20:23 20:38 20:50 20:55 21:00 21:15 22:00 22:17 22:23 22:40 22:55 23:10 23:15 23:30 22:30 22:47 22:53 23:15 23:35 23:50 0:15 0:30 0:35 0:50 Friday only Alternate Casco Bay Summer Schedule Weekday Sailing Summary
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Down Bay Summer Weekend Alternative Schedules By Island
Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:08 7:20 7:45 8:10 8:35 8:45 9:00 9:05 9:20 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:10 7:35 8:00 8:25 8:40 8:45 9:00 8:45 9:02 9:08 9:25 9:45 10:00 10:05 10:20 10:00 10:17 10:23 10:46 11:11 11:40 12:20 13:13 11:00 11:17 11:23 11:45 12:05 12:25 12:30 12:45 13:15 13:32 13:38 13:55 14:15 14:30 14:35 14:50 14:15 14:55 15:12 15:50 16:15 17:00 15:15 15:32 15:38 15:55 16:20 16:35 16:40 16:55 16:15 16:45 17:05 17:35 17:45 18:02 18:08 18:30 18:45 18:50 19:05 17:45 18:25 18:40 19:05 19:30 19:40 19:53 19:57 20:12 19:45 20:02 20:08 20:25 20:50 21:15 21:30 21:35 21:50 21:30 21:47 21:53 22:15 22:45 23:00 23:05 23:20 Saturday only Sunday only Weekend Sailing Summary Existing Casco Bay Summer Schedule Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:08 7:20 7:55 8:20 8:40 8:55 9:00 9:15 8:00 8:17 8:23 8:45 9:05 9:40 10:05 10:25 10:40 10:45 11:00 10:15 10:32 10:38 10:53 11:08 11:25 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:17 12:23 12:45 13:05 13:40 14:05 14:25 14:40 14:45 15:00 13:15 13:32 13:38 13:53 14:08 14:25 14:30 14:45 15:15 15:32 15:38 15:53 16:08 16:25 16:30 16:45 16:00 16:17 16:23 16:45 17:05 17:40 18:05 18:50 16:15 16:32 16:38 16:53 17:08 17:25 17:30 17:45 17:30 17:47 17:53 18:08 18:23 18:40 18:45 19:00 18:15 18:32 18:38 18:55 19:20 19:35 19:55 20:10 20:15 20:30 19:45 20:02 20:08 20:25 20:40 20:55 21:00 21:15 22:00 22:17 22:23 22:40 22:55 23:10 23:15 23:30 Weekend Sailing Summary Alternate Casco Bay Summer Schedule
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Down Bay Shoulder Alternative Schedules By Island
Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 5:05 5:22 5:28 5:45 6:10 6:25 6:45 7:00 7:05 7:20 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:08 7:20 7:45 8:00 8:25 8:40 8:45 9:00 7:45 8:02 8:08 8:25 8:40 8:55 9:00 9:15 10:00 10:17 10:23 10:45 11:00 11:35 12:00 12:53 11:00 11:17 11:23 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:20 12:35 14:45 15:02 15:08 15:25 16:00 16:20 16:45 17:15 16:15 16:32 16:45 16:55 17:10 17:15 17:30 17:45 18:02 18:08 18:25 18:40 18:45 19:00 17:45 18:17 18:45 19:00 19:25 19:40 19:55 20:00 20:15 19:15 19:31 19:36 19:50 20:00 20:15 20:35 20:50 21:00 21:17 21:21 21:34 21:44 22:15 22:31 22:46 21:30 21:47 21:53 22:10 22:35 22:50 23:15 23:30 23:35 23:50 Monday thru Friday Saturday & Sunday only Friday only Existing Casco Bay Shoulder Schedule Sailing Summary Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 5:00 5:17 5:23 5:40 6:05 6:20 6:40 6:55 7:00 7:15 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:08 7:20 7:45 8:00 8:25 8:40 8:45 9:00 7:45 8:02 8:08 8:25 8:40 8:55 9:00 9:15 8:00 8:17 8:23 8:45 9:05 9:40 10:05 10:25 10:40 10:45 11:00 10:15 10:32 10:38 11:00 10:55 11:20 11:35 11:55 12:10 12:15 12:30 12:00 * 12:17 12:23 12:45 13:05 13:40 14:05 14:25 14:40 14:45 15:00 13:15 13:32 13:38 13:53 14:08 14:25 14:30 14:45 15:15 15:32 15:38 15:55 16:20 16:35 16:55 17:10 17:15 17:30 16:00 16:17 16:23 16:45 17:05 17:40 18:05 18:25 18:40 18:53 18:58 19:13 18:00 18:17 18:23 18:45 18:57 19:22 19:37 19:57 20:07 20:20 20:25 20:40 21:00 21:02 21:08 21:38 21:55 22:10 22:23 22:28 22:43 21:30 21:47 21:53 22:15 22:30 22:35 22:50 * Except on Sunday Monday thru Friday Saturday & Sunday only Friday only (in place of 20:30) Monday thru Saturday Alternate Casco Bay Shoulder Schedule Sailing Summary
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Down Bay Winter Alternative Schedules By Island
Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 5:05 5:22 5:28 5:45 6:10 6:25 6:45 7:00 7:05 7:20 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:08 7:20 7:45 8:00 8:25 8:40 8:45 9:00 7:45 8:02 8:08 8:25 8:40 8:55 9:00 9:15 10:00 10:17 10:23 10:38 10:50 11:20 11:55 12:25 12:40 12:45 13:00 12:00 * 12:17 12:23 12:38 13:05 13:20 13:40 13:55 14:00 14:15 14:45 15:02 15:08 15:23 16:00 16:20 16:40 17:10 16:15 16:34 16:51 17:01 17:14 17:18 17:33 17:45 18:02 18:08 18:25 18:40 19:00 19:25 19:40 19:45 20:00 20:30 20:47 20:53 21:15 21:45 21:15 21:32 21:38 22:00 22:15 22:20 22:35 * Except Sunday Monday thru Friday Saturday & Sunday only Friday only (in place of 20:30) Monday thru Saturday Existing Casco Bay Winter Schedule Sailing Summary Leave Portland Leave Little Dia Leave Great Dia Leave Dia Cove Leave Long Leave Cheb Leave Cliff Leave Cheb Leave Long Leave Dia Cove Leave Great Dia Leave Little Dia Arrive Portland 5:00 5:17 5:23 5:40 6:05 6:20 6:40 6:55 7:00 7:15 6:30 6:47 6:53 7:08 7:20 7:45 8:00 8:25 8:40 8:45 9:00 7:45 8:02 8:08 8:25 8:40 8:55 9:00 9:15 8:00 8:17 8:23 8:45 9:05 9:40 10:05 10:25 10:40 10:45 11:00 10:15 10:32 10:38 10:55 11:20 11:35 11:55 12:10 12:15 12:30 12:00 * 12:17 12:23 12:45 13:05 13:40 14:05 14:25 14:40 14:45 15:00 13:15 13:32 13:38 13:53 14:08 14:25 14:30 14:45 15:15 15:32 15:38 15:55 16:20 16:35 16:55 17:05 17:10 17:15 17:30 18:00 18:17 18:23 18:40 19:05 19:20 19:40 19:55 20:00 20:15 20:45 21:02 21:08 21:30 21:45 21:50 22:05 21:30 21:47 21:53 22:15 22:30 22:35 22:50 * Except Sunday Monday thru Friday Saturday & Sunday only Friday only (in place of 20:30) Monday thru Saturday Alternate Casco Bay Winter Schedule Sailing Summary
summer, shoulder, and winter, respectively
than 5% over existing/base levels
with added vessel service
commensurate with added vessel use
approximately $13K, or 0.4% compared to existing/base case
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labor costs (optimizing service per labor hour)
commensurate with service increases
Summer Winter Shoulder Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Crew Labor 424,701 423,283
545,743 492,438
Fuel 118,561 119,816 1,255 1.1% 443,514 460,874 17,360 3.9% 87,176 98,963 11,787 13.5% Vessel Maintenance 276,969 278,826 1,856 0.7% 913,278 927,367 14,089 1.5% 193,496 203,847 10,351 5.3% Total Variable Cost 820,232 821,925 1,693 0.2% 1,902,536 1,880,679
7,273 1.2%
Annual Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Crew Labor
1,276,471 1,206,883
Fuel
649,252 679,654 30,402 4.7%
Vessel Maintenance
1,383,744 1,410,040 26,296 1.9%
Total Variable Cost 3,309,467 3,296,576 -12,890
April 20May 17, 20188 33
May 17, 2018 34
just over 10% compared to the base/existing level
approximately $19K, or -0.4% compared to the base/existing level
– Peaks: The alternative schedule shows a 2% or ~$65K increase in revenue in 2018 for passengers and vehicles. – Down Bay: Opportunity for increased freight revenue with increased service.
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Summer Winter Shoulder Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Crew Labor 575,540 570,515
822,995 772,865
451,032 427,663
Fuel 167,186 167,977 790 0.5% 546,134 563,717 17,583 3.2% 140,032 152,822 12,790 9.1% Vessel Maintenance 463,217 464,154 937 0.2% 1,285,466 1,300,999 15,532 1.2% 387,557 399,252 11,695 3.0% Total Variable Cost 1,205,943 1,202,646
2,654,596 2,637,581
978,621 979,737 1,116 0.1%
Annual Base Proposed Change from Base Percent Change Crew Labor
1,849,567 1,771,043
Fuel
853,353 884,516 31,163 3.7%
Vessel Maintenance
2,136,240 2,164,405 28,165 1.3%
Total Variable Cost
4,839,160 4,819,964
savings.
commensurate with service increases